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Catherine Liu

Publications and source records attributed to Catherine Liu.

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Artistic Practice Opportunities in CST Evaluations: A Longitudinal Group Deployment of ArtKrit

Creativity support tools (CSTs) aim to elevate the quality of artists' creative processes and artifacts. Yet most current CST evaluations overlook temporal and social aspects of tool use. To address this gap, we present a longitudinal, group-based CST evaluation through a three-week deployment of ArtKrit, a computational drawing tool that supports disciplined drawing. Nine digital artists, organized into three communities of practice, completed weekly "master studies" alongside a researcher-artist. Our results show users' evolving relationships with ArtKrit over time - from early experimentation to selective incorporation or misuse - alongside changes in their ways of artistic seeing. These changes unfolded within artist support networks that fostered confidence and creative safety, and validated individual expression. Overall, our findings suggest that CST evaluations can - and should - be designed as opportunities for meaningful artistic engagement rather than purely extractive measurement exercises. We contribute this longitudinal, group-based approach as one CST evaluation method.

cs.HC

Computational Scaffolding of Composition, Value, and Color for Disciplined Drawing

One way illustrators engage in disciplined drawing - the process of drawing to improve technical skills - is through studying and replicating reference images. However, for many novice and intermediate digital artists, knowing how to approach studying a reference image can be challenging. It can also be difficult to receive immediate feedback on their works-in-progress. To help these users develop their professional vision, we propose ArtKrit, a tool that scaffolds the process of replicating a reference image into three main steps: composition, value, and color. At each step, our tool offers computational guidance, such as adaptive composition line generation, and automatic feedback, such as value and color accuracy. Evaluating this tool with intermediate digital artists revealed that ArtKrit could flexibly accommodate their unique workflows. Our code and supplemental materials are available at https://majiaju.io/artkrit .

cs.HC

Bayesian prediction via nonparametric transformation models

This article tackles the old problem of prediction via a nonparametric transformation model (NTM) in a new Bayesian way. Estimation of NTMs is known challenging due to model unidentifiability though appealing because of its robust prediction capability in survival analysis. Inspired by the uniqueness of the posterior predictive distribution, we achieve efficient prediction via the NTM aforementioned under the Bayesian paradigm. Our strategy is to assign weakly informative priors to nonparametric components rather than identify the model by adding complicated constraints in the existing literature. The Bayesian success pays tribute to i) a subtle cast of NTMs by an exponential transformation for the purpose of compressing spaces of infinite-dimensional parameters to positive quadrants considering non-negativity of the failure time; ii) a newly constructed weakly informative quantile-knots I-splines prior for the recast transformation function together with the Dirichlet process mixture model assigned to the error distribution. In addition, we provide a convenient and precise estimator for the identified parameter component subject to the general unit-norm restriction through posterior modification, enabling effective relative risks. Simulations and applications on real datasets reveal that our method is robust and outperforms the competing methods. An R package BuLTM is available to predict survival curves, estimate relative risks, and facilitate posterior checking.

stat.ME

Low-rank Latent Matrix-factor Prediction Modeling for Generalized High-dimensional Matrix-variate Regression

Motivated by diagnosing the COVID-19 disease using 2D image biomarkers from computed tomography (CT) scans, we propose a novel latent matrix-factor regression model to predict responses that may come from an exponential distribution family, where covariates include high-dimensional matrix-variate biomarkers. A latent generalized matrix regression (LaGMaR) is formulated, where the latent predictor is a low-dimensional matrix factor score extracted from the low-rank signal of the matrix variate through a cutting-edge matrix factor model. Unlike the general spirit of penalizing vectorization plus the necessity of tuning parameters in the literature, instead, our prediction modeling in LaGMaR conducts dimension reduction that respects the geometry characteristic of intrinsic two-dimensional structure of the matrix covariate and thus avoids iteration. This greatly relieves the computation burden, and meanwhile maintains structural information so that the latent matrix factor feature can perfectly replace the intractable matrix-variate owing to high-dimensionality. The estimation procedure of LaGMaR is subtly derived by transforming the bilinear form matrix factor model onto a high-dimensional vector factor model, so that the method of principle components can be applied. We establish bilinear-form consistency of the estimated matrix coefficient of the latent predictor and consistency of prediction. The proposed approach can be implemented conveniently. Through simulation experiments, prediction capability of LaGMaR is shown to outperform existing penalized methods under diverse scenarios of generalized matrix regressions. Through the application to a real COVID-19 dataset, the proposed approach is shown to predict efficiently the COVID-19.

stat.AP

Dependent Dirichlet Processes for Analysis of a Generalized Shared Frailty Model

Bayesian paradigm takes advantage of well fitting complicated survival models and feasible computing in survival analysis owing to the superiority in tackling the complex censoring scheme, compared with the frequentist paradigm. In this chapter, we aim to display the latest tendency in Bayesian computing, in the sense of automating the posterior sampling, through Bayesian analysis of survival modeling for multivariate survival outcomes with complicated data structure. Motivated by relaxing the strong assumption of proportionality and the restriction of a common baseline population, we propose a generalized shared frailty model which includes both parametric and nonparametric frailty random effects so as to incorporate both treatment-wise and temporal variation for multiple events. We develop a survival-function version of ANOVA dependent Dirichlet process to model the dependency among the baseline survival functions. The posterior sampling is implemented by the No-U-Turn sampler in Stan, a contemporary Bayesian computing tool, automatically. The proposed model is validated by analysis of the bladder cancer recurrences data. The estimation is consistent with existing results. Our model and Bayesian inference provide evidence that the Bayesian paradigm fosters complex modeling and feasible computing in survival analysis and Stan relaxes the posterior inference.

stat.ME

Forecasting confirmed cases of the COVID-19 pandemic with a migration-based epidemiological model

The unprecedented coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is still a worldwide threat to human life since its invasion into the daily lives of the public in the first several months of 2020. Predicting the size of confirmed cases is important for countries and communities to make proper prevention and control policies so as to effectively curb the spread of COVID-19. Different from the 2003 SARS epidemic and the worldwide 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic, COVID-19 has unique epidemiological characteristics in its infectious and recovered compartments. This drives us to formulate a new infectious dynamic model for forecasting the COVID-19 pandemic within the human mobility network, named the SaucIR-model in the sense that the new compartmental model extends the benchmark SIR model by dividing the flow of people in the infected state into asymptomatic, pathologically infected but unconfirmed, and confirmed. Furthermore, we employ dynamic modeling of population flow in the model in order that spatial effects can be incorporated effectively. We forecast the spread of accumulated confirmed cases in some provinces of mainland China and other countries that experienced severe infection during the time period from late February to early May 2020. The novelty of incorporating the geographic spread of the pandemic leads to a surprisingly good agreement with published confirmed case reports. The numerical analysis validates the high degree of predictability of our proposed SaucIR model compared to existing resemblance. The proposed forecasting SaucIR model is implemented in Python. A web-based application is also developed by Dash (under construction).

stat.AP