arXiv subjects

Cecilia Sgalletta

Publications and source records attributed to Cecilia Sgalletta.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A binary black hole merger rate comparison within the same metallicity-star formation rate framework

Recent studies have suggested that binary population synthesis models, when coupled with observationally based, metallicity-dependent SFRD, overpredict the observed local BBH merger rate density. The significance of this tension might vary depending on the specific code and parameters adopted. Thus, a more extensive exploration of the parameter space is required. Here, we perform such an extended analysis. We first carry out a comprehensive analysis by using a large set of BBH merger efficiencies across a wide range of physical assumptions, parameters, and initial conditions. We combine these efficiencies with an observationally motivated SFRD and explore 18 metallicity variations to encompass observational uncertainties. We find that the tension between predicted and observed BBH merger rate density persists: in 17 out of 18 metallicity variations none of the models considered predicts a local BBH merger rate within or below the observed 90% credible interval. Even in the most favorable metallicity variation, only <10% of the models are consistent with the observational constraints. Then, we perform a full calculation, including a self-consistent delay time distribution, for the models yielding the lowest BBH merger rate densities. This analysis confirms that even the most conservative models overpredict the observed local BBH merger rate for almost all the metallicity variations. We show that the inclusion of the low-metallicity tail contributed by low-mass galaxies and starbursts, together with a treatment of iron rather than oxygen abundance, systematically shift the predicted rates toward higher values. Consequently, even literature models that predict moderate BBH merger rates can instead produce substantially higher rates when coupled to an observationally motivated SFRD.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Dynamical formation of dormant black holes: Predictions for Gaia DR4

Dormant black holes (dormant BHs, i.e., X-ray quiet binaries comprising a BH and a companion star) are probes of the effect of cluster dynamics and binary stellar evolution on compact-object binaries. A dozen dormant BH binaries are known, a number that will increase substantially with the upcoming Gaia Data Release 4 (DR4). Their origin is uncertain, and dynamical formation is proposed as one possible channel. Here, we study the formation of dormant BHs in low-mass star clusters, accounting for the interplay of binary stellar evolution and cluster dynamics. We present new simulations with the $N$-body code PeTar, interfaced with the population synthesis code SEVN for single and binary star evolution. Our grid spans a range of cluster masses ($300-4800\,$M$_\odot$), metallicities ($1.4\times10^{-2}$, $1.4\times10^{-4}$), and natal kick models (with and without fallback). We find that almost all dormant BH binaries escape the parent cluster within $\sim1\,$Gyr ($\sim10\,$Myr) when assuming weak (strong) natal kicks. Most ($73\%$) dormant BHs form via the exchange of a BH (or its progenitor star) into a stellar binary, or of a star into a binary with a BH. Dormant BHs in low-mass clusters have a wide orbital period distribution (from a few hours to $10^8\,$d), with an upper limit set by natal kicks, a bimodal eccentricity distribution (a first peak at zero eccentricity for circularised systems and a second at high eccentricity), and stellar masses that follow the (evolved) initial mass function. Large BH masses are a smoking gun of dynamical formation, via exchanges and stellar collisions. We expect Gaia DR4 to contain $\sim1-64$ high-metallicity and $\sim0.4-48$ low-metallicity dormant BHs, with a period distribution peaking at $\sim10^3\,$d, $\gtrsim90\%$ of them with eccentricity $e>0.1$, and $\sim20\%$ with large BH masses ($m_{\rm BH} \gtrsim 30\,$M$_\odot$).

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Shaping binary black hole merger efficiency with gravitational wave observations

Gravitational wave (GW) astronomy offers unprecedented insights into binary black hole (BBH) coalescence. However, many of the key quantities involved remain inaccessible to direct observations. The BBH merger rate density is deeply linked to both the merger efficiency and the distribution of delay time between binary formation and merger, neither of which is directly constrained by observations. Disentangling their impact on the merger rate represents a highly non-trivial endeavour. Here we present a semi-parametric BBH population model, based on population synthesis simulations of both isolated and dynamically-formed BBHs, anchored on an observation-driven, metallicity-dependent star formation history. We parametrise the merger efficiency of these two formation channels, fitting the model to GW events from the Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog 5.0 within a hierarchical Bayesian framework. Our analysis suggests that the isolated BBH merger efficiency should be lowered by a factor $\mathcal{O}(10)$ relative to standard population synthesis results. The dynamical channel requires an efficiency more than an order of magnitude larger than the isolated one to reproduce current GW observations. Nevertheless, we find that the two channels provide comparable contributions to the observed number of events. Finally, we introduce a parametrisation for the delay time distribution of the isolated BBHs. We derive a distribution consistent with the observed local merger rate and show its degeneracy with the merger efficiency.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

StAGE: Stellar Archaeology-driven Galaxy Evolution II. Binary Black Hole Mergers in Quiescent Galaxies and their Star-forming Progenitors

We apply StAGE, a data-driven galaxy-evolution framework based on stellar archaeology, to study binary black hole (BBH) mergers in quiescent galaxies (QGs) and their star-forming progenitors. We combine StAGE star-formation and chemical-enrichment histories with pre-computed SEVN binary population-synthesis catalogs to derive the BBH merger-rate density, its dependence on intrinsic binary and host-galaxy properties, and the associated stochastic gravitational-wave (GW) background. We assess uncertainties related to stellar-archaeology prescriptions, common-envelope evolution, and $α$-enhanced abundances. We find that QGs and their progenitors can contribute a sizeable fraction of the cosmic BBH merger rate. For most of the binary-evolution prescriptions explored here, we highlight a tension with the local LVK-inferred merger rates, underscoring the need to revisit some assumptions in the underlying modeling. Most BBHs form at moderately subsolar metallicities, $Z\lesssim Z_\odot/3$, while their merger-time hosts typically have stellar masses $M_\star\lesssim10^{11}\,M_\odot$. At $z\gtrsim2$, hosts lie mainly on the galaxy main sequence, whereas starbursting and quenching descendants contribute increasingly toward lower redshift. Isolated binaries broadly reproduce the observed bulk of the primary- and chirp-mass distributions, but the predictions decline rapidly above $\sim 40-50\,M_\odot$, providing little support for the highest-mass systems inferred by LVK. Dynamical formation in young and globular clusters can populate this regime, but also increases the total merger-rate density, exacerbating the tension with LVK for the fiducial cluster normalizations adopted here. Finally, the predicted stochastic background approaches the projected sensitivity of planned LVK upgrades and lies within reach of the Einstein Telescope.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Exploring the connection between Fast Radio Bursts and binary neutron star mergers

Fast Radio Bursts (FRBs) are highly energetic radio sources whose duration is of the order of milliseconds. The physical origin of these sources is still unknown. Many models suggest magnetars as possible progenitors of FRBs, and this is supported by the association between FRBs and the Galactic magnetar SGR 1935+2154; other proposed progenitors include binary neutron star (BNS) mergers, that are themselves linked to magnetar formation. In this work we investigate the possible connection between FRBs and BNS mergers, including magnetars that might be produced in such events, by comparing the detection rates inferred from synthetic BNS and associated FRB populations with the rates observed by CHIME. We produce a synthetic catalog of BNS mergers by combining recent theoretically predicted BNS merger rate as a function of redshift and the neutron star mass distribution inferred from measurements of Galactic BNSs. Using this catalog we predict the number of BNS systems ending as magnetars (stable or supramassive neutron star) or black holes (formed promptly or after the collapse of a hypermassive neutron star) for different equations of state. We then simulate for each BNS (and therefore for each magnetar remnant) an associated FRB and estimate how many of them can be potentially detected by CHIME. We find that the rate of BNS mergers and the rate of magnetars produced after BNS represents a non-negligible fraction of the FRBs detected by CHIME, both repeating and non-repeating. Although additional formation channels need to be considered to account for the entire population of FRBs, the existence of a fraction of FRBs that might genuinely be associated to BNS mergers has profound implications in the context of multi- messenger astronomy, supporting the systematic searches of coincident detections of FRBs and GWs from a BNS merger with current and future facilities.

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arXiv2026

Population synthesis of Be X-ray binaries in the Small Magellanic Cloud: Angular momentum recycling and stable mass transfer

Be X-ray binaries (BeXRBs) are key laboratories to constrain binary interaction processes such as mass transfer, angular-momentum transport, and natal kicks. The Small Magellanic Cloud (SMC), hosting a nearly complete and well-characterized BeXRB population, offers a unique opportunity to test these physical processes at low metallicity. We aim to identify the combination of binary-evolution parameters that simultaneously reproduces the observed number and the joint distribution of orbital period and optical magnitude of SMC BeXRBs. We performed an extensive grid analysis of binary population-synthesis models exploring different mass transfer efficiencies, angular-momentum transport prescriptions and Roche-lobe overflow stability criteria. We also considered the impact of natal kicks, and that of the propeller effect of rotating magnetic fields of neutron stars. Synthetic populations obtained with the binary population synthesis code $\texttt{sevn}$ are statistically compared to observations using likelihood-based methods applied to the orbital period and $V$-band magnitude distributions, together with requirements on the total number of systems. We find that models in which mass transfer via Roche-lobe overflow is assumed to be always stable and angular momentum is recycled back into the orbit through tides when the accretor approaches critical rotation provide the best match to observations. Our best-fitting models favor low natal kicks ($\lesssim 100\ \rm km\ s^{-1}$), a moderate mass transfer efficiency ($f_{\rm MT} \simeq 0.6$), a minimum Be threshold spin close to critical rotation, and a strong suppression of accretion onto neutron stars due to the propeller effect. Specifically, the observable population is highly sensitive to the treatment of the propeller effect, which regulates the X-ray luminosity of wide, low-accretion-rate systems.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2026

The role of accretion efficiency, natal kicks, and angular momentum transport in the formation of the Gaia black holes

Gaia has the potential to deliver several tens of new dormant black holes (BHs) with low-mass stellar companions (hereafter, Gaia BHs) in the upcoming fourth data release. Three Gaia BHs are already known, but their formation pathways remain uncertain. Here, we perform a large parametric study to explore the formation of Gaia BHs from isolated binary systems with the population-synthesis code SEVN and compare our models with the properties of the three already reported Gaia BHs. Specifically, we explore the impact of accretion efficiency, mass transfer stability, natal kicks, angular momentum transport, and core-collapse supernova prescriptions. We find that models in which stable mass transfer is highly non-conservative and angular momentum is lost as a wind from the donor surface (Jeans mode) maximize the probability of forming dormant systems that match the properties of the observed Gaia BHs in terms of both orbital period and eccentricity, because such assumptions prevent the initial orbit from shrinking too much when the BH progenitor fills its Roche lobe. If we allow for common-envelope evolution, we find that models with common-envelope ejection efficiency $α < 1$ predict dormant systems with orbital periods that are too short compared to the observed Gaia BHs. The eccentricity of the observed Gaia BHs, when combined with information about orbital period and BH mass, favors relatively large natal kicks, similar to those inferred from Galactic neutron stars. Finally, models in which BH natal kicks are low - e.g. because they are modulated by fallback - result in the formation of a large population of dormant BHs with long orbital periods ($P_{\rm orb}>10^4$ days), which will be tested soon by the fourth Gaia data release.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Can current models predict the local black hole merger rate?

After four observational runs, the Ligo-Virgo-Kagra collaboration estimated a local binary black hole (BBH) merger rate density of $R_{0,\textrm{LVK}}\simeq 14-26\,\textrm{Gpc}^{-3}\,\textrm{yr}^{-1}$ within the 90% credible interval. Some previous studies already pointed out that, when a realistic evolution of the metallicity-dependent cosmic star formation rate density (SFRD) is adopted, theoretical models predict a local BBH merger rate density that exceeds the observed value by at least a factor of $\sim 10$ (Sgalletta et al. 2025). In this paper, we confirm and strengthen this claim by constructing an empirical model for the SFRD and metallicity evolution that includes a correction accounting for iron abundance. The adopted metallicity relation is flexible, enabling us to bracket the wide range of observational uncertainties. We show that, even under the most conservative assumptions regarding both the SFRD and the metallicity relation, the local BBH merger rate density is overestimated by a factor $> 10$. Attempts to reconcile the predicted and observed merger rates by modifying only the metallicity-dependent SFRD would require unrealistically high metallicities ($Z>Z_\odot$) even in low-mass galaxies at high redshift. This finding indicates that revisions to the treatment of stellar and binary evolution are necessary to achieve consistency between theoretical predictions and observations. We suggest that even a modest steepening of the delay-time distribution could help alleviate this tension.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

The impact of envelope binding energies on the merger rate density of binary compact objects

The common envelope (CE) phase plays a key role in the formation of binary compact object systems. Its final outcome strongly depends on the envelope binding energy, but this quantity is often estimated using fitting formulas that are not fully consistent with the underlying stellar evolution models adopted in population-synthesis codes. Here, we investigate envelope binding energies across the most extensive stellar grid considered to date. Our stellar tracks, evolved with PARSEC v2.0, include hydrogen (H) -rich stars with metallicities ranging from $Z = 10^{-11}$ (Population III stars) to $Z = 0.03$, and initial masses between 2 and 2000 M$_\odot$, as well as pure-helium stars with masses from 0.36 to 350 M$_\odot$. We examine the sensitivity of the envelope binding energies to the selected core-envelope boundary definition and to different internal energy source contributions. For H-rich stars, we find that internal energy sources can alter the envelope binding energy by more than an order of magnitude, whereas the core boundary criteria play a secondary role. In contrast, for pure helium stars, the core-boundary criterion becomes the dominant factor. The envelope binding energies derived from different stellar tracks can show deviations of several orders of magnitude, with larger differences for more massive stars and higher metallicities.Finally, by implementing our new envelope binding energy prescriptions into the binary population synthesis code SEVN, we show that the predicted merger rate densities of compact binaries can differ by more than an order of magnitude compared to previous models. Our results highlight the importance of using envelope binding energies that are consistent with the underlying stellar evolution models and caution against extrapolating empirical fits beyond the considered parameter space.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2025

Impact of stellar winds on the pair-instability supernova rate

Very massive stars (VMSs, $M_{\star}$ $\geq$ 100 M$_{\odot}$) play a crucial role in several astrophysical processes. At low metallicity, they might collapse directly into black holes, or end their lives as pair-instability supernovae. Recent observational results set an upper limit of $0.7\,{}\mathrm{ yr}^{-1} \,{}\mathrm{ Gpc}^{-3}$ on the rate density of pair-instability supernovae in the nearby Universe. However, most theoretical models predict rates exceeding this limit. Here, we compute new VMS tracks with the MESA code, and use them to analyze the evolution of the (pulsational) pair-instability supernova rate density across cosmic time. We show that stellar wind models accounting for the transition between optically thin and thick winds yield a pair-instability supernova rate $\mathcal{R}_{\mathrm{PISN}}\sim{}0.1$ Gpc$^{-3}$ yr$^{-1}$ at redshift $z\sim{}0$, about two orders of magnitude lower than our previous models. We find that the main contribution to the pair-instability supernova rate comes from stars with metallicity $Z\sim{}0.001-0.002$. Stars with higher metallicities cannot enter the pair-instability supernova regime, even if their zero-age main sequence mass is up to 500 M$_\odot$. The main reason is that VMSs enter the regime for optically thick winds during the main sequence at metallicity as low as $Z\sim{4}\times{}10^{-4}$. This enhances the mass loss rate, quenching the growth of the He core and thus preventing the onset of pair-instability in later evolutionary stages. This result highlights the critical role of mass loss in shaping the final fate of very massive stars and the rate of pair-instability supernovae.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

The more accurately the metal-dependent star formation rate is modeled, the larger the predicted excess of binary black hole mergers

As the number of gravitational-wave detections grows, the merger rate of binary black holes (BBHs) can help us to constrain their formation, the properties of their progenitors, and their birth environment. Here, we aim to address the impact of the metal-dependent star formation rate (SFR) on the BBH merger rate. To this end, we have developed a fully data-driven approach to model the metal-dependent SFR and coupled it to BBH evolution. We have adopted the most up-to-date scaling relations, based on recent observational results, and we have studied how the BBH merger rate density varies over a wide grid of galaxy and binary evolution parameters. Our results show that including a realistic metal-dependent SFR evolution yields a value of the merger rate density which is too high compared to the one inferred from gravitational-wave data. Moreover, variations in the SFR in low-mass galaxies ($M_\ast \lesssim 10^8 \mathrm{M}_{\odot}$) do not contribute more than a factor $\sim 2$ to the overall merger rate density at redshift $z=0$. These results suggest that the discrepancy between the BBH merger rate density inferred from data and theoretical models is not caused by approximations in the treatment of the metal-dependent SFR, but rather stems from stellar evolution models and/or BBH formation channels.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Enhanced Mass Loss of Very Massive Stars: Impact on the Evolution, Binary Processes, and Remnant Mass Spectrum

Very massive stars (VMS) play a fundamental role in astrophysics due to their winds and supernovae (SN), and their role as massive black hole (BH) progenitors. However, their origin and evolution remain a significant challenge. Recent theoretical work and observations suggest that VMS approaching the Eddington limit may experience mass loss above the standard wind predictions. This study investigates how enhanced winds influence single and binary VMS evolution, observable properties, and resulting BH populations. New stellar wind prescriptions, sensitive to the Eddington parameter ($Γ_e$) and the luminosity-to-mass ratio, were implemented into the stellar evolution code PARSEC v2.0. These updated single-star tracks (100 - 600 M$_{\odot}$ at Z=0.006) were used to model the VMS population in the Tarantula Nebula and integrated into the SEVN binary evolution code. The $Γ_e$-enhanced single-star tracks match observed VMS properties better than standard models. Explaining the most massive star, R136a1, through a single-star origin suggests a zero-age main sequence (ZAMS) mass limit of $<$ 400 M$_{\odot}$ regardless of the wind recipe used. However, binary stellar mergers also offer a suitable origin for R136a1 and other observed VMS, potentially lowering the upper ZAMS mass limit by ~100 M$_{\odot}$. In binaries, enhanced winds inhibit main-sequence stellar mergers and limit BH production above the pair-instability mass gap's lower edge (~50 M$_{\odot}$). Binary BHs merging in a Hubble time with enhanced winds yield more primary BHs above 30 M$_{\odot}$ and enable secondary BHs between 30-40 solar masses, a range not found with standard stellar winds at LMC metallicity. This study highlights the crucial role that stellar winds and binary interactions play in VMS evolution and offers predictions relevant for interpreting VMS observations and gravitational wave source origins.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2025

Impact of accretion-induced chemically homogeneous evolution on stellar and compact binary populations

In binary star systems, mass transfer can spin up the accretor, possibly leading to efficient chemical mixing and chemically quasi-homogeneous evolution (CHE). Here, we explore the effects of accretion-induced CHE on both stellar populations and their compact binary remnants with the state-of-the-art population synthesis code SEVN. We find that CHE efficiently enhances the formation of Wolf-Rayet stars (WRs) from secondary stars, which are spun-up by accretion, while simultaneously preventing their evolution into red supergiant stars (RSGs). Including CHE in our models increases the fraction of WRs in our stellar sample by nearly a factor of $\approx3$ at low metallicity ($Z=0.001$). WRs formed through CHE are, on average, more massive and luminous than those formed without CHE. Most WRs formed via CHE end their life as black holes. As a direct consequence, the CHE mechanism enhances the formation of binary black holes (BBHs) and black hole-neutron star (BHNS) systems, while simultaneously quenching the production of binary neutron stars (BNSs). However, CHE significantly quenches the merger rate of BBHs, BHNSs and BNSs at low metallicity ($Z\leq{}0.004$), because most binary compact objects formed via CHE have large orbital periods. For instance, the number of BBH and BHNS mergers decreases by one order of magnitude at $Z=0.004$ in the CHE model compared to the standard scenario. Finally, we find that secondary stars experiencing CHE frequently produce the most massive compact object in the binary system. In BHNSs, this implies that the black hole progenitor is the secondary star. Conversely, BBHs formed through accretion-induced CHE likely have asymmetric black hole components, but only a negligible fraction of these asymmetric systems ultimately merge within an Hubble time.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

The boring history of Gaia BH3 from isolated binary evolution

Gaia BH3 is the first observed dormant black hole (BH) with a mass of $\approx{30}$ M$_\odot$ and represents the first confirmation that such massive BHs are associated with metal-poor stars. Here, we explore the isolated binary formation channel for Gaia BH3 focusing on the old and metal-poor stellar population of the Milky Way halo. We use the MIST stellar models and our open-source population synthesis code SEVN to evolve $5.6 \times 10^8$ binaries exploring 20 sets of parameters. We find that systems like Gaia BH3 form preferentially from binaries initially composed of a massive star ($40-60$ M$_\odot$) and a low mass companion ($<1$ M$_\odot$) in a wide ($P>10^3$ days) and eccentric orbit ($e>0.6$). Such progenitor binary stars do not undergo any Roche-lobe overflow episode during their entire evolution, so that the final orbital properties of the BH-star system are determined at the core collapse of the primary star. Low natal kicks ($\lesssim$ 10~km/s) significantly favour the formation of Gaia BH3-like systems, but high velocity kicks up to $\approx 220$ km/s are also allowed. We estimate the formation efficiency for Gaia BH3-like systems in old ($t>10$ Gyr) and metal-poor ($Z<0.01$) populations to be $\sim 4 \times 10^{-8}$ M$_\odot^{-1}$ (for our fiducial model), representing $\sim 3\%$ of the whole simulated BH-star population. We expect up to $\approx 4000$ BH-star systems in the Galactic halo formed through isolated evolution, of which $\approx 100$ are compatible with Gaia BH3-like. Given the density profile of the Galactic halo we do not expect more than one at the observed distance of Gaia BH3. Our models show that, even if it was born inside a stellar cluster, Gaia BH3 is compatible with a primordial binary star that escaped from its parent cluster without experiencing significant dynamical interactions.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2024

The cosmic rate of Pair-Instability Supernovae

Pair-instability supernovae (PISNe) have crucial implications for many astrophysical topics, including the search for very massive stars, the black hole mass spectrum, and galaxy chemical enrichment. To this end, we need to understand where PISNe are across cosmic time, and what are their favourable galactic environments. We present a new determination of the PISN rate as a function of redshift, obtained by combining up-to-date stellar evolution tracks from the PARSEC and FRANEC codes, with an up-to-date semi-empirical determination of the star formation rate and metallicity evolution of star-forming galaxies throughout cosmic history. We find the PISN rate to exhibit a huge dependence on the model assumptions, including the criterion to identify stars unstable to pair production, and the upper limit of the stellar initial mass function. Remarkably, the interplay between the maximum metallicity at which stars explode as PISNe, and the dispersion of the galaxy metallicity distribution, dominates the uncertainties, causing a $\sim$ seven-orders-of-magnitude PISN rate range. Furthermore, we show a comparison with the core-collapse supernova rate, and study the properties of the favourable PISN host galaxies. According to our results, the main contribution to the PISN rate comes from metallicities between $\sim 10^{-3}$ and $10^{-2}$, against the common assumption that views very-low-metallicity, Population III stars as exclusive or dominant PISN progenitors. The strong dependencies we find offer the opportunity to constrain stellar and galaxy evolution models based on possible future (or the lack of) PISN observations.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2023

Compact object mergers: exploring uncertainties from stellar and binary evolution with SEVN

Population-synthesis codes are an unique tool to explore the parameter space of massive binary star evolution and binary compact object (BCO) formation. Most population-synthesis codes are based on the same stellar evolution model, limiting our ability to explore the main uncertainties. Here, we present the new version of the code SEVN, which overcomes this issue by interpolating the main stellar properties from a set of pre-computed evolutionary tracks. We describe the new interpolation and adaptive time-step algorithms of SEVN, and the main upgrades on single and binary evolution. With SEVN, we evolved $1.2\times10^9$ binaries in the metallicity range $0.0001\leq Z \leq 0.03$, exploring a number of models for electron-capture, core-collapse and pair-instability supernovae, different assumptions for common envelope, stability of mass transfer, quasi-homogeneous evolution and stellar tides. We find that stellar evolution has a dramatic impact on the formation of single and binary compact objects. Just by slightly changing the overshooting parameter ($λ_{\rm ov}=0.4,0.5$) and the pair-instability model, the maximum mass of a black hole can vary from $\approx{60}$ to $\approx{100}\ \mathrm{M}_\odot$. Furthermore, the formation channels of BCOs and the merger efficiency we obtain with SEVN show significant differences with respect to the results of other population-synthesis codes, even when the same binary-evolution parameters are used. For example, the main traditional formation channel of BCOs is strongly suppressed in our models: at high metallicity ($Z\gtrsim{0.01}$) only $<20$% of the merging binary black holes and binary neutron stars form via this channel, while other authors found fractions $>70$%. The local BCO merger rate density of our fiducial models is consistent with the most recent estimates by the LIGO--Virgo--KAGRA collaboration.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2023

Binary neutron star populations in the Milky Way

Galactic binary neutron stars (BNSs) are a unique laboratory to probe the evolution of BNSs and their progenitors. Here, we use a new version of the population synthesis code SEVN to evolve the population of Galactic BNSs, by modeling the spin up and down of pulsars self-consistently. We analyze the merger rate $\mathcal{R}_{\rm MW}$, orbital period $P_{\rm orb}$, eccentricity $e$, spin period $P$, and spin period derivative $\dot{P}$ of the BNS population. Values of the common envelope parameter $α=1 - 3$ and an accurate model of the Milky Way star formation history best reproduce the BNS merger rate in our Galaxy ($\mathcal{R}_{\rm MW}\approx{}30$ Myr$^{-1}$). We apply radio-selection effects to our simulated BNSs and compare them to the observed population. Using a Dirichlet process Gaussian mixture method, we evaluate the four-dimensional likelihood in the $(P_{\rm orb}, e, P, \dot{P})$ space, by comparing our radio-selected simulated pulsars against Galactic BNSs. Our analysis favours an uniform initial distribution for both the magnetic field ($10^{10-13}$ G) and the spin period ($10-100$ ms). The implementation of radio selection effects is critical to match not only the spin period and period derivative, but also the orbital period and eccentricity of Galactic BNSs. According to our fiducial model, the Square Kilometre Array will detect $\sim 20$ new BNSs in the Milky Way.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

Host galaxies and electromagnetic counterparts to binary neutron star mergers across the cosmic time: Detectability of GW170817-like events

The detection of electromagnetic radiation (EM) accompanying the gravitational wave (GW) signal from the binary neutron star (BNS) merger GW170817 has revealed that these systems constitute at least a fraction of the progenitors of short gamma-ray bursts (SGRBs). As gravitational wave detectors keep pushing their detection horizons, it is important to assess coupled GW/EM probabilities, and how to maximize observational prospects. Here we perform population synthesis calculations of BNS evolution with the code MOBSE, and seed the binaries in galaxies at three representative redshifts (z=0.01,0.1,1) of the Illustris TNG50 simulation. The binaries are evolved and their locations numerically tracked in the host galactic potentials until merger. Adopting the astrophysical parameters of GRB170817A as a prototype, we numerically compute the broadband lightcurves of jets from BNS mergers, with the afterglow brightness depending on the local medium density at the merger sites. We perform Monte Carlo simulations of the resulting EM population assuming either a random viewing angle with respect to the jet, or a jet aligned with the orbital angular momentum of the binary, which biases the viewing angle probability for GW-triggered events. We find that ~70-80% of BNSs from z=0.01 should be detectable in gamma-rays. The afterglow detection probabilities of GW-triggered BNS mergers vary between ~0.3-0.7%, with higher values for jets aligned with the BNS angular momentum, and are comparable across the high and low-energy bands, unlike gamma-ray-triggered events (cosmological SGRBs) which are significantly brighter at higher energies. We further quantify observational biases with respect to host galaxy masses.

astro-ph.HE↗