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Chaopeng Tan

Publications and source records attributed to Chaopeng Tan.

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SelectLight: Learning to Select Signal Plans Generated by Distributed Model Predictive Control for Urban Traffic Networks

Coordinated traffic signal control across urban networks must adapt to changing demand while satisfying operational constraints. Multi-objective distributed model predictive control (DMPC) can construct feasible signal plans online, but prescribed rules for selecting among trade-off solutions cannot learn from realized closed-loop outcomes. We propose SelectLight, which implements post-optimization selection by allowing a multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) policy to choose directly from plans generated online by DMPC. At each control update, state-pruned multi-objective dynamic programming (SP-MODP) evaluates plans with a Newellian point--spatial queue model and returns a bounded set of mutually nondominated candidate signal plans for total queueing delay, peak queue accumulation, and total number of stops. A topology-aware attention policy trained with independent proximal policy optimization (IPPO) selects one unmodified plan from each variable-size set. This confines learning to candidate selection, preserves the prescribed signal timing constraints, and leaves the selected plan and its predicted objective trade-offs available for inspection. Experiments on two 28-intersection SUMO networks show that SelectLight achieves the best delay-related performance and that its advantage widens with demand. At twice the baseline demand, it reduces queueing delay and waiting time by 5.57% and 6.44%, respectively, relative to the strongest baseline. SelectLight also incurs the lowest transfer loss under every tested demand shift. With a 120 s prediction horizon, the per-intersection 99th-percentile SP-MODP solution time is 5.408 ms, well below the 5 s control interval.

eess.SY

PriEco-DRL: Joint Optimization of Electric-Bus Eco-Driving and Transit-Priority Adaptive Signals via Deep Reinforcement Learning

Urban transit electrification requires balancing energy efficiency, schedule reliability, and ride comfort for electric buses (EBs), particularly when interacting with transit-priority adaptive signals in congested networks. This paper proposes PriEco-DRL, a joint optimization framework that integrates EB eco-driving with transit-priority adaptive signal control using deep reinforcement learning (DRL). The signal layer employs a priority-weighted max-pressure (Priority-MP) controller to allocate green time based on occupancy-aware pressures, while the vehicle layer adapts longitudinal control based on uncertain and dynamically evolving local signal cues. A structured reward combines guidance and event-based reinforcement to align EB arrivals with green opportunities while considering energy, time, comfort, and safety. The framework uses centralized training and decentralized execution (CTDE) with parameter sharing, allowing a single DRL agent to learn from multiple buses and routes using local observations. Experiments on a real-world corridor show that PriEco-DRL reduces EB energy consumption while maintaining network efficiency and transit priority compared with fixed-time, actuated, and rule-based signal-vehicle coordination baselines. Energy- and trajectory-based analyses reveal that the improvements stem from fewer unscheduled stop-start events and smoother speed regulation under adaptive signals. The results highlight a tunable energy-time trade-off, allowing flexible operational choices through reward weighting.

math.OC

Transit-MP: Transit-Prioritized Max-Pressure Control in Sparse Connected Vehicle Environments

Max-pressure (MP) control stands out among real-time network traffic signal control methods due to its simplicity, decentralized nature, and theoretical stability. However, existing MP control methods have limited consideration of public transportation and do not address the network stability problem of transit-prioritized MP in partially connected vehicle (CV) environments. In this study, we propose Transit-MP, which realizes transit-prioritized MP control in partially CV environments by considering real-time vehicle occupancy and the impact of transit dwell at stations. Theoretically, we demonstrate that Transit-MP, while using different traffic state measures for upstream and downstream links for pressure calculation, still achieves road network stability even in partially CV environments. Note that for MP controllers in sparse CV environments, some movements may have missing CV observations, leading to link spillovers, which create the queue starvation phenomenon: a movement no longer receives the green phase despite the queue spillover. Therefore, we further propose a modified Transit-MP (mTransit-MP) that incorporates historical traffic data to address this issue. We rigorously prove that the proposed mTransit-MP can effectively avoid the queue starvation phenomenon. Experimental results on a real-world corridor in Amsterdam with 15 transit lines and 31 stations show that our method significantly reduces the real-time vehicle and spillover count, and improves delays for both private vehicles and transit vehicles compared to a state-of-the-art MP controller for transit signal priority. In sparse CV environments, our mTransit-MP is effective in mitigating link spillovers while enhancing the overall performance of multi-modal traffic.

math.OC

Optimal Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Deployment for Macro-Micro Traffic Monitoring Fused with Connected Vehicles

Reliable estimation of macro and micro traffic states is essential for urban traffic management. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles, with their airborne full-sample continuous trajectory observation, bring new opportunities for macro- and micro-traffic state estimation. In this study, we will explore the optimal UAV deployment problem in road networks in conjunction with sampled connected vehicle data to achieve more reliable estimation of macroscopic path flow as well as microscopic arrival rates and queue lengths. Oriented towards macro-micro traffic states, we propose entropy-based and area-based uncertainty measures, respectively, and transform the optimal UAV deployment problem into minimizing the uncertainty of macro-micro traffic states. A quantum genetic algorithm that integrates the thoughts of metaheuristic algorithms and quantum computation is then proposed to solve the large-scale nonlinear problem efficiently. Evaluation results on a network with 18 intersections have demonstrated that by deploying UAV detection at specific locations, the uncertainty reduction of macro-micro traffic state estimation ranges from 15.28\% to 75.69\%. A total of 5 UAVs with optimal location schemes would be sufficient to detect over 95\% of the paths in the network considering both microscopic uncertainty regarding the intersection operation efficiency and the macroscopic uncertainty regarding the route choice of road users.

math.OC

Collaborating Unmanned Aerial Vehicle and Ground Sensors for Urban Signalized Network Traffic Monitoring

Reliable estimation of network-wide traffic states is essential for urban traffic management. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), with their airborne full-sample continuous trajectory observation, bring new opportunities for traffic state estimation. In this study, we will explore the optimal UAV deployment problem in road networks in conjunction with ground sensors, including connected vehicle (CV) and loop detectors, to achieve more reliable estimation of vehicle path reconstruction as well as movement-based arrival rates and queue lengths. Oriented towards reliable estimation of traffic states, we propose an index, feasible domain size, as the uncertainty measurement, and transform the optimal UAV deployment problem into minimizing the observation uncertainty of network-wide traffic states. Given the large-scale and nonlinear nature of the problem, an improved quantum genetic algorithm (IQGA) that integrates two customized operators is proposed to enhance neighbor searching and solution refinement, thereby improving the observability of UAV pairs. Evaluation was conducted on an empirical network with 18 intersections. Results demonstrated that a UAV fleet size of 7 is sufficient for traffic monitoring, with more than 60\% of network-wide observation uncertainty reduced. Through horizontal comparison with three baselines, the optimal UAV location scheme obtained by the proposed method can reach an improvement of up to 7.23\% and 5.02\% in the estimation accuracy of arrival rate and queue length, respectively. The proposed IQGA is also shown to be faster in solution convergence than the classic QGA by about 9.22\% with better exploration ability in optimum searching.

math.OC

CV-MP: Max-Pressure Control in Heterogeneously Distributed and Partially Connected Vehicle Environments

Max-pressure (MP) control has emerged as a prominent real-time network traffic signal control strategy due to its simplicity, decentralized structure, and theoretical guarantees of network queue stability. Meanwhile, advances in connected vehicle (CV) technology have sparked extensive research into CV-based traffic signal control. Despite these developments, few studies have investigated MP control in heterogeneously distributed and partially CV environments while ensuring network queue stability. To address these research gaps, we propose a CV-based MP control (CV-MP) method that leverages real-time CV travel time information to compute the pressure, thereby incorporating both the spatial distribution and temporal delays of vehicles, unlike existing approaches that utilized only spatial distribution or temporal delays. In particular, we establish sufficient conditions for road network queue stability that are compatible with most existing MP control methods. Moreover, we pioneered the proof of network queue stability even if the vehicles are only partially connected and heterogeneously distributed, and gave a necessary condition of CV observation for maintaining the stability. Evaluation results on an Amsterdam corridor show that CV-MP significantly reduces vehicle delays compared to both actuated control and conventional MP control across various CV penetration rates. Moreover, in scenarios with dynamic traffic demand, CV-MP achieves lower spillover peaks even with low and heterogeneous CV penetration rates, further highlighting its effectiveness and robustness.

eess.SY

Arrival flow profile estimation and predication for urban arterials using license plate recognition data

Arrival flow profiles enable precise assessment of urban arterial dynamics, aiding signal control optimization. License Plate Recognition (LPR) data, with its comprehensive coverage and event-based detection, is promising for reconstructing arrival flow profiles. This paper introduces an arrival flow profile estimation and prediction method for urban arterials using LPR data. Unlike conventional methods that assume traffic homogeneity and overlook detailed traffic wave features and signal timing impacts, our approach employs a time partition algorithm and platoon dispersion model to calculate arrival flow, considering traffic variations and driving behaviors using only boundary data. Shockwave theory quantifies the piecewise function between arrival flow and profile. We derive the relationship between arrival flow profiles and traffic dissipation at downstream intersections, enabling recursive calculations for all intersections. This approach allows prediction of arrival flow profiles under any signal timing schemes. Validation through simulation and empirical cases demonstrates promising performance and robustness under various conditions.

physics.soc-ph

Interaction-Aware Trajectory Prediction for Safe Motion Planning in Autonomous Driving: A Transformer-Transfer Learning Approach

A critical aspect of safe and efficient motion planning for autonomous vehicles (AVs) is to handle the complex and uncertain behavior of surrounding human-driven vehicles (HDVs). Despite intensive research on driver behavior prediction, existing approaches typically overlook the interactions between AVs and HDVs assuming that HDV trajectories are not affected by AV actions. To address this gap, we present a transformer-transfer learning-based interaction-aware trajectory predictor for safe motion planning of autonomous driving, focusing on a vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) interaction scenario consisting of an AV and an HDV. Specifically, we construct a transformer-based interaction-aware trajectory predictor using widely available datasets of HDV trajectory data and further transfer the learned predictor using a small set of AV-HDV interaction data. Then, to better incorporate the proposed trajectory predictor into the motion planning module of AVs, we introduce an uncertainty quantification method to characterize the errors of the predictor, which are integrated into the path-planning process. Our experimental results demonstrate the value of explicitly considering interactions and handling uncertainties.

cs.RO

A Probabilistic Approach for Queue Length Estimation Using License Plate Recognition Data: Considering Overtaking in Multi-lane Scenarios

Multi-section license plate recognition (LPR) data provides input-output information and sampled travel times of the investigated link, serving as an ideal data source for lane-based queue length estimation in recent studies. However, most of these studies assumed the strict FIFO rule or a specific arrival process, thus ignoring the potential impact of overtaking and the variation of traffic flows, especially in multi-lane scenarios. To address this issue, we propose a probabilistic approach to derive the stochastic queue length by constructing a conditional probability model of no-delay arrival time (NAT), i.e., the arrival time of vehicles without experiencing any delay, based on multi-section LPR data. First, the NAT conditions for all vehicles are established based on upstream and downstream vehicle departure times and sequences. To reduce the computational dimensionality and complexity, a DP-based algorithm is developed for vehicle group partitioning based on potential interactions between vehicles. Then, the conditional probability of NATs of each vehicle group is derived and an MCMC sampling method is employed for calculation. Subsequently, the stochastic queue profile and maximum queue length for each cycle can be derived based on the NATs of vehicles. Eventually, to leverage the LPR data sufficiently, we extend our approach to multi-lane scenarios, where the problem can be converted to a weighted general exact coverage problem and solved by a backtracking algorithm with heuristics. Empirical and simulation experiments have shown that the proposed approach outperforms the state-of-the-art method, demonstrating significant improvements in accuracy and robustness across various traffic conditions, including different V/C ratios, matching rates, and FIFO violation rates. In addition, the performance of the proposed approach can be further improved by utilizing multi-lane LPR data.

eess.SP

Connected Vehicle Data-driven Robust Optimization for Traffic Signal Timing: Modeling Traffic Flow Variability and Errors

Recent advancements in Connected Vehicle (CV) technology have prompted research on leveraging CV data for more effective traffic management. Despite the low penetration rate, such detailed CV data has demonstrated great potential in improving traffic signal performance. However, existing studies share a common shortcoming in that they all ignore traffic flow estimation errors in their modeling process, which is inevitable due to the sampling observation nature of CVs. This study proposes a CV data-driven robust optimization framework for traffic signal timing accounting for both traffic flow variability and estimation errors. First, we propose a general CV data-driven optimization model that can be widely applied to various signalized intersection scenarios including under-/over-saturated and fixed-/real-time. Then, we propose a novel data-driven uncertainty set of arrival rates based on the bounds information derived from CVs, which circumvents the error-prone arrival rate estimation process. Finally, a CV data-driven robust optimization model (CV-RO) is formulated to explicitly handle arrival rate uncertainties. By means of the robust counterpart approach, this robust optimization problem can be equalized to a deterministic mixed-integer linear programming problem with an exact solution. The evaluation results highlight the superior performance of the CV-RO model compared to the deterministic model and traditional methods across various scenarios: different penetration rates, traffic demands, and control types. Notably, the CV-RO model demonstrates its excellence at lower CV penetration rates and in the presence of different traffic flow fluctuation levels, affirming its effectiveness and robustness.

math.OC

Enhancing High-Speed Cruising Performance of Autonomous Vehicles through Integrated Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework

High-speed cruising scenarios with mixed traffic greatly challenge the road safety of autonomous vehicles (AVs). Unlike existing works that only look at fundamental modules in isolation, this work enhances AV safety in mixed-traffic high-speed cruising scenarios by proposing an integrated framework that synthesizes three fundamental modules, i.e., behavioral decision-making, path-planning, and motion-control modules. Considering that the integrated framework would increase the system complexity, a bootstrapped deep Q-Network (DQN) is employed to enhance the deep exploration of the reinforcement learning method and achieve adaptive decision making of AVs. Moreover, to make AV behavior understandable by surrounding HDVs to prevent unexpected operations caused by misinterpretations, we derive an inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) approach to learn the reward function of skilled drivers for the path planning of lane-changing maneuvers. Such a design enables AVs to achieve a human-like tradeoff between multi-performance requirements. Simulations demonstrate that the proposed integrated framework can guide AVs to take safe actions while guaranteeing high-speed cruising performance.

eess.SY

Privacy-Preserving Adaptive Traffic Signal Control in a Connected Vehicle Environment

Although Connected Vehicles (CVs) have demonstrated tremendous potential to enhance traffic operations, they can impose privacy risks on individual travelers, e.g., leaking sensitive information about their frequently visited places, routing behavior, etc. Despite the large body of literature that devises various algorithms to exploit CV information, research on privacy-preserving traffic control is still in its infancy. In this paper, we aim to fill this research gap and propose a privacy-preserving adaptive traffic signal control method using CV data. Specifically, we leverage secure Multi-Party Computation and differential privacy to devise a privacy-preserving CV data aggregation mechanism, which can calculate key traffic quantities without any CVs having to reveal their private data. We further develop a linear optimization model for adaptive signal control based on the traffic variables obtained via the data aggregation mechanism. The proposed linear programming problem is further extended to a stochastic programming problem to explicitly handle the noises added by the differentially private mechanism. Evaluation results show that the linear optimization model preserves privacy with a marginal impact on control performance, and the stochastic programming model can significantly reduce residual queues compared to the linear programming model, with almost no increase in vehicle delay. Overall, our methods demonstrate the feasibility of incorporating privacy-preserving mechanisms in CV-based traffic modeling and control, which guarantees both utility and privacy.

eess.SY

Joint Estimation of Multi-phase Traffic Demands at Signalized Intersections Based on Connected Vehicle Trajectories

Accurate traffic demand estimation is critical for the dynamic evaluation and optimization of signalized intersections. Existing studies based on connected vehicle (CV) data are designed for a single phase only and have not sufficiently studied the real-time traffic demand estimation for oversaturated traffic conditions. Therefore, this study proposes a cycle-by-cycle multi-phase traffic demand joint estimation method at signalized intersections based on CV data that considers both undersaturated and oversaturated traffic conditions. First, a joint weighted likelihood function of traffic demands for multiple phases is derived given real-time observed CV trajectories, which considers the initial queue and relaxes the first-in-first-out assumption by treating each queued CV as an independent observation. Then, the sample size of the historical CVs is used to derive a joint prior distribution of traffic demands. Ultimately, a joint estimation method based on the maximum a posteriori (i.e., the JO-MAP method) is developed for cycle-based multi-phase traffic demand estimation. The proposed method is evaluated using both simulation and empirical data. Simulation results indicate that the proposed method can produce reliable estimates under different penetration rates, arrival patterns, and traffic demands. The feature of joint estimation makes our method less demanding for the penetration rate of CVs and the consideration of prior distribution can significantly improve the estimation accuracy. Empirical results show that the proposed method achieves accurate cycle-based traffic demand estimation with a MAPE of 12.73%, outperforming the other four methods.

math.ST

Cumulative Flow Diagram-Based Fixed-Time Signal Timing Optimization at Isolated Intersections Using Connected Vehicle Trajectory Data

Time-dependent fixed-time control is a cost-effective control method that is widely employed at signalized intersections in numerous countries. Existing optimization models rely on traditional delay models with specific assumptions regarding vehicle arrivals. Recent advancements in intelligent mobility have led to development of high-resolution trajectory data of connected vehicles (CVs), thereby providing opportunities for improving fixed-time signal control. Taking advantage of CV trajectories, this study proposes a cumulative flow diagram (CFD)-based signal timing optimization method for fixed-time signal control at isolated intersections, which includes a CFD model and a multi-objective optimization model. The CFD model is formulated to profile the time-dependent vehicle arrival and departure processes under varying signal timing plans, where the intersection demand is estimated based on a weighted maximum likelihood estimation method. Then, a CFD-based multi-objective optimization model is proposed for both undersaturated and oversaturated traffic conditions. The primary objective is to minimize the exceeded queue dissipation time, whereas the secondary objective is to minimize the average delay at the intersection. Considering the data-driven property of the CFD model, a bi-level particle swarm optimization-based algorithm is then specially designed to solve the optimal cycle length (and the reference point if it is considered) and green ratios separately. The proposed method is evaluated based on simulation data and compared with Synchro. The results indicate that the proposed method outperforms Synchro under various traffic conditions in terms of average delay and queue since the time-dependent vehicle arrivals during the cycle are considered in a CV trajectory data-driven way.

math.OC