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Chen Shao

Publications and source records attributed to Chen Shao.

13 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

When GNNs Fail: Quantifying and Overcoming Temporal Correlation Volatility in Time Series

Modeling multivariate time series by representing them as graphs, where individual series act as nodes and pairwise temporal corre- lations serve as edges, has gained significant traction. Recent advances in Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have demonstrated strong perfor- mance by assuming a static graph topology and aggregating information from neighboring series. In this work, we investigate the representa- tional power of GNNs for forecasting under both static and dynamic settings (i.e., when pairwise correlations evolve drastically over time) and identify critical limitations in current architectures. To formalize this, we first propose Temporal Correlation Volatility (TCV), a model- agnostic metric designed to quantify the distributional evolution of these latent structures. We establish a clear connection between TCV and performance degradation, demonstrating that many popular models, including Transformers, generalize poorly in high-TCV settings and are often outperformed by simple structure-agnostic baselines. To address these limitations, we propose Graph Layer for Inference in Dynamic En- vironments (GLIDE), a novel GNN layer enhanced by two theoretically grounded design mechanisms: (D1) Path-based Message Passing, which captures path-based neighborhoods and (D2) Static and Dynamic Propagation Separation, which identifies optimal dynamics via local static approximation. These components significantly improve learning under dynamic topology while preserving robustness in static scenarios. Ex- tensive experiments on synthetic and real-world benchmarks show that GLIDE improves average performance by up to 45.6% across static and dynamic settings, with the largest gain reaching 85.7%. The source code is available at https://github.com/ChenS676/GLIDE.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Reliability-Constrained Blind Beam Alignment for Backscatter-MIMO mounted Target in Cluttered Multipath Channels

Practical ISAC is constrained by static clutter and NLoS multipath, which obscure target-coupled echoes and induce spurious peaks for beam alignment. Existing receiver-side methods largely model targets as passive scatterers, limiting the structural separability of target echoes from the environment. This paper establishes a structural correspondence between these limitations and target-side Backscatter-MIMO responses: reflection modulation enables waveform-domain separation from unmodulated clutter, while retro-directional passive beamforming concentrates the tagged echo toward the BS-facing direction and suppresses NLoS-induced false-peak locking. To operationalize this correspondence, dual-end spatial locking is required to overcome cascaded backscatter loss and provide beam-domain angular information. We propose a downlink-triggered blind dual-end alignment protocol that jointly selects the BS and Backscatter-MIMO codeword indices from the tagged echo observed at the BS, without pilots, CSI feedback, or target synchronization. We further derive a clutter-aware remodulation waveform robust to fractional timing offsets and construct adjustable-width BS/Backscatter-MIMO codebooks via quadratic phase spoiling. For reliability characterization, we derive closed-form expressions for the coherence-averaged end-to-end success probability. The analysis shows that beam narrowing is not universally beneficial: in NLoS-dominated regimes, enlarging the array aperture may degrade alignment reliability. The optimal beamwidth is instead governed by cross-phase competition between discovery and alignment, yielding a nontrivial feasible region with an analytically characterized boundary. Simulations validate the analysis and demonstrate improved reliability-gated locked-link performance under strong clutter, severe NLoS multipath, and finite coherence time.

cs.IT↗
arXiv2025

Prejudiced Futures? Algorithmic Bias in Time Series Forecasting and Its Ethical Implications

Time series prediction algorithms are increasingly central to decision-making in high-stakes domains such as healthcare, energy management, and economic planning. Yet, these systems often inherit and amplify biases embedded in historical data, flawed problem specifications, and socio-technical design decisions. This paper critically examines the ethical foundations and mitigation strategies for algorithmic bias in time series prediction. We outline how predictive models, particularly in temporally dynamic domains, can reproduce structural inequalities and emergent discrimination through proxy variables and feedback loops. The paper advances a threefold contribution: First, it reframes algorithmic bias as a socio-technical phenomenon rooted in normative choices and institutional constraints. Second, it offers a structured diagnosis of bias sources across the pipeline, emphasizing the need for causal modeling, interpretable systems, and inclusive design practices. Third, it advocates for structural reforms that embed fairness through participatory governance, stakeholder engagement, and legally enforceable safeguards. Special attention is given to fairness validation in dynamic environments, proposing multi-metric, temporally-aware, and context-sensitive evaluation methods. Ultimately, we call for an integrated ethics-by-design approach that positions fairness not as a trade-off against performance, but as a co-requisite of responsible innovation. This framework is essential to developing predictive systems that are not only effective and adaptive but also aligned with democratic values and social equity.

econ.EM↗
arXiv2025

Metasurface-Enabled Superheterodyne Transmitter With Decoupled Harmonic-Free Signal Generation and Precoding

The evolution of programmable metasurfaces (PM) from passive beamforming to active information transmission marks a paradigm shift for next-generation wireless systems. However, this transition is hindered by fundamental limitations in conventional metasurface transmitter architectures, including restricted modulation orders, symbol-level spatial inconsistency, and significant harmonic interference. These issues stem from the intrinsic coupling between baseband signal processing and radio-frequency beamforming in monolithic designs reliant on simplistic switching mechanisms. This paper proposes a novel metasurface-enabled superheterodyne architecture (MSA) that fundamentally decouples these functionalities. The MSA introduces a dual-stage up-conversion process, comprising a digital up-conversion module for in-phase/quadrature modulation and baseband-to-intermediate frequency conversion, a precoder module for precoding, and a custom-designed magnitude-phase-decoupled metasurface that acts as a reconfigurable reflective mixer array. This decoupling of harmonic-free waveform generation from spatial precoding overcomes the critical drawbacks of existing approaches. Experimental results from a 5.8 GHz proof-of-concept prototype system validate the MSA's superior performance. The system generates spatially isotropic constellations for arbitrary-order QAM modulations, ensures consistent time-frequency signatures for applications like Doppler-spoofing, and achieves data rates up to 20 Mbps within a linear operating region that minimizes nonlinear distortion. The capability of employing spatial diversity and multi-stream interference cancellation has been demonstrated for the first time in a PM-based transmitter.

cs.IT↗
arXiv2025

Real-E: A Foundation Benchmark for Advancing Robust and Generalizable Electricity Forecasting

Energy forecasting is vital for grid reliability and operational efficiency. Although recent advances in time series forecasting have led to progress, existing benchmarks remain limited in spatial and temporal scope and lack multi-energy features. This raises concerns about their reliability and applicability in real-world deployment. To address this, we present the Real-E dataset, covering over 74 power stations across 30+ European countries over a 10-year span with rich metadata. Using Real- E, we conduct an extensive data analysis and benchmark over 20 baselines across various model types. We introduce a new metric to quantify shifts in correlation structures and show that existing methods struggle on our dataset, which exhibits more complex and non-stationary correlation dynamics. Our findings highlight key limitations of current methods and offer a strong empirical basis for building more robust forecasting models

cs.LG↗
arXiv2024

Metasurface-Enabled Superheterodyne Transmitter for Arbitrary-Order Modulation with Spatially Isotropic Symbol Distribution

Electromagnetically programmable information metasurfaces, as dynamically controllable 2D metamaterials, hold significant promise as low-profile hardware enabling passive wave control and signal generation for backscatter systems. However, current metasurface-based transmitters architecture fundamentally suffer from hardware non-modularization, forcing all transmitter functions onto nonlinear switch-based unit cells, which introduces symbol mapping inconsistency via phase coupling. Moreover, both temporal coding (limited by unit cell diodes) and space-time coding (impaired by symbol anisotropy) exhibit irreducible harmonic interference and entangled control of amplitude, phase, and beam direction. This paper proposes a metasurface-enabled superheterodyne architecture (MSA), comprising a digital up-conversion (DUC) module performing baseband-to-intermediate frequency (IF) conversion, filtering, and digital-to-analog conversion (DAC), and a reconfigurable metasurface featuring programmable unit cells that independently control both the magnitude and phase of the reflection coefficient. Systematically, the architecture leverages a dual-stage up-conversion process, typical of superheterodyne systems, but uniquely employs the metasurface for the final RF conversion stage. Building upon this framework, a proof-of-concept prototype featuring a 5.8 GHz magnitude-phase decoupled (MPD) metasurface (<15 degree phase deviation per state) and a DAC-based DUC module is presented. Extensive validation confirms the metasurface's capability for distortion-free mixing with arbitrary IF signals while maintaining consistent radiation patterns. The prototype successfully implements diverse QAM modulation schemes (4QAM to 256QAM) in mono-static and bi-static configurations, demonstrating symbol isotropy for spatially separated receivers and achieving a data rate of approximately 20 Mbps (at 5 MHz IF)...

eess.SY↗
arXiv2024

Machine Learning in Short-Reach Optical Systems: A Comprehensive Survey

In recent years, extensive research has been conducted to explore the utilization of machine learning algorithms in various direct-detected and self-coherent short-reach communication applications. These applications encompass a wide range of tasks, including bandwidth request prediction, signal quality monitoring, fault detection, traffic prediction, and digital signal processing (DSP)-based equalization. As a versatile approach, machine learning demonstrates the ability to address stochastic phenomena in optical systems networks where deterministic methods may fall short. However, when it comes to DSP equalization algorithms, their performance improvements are often marginal, and their complexity is prohibitively high, especially in cost-sensitive short-reach communications scenarios such as passive optical networks (PONs). They excel in capturing temporal dependencies, handling irregular or nonlinear patterns effectively, and accommodating variable time intervals. Within this extensive survey, we outline the application of machine learning techniques in short-reach communications, specifically emphasizing their utilization in high-bandwidth demanding PONs. Notably, we introduce a novel taxonomy for time-series methods employed in machine learning signal processing, providing a structured classification framework. Our taxonomy categorizes current time series methods into four distinct groups: traditional methods, Fourier convolution-based methods, transformer-based models, and time-series convolutional networks. Finally, we highlight prospective research directions within this rapidly evolving field and outline specific solutions to mitigate the complexity associated with hardware implementations. We aim to pave the way for more practical and efficient deployment of machine learning approaches in short-reach optical communication systems by addressing complexity concerns.

eess.SP↗
arXiv2023

Strain Engineering for High-Performance Phase Change Memristors

A new mechanism for memristive switching in 2D materials is through electric-field controllable electronic/structural phase transitions, but these devices have not outperformed status quo 2D memristors. Here, we report a high-performance bipolar phase change memristor from strain engineered multilayer 1T'-MoTe$_{2}$ that now surpasses the performance metrics (on/off ratio, switching voltage, switching speed) of all 2D memristive devices, achieved without forming steps. Using process-induced strain engineering, we directly pattern stressed metallic contacts to induce a semimetallic to semiconducting phase transition in MoTe2 forming a self-aligned vertical transport memristor with semiconducting MoTe$_{2}$ as the active region. These devices utilize strain to bring them closer to the phase transition boundary and achieve ultra-low ~90 mV switching voltage, ultra-high ~10$^8$ on/off ratio, 5 ns switching, and retention of over 10$^5$ s. Engineered tunability of the device switching voltage and on/off ratio is also achieved by varying the single process parameter of contact metal film force (film stress $\times$ film thickness).

physics.app-ph↗
arXiv2022

Graph neural networks to learn joint representations of disjoint molecular graphs

Graph neural networks are widely used to learn global representations of graphs, which are then used for regression or classification tasks. Typically, the graphs in such data sets are connected, i.e. each training sample consists of a single internally connected graph associated with a global label. However, there is a wide variety of yet unconsidered but application-relevant tasks, where labels are assigned to sets of disjoint graphs, which requires the generation of global representations of disjoint graphs. In this paper, we present a new data set with chemical reactions, which is illustrating this task. Each sample consists of a pair of disjoint molecular graphs and a joint label representing a scalar measure associated with the chemical reaction of the molecules. We show the initial results of graph neural networks that are able to solve the task within a combinatorial subset of the dataset but do not generalize well to the full data set and unseen (sub)graphs.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2022

Graph neural networks for materials science and chemistry

Machine learning plays an increasingly important role in many areas of chemistry and materials science, e.g. to predict materials properties, to accelerate simulations, to design new materials, and to predict synthesis routes of new materials. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are one of the fastest growing classes of machine learning models. They are of particular relevance for chemistry and materials science, as they directly work on a graph or structural representation of molecules and materials and therefore have full access to all relevant information required to characterize materials. In this review article, we provide an overview of the basic principles of GNNs, widely used datasets, and state-of-the-art architectures, followed by a discussion of a wide range of recent applications of GNNs in chemistry and materials science, and concluding with a road-map for the further development and application of GNNs.

physics.chem-ph↗
arXiv2021

Insights into Cold Source MOSFETs with Sub-60 mV/decade and Negative Differential Resistance Effect

To extend the Moores law in the 5 nm node, a large number of two dimensional (2D) materials and devices have been thoroughly researched, among which the cold metals 2H MS2 (M = Nb, Ta) with unique band structures are expected to achieve the sub-60 mV/dec subthreshold swing (SS). The studied cold metal field-effect transistors (CM-FETs) based on the cold metals are capable to fulfill the high-performance (HP) and low-dissipation (LP) goals simultaneously, as required by the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors (ITRS). Moreover, gaps of cold metals also enable the CM-FETs to realize negative differential resistance (NDR) effect. Owing to the wide transmission path in the broken gap structure of NbS2/MoS2 heterojunction, the recording 4110 A/m peak current, several orders of magnitude higher than the tunneling current of the Esaki diode, is achieved by NbS2/MoS2 CM-FET. The largest peak-valley ratio (PVR) is obtained by TaS2/MoS2 CM-FET with VGS = -1V at room temperature. Our results claim that the superior on-state current, SS, cut-off frequency and NDR effect can be obtained by CM-FETs simultaneously. The study of CM-FETs provides a practicable solution for state-of-the-art logic device in sub 5 nm node for both more Moore roadmap and more than Moore roadmap applications.

physics.app-ph↗