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Chengzuo Zhuge

Publications and source records attributed to Chengzuo Zhuge.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Revealing dynamics of non-autonomous complex systems from data

Discovering governing equations from data is crucial for understanding complex systems in many diverse fields from science to engineering. Yet, there still is a lack of versatile computational toolbox to deal with this long standing challenge due to the inherent non-autonomicity and unknowability of the underlying dynamics. Here, we introduce a data-driven approach for inferring non-autonomous dynamical equations by identifying an optimal set of basis functions within the model space, enabling the reconstruction of complex systems behavior under simplified prior specifications. Our method demonstrates effectiveness in equation discovery on canonical synthetic systems such as cusp bifurcation and coupled Kuramoto oscillators. Furthermore, we extend the application of this approach to leaf cellular energy, unmanned aerial vehicle navigation, chick-heart aggregates, and marine fish community under simple basis function libraries. Leveraging the inferred equations, we accurately predict the evolution of these empirical systems and further uncover their governing laws. Our approach offers a novel paradigm to reveal the underlying dynamics of a wide range of real-world systems.

nlin.CD

Deep learning for predicting the occurrence of tipping points

Tipping points occur in many real-world systems, at which the system shifts suddenly from one state to another. The ability to predict the occurrence of tipping points from time series data remains an outstanding challenge and a major interest in a broad range of research fields. Particularly, the widely used methods based on bifurcation theory are neither reliable in prediction accuracy nor applicable for irregularly-sampled time series which are commonly observed from real-world systems. Here we address this challenge by developing a deep learning algorithm for predicting the occurrence of tipping points in untrained systems, by exploiting information about normal forms. Our algorithm not only outperforms traditional methods for regularly-sampled model time series but also achieves accurate predictions for irregularly-sampled model time series and empirical time series. Our ability to predict tipping points for complex systems paves the way for mitigation risks, prevention of catastrophic failures, and restoration of degraded systems, with broad applications in social science, engineering, and biology.

cs.LG