arXiv subjects

Chenhan Xiao

Publications and source records attributed to Chenhan Xiao.

14 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

From Cycle Space to Cycle Manifold: Limits and Achievability of Blind False Data Injection Attacks

A false data injection attack (FDIA) can change the estimated grid state while evading a residual-based bad data detector (BDD). Existing blind attacks learn a low-rank measurement subspace, but this algebraic view does not state the physical grid constraints that make an attack stealthy or the minimum information needed to recover the complete attack space. Under the connected direct-current (DC) branch-flow model, we show that the residual-sensitive subspace of the noiseless orthogonal test is exactly the weighted cycle space. Its orthogonal complement is therefore the complete stealthy attack space, making weighted cycle-space knowledge both necessary and sufficient for complete blind FDIA. This space identifies the topology only up to 2-isomorphism and the relative cycle-edge parameters only up to one scale per biconnected component; bridge parameters are neither identified nor required. We then formulate a computationally unconstrained benchmark and a tractable measurement-only reconstruction method. Experiments on IEEE systems compare BDD bypass rate at a 95% nominal-acceptance threshold against state impact. As a compact alternating-current (AC) extension, we characterize feasible branch P/Q measurements by a cycle manifold and demonstrate topology-assisted manifold fitting and measurement generation on a graphics processing unit (GPU). In the lossless fixed-voltage small-angle limit, the normal space of the active-power slice reduces to the DC weighted cycle space.

cs.CR↗

arXiv2026

Operationally Feasible Synthetic Power-Grid Scenarios via Learning the AC-Operable Joint Distribution

Synthetic power-grid scenarios are essential for planning, resilience assessment, contingency analysis, and data-driven power-system applications. Recent synthetic grid generation methods have improved structural realism and operational feasibility by incorporating engineering knowledge through post-generation validation, optimization, or physics-aware generation. However, generated scenarios may still exhibit low AC feasibility and robustness, limiting their practical value for downstream power-system studies. This paper proposes a feasibility-aware distribution-learning framework that learns the AC-operable joint distribution of network topology, branch electrical parameters, and time-varying load profiles. Instead of enforcing feasibility after generation, the proposed framework incorporates AC power-flow convergence and operational constraints into hierarchical diffusion-based distribution learning. This enables the generator itself to produce operationally feasible grid scenarios through efficient diffusion sampling. The hierarchical architecture decomposes the high-dimensional generation task into three engineering-motivated stages: topology and bus-attribute generation, branch-parameter generation conditioned on the generated structure, and load-profile generation conditioned on both network structure and electrical characteristics. Experiments on benchmark systems demonstrate that the proposed framework significantly improves operational feasibility and contingency robustness while maintaining strong statistical fidelity and eliminating optimization-based post-processing.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Physically Consistent Null Space Alignment for Detection of Low-Magnitude False Data Injection Attacks

False data injection attacks (FDIAs) introducing small measurement perturbations can still cause large deviations in power system state estimation when the injected signals align with the pseudo-null space of the system model. Existing model- and data-driven detectors may fail to identify such low-magnitude but high-impact attacks because residual tests ignore changes hidden in the pseudo-null space, while subspace learning methods capture correlation patterns without enforcing physical consistency. This paper proposes Physically Consistent Null Space Alignment (PCNSA), a framework that detects stealthy FDIAs by preserving, through preprocessing, the geometric correspondence between the physical null space and the measurement-derived pseudo-null space. The key point is a Pseudo-null Space Conserved data Preprocessing (PSCP) step that re-expresses measurements in the physical coordinate frame before subspace extraction. We prove that PSCP preserves the separation between row space and its orthogonal complement, a property that conventional per-feature standardization violates. This keeps the singular value decomposition (SVD)-derived pseudo-null subspace aligned with the physical residual space without explicit knowledge of H. Experiments on IEEE 14-, 30-, 57-, and 118-bus systems confirm this principle in practice: stealthy attacks that evade XTM, LSTM, AE and Isolation Forest baselines appear as clear deviations in the aligned subspace, yielding higher F1-score and detection accuracy while remaining robust under partial observability and realistic PMU noise.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Cycle-Space Informed Detection of Autoencoded Blind False Data Injection Attacks on Power Systems

The rapid growth of AI-driven data centers and large-scale energy storage systems is increasing the reliance of power system operation on real-time measurement data and automated decision-making. However, many existing detection methods rely on statistical or data-driven analysis of measurements and can fail when attackers exploit the same data structure to craft stealthy perturbations. To illustrate this limitation, we demonstrate a blind False Data Injection Attack (FDIA) in which an Autoencoder learns the measurement manifold and generates perturbations aligned with the Jacobian null space, thereby allowing the attack to evade both residual-based baddata detectors and time-series anomaly detectors. To mitigate data-driven FDIAs which exploit the null space, we propose a topology-informed Cycle-Space Detector (CSD) that leverages the Cycle-Space of the network to impose structural constraints that enhance null space estimation. In addition, we prove that by using the Minimum Cycle Basis (MCB), the proposed CSD achieves the optimal generalization error for attack detection. By exploiting topology-derived cycle constraints rather than relying solely on numerical null space estimation, the proposed method does not require precise line parameters and improves the separation between normal and attacked measurements. Simulation results on IEEE 14-, 30-, 57-, and 118-bus systems demonstrate that the proposed method effectively detects data-driven FDIAs under realistic measurement noise.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Predicting Power-System Dynamic Trajectories with Foundation Models

As power systems transition toward renewable-rich and inverter-dominated operations, accurate time-domain dynamic analysis becomes increasingly critical. Such analysis supports key operational tasks, including transient stability assessment, dynamic security analysis, contingency screening, and post-fault trajectory evaluation. In practice, these tasks may operate under several challenges, including unknown and time-varying system parameters, privacy constraints on data sharing, and the need for fast online inference. Existing learning-based approaches are typically trained for individual systems and therefore lack generalization across operating conditions and physical parameters. Hence, this paper proposes LArge Scale Small ODE (LASS)-ODE-Power, a learning framework for general-purpose time-domain prediction. The proposed approach leverages large-scale pretraining on more than 40 GB of DAE or ordinary differential-equation (ODE) trajectories to learn transferable representations. The resulting model supports trajectory prediction from short measurement prefixes across diverse dynamic regimes, including electromechanical and inverter-driven systems. Hence, the model can be directly used without data sharing in a zero-shot setting. In addition, the proposed architecture incorporates parallel and linearized computation to achieve fast inference. Moreover, to enhance task-specific performance in power systems, a specialized fine-tuning strategy is developed based on approximately 1 GB of heterogeneous power-system dynamic data. Extensive experiments over diverse power-system simulation scenarios demonstrate that LASS-ODE-Power consistently outperforms existing learning-based models in trajectory prediction accuracy with efficient inference.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Owen-based Semantics and Hierarchy-Aware Explanation (O-Shap)

Shapley value-based methods have become foundational in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), offering theoretically grounded feature attributions through cooperative game theory. However, in practice, particularly in vision tasks, the assumption of feature independence breaks down, as features (i.e., pixels) often exhibit strong spatial and semantic dependencies. To address this, modern SHAP implementations now include the Owen value, a hierarchical generalization of the Shapley value that supports group attributions. While the Owen value preserves the foundations of Shapley values, its effectiveness critically depends on how feature groups are defined. We show that commonly used segmentations (e.g., axis-aligned or SLIC) violate key consistency properties, and propose a new segmentation approach that satisfies the $T$-property to ensure semantic alignment across hierarchy levels. This hierarchy enables computational pruning while improving attribution accuracy and interpretability. Experiments on image and tabular datasets demonstrate that O-Shap outperforms baseline SHAP variants in attribution precision, semantic coherence, and runtime efficiency, especially when structure matters.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Scalable and Reliable State-Aware Inference of High-Impact N-k Contingencies

Increasing penetration of inverter-based resources, flexible loads, and rapidly changing operating conditions make higher-order $N\!-\!k$ contingency assessment increasingly important but computationally prohibitive. Exhaustive evaluation of all outage combinations using AC power-flow or ACOPF is infeasible in routine operation. This fact forces operators to rely on heuristic screening methods whose ability to consistently retain all critical contingencies is not formally established. This paper proposes a scalable, state-aware contingency inference framework designed to directly generate high-impact $N\!-\!k$ outage scenarios without enumerating the combinatorial contingency space. The framework employs a conditional diffusion model to produce candidate contingencies tailored to the current operating state, while a topology-aware graph neural network trained only on base and $N\!-\!1$ cases efficiently constructs high-risk training samples offline. Finally, the framework is developed to provide controllable coverage guarantees for severe contingencies, allowing operators to explicitly manage the risk of missing critical events under limited AC power-flow evaluation budgets. Experiments on IEEE benchmark systems show that, for a given evaluation budget, the proposed approach consistently evaluates higher-severity contingencies than uniform sampling. This allows critical outages to be identified more reliably with reduced computational effort.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Limits of Residual-Based Detection for Physically Consistent False Data Injection

False data injection attacks (FDIAs) pose a persistent challenge to AC power system state estimation. In current practice, detection relies primarily on topology-aware residual-based tests that assume malicious measurements can be distinguished from normal operation through physical inconsistency reflected in abnormal residual behavior. This paper shows that this assumption does not always hold: when FDIA scenarios produce manipulated measurements that remain on the measurement manifold induced by AC power flow relations and measurement redundancy, residual-based detectors may fail to distinguish them from nominal data. The resulting detectability limitation is a property of the measurement manifold itself and does not depend on the attacker's detailed knowledge of the physical system model. To make this limitation observable in practice, we present a data-driven constructive mechanism that incorporates the generic functional structure of AC power flow to generate physically consistent, manifold-constrained perturbations, providing a concrete witness of how residual-based detectors can be bypassed. Numerical studies on multiple AC test systems characterize the conditions under which detection becomes challenging and illustrate its failure modes. The results highlight fundamental limits of residual-based detection in AC state estimation and motivate the need for complementary defenses beyond measurement consistency tests.

cs.CR↗

arXiv2026

Dynamic Load Model for Data Centers with Pattern-Consistent Calibration

The rapid growth of data centers has made large electronic load (LEL) modeling increasingly important for power system analysis. Such loads are characterized by fast workload-driven variability and protection-driven disconnection and reconnection behavior that are not captured by conventional load models. Existing data center load modeling includes physics-based approaches, which provide interpretable structure for grid simulation, and data-driven approaches, which capture empirical workload variability from data. However, physics-based models are typically uncalibrated to facility-level operation, while trajectory alignment in data-driven methods often leads to overfitting and unrealistic dynamic behavior. To resolve these limitations, we design the framework to leverage both physics-based structure and data-driven adaptability. The physics-based structure is parameterized to enable data-driven pattern-consistent calibration from real operational data, supporting facility-level grid planning. We further show that trajectory-level alignment is limited for inherently stochastic data center loads. Therefore, we design the calibration to align temporal and statistical patterns using temporal contrastive learning (TCL). This calibration is performed locally at the facility, and only calibrated parameters are shared with utilities, preserving data privacy. The proposed load model is calibrated by real-world operational load data from the MIT Supercloud, ASU Sol, Blue Waters, and ASHRAE datasets. Then it is integrated into the ANDES platform and evaluated on the IEEE 39-bus, NPCC 140-bus, and WECC 179-bus systems. We find that interactions among LELs can fundamentally alter post-disturbance recovery behavior, producing compound disconnection-reconnection dynamics and delayed stabilization that are not captured by uncalibrated load models.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

LASS-ODE: Scaling ODE Computations to Connect Foundation Models with Dynamical Physical Systems

Foundation models have transformed language, vision, and time series data analysis, yet progress on dynamic predictions for physical systems remains limited. Given the complexity of physical constraints, two challenges stand out. $(i)$ Physics-computation scalability: physics-informed learning can enforce physical regularization, but its computation (e.g., ODE integration) does not scale to extensive systems. $(ii)$ Knowledge-sharing efficiency: the attention mechanism is primarily computed within each system, which limits the extraction of shared ODE structures across systems. We show that enforcing ODE consistency does not require expensive nonlinear integration: a token-wise locally linear ODE representation preserves physical fidelity while scaling to foundation-model regimes. Thus, we propose novel token representations that respect locally linear ODE evolution. Such linearity substantially accelerates integration while accurately approximating the local data manifold. Second, we introduce a simple yet effective inter-system attention that augments attention with a common structure hub (CSH) that stores shared tokens and aggregates knowledge across systems. The resulting model, termed LASS-ODE (\underline{LA}rge-\underline{S}cale \underline{S}mall \underline{ODE}), is pretrained on our $40$GB ODE trajectory collections to enable strong in-domain performance, zero-shot generalization across diverse ODE systems, and additional improvements through fine-tuning.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Latent Mixture of Symmetries for Sample-Efficient Dynamic Learning

Learning dynamics is essential for model-based control and Reinforcement Learning in engineering systems, such as robotics and power systems. However, limited system measurements, such as those from low-resolution sensors, demand sample-efficient learning. Symmetry provides a powerful inductive bias by characterizing equivariant relations in system states to improve sample efficiency. While recent methods attempt to discover symmetries from data, they typically assume a single global symmetry group and treat symmetry discovery and dynamic learning as separate tasks, leading to limited expressiveness and error accumulation. In this paper, we propose the Latent Mixture of Symmetries (Latent MoS), an expressive model that captures a mixture of symmetry-governed latent factors from complex dynamical measurements. Latent MoS focuses on dynamic learning while locally and provably preserving the underlying symmetric transformations. To further capture long-term equivariance, we introduce a hierarchical architecture that stacks MoS blocks. Numerical experiments in diverse physical systems demonstrate that Latent MoS outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in interpolation and extrapolation tasks while offering interpretable latent representations suitable for future geometric and safety-critical analyses.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

PowerGrow: Feasible Co-Growth of Structures and Dynamics for Power Grid Synthesis

Modern power systems are becoming increasingly dynamic, with changing topologies and time-varying loads driven by renewable energy variability, electric vehicle adoption, and active grid reconfiguration. Despite these changes, publicly available test cases remain scarce, due to security concerns and the significant effort required to anonymize real systems. Such limitations call for generative tools that can jointly synthesize grid structure and nodal dynamics. However, modeling the joint distribution of network topology, branch attributes, bus properties, and dynamic load profiles remains a major challenge, while preserving physical feasibility and avoiding prohibitive computational costs. We present PowerGrow, a co-generative framework that significantly reduces computational overhead while maintaining operational validity. The core idea is dependence decomposition: the complex joint distribution is factorized into a chain of conditional distributions over feasible grid topologies, time-series bus loads, and other system attributes, leveraging their mutual dependencies. By constraining the generation process at each stage, we implement a hierarchical graph beta-diffusion process for structural synthesis, paired with a temporal autoencoder that embeds time-series data into a compact latent space, improving both training stability and sample fidelity. Experiments across benchmark settings show that PowerGrow not only outperforms prior diffusion models in fidelity and diversity but also achieves a 98.9\% power flow convergence rate and improved N-1 contingency resilience. This demonstrates its ability to generate operationally valid and realistic power grid scenarios.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Privacy-Preserving Line Outage Detection in Distribution Grids: An Efficient Approach with Uncompromised Performance

Recent advancements in research have shown the efficacy of employing sensor measurements, such as voltage and power data, in identifying line outages within distribution grids. However, these measurements inadvertently pose privacy risks to electricity customers by potentially revealing their sensitive information, such as household occupancy and economic status, to adversaries. To safeguard raw data from direct exposure to third-party adversaries, this paper proposes a novel decentralized data encryption scheme. The effectiveness of this encryption strategy is validated via demonstration of its differential privacy attributes by studying the Gaussian differential privacy. Recognizing that the encryption of raw data could affect the efficacy of outage detection, this paper analyzes the performance degradation by examining the Kullback-Leibler divergence between data distributions before and after the line outage. This analysis allows us to further alleviate the performance degradation by designing an innovative detection statistic that accurately approximates the optimal one. Manipulating the variance of this statistic, we demonstrate its ability to approach the optimal detection performance. The proposed privacy-aware detection procedure is evaluated using representative distribution grids and real load profiles, covering 17 distinct outage configurations. Our empirical results confirm the privacy-preserving nature of our approach and show that it achieves comparable detection performance to the optimal baseline.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2023

Distribution Grid Line Outage Identification with Unknown Pattern and Performance Guarantee

Line outage identification in distribution grids is essential for sustainable grid operation. In this work, we propose a practical yet robust detection approach that utilizes only readily available voltage magnitudes, eliminating the need for costly phase angles or power flow data. Given the sensor data, many existing detection methods based on change-point detection require prior knowledge of outage patterns, which are unknown for real-world outage scenarios. To remove this impractical requirement, we propose a data-driven method to learn the parameters of the post-outage distribution through gradient descent. However, directly using gradient descent presents feasibility issues. To address this, we modify our approach by adding a Bregman divergence constraint to control the trajectory of the parameter updates, which eliminates the feasibility problems. As timely operation is the key nowadays, we prove that the optimal parameters can be learned with convergence guarantees via leveraging the statistical and physical properties of voltage data. We evaluate our approach using many representative distribution grids and real load profiles with 17 outage configurations. The results show that we can detect and localize the outage in a timely manner with only voltage magnitudes and without assuming a prior knowledge of outage patterns.

cs.LG↗