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Chia-Min Wei

Publications and source records attributed to Chia-Min Wei.

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Panel Quantile Regression with Common Shocks

This paper develops an asymptotic and inferential theory for fixed-effects panel quantile regression (FEQR) that delivers inference robust to pervasive common shocks. Such shocks induce cross-sectional dependence that is central in many economic and financial panels but largely ignored in existing FEQR theory, which typically assumes cross-sectional independence and requires $T \gg N$. We show that the standard FEQR estimator remains asymptotically normal under the mild condition $(\log N)^2/T \to 0$, thereby accommodating empirically relevant regimes, including those with $T \ll N$. We further show that common shocks fundamentally alter the asymptotic covariance structure, rendering conventional covariance estimators inconsistent, and we propose a simple covariance estimator that remains consistent both in the presence and absence of common shocks. The proposed procedure therefore provides valid robust inference without requiring prior knowledge of the dependence structure, substantially expanding the applicability of FEQR methods in realistic panel data settings.

econ.EM

On the Consistency of Bayesian Adaptive Testing under the Rasch Model

This study establishes the consistency of Bayesian adaptive testing methods under the Rasch model, addressing a gap in the literature on their large-sample guarantees. Although Bayesian approaches are recognized for their finite-sample performance and capability to circumvent issues such as the cold-start problem; however, rigorous proofs of their asymptotic properties, particularly in non-i.i.d. structures, remain lacking. We derive conditions under which the posterior distributions of latent traits converge to the true values for a sequence of given items, and demonstrate that Bayesian estimators remain robust under the mis-specification of the prior. Our analysis then extends to adaptive item selection methods in which items are chosen endogenously during the test. Additionally, we develop a Bayesian decision-theoretical framework for the item selection problem and propose a novel selection that aligns the test process with optimal estimator performance. These theoretical results provide a foundation for Bayesian methods in adaptive testing, complementing prior evidence of their finite-sample advantages.

stat.ME