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Chien-Yi Chang

Publications and source records attributed to Chien-Yi Chang.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

TC-Next: Zero-Shot Multimodal Cyclone Forecasting

We present TropicalCycloneNext (TC-Next), a multimodal deep learning model that forecasts tropical cyclone track and intensity at $6$-$24$ h leads by leveraging a foundation model's forecast fields of atmospheric kinematic and thermodynamic fields and GridSat infrared satellite imagery. Trained only on GraphCast forecasts over the Western Pacific (WP), yet reliant only on generic atmospheric variables, TC-Next on GraphCast lowers track error by $15$-$44\%$ and intensity error by a factor of $3$-$6$ relative to a conventional, rule-based tracker, TempestExtremes; applied without retraining to the forecast fields of Pangu-Weather and IFS HRES, it stays ahead of TempestExtremes on both. Applied zero-shot to the generic weather fields of WeatherNext Cyclones on the 2025 WP season, TC-Next attains lower intensity error at every lead time, and lower or comparable track error, compared to that model's specialized direct tracker in a deterministic comparison. Our ablation studies show that our multimodal model is able to utilize the additional modality to improve performance in tracking errors at every lead time and in intensity prediction at longer lead times.

cs.LG

Procedure Planning in Instructional Videos

In this paper, we study the problem of procedure planning in instructional videos, which can be seen as a step towards enabling autonomous agents to plan for complex tasks in everyday settings such as cooking. Given the current visual observation of the world and a visual goal, we ask the question "What actions need to be taken in order to achieve the goal?". The key technical challenge is to learn structured and plannable state and action spaces directly from unstructured videos. We address this challenge by proposing Dual Dynamics Networks (DDN), a framework that explicitly leverages the structured priors imposed by the conjugate relationships between states and actions in a learned plannable latent space. We evaluate our method on real-world instructional videos. Our experiments show that DDN learns plannable representations that lead to better planning performance compared to existing planning approaches and neural network policies.

cs.CV

Few-Shot Video Classification via Temporal Alignment

There is a growing interest in learning a model which could recognize novel classes with only a few labeled examples. In this paper, we propose Temporal Alignment Module (TAM), a novel few-shot learning framework that can learn to classify a previous unseen video. While most previous works neglect long-term temporal ordering information, our proposed model explicitly leverages the temporal ordering information in video data through temporal alignment. This leads to strong data-efficiency for few-shot learning. In concrete, TAM calculates the distance value of query video with respect to novel class proxies by averaging the per frame distances along its alignment path. We introduce continuous relaxation to TAM so the model can be learned in an end-to-end fashion to directly optimize the few-shot learning objective. We evaluate TAM on two challenging real-world datasets, Kinetics and Something-Something-V2, and show that our model leads to significant improvement of few-shot video classification over a wide range of competitive baselines.

cs.CV

D3TW: Discriminative Differentiable Dynamic Time Warping for Weakly Supervised Action Alignment and Segmentation

We address weakly supervised action alignment and segmentation in videos, where only the order of occurring actions is available during training. We propose Discriminative Differentiable Dynamic Time Warping (D3TW), the first discriminative model using weak ordering supervision. The key technical challenge for discriminative modeling with weak supervision is that the loss function of the ordering supervision is usually formulated using dynamic programming and is thus not differentiable. We address this challenge with a continuous relaxation of the min-operator in dynamic programming and extend the alignment loss to be differentiable. The proposed D3TW innovatively solves sequence alignment with discriminative modeling and end-to-end training, which substantially improves the performance in weakly supervised action alignment and segmentation tasks. We show that our model is able to bypass the degenerated sequence problem usually encountered in previous work and outperform the current state-of-the-art across three evaluation metrics in two challenging datasets.

cs.CV