arXiv subjects

Christian Grilletta

Publications and source records attributed to Christian Grilletta.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A multiscale theory based on metabolic scaling connects forest dynamics to tree-size distributions

Scaling relations linking species size, abundance, and resource availability are among the most robust empirical regularities in ecology. However, a mechanistic explanation for how these community-level laws emerge from ecological processes remains elusive. Here, we address this gap by developing a minimal spatially explicit dynamical framework for forest communities that incorporates seed dispersal, growth limited by local light availability, local competition, and global resource constraints grounded in metabolic scaling principles. By deriving an analytical solution for the tree-size distribution, we show that its stationary state exhibits two distinct power-law regimes whose exponents are controlled by the relative strength of resource and spatial competition. The crossover between these regimes is set by the interplay between seed injection and local resource availability, establishing an explicit link between the scaling exponent of the size distribution and forest condition. Finally, we show that boundary disturbances can break the ecological balance between competing species and induce effects that propagate deeply into the forest bulk, far beyond the single-plant dispersal range. Together, these results provide a unifying dynamical perspective on forest scaling laws with potential applications to a broad range of biological communities.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2026

Will a time-varying complex system be stable?

Randomly-assembled dynamical systems are theoretically predicted to be unstable upon crossing a critical threshold of complexity, as first shown by May. Yet, empirical complex systems exhibit remarkable stability, indicating the presence of additional mechanisms playing a stabilizing role. The relation between complexity and stability is typically assessed by assuming fixed interactions, whereas real systems often evolve in intrinsically time-dependent states. To understand how this affects stability, we linearize a general non-autonomous dynamics around a reference operating state and model the resulting parameters as stochastic processes, which represent the minimal extension of static random interactions to time-varying ones. We derive exact stability bounds that generalize complexity-stability theory to dynamically varying systems. Notably, we find that temporal variability allows systems to remain stable even when their instantaneous Jacobian would predict instability. We compare our results against a non-linear neural network model, where our theory applies exactly, and the generalized Lotka-Volterra equations, where we numerically find that time-varying interactions systematically postpone the onset of replica-symmetry breaking. Overall, our results indicate that temporal variability systematically improves stability, demonstrating a general mechanism by which complex systems can violate classical complexity-stability bounds.

cond-mat.dis-nn↗

arXiv2025

Synchronization and chaos in complex ecological communities with delayed interactions

Explaining the wide range of dynamics observed in ecological communities is challenging due to the large number of species involved, the complex network of interactions among them, and the influence of multiple environmental variables. Here, we consider a general framework to model the dynamics of species-rich communities under the effects of external environmental factors, showing that it naturally leads to delayed interactions between species, and analyze the impact of such memory effects on population dynamics. Employing the generalized Lotka-Volterra equations with time delays and random interactions, we characterize the resulting dynamical phases in terms of the statistical properties of community interactions. Our findings reveal that memory effects can generate persistent and synchronized oscillations in species abundances in sufficiently competitive communities. This provides an additional explanation for synchronization in large communities, complementing known mechanisms such as predator-prey cycles and environmental periodic variability. Furthermore, we show that when reciprocal interactions are negatively correlated, time delays alone can induce chaotic behavior. This suggests that ecological complexity is not a prerequisite for unpredictable population dynamics, as intrinsic memory effects are sufficient to generate long-term fluctuations in species abundances. The techniques developed in this work are applicable to any high-dimensional random dynamical system with time delays.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2024

Exact solution of Dynamical Mean-Field Theory for a linear system with annealed disorder

We investigate a disordered multi-dimensional linear system in which the interaction parameters vary stochastically in time with defined temporal correlations. We refer to this type of disorder as "annealed", in contrast to quenched disorder in which couplings are fixed in time. We extend Dynamical Mean-Field Theory to accommodate annealed disorder and employ it to find the exact solution of the linear model in the limit of a large number of degrees of freedom. Our analysis yields analytical results for the non-stationary auto-correlation, the stationary variance, the power spectral density, and the phase diagram of the model. Interestingly, some unexpected features emerge upon changing the correlation time of the interactions. The stationary variance of the system and the critical variance of the disorder are generally found to be a non-monotonic function of the correlation time of the interactions. We also find that in some cases a re-entrant phase transition takes place when this correlation time is varied.

cond-mat.dis-nn↗

arXiv2024

Generalized Lotka-Volterra Systems with Time Correlated Stochastic Interactions

In this work, we explore the dynamics of species abundances within ecological communities using the Generalized Lotka-Volterra (GLV) model. At variance with previous approaches, we present an analysis of stochastic GLV dynamics with temporal fluctuations in interaction strengths between species. We develop a dynamical mean field theory (DMFT) tailored for scenarios with annealed colored noise and simple functional responses. We show that time-dependent interactions can be effectively modeled as environmental noise in the DMFT and we obtain analytical predictions for the species abundance distribution that well matches empirical observations. Our results suggest that environmental noise favors species coexistence and allows to overcome the complexity-stability paradox, especially in comparison to dynamics with quenched disorder. This study offers new insights not only into the modeling of large ecosystem dynamics, but also proposes novel methodologies for examining ecological systems.

q-bio.PE↗