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Christian Nauck

Publications and source records attributed to Christian Nauck.

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Graph Machine Learning: An Opportunity for Power Systems

Modern power systems face growing operational complexity driven by the integration of renewable energy sources, decentralization, and the need for real-time decision-making across a wide range of timescales. Addressing these challenges traditionally relies on model-based methods that, while accurate, can be too slow for operational demands. Machine learning (ML) has therefore emerged as a faster, data-driven alternative. As grid topology plays a central role in power system operation, graph machine learning (GML) methods offer a natural framework for incorporating topological dependencies as an inductive bias. We survey nearly 800 papers at the intersection of GML and power systems, covering forecasting, state estimation, optimization, control, fault diagnosis, and cybersecurity. Power systems constitute an unusually rich benchmark setting for GML, as they combine hard physical constraints, multi-scale dynamics, safety-critical requirements, and scarce labeled data within a single, well-defined domain. Conversely, power systems can benefit from utilizing GML to complement classical solvers, as GML provide scalable, topology-aware approximations with promising generalization and computational efficiency. We identify open challenges, including limited real-world deployment and the need for interpretable models in safety-critical settings. Despite the rapidly growing number of publications, standardized benchmarks and open datasets remain scarce, leaving many results difficult to reproduce and undermining the long-term scientific credibility of the field. We further derive a structured requirements catalog for ML-ready power grid benchmarks, intended to guide future dataset development and improve reproducibility across studies. We call on the community to prioritize dedicated benchmark studies and the release of open datasets and models.

cs.LG

Learning Dynamic Stability Landscapes in Synchronization Networks

The robustness of synchronization is typically characterized by scalar, per-node stability indices whose dependence on topology is studied via network science or graph neural networks (GNNs). We propose a novel upstream task, learning stability landscapes, which provide deeper insights into synchronization behavior and from which many such scalar indices can be derived. Crucially, we pioneer a graph-to-image prediction paradigm: learning image-like landscapes as per-node targets directly from graph topology, a formulation we are not aware of having been established elsewhere in the literature. To support this task, we release two datasets of 10,000 graphs each at 20 and 100 nodes with per-node landscape labels, based on a conceptual oscillator model, capturing power grid synchronization behavior. A GNN encodes topology and a CNN decoder renders per-node images, learned end-to-end with good in-distribution accuracy, generalizing across graph sizes and to realistic power grid topologies. This demonstrates that stability landscapes, while beyond the reach of conventional network science, are learnable from topology and open new avenues for moving beyond scalar stability indices in biology, neuroscience, and power grids.

cs.LG

Dirac--Bianconi Graph Neural Networks -- Enabling Non-Diffusive Long-Range Graph Predictions

The geometry of a graph is encoded in dynamical processes on the graph. Many graph neural network (GNN) architectures are inspired by such dynamical systems, typically based on the graph Laplacian. Here, we introduce Dirac--Bianconi GNNs (DBGNNs), which are based on the topological Dirac equation recently proposed by Bianconi. Based on the graph Laplacian, we demonstrate that DBGNNs explore the geometry of the graph in a fundamentally different way than conventional message passing neural networks (MPNNs). While regular MPNNs propagate features diffusively, analogous to the heat equation, DBGNNs allow for coherent long-range propagation. Experimental results showcase the superior performance of DBGNNs over existing conventional MPNNs for long-range predictions of power grid stability and peptide properties. This study highlights the effectiveness of DBGNNs in capturing intricate graph dynamics, providing notable advancements in GNN architectures.

cs.LG

Domain-independent detection of known anomalies

One persistent obstacle in industrial quality inspection is the detection of anomalies. In real-world use cases, two problems must be addressed: anomalous data is sparse and the same types of anomalies need to be detected on previously unseen objects. Current anomaly detection approaches can be trained with sparse nominal data, whereas domain generalization approaches enable detecting objects in previously unseen domains. Utilizing those two observations, we introduce the hybrid task of domain generalization on sparse classes. To introduce an accompanying dataset for this task, we present a modification of the well-established MVTec AD dataset by generating three new datasets. In addition to applying existing methods for benchmark, we design two embedding-based approaches, Spatial Embedding MLP (SEMLP) and Labeled PatchCore. Overall, SEMLP achieves the best performance with an average image-level AUROC of 87.2 % vs. 80.4 % by MIRO. The new and openly available datasets allow for further research to improve industrial anomaly detection.

cs.CV

Predicting Fault-Ride-Through Probability of Inverter-Dominated Power Grids using Machine Learning

Due to the increasing share of renewables, the analysis of the dynamical behavior of power grids gains importance. Effective risk assessments necessitate the analysis of large number of fault scenarios. The computational costs inherent in dynamic simulations impose constraints on the number of configurations that can be analyzed. Machine Learning (ML) has proven to efficiently predict complex power grid properties. Hence, we analyze the potential of ML for predicting dynamic stability of future power grids with large shares of inverters. For this purpose, we generate a new dataset consisting of synthetic power grid models and perform dynamical simulations. As targets for the ML training, we calculate the fault-ride-through probability, which we define as the probability of staying within a ride-through curve after a fault at a bus has been cleared. Importantly, we demonstrate that ML models accurately predict the fault-ride-through probability of synthetic power grids. Finally, we also show that the ML models generalize to an IEEE-96 Test System, which emphasizes the potential of deploying ML methods to study probabilistic stability of power grids.

eess.SY

Instability in Complex Oscillator Networks: Limitations and Potentials of Network Measures and Machine Learning

A central question of network science is how functional properties of systems emerge from their structure. For networked dynamical systems, structure is typically captured through network measures. We investigate the relationship between these measures and stability metrics across non-linear and linear oscillators, as well as real-world power grid topologies and dynamics. We find that this relationship is highly sensitive to the underlying ensemble: minor changes in the networks considered, such as going from mean degree 6 to mean degree 8, can invert the correlation between a network measure and stability. We also investigate network measures as inputs for machine learning, as well as Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) as predictors of stability. Both GNNs and the non-linear combination of many network measures can accurately predict stability within a given ensemble, yet both can fail when the ensemble changes. We conclude that neither approach reliably identifies the underlying structural causes of instability.

nlin.AO

Towards dynamic stability analysis of sustainable power grids using graph neural networks

To mitigate climate change, the share of renewable needs to be increased. Renewable energies introduce new challenges to power grids due to decentralization, reduced inertia and volatility in production. The operation of sustainable power grids with a high penetration of renewable energies requires new methods to analyze the dynamic stability. We provide new datasets of dynamic stability of synthetic power grids and find that graph neural networks (GNNs) are surprisingly effective at predicting the highly non-linear target from topological information only. To illustrate the potential to scale to real-sized power grids, we demonstrate the successful prediction on a Texan power grid model.

cs.LG

Toward Dynamic Stability Assessment of Power Grid Topologies using Graph Neural Networks

To mitigate climate change, the share of renewable energies in power production needs to be increased. Renewables introduce new challenges to power grids regarding the dynamic stability due to decentralization, reduced inertia, and volatility in production. Since dynamic stability simulations are intractable and exceedingly expensive for large grids, graph neural networks (GNNs) are a promising method to reduce the computational effort of analyzing the dynamic stability of power grids. As a testbed for GNN models, we generate new, large datasets of dynamic stability of synthetic power grids, and provide them as an open-source resource to the research community. We find that GNNs are surprisingly effective at predicting the highly non-linear targets from topological information only. For the first time, performance that is suitable for practical use cases is achieved. Furthermore, we demonstrate the ability of these models to accurately identify particular vulnerable nodes in power grids, so-called troublemakers. Last, we find that GNNs trained on small grids generate accurate predictions on a large synthetic model of the Texan power grid, which illustrates the potential for real-world applications.

cs.LG

Predicting Basin Stability of Power Grids using Graph Neural Networks

The prediction of dynamical stability of power grids becomes more important and challenging with increasing shares of renewable energy sources due to their decentralized structure, reduced inertia and volatility. We investigate the feasibility of applying graph neural networks (GNN) to predict dynamic stability of synchronisation in complex power grids using the single-node basin stability (SNBS) as a measure. To do so, we generate two synthetic datasets for grids with 20 and 100 nodes respectively and estimate SNBS using Monte-Carlo sampling. Those datasets are used to train and evaluate the performance of eight different GNN-models. All models use the full graph without simplifications as input and predict SNBS in a nodal-regression-setup. We show that SNBS can be predicted in general and the performance significantly changes using different GNN-models. Furthermore, we observe interesting transfer capabilities of our approach: GNN-models trained on smaller grids can directly be applied on larger grids without the need of retraining.

physics.soc-ph