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Christian Rehtanz

Publications and source records attributed to Christian Rehtanz.

14 recordsLinked to original sources

TSO-DSO Coordination for Flexibility Management Across Voltage Levels

Several sources of flexibility in transmission and, especially, distribution networks are being unlocked by advances in information and communication technologies, aggregators, and new flexibility markets. However, maximizing benefits for both transmission and distribution system operators in a coordinated way requires new algorithms, modeling tools, and modernization of regulatory frameworks. Such approaches must account for uncertainties, the physical and operational constraints of flexibility providers and the grid itself, constraints on information exchange, and scalability, including computational requirements and time constraints. Given the diverse contexts and jurisdictions around the world, there is no single recipe for achieving coordination, but important trends and shared challenges are emerging. This paper surveys the complexities of coordination from technical, market, and technological perspectives, and outlines current practices, proposed approaches, and future research directions to effectively manage, coordinate, model, and leverage flexibility across voltage levels.

eess.SY

Towards grid-aware multi-period flexibility aggregation - A constrained zonotope approach

Aggregation schemes provide a means to reduce the computational complexity of power system operation by reducing the number of devices that are considered individually. This can be achieved with tools of computational geometry, where the feasible set is projected onto the decision variables of the point of interconnection. Set projection is computationally expensive, especially in the context of multi-period power system operation. This calls for efficiency improvements via structure exploitation of set representations. This paper proposes efficient flexibility aggregation via constrained zonotopes. We evaluate the performance of the proposed method on a 15-bus distribution grid with time-dependent elements for up to 96 timesteps. The results suggest that the presented method significantly improves computation times compared to classic polytope projection approaches.

math.OC

Energy management and flexibility quantification in a discrete event distribution grid simulation

Distribution grid operation faces new challenges caused by a rising share of renewable energy sources and the introduction of additional types of loads to the grid. With the increasing adoption of distributed generation and emerging prosumer households, Energy Management Systems, which manage and apply flexibility of connected devices, are gaining popularity. While potentially beneficial to grid capacity, strategic energy management also adds to the complexity of distribution grid operation and planning processes. Novel approaches of time-series-based planning likewise face increasingly complex simulation scenarios and rising computational cost. Discrete event modelling helps facilitating simulations of such scenarios by restraining computation to the most relevant points in simulation time. We provide an enhancement of a discrete event distribution grid simulation software that offers fast implementation and testing of energy management algorithms, embedded into a feature-rich simulation environment. Physical models are specified using the Discrete Event System Specification. Furthermore, we contribute a communication protocol that makes use of the discrete event paradigm by only computing flexibility potential when necessary.

eess.SY

Zero and Few Shot Load Forecasting with Large Language Models

Deep learning models have shown strong performance in load forecasting, but they generally require large amounts of data for model training before being applied to new scenarios, which limits their effectiveness in data-scarce scenarios. Inspired by the great success of pre-trained language models (LLMs) in natural language processing, this paper proposes a zero and few shot load forecasting approach using an advanced LLM framework denoted as the Chronos model. By utilizing its extensive pre-trained knowledge, the Chronos model enables accurate load forecasting in data-scarce scenarios. Simulation results across five real-world datasets demonstrate that the Chronos model significantly outperforms nine popular baseline models for both deterministic and probabilistic load forecasting with various forecast horizons (e.g., 1 to 48 hours), even though the Chronos model is neither tailored nor fine-tuned to these specific load datasets. Notably, Chronos reduces root mean squared error (RMSE), continuous ranked probability score (CRPS), and quantile score (QS) by approximately 7.34%-84.30%, 19.63%-60.06%, and 22.83%-54.49%, respectively, compared to baseline models. These results highlight the superiority and flexibility of the Chronos model, positioning it as an effective solution in data-scarce scenarios.

cs.LG

Assessing the impact of weather-induced uncertainties in large-scale electricity systems

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios for robust large-scale power system analysis. By applying different signal analysis methods, historical weather data is decomposed into its spectral components, processed appropriately, and then used to generate random, self-consistent weather data. In this process, any weather parameters of different locations can be considered, while their respective dependencies are mapped. The added value is demonstrated by coupling with a state-of-the-art large-scale energy system model for Europe. It is shown that the integrated consideration of different weather influences allows a quantification of the range of fluctuation of various parameters - such as the feed-in of wind and solar power - and thus provides the basis for future resilient grid planning approaches.

eess.SY

Ancillary Services Provision by Cross-Voltage-Level Power Flow Control using Flexibility Regions

The large-scale integration of distributed renewable energy sources into the electricity grid requires the investigation of new methods to ensure stability. For example, Active Distribution Networks (ADNs) can be used at (sub-) transmission levels for emergency operation, provided robust and efficient control is available. This paper investigates the use of Feasible Operating Regions (FORs) and Flexibility Regions (FRs) for Cross-Voltage-Level Power Flow Control (CPFC). The enhancement of network stability due to the provision of ancillary services is illustrated, as is the need for strengthened cooperation between Transmission (TSOs) and Distribution System Operators (DSOs). Optimal power flow methods are considered, focusing on computational advances through PieceWise Linearization (PWL) and convex relaxation techniques aiming to speed up runtime while keeping high accuracy. To illustrate the algorithms' benefits and drawbacks, they are analyzed using exemplary medium voltage grids.

eess.SY

TimeGPT in Load Forecasting: A Large Time Series Model Perspective

Machine learning models have made significant progress in load forecasting, but their forecast accuracy is limited in cases where historical load data is scarce. Inspired by the outstanding performance of large language models (LLMs) in computer vision and natural language processing, this paper aims to discuss the potential of large time series models in load forecasting with scarce historical data. Specifically, the large time series model is constructed as a time series generative pre-trained transformer (TimeGPT), which is trained on massive and diverse time series datasets consisting of 100 billion data points (e.g., finance, transportation, banking, web traffic, weather, energy, healthcare, etc.). Then, the scarce historical load data is used to fine-tune the TimeGPT, which helps it to adapt to the data distribution and characteristics associated with load forecasting. Simulation results show that TimeGPT outperforms the benchmarks (e.g., popular machine learning models and statistical models) for load forecasting on several real datasets with scarce training samples, particularly for short look-ahead times. However, it cannot be guaranteed that TimeGPT is always superior to benchmarks for load forecasting with scarce data, since the performance of TimeGPT may be affected by the distribution differences between the load data and the training data. In practical applications, we can divide the historical data into a training set and a validation set, and then use the validation set loss to decide whether TimeGPT is the best choice for a specific dataset.

cs.LG

Optimizing the Generation and Transmission Capacity of Offshore Wind Parks under Weather Uncertainty

Offshore wind power in the North Sea is considered a main pillar in Europe's future energy system. A key challenge lies in determining the optimal spatial capacity allocation of offshore wind parks in combination with the dimensioning and layout of the connecting high-voltage direct current grid infrastructure. To determine economically cost optimal configurations, we apply an integrated capacity and transmission expansion problem within a pan-European electricity market and transmission grid model with a high spatial and temporal granularity. By conducting scenario analysis for the year 2030 with a gradually increasing CO2 price, possible offshore expansion paths are derived and presented. Special emphasis is laid on the effects of weather uncertainty by incorporating data from 21 historical weather years in the analysis. Two key findings are (i) an expansion in addition to the existing offshore wind capacity of 0 GW (136 EUR/tCO2), 12 GW (159 EUR/tCO2) and 30 GW (186 EUR/tCO2) dependent on the underlying CO2 price. (ii) A strong sensitivity of the results towards the underlying weather data highlighting the importance of incorporating multiple weather years.

eess.SY

Modeling and Contribution of Flexible Heating Systems for Transmission Grid Congestion Management

The large-scale integration of flexible heating systems in the European electricity market leads to a substantial increase of transportation requirements and consecutively grid congestions in the continental transmission grid. Novel model formulations for the grid-aware operation of both individual small-scale heat pumps and large-scale power-to-heat (PtH) units located in district heating networks are presented. The functionality of the models and the contribution of flexible heating systems for transmission grid congestion management is evaluated by running simulations for the target year 2035 for the German transmission grid. The findings show a decrease in annual conventional redispatch volumes and renewable energy sources (RES) curtailment resulting in cost savings of approximately 6 % through the integration of flexible heating systems in the grid congestion management scheme. The analysis suggests that especially large-scale PtH units in combination with thermal energy storages can contribute significantly to the alleviation of grid congestion and foster RES integration.

eess.SY

System-level Testing of the Congestion Management Capability of a Hardware-Independent Optimal Power Flow Algorithm

The integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) into the electrical grid causes various challenges in the distribution grids. The complexity of smart grids as multi-domain energy systems requires innovative architectures and algorithms for system control. While these solutions are good on paper, several testing methods are required to test the applicability of components, functions and entire systems to the existing energy grids. In this paper, a full-scale low-voltage test setup in the Smart Grid Technology Lab (SGTL) at TU Dortmund University is used to evaluate the capability of an Optimal Power Flow Algorithm (OPF) to support voltage control, congestion management, and to provide redispatch to the higher grid levels. While conventional redispatch is commonly done preemptively, this paper analyses the possibility of providing redispatch to the higher voltage levels without taking the future grid state into consideration. The importance of this implementation is that the smart grid application used to execute the OPF is configured based on IEC 61850 data models, making the software independent of the hardware. Such standardised control algorithms are interoperable and can be implemented on any hardware that suits the requirements.

eess.SY

Implementation of Machine Learning-based DER Local Control Schemes on Measurement Devices for Counteracting Communication Failures

One of the significant challenges linked with the massive integration of distributed energy resources (DER) in the active distribution grids is the uncertainty it brings along. The grid operation becomes more arduous to avoid voltage or thermal violations. While the Optimal Power Flow (OPF) algorithm is vastly discussed in the literature, little attention has been given to the robustness of such centralised implementation, such as the provision of redundant control solutions during a communication failure. This paper aims to implement a machine learning-based algorithm at each Intelligent Electronic Device (IED) that mimics the centralised OPF used during communication failures using IEC 61850 data models. Under normal circumstances, the IEDs communicate for centralised OPF. In addition, the system is trained offline for all operational conditions and the individual look-up tables linking the actual voltages to the DER setpoints are sent to the respective controllers. The regression models allow for the local reconstruction of the DER setpoints, emulating the overall OPF, in case of a communication failure. In addition to the regression control, the paper also explains an offline learning approach for periodic re-training of the regression models. The implementation is experimentally verified using a Hardware-in-the-loop test setup. The tests showed promising results compared to conventional control strategies during communication failures. When properly trained and coordinated, such an intuitive local control approach for each DER could be very beneficial for the bulk power system. This machine learning-based approach could also replace the existing Q(V) control strategies, to better support the bulk power system.

eess.SY

Adaptive and Robust Cross-Voltage-Level Power Flow Control of Active Distribution Networks

The large-scale integration of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) into the electric power system offers new opportunities to ensure stability. For example, Active Distribution Networks (ADNs) can be used in (sub-)transmission systems in the emergency state, as far as high robustness and performance of the ADN control are guaranteed. This paper presents an adaptive control system for ADN's cross-voltage-level power flow control. For this purpose, the gain scheduling approach is used. Furthermore, this work introduces a method for control parameter tuning. In order to validate the control parameter tuning, the adaptive control system is analyzed regarding robustness and performance using an exemplary medium voltage grid. In addition, the influence of uncertainties is examined. Finally, the operation of the adaptive control system is demonstrated by performing time-domain simulations.

eess.SY

Power Response and Modelling Aspects of Power Electronic Loads in Case of Voltage Drops

In this paper, the power response of power electronic loads in case of voltage drops are measured and their dynamics are analysed. Based on this, dynamic simulation models are derived which can be used for voltage stability investigations. For this, four loads with different power factor techniques are considered. In addition, the impact of the grid impedance and input filter on the power response are measured in the laboratory. Based on the measurements, the simulation models are described. It is also outlined under which aspects the components of the loads are normally dimensioned if no detailed information is available. A comparison with the measurements demonstrates that the simulation models capture the main dynamics. At the end of the paper, the load models are compared to a constant power load in a short-term voltage stability use case. The results indicate that the power electronic loads have a more positive influence on short-term voltage stability in case of voltage drops. Overall, the contributions of the paper are the identification of the basic power dynamics of power electronic loads for different voltage drops and a subsequent derivation of suitable simulation load models for voltage stability investigations.

eess.SY

Charging control of electric vehicles using contextual bandits considering the electrical distribution grid

With the proliferation of electric vehicles, the electrical distribution grids are more prone to overloads. In this paper, we study an intelligent pricing and power control mechanism based on contextual bandits to provide incentives for distributing charging load and preventing network failure. The presented work combines the microscopic mobility simulator SUMO with electric network simulator SIMONA and thus produces reliable electrical distribution load values. Our experiments are carefully conducted under realistic conditions and reveal that conditional bandit learning outperforms context-free reinforcement learning algorithms and our approach is suitable for the given problem. As reinforcement learning algorithms can be adapted rapidly to include new information we assume these to be suitable as part of a holistic traffic control scenario.

cs.OH