arXiv subjects

Christopher C. Stark

Publications and source records attributed to Christopher C. Stark.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

pyEDITH: the coronagraphic exposure time calculator for the Habitable Worlds Observatory

To support the development of next-generation missions for the search and characterization of habitable planets, high-fidelity tools for astrophysical and instrumental noise simulations are needed. In this paper, we introduce pyEDITH, the Python-based coronagraphic exposure time calculator built for the next recommended NASA flagship mission, the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO), tasked with searching for signs of habitability and life in dozens of nearby exoplanet systems. pyEDITH is designed to simulate wavelength-dependent exposure times and signal-to-noise ratios (S/N) for synthetic HWO direct imaging observations, considering realistic engineering specifications and user-defined target information. Its modular architecture ensures flexibility as mission requirements evolve. pyEDITH enables a streamlined integration with modern astronomical workflows and was designed to be used by the scientific community at all skill levels for understanding the capabilities and limitations of different HWO architectures for exoplanet analyses. The code has been validated against existing exposure time calculators and released open-source on GitHub and Zenodo, as well as made accessible through a Graphical User Interface. The pyEDITH package includes API documentation, tutorial notebooks, and has been used in forthcoming scientific publications.

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arXiv2026

The JWST/NIRCam Scattered Light Disks GTO 2780 program: panchromatic coronagraphic imaging of the HD 10647, HD 32297, HD 61005, HD 107146, and HD 181327 debris disk systems

Debris disks, composed of rocks, boulders, planetesimals, and the dust produced in their collisions, present the most readily observable components of mature planetary systems. They also serve as valuable diagnostic tools, enabling studies of planetary dynamical interactions and mineral compositions. Observed from optical to radio wavelengths, each band reveals unique information about the dust populations. Optical and near-infrared observations are specifically sensitive to light scattered off the surfaces of the micron-sized particles. Here, we present results from the JWST/NIRCam GTO program 2780, designed to observe five disk systems previously identified to be exceptionally bright at optical wavelengths (HD 10647, HD 32297, HD 61005, HD 107146, and HD 181327) with six filters using the NIRCam coronagraphs. The NIRCam data complement previous shorter-wavelength images of these same systems. They reveal scattered light from the disks and from the extended halos of tiny grains under the influence of radiative forces, at high resolution and signal to noise. All the systems show evidence for water ice, although it can have differing radial distributions and tends to show stronger signatures in the halos. In the two cases we could analyze, the scattering phase function in the disks resembles the behavior of dust in the Solar System with evidence for enhanced forward scattering in the halos, consistent with the latter being composed of tiny grains. MIRI images for two systems are more centrally concentrated than the shorter wavelength ones, suggesting a role for dragged-in larger grains.

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arXiv2026

The exozodi spectral effect: Residual habitable zone dust may bias exoEarth characterization

All exoplanetary systems are expected to host exozodiacal dust, or exozodi, originating from planetesimals. For many stars, exozodi will likely be the largest source of astrophysical noise in direct observations of terrestrial exoplanets. Nearby Sun-like systems likely have $\gtrsim3$x more habitable zone (HZ) dust than our solar system, which must be removed from direct images and spectra to reveal exoplanet signals. The albedo of this micron-sized dust varies smoothly over VIS -- NIR wavelengths, but exozodi can be composed of different materials that can impact its color. If left unsubtracted, exozodiacal light will add cloud-like continuum emission to extracted spectra, potentially biasing characterization studies by reducing the apparent absorption depth of spectral features. To quantify these effects, we simulate exoEarth systems with a range of exozodi densities and compositions, and apply an atmospheric retrieval tool to synthetic Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) spectra. We find that exozodi at levels similar to the solar system (i.e., 1 zodi) can reduce the apparent depth of visible wavelength molecular absorption features by up to 50\%, an effect that worsens at longer wavelengths. To measure molecular abundances, significant post-processing may be required to remove exozodi to a fractional residual that tightens with dust density. However, targeting a binary detection result for an absorbing species instead relaxes this requirement by an order of magnitude, especially at higher spectral resolution. Understanding and mitigating the effects of exozodi in extracted exoEarth spectra is critical to characterize HZ exoplanet environments with HWO and ultimately to search for signs of habitability and life.

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arXiv2026

Modeling the Impact of Starspot Inhomogeneity on Spectroscopic Retrievals of Directly-Imaged Planets

Stellar activity is a major complication in the detection and characterization of exoplanets by both radial velocities and transits, and the upcoming Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) invites us to also consider its effect on direct imaging. Spectra of directly-imaged planets can vary with the activity of their host stars because the face of the star we see is not the same as the face reflected by the planet. This discrepancy could potentially result in inaccurate measurements of the planet's radius and unexpected, externally-caused variability in its contrast spectrum with the star. To assess the scientific capabilities and requirements of HWO, it is important that the magnitude of these effects be quantified. We present results of model retrievals of Earth-like exoplanets observed with an HWO-style survey, as they would appear when affected by starspots, using the ExoVista code for spectrum generation and the BARBIE code for spectroscopic retrieval. Both Solar-type stellar activity and highly active rapid rotators are considered and compared with an idealized quiescent host star. In the quiescent case, ${\rm SNR}\approx5$ is needed to detect atmospheric water vapor at 0.9 microns and ${\rm SNR}\approx13$ at 0.74 microns. We find that for Solar-type activity, the effect on retrievals will be negligible, but it could present problems for certain highly-active stars at limiting geometries. For an extreme case with a single large spot with 10\% coverage not visible to the observer, the SNR required for water detection increases to ${\rm SNR}\approx8$ at 0.9 microns and ${\rm SNR}\approx18$ at 0.74 microns. It also decreases the accuracy of the retrieved albedo, resulting in a value $\sim2/3$ of the true value. In light of these results, we estimate the impact that stellar variability and starspots may have on an HWO-style survey.

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arXiv2026

Connecting Polarization to Exoplanet Yield Calculations for HWO

The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) aims to enable the detection and characterization of Earth-like planets around Sun-like stars to search for possible signs of life elsewhere in our universe. This requires an incredibly sensitive coronagraph instrument that suppresses the light from the star by a factor of 10 billion, which must contend with error terms that have not previously limited high-contrast instrumentation at lower levels of starlight suppression. Polarization aberrations are one such source of error that is particularly problematic for coronagraphy on a large space telescope. Optical rays in large, compact astronomical observatories can have large changes in angle of incidence over the beam, which induce polarization aberrations that decrease sensitivities to faint signals at small angular separations. Limiting variation in angles of incidence along the optical path could lead to longer, less stable observatories. This could negatively impact the total number of exo-Earths HWO would be able to detect. This study links open-source physical optics modeling tools to an exoplanet yield optimizer to understand how polarization aberrations influence science return for HWO. We also explore how polarization aberrations scale with change in angle of incidence, which could drive the primary-secondary mirror distance and overall observatory stability. In the visible, we find that decreasing the EAC-1 barrel from 16m to 12m results in $\approx 10^{-10}$ contrast at the IWA where we expect exo-Earths to be. In the UV we appear to be less sensitive to polarization because exo-Earths are farther from the IWA. We also find a limited range over which the design reference mission of EAC-1 can be optimized to compensate for polarization aberrations using altruistic yield optimization. We then report on mitigation strategies to minimize the presence of polarization aberrations in HWO.

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arXiv2026

Understanding HWO's Field of Regard and Characterization Requirement Trade Space with a Dynamic Observation Scheduling Algorithm

The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) aims to image and characterize at least 25 ExoEarth candidates (EECs). Achieving this goal requires a detailed understanding of the observatory's design trade space, including the operational efficiency of the EEC survey. This study quantifies the impact of two critical parameters: the instantaneous field of regard (FoR) and the number of characterization observations required per EEC ($N_\text{char}$). We introduce a novel dynamic scheduling algorithm implemented within the EXOSIMS framework that models information gain during the mission. The scheduler models the orbital information known about each planet and forecasts detection probabilities to make scheduling decisions. We explore a multi-dimensional trade space, varying aperture size (6.5 m and 8.0 m), dedicated EEC survey time (2.5, 5.0, 7.5 years), $N_\text{char}$ (1 to 4), and FoR ($15^\circ$ to $135^\circ$). Our results demonstrate that the FoR is a major driver of the mission yield, with the yield decreasing significantly when the FoR is less than $90^\circ$. We find that increasing $N_\text{char}$ imposes a significant cost to mission yield, as each additional characterization required reduces yield by approximately 22%. The cumulative impact of requiring four characterizations instead of one lowers the yield by approximately 52%. This harsh penalty can be partially mitigated by increasing the survey duration. The relative yield loss when increasing $N_\text{char}$ from 1 to 2 is 38% for a 2.5 year survey and 14% for a 7.5 year survey. Our results highlight the complex interactions between HWO's engineering constraints and science requirements, and emphasize that the EEC survey efficiency is a critical component of HWO's design space.

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arXiv2025

Direct imaging characterization of cool gaseous planets

Cool gas giant exoplanets, particularly those with properties similar to those of Jupiter and Saturn, remain poorly characterized due to current observational limitations. This white paper outlines the transformative science case for the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) to directly image and spectroscopically characterize a broad range of gaseous exoplanets with effective temperatures below 400 K. The study focuses on determining key atmospheric properties, including molecular composition, cloud and haze characteristics, and temperature structure, across planets of varying sizes and orbital separations. Leveraging reflected light spectroscopy and polarimetry, HWO will enable comparative planetology of cool gas giants orbiting both solar-type and M-dwarf stars, bridging the observational gap between hot exoplanets and Solar System giants. We present observational requirements and survey strategies necessary to uncover correlations between atmospheric properties and planetary or stellar parameters. This effort will establish critical constraints on planetary formation, cloud microphysics, and the role of photochemistry under diverse irradiation conditions. The unique capabilities of HWO will make it the first facility capable of characterizing true exo-Jupiters in reflected light, thus offering an unprecedented opportunity to place the Solar System in a broader galactic context.

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arXiv2025

Multi-bandpass Photometry for Exoplanet Atmosphere Reconnaissance (MPEAR) with the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) -- I. Differentiating Earth from Neptunes During Discovery

As the architecture for the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) is being developed, it is crucial to optimize the observing strategies for a survey to detect and characterize Earth-like planets around Sun-like stars. Efficient target identification and characterization will help drive mission requirements that can be matched to the planned observations. Current HWO concepts allow simultaneous multi-bandpass observations with the coronagraph instrument, critical for performing a qualitative planetary reconnaissance to optimize observing time for deriving orbital constraints and prioritize characterization of promising targets. We describe a new algorithm designed to determine the best combination of broadband photometric observations for extracting maximum information from the first visit. It identifies degeneracies in the orbital configurations, fluxes, and noise, and determines optimal secondary photometry bands to reduce these. We demonstrate its application by comparing an Earth seen at quadrature with a cold and a warm Neptune at inclined orbits and varying phases, with comparable flux in the discovery bandpass centered at 500 nm (20\% bandwidth). Using the noise and exposure time calculator that we developed for the HWO coronagraph instrument, we find that the baseline $S/N=7$ (corresponding to 3.2 hours observing time for a planet at 10pc) is only sufficient to marginally differentiate the Earth from a cold Neptune-like planet assuming two parallel bandpasses (550 nm + 850 nm). However, increasing to $S/N=15$ (7 hours observing time) and using three parallel bandpasses (360 nm + 500 nm + 1.11 micron) would differentiate the Earth from either a warm or cold Neptune.

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arXiv2025

HWO Target Stars and Systems: A Prioritized Community List of Potential Stellar Targets for the Habitable Worlds Observatory's ExoEarth Survey

The HWO Target Stars and Systems 2025 (TSS25) list is a community-developed catalog of potential stellar targets for the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) in its survey to directly image Earth-sized planets in the habitable zone. The TSS25 list categorizes potential HWO targets into priority tiers based on their likelihood to be surveyed and the necessity of obtaining observations of their stellar properties prior to the launch of the mission. This target list builds upon previous efforts to identify direct imaging targets and incorporates the results of multiple yield calculations assessing the science return of current design concepts for HWO. The TSS25 list identifies a sample of target stars that have a high probability to be observed by HWO (Tiers 1 and 2), independent of assumptions about the mission's final architecture. These stars should be the focus of community precursor science efforts in order to mitigate risks and maximize the science output of HWO. This target list is publicly available and is a living catalog that will be continually updated leading up to the mission.

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arXiv2025

Bioverse: Assessing the Ability of Direct Imaging Surveys to Empirically Constrain the Habitable Zone via Trends in Albedo

Will future direct imaging missions such as NASA's upcoming Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) be able to understand Earth-sized planets as a population? In this study, we simulate the ability of space-based coronagraphy missions to uncover trends in planetary albedo as a function of instellation, and potentially constrain the boundaries of the habitable zone. We adapt the Bioverse statistical comparative planetology framework to simulate the scientific output of possible designs for HWO. With this tool, we generate a synthetic planetary population with injected population-level trends in albedo and simulate the observability of planets. We then determine the statistical power to which these trends can be recovered as a function of the strength of the injected trend and the sample size of Earth-sized planets in the habitable zone (exoEarths). The strongest trends in albedo require a sample size of roughly 25-30 exoEarths to recover with high confidence. However, for weaker albedo trends, the required number of planets increases rapidly. If a mission is designed to meet the Decadal Survey's requirement of 25 exoEarths, it would be able to recover very strong trends in albedo associated with the habitable zone, but would struggle to confidently detect weaker trends. We explore multiple strategies to increase one's ability to recover weak trends, such as reducing the uncertainties in observables, incorporating additional observables such as planet colors, and obtaining direct constraints on planetary albedo from full spectral retrievals.

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arXiv2025

Theory of Exozodi Sources and Dust Evolution

Exozodiacal dust disks (exozodis) are populations of warm (~300K) or hot (~1000K) dust, located in or interior to a star's habitable zone, detected around ~25% of main-sequence stars as excess emission over the stellar photosphere at mid- or near-infrared wavelengths. Often too plentiful to be explained by an in-situ planetesimal belt, exozodi dust is usually thought to be transported inwards from further out in the system. There is no consensus on which (if any) of various proposed dynamical models is correct, yet it is vital to understand exozodis given the risk they pose to direct imaging and characterisation of Earth-like planets. This article reviews current theoretical understanding of the origin and evolution of exozodi dust. It also identifies key questions pertinent to the potential for exozodis to impact exoplanet imaging and summarises current understanding of the answer to them informed by exozodi theory. These address how exozodi dust is delivered, its size and spatial distribution, and the effect of its composition on exozodi observability, as well as the connection between hot and warm exozodis. Also addressed are how common different exozodi levels are and how that level can be predicted from system properties, as well as the features that planets impart in dust distributions and how exozodis affect a planet's physical properties and habitability. We conclude that exozodis present both a problem and an opportunity, e.g., by introducing noise that makes planets harder to detect, but also identifying systems in which ingredients conducive to life, like water and volatiles, are delivered to the habitable zone.

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arXiv2025

Cross-Model Validation of Coronagraphic Exposure Time Calculators for the Habitable Worlds Observatory: A Report from the Exoplanet Science Yield sub-Working Group

Estimating the exoplanet scientific productivity of the Habitable Worlds Observatory requires estimating science exposure times. From exoplanet yields to spectral retrievals, exposure times are at the heart of our understanding of the capabilities of this future mission. As such, ensuring accuracy and consistency between different exposure time calculators (ETCs) is critical. We summarize the efforts of the Exoplanet Science Yield sub-Working Group's ETC Calibration Task Group, which conducted a calibration study from March 4 to June 30 of 2024. We compare three commonly-used coronagraphic exposure time calculators. We find that the ETCs use a broad variety of differing methods, assumptions, and inputs that produce variation in the final exposure times at the ~60% level. The causes for the disagreement have largely been identified, flagged for further development efforts, and in some cases retired since the conclusion of this effort. We expect that addressing the flagged efforts will bring the ETCs to within better than ~30% agreement.

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arXiv2025

Architecture Classification for Extrasolar Planetary Systems

This paper presents a classification framework for the architectures of planetary systems based on a complete survey of the confirmed exoplanet population. With nearly 6000 confirmed exoplanets discovered, including more than 300 multiplanet systems with three or more planets, the current observational sample has reached the point where it is both feasible and useful to build a classification system that divides the observed population into meaningful categories. This framework provides a criterion to split planetary systems into inner and outer regimes, and then further divides inner systems into dynamical classes. The resulting categories include "peas-in-a-pod systems" with uniformly small planets and "warm Jupiter systems" with a mix of large and small planets, as well as "closely-spaced systems" and "gapped systems," with further subdivisions based on the locations of gaps and other features. These categories can classify nearly all of the confirmed systems with three or more planets with minimal ambiguity. We qualitatively examine the relative prevalence of each type of system, subject to observational selection effects, as well as other notable features such as the presence of hot Jupiters. A small number of outlier systems are also discussed. Potential additional classes of systems yet to be discovered are proposed.

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arXiv2024

A Search for Collisions and Planet-Disk Interactions in the Beta Pictoris Disk with 26 Years of High Precision HST/STIS Imaging

Beta Pictoris (Beta Pic)'s well-studied debris disk and two known giant planets, in combination with the stability of HST/STIS (and now also JWST), offers a unique opportunity to test planet-disk interaction models and to observe recent planetesimal collisions. We present HST/STIS coronagraphic imaging from two new epochs of data taken between 2021 and 2023, complementing earlier data taken in 1997 and 2012. This dataset enables the longest baseline and highest precision temporal comparison of any debris disk to date, with sensitivity to temporal surface brightness variations of sub-percentage levels in the midplane of the disk. While no localized surface brightness changes are detected, which would be indicative of a recent planetesimal collision, there is a tentative brightening of the SE side of the disk over the past decade. We link the constraints on surface brightness variations to dynamical models of the planetary system's evolution and to the collisional history of planetesimals. Using a coupled collisional model and injection/recovery framework, we estimate sensitivity to expanding collisional debris down to a Ceres-mass per progenitor in the most sensitive regions of the disk midplane. These results demonstrate the capabilities of long-baseline, temporal studies with HST (and also soon with JWST) for constraining the physical processes occurring within debris disks.

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arXiv2024

Deepest limits on scattered light emission from the Epsilon Eridani inner debris disk with HST/STIS

Epsilon Eridani ($ε$ Eri) is one of the first debris disk systems detected by the Infrared Astronomical Satellite (IRAS). However, the system has thus far eluded detection in scattered light with no components having been directly imaged. Its similarity to a relatively young Solar System combined with its proximity makes it an excellent candidate to further our understanding of planetary system evolution. We present a set of coronagraphic images taken using the Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph (STIS) coronagraph on the Hubble space telescope at a small inner working angle to detect a predicted warm inner debris disk inside 1". We used three different post-processing approaches; Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF), Karhunen-Lo`eve Image Processing (KLIP), and Classical reference differential imaging (RDI), to best optimize reference star subtraction, and find that NMF performed the best overall while KLIP produced the absolute best contrast inside 1". We present limits on scattered light from warm dust, with constraints on surface brightness at 6 mJy/as$^2$ at our inner working angle of 0.6". We also place a constraint of 0.5 mJy/as$^2$ outside 1", which gives us an upper limit on the brightness for outer disks and substellar companions. Finally, we calculated an upper limit on the dust albedo at $ω<$ 0.487.

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arXiv2024

JWST-TST High Contrast: JWST/NIRCam observations of the young giant planet $β$ Pic b

We present the first JWST/NIRCam observations of the directly-imaged gas giant exoplanet $β$ Pic b. Observations in six filters using NIRCam's round coronagraphic masks provide a high signal-to-noise detection of $β$ Pic b and the archetypal debris disk around $β$ Pic over a wavelength range of $\sim$1.7-5 $μ$m. This paper focuses on the detection of $β$ Pic b and other potential point sources in the NIRCam data, following a paper by Rebollido et al. which presented the NIRCam and MIRI view of the debris disk around $β$ Pic. We develop and validate approaches for obtaining accurate photometry of planets in the presence of bright, complex circumstellar backgrounds. By simultaneously fitting the planet's PSF and a geometric model for the disk, we obtain planet photometry that is in good agreement with previous measurements from the ground. The NIRCam data supports the cloudy nature of $β$ Pic b's atmosphere and the discrepancy between its mass as inferred from evolutionary models and the dynamical mass reported in the literature. We further identify five additional localized sources in the data, but all of them are found to be background stars or galaxies based on their color or spatial extent. We can rule out additional planets in the disk midplane above 1 Jupiter mass outward of 2 arcsec ($\sim$40 au) and away from the disk midplane above 0.05 Jupiter masses outward of 4 arcsec ($\sim$80 au). The inner giant planet $β$ Pic c remains undetected behind the coronagraphic masks of NIRCam in our observations.

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arXiv2024

Paths to Robust Exoplanet Science Yield Margin for the Habitable Worlds Observatory

The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) will seek to detect and characterize potentially Earth-like planets around other stars. To ensure that the mission achieves the Astro2020 Decadal's recommended goal of 25 exoEarth candidates (EECs), we must take into account the probabilistic nature of exoplanet detections and provide "science margin" to budget for astrophysical uncertainties with a reasonable level of confidence. In this study, we explore the probabilistic distributions of yields to be expected from a blind exoEarth survey conducted by such a mission. We identify and estimate the impact of all major known sources of astrophysical uncertainty on the exoEarth candidate yield. As expected, eta_Earth uncertainties dominate the uncertainty in EEC yield, but we show that sampling uncertainties inherent to a blind survey are another important source of uncertainty that should be budgeted for during mission design. We adopt the Large UV/Optical/IR Surveyor Design B (LUVOIR-B) as a baseline and modify the telescope diameter to estimate the science margin provided by a larger telescope. We then depart from the LUVOIR-B baseline design and identify six possible design changes that, when compiled, provide large gains in exoEarth candidate yield and more than an order of magnitude reduction in exposure times for the highest priority targets. We conclude that a combination of telescope diameter increase and design improvements could provide robust exoplanet science margins for HWO.

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arXiv2024

The Scientific Impact of a Noiseless Energy-Resolving Detector for a Future Exoplanet-Imaging Mission

Future space missions that aim to detect and characterize Earth-like exoplanets will require an instrument that efficiently measures spectra of these planets, placing strict requirements on detector performance. The upcoming Roman Space Telescope will demonstrate the performance of an electron-multiplying charge-coupled device (EMCCD) as part of the coronagraphic instrument (CGI). The recent LUVOIR and HabEx studies baselined pairing such a detector with an integral field spectrograph (IFS) to take spectra of multiple exoplanets and debris disks simultaneously. We investigate the scientific impact of a noiseless energy-resolving detector for the planned Habitable Worlds Observatory's (HWO) coronagraphic instrument. By assuming higher quantum efficiency, higher optical throughput, and zero noise, we effectively place upper limits on the impact of advancing detector technologies. We find that energy-resolving detectors would potentially take spectra of hundreds of additional exoplanets "for free" over the course of an HWO survey, greatly increasing its scientific yield.

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