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Christopher Cain

Publications and source records attributed to Christopher Cain.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Super-Eddington Little Blue Dots May Reionize Helium Too Early

The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) has identified an abundant population of faint Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) at $z \gtrsim 4$ which display broad emission lines, compact morphologies, and blue ultraviolet--optical continua. These ``Little Blue Dots' (LBDs) have been suggested to belong to the same family of objects as the more controversial ``Little Red Dots' (LRDs), with differences between the two largely owing to viewing angle effects. In this scenario, super-Eddington accretion resulting in high Extreme UV (EUV) and weak X-ray emission is invoked to explain the properties of both populations. We study the consequences of this super-Eddington scenario for the timing of Helium reionization. We find that observations which support an end to helium reionization no earlier than $z \approx 3$ disfavor scenarios in which the majority of observed $3 \lesssim z \lesssim 7$ LBDs are highly super-Eddington. For our fiducial super-Eddington accretion scenario, we find that the fraction of the LBD population in this state must be $\lesssim 10\%$, assuming LBDs make up $5\%$ of the $M_{ m UV} < -18$ galaxy population and have average escape fractions of $15\%$, comparable to recent observations. Our constraint assumes that LBDs dominate the Helium reionization budget, and would be tighter if bright quasars also contributed significantly. For a majority of LBDs to be super-Eddington, they would need to have small escape fractions ($\lesssim 1.5\%$) and/or be less abundant than observations suggest. Our conclusions are sensitive to the shape of the EUV spectra of super-Eddington black holes, motivating further study.

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The Atacama Cosmology Telescope: Constraints on the anisotropic screening and birefringence effects with DR6

While we have learned much from recent surveys of the mm-wave sky, many secondary anisotropies of the CMB remain under-explored. We consider two of these here: the anisotropic screening induced by Thomson scattering of CMB photons off free electrons, and cosmic birefringence, the rotation of CMB polarization due to parity-violating physics beyond the standard model. To measure these effects, we apply state-of-the-art estimators for statistical anisotropy to the ACT Data Release 6 CMB data and construct noisy maps and power spectra of both effects. For anisotropic screening, we find no significant detection with the baseline data, and place an upper limit on its power spectrum that is two orders of magnitude above predictions from current reionization models. We obtain evidence for some foreground contamination at one of our frequencies that is consistent with expectations from extragalactic simulations. For our anisotropic birefringence analysis, we also find no detection and place an upper limit on the signal that is consistent with previous analyses. We report a corresponding upper limit on the Chern-Simons coupling term $g_{a \gamma} < 4.9 \times 10^{-2} / H_\mathrm{I}$, with $H_\mathrm{I}$ the inflationary Hubble scale. These analyses pave the way toward obtaining improved constraints with the next generation of ground-based CMB surveys.

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Low Ly$\alpha$ Visibility in Galaxy Overdensities: Reionization Topology and Neutral-Fraction Ceilings from DIVER over $4.8<z<11$

Ly-alpha emission is widely used to trace cosmic reionization, but its interpretation depends on how Ly-alpha visibility varies with galaxy environment. We use deep JWST/NIRSpec observations from Deep Insights into UV Spectroscopy at the Epoch of Reionization (DIVER) in GOODS-N to measure Ly-alpha visibility for 250 galaxies at 4.8 25 A. We combine these measurements with H-alpha and [O III] emitters from JWST/NIRCam wide-field slitless spectroscopy to map the density field around each DIVER galaxy. Galaxies with high Ly-alpha equivalent widths (W_Lyalpha>25 A) or high effective Ly-alpha escape fractions (f_esc,Lyalpha^eff>0.05) tend to lie farther from nearby H-alpha and [O III] emitters than galaxies with lower Ly-alpha visibility. The clearest signal occurs near the prominent GOODS-N overdensity at z~5.2, where fewer than 15% of galaxies show strong Ly-alpha emission. This trend is opposite to the simplest inside-out reionization expectation that overdensities produce larger ionized regions and enhance Ly-alpha visibility. Possible explanations include circumgalactic and local intergalactic opacity, dense absorbers, and gas kinematics. We also derive an empirical upper envelope for f_esc,Lyalpha^eff and calibrate it with reionization simulations. Interpreting this envelope as a limiting IGM-attenuation signal gives neutral-fraction ceilings of _max=0.36, 0.76, 0.74, 0.84, and 1.0 at z~5.2, 5.8, 6.7, 7.7, and 9.8, respectively. The z~8 ceiling disfavors an almost completely neutral IGM at this epoch. These results support patchy reionization already underway by z~8 and show that galaxy Ly-alpha visibility encodes both large-scale ionization topology and near-source gas structure.

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Characterising the epoch of reionisation using the cross-correlation of the kSZ effect and CMB lensing

We investigate the cross-correlation of the kinematic Sunyaev-Zeldovich (kSZ) effect with lensing of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) as a probe of the epoch of reionisation. During reionisation, bubbles of ionised electrons form around overdensities, generating temperature perturbations in the CMB via the kSZ effect, which correlate with the projected matter density field probed by CMB lensing. We demonstrate using AMBER simulations that this effect can be probed via cross-correlating the squared kSZ field with the CMB lensing potential, and that the signal is sensitive to the duration and midpoint of reionisation. We forecast that for a Simons Observatory-like experiment with 5$\mu$K-arcmin white noise, covering 40% of the sky, the signal could be marginally detected at $S/N$ = 2 to 3. Meanwhile, a futuristic experiment like CMB-HD could provide a measurement of $S/N \sim 50$, yielding informative constraints on reionisation scenarios. We investigate potential challenges in measuring the signal and explore mitigation for each: contamination from extragalactic foregrounds at low redshift, contamination of the kSZ-squared estimator by lensing, and other estimator biases.

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A self-consistent analytical model for both the photoionization rate and reionization history

Recent developments at the intersection of cosmology and astrophysics have highlighted the need for improved analytical models of observables that probe the Epoch of Reionization. With few exceptions, fast analytical treatments of reionization suitable for use in Bayesian inference have been limited to modeling the reionization history, $x_i(z)$. Such models cannot take full advantage of observables that constrain $x_i$ indirectly. One such observable is the photoionization rate of neutral hydrogen, $\Gamma_{\rm HI}(z)$, which can be inferred from the mean transmission of the Lyman-$\alpha$ forest of high-redshift quasars and galaxies. It has been shown by several prior works that the evolution of $\Gamma_{\rm HI}$ at $5 \lesssim z \lesssim 6$ is highly sensitive to the tail end of reionization, potentially providing a tight astrophysical constraint on the reionization timeline. We present a new analytical formalism, based on the cosmological radiative transfer equation, that self-consistently predicts $x_i$ and $\Gamma_{\rm HI}$. We test our model against detailed radiative transfer simulations and find it to be percent-level accurate in $x_i$ and $20-30\%$ accurate in $\Gamma_{\rm HI}$ at $z \lesssim 6$ - better than or comparable to existing observational uncertainties. Finally, we demonstrate that modest shifts in the ionizing photon output of high-redshift galaxies and/or the endpoint of reionization lead to differences in $\Gamma_{\rm HI}$ much larger that the model's intrinsic uncertainty, highlighting its utility for interpreting existing data. We explore the origin of modeling uncertainty in $\Gamma_{\rm HI}$ and comment on future pathways for improvement.

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Fireworks at Cosmic Dawn: relieving BAO-CMB tensions with the Pop III.1 Flash

A Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) optical depth of $\tau \sim 0.09$, several $\sigma$ in excess of the latest Planck low-$\ell$ EE polarization measurement, has been proposed as a way to reconcile the preference for a sub-minimal neutrino mass sum in a combined analysis with CMB and Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) three-year data. Reionization, however, is not just probed by $\tau$. It is also constrained by Ly$\alpha$ forest observations that indicate a late end of reionization, and the patchy kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (pkSZ) effect which prefers a short duration. We explore whether an early phase of reionization can achieve a high $\tau$ while remaining consistent with both Ly$\alpha$ forest and pkSZ constraints. As a concrete example, we consider supermassive Pop III.1 stars, dark-matter-powered metal-free stars proposed as progenitors of supermassive black holes. Within this framework, self-regulating ionizing feedback imposes a minimum source separation of $\sim 1 \, \text{cMpc}$, consequently limiting large-scale ionization fluctuations and reducing the pkSZ power on observationally relevant scales. Our fiducial model realizes an optical depth of $\tau = 0.087$ with a Pop III.1-driven flash ionization phase centered at $z = 20$, while evading the most conservative $2\sigma$ upper limits on the pkSZ signal from the most recent South Pole Telescope data release. More broadly, our findings motivate further exploration of early reionization models with weakly clustered sources as a possible resolution of tensions between BAO and CMB measurements.

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Introducing SAGUARO -- Simulating IGM Evolution and Environments At High Resolution: Setup and First Results

Small-scale physics in the intergalactic medium (IGM) plays a crucial role in shaping the progress of cosmic reionization and several high-redshift observables that probe this period. Several recent studies have characterized the complex, dynamical response of the IGM to reionization down to kilo-parsec scales, including its effect on observables such as the Ly$\alpha$ forest. However, there has been no concentrated attempt to simulate and characterize these effects across the full parameter space of realistic large-scale IGM environments during reionization. To meet this need, we introduce the SAGUARO simulation suite, sub-titled ``Simulating IGM Evolution and Environments At High Resolution''. SAGUARO is a suite of over two hundred high-resolution, coupled radiative-hydrodynamics simulations of IGM gas dynamics during and after reionization. The suite spans a grid of photoionization rates, redshifts of reionization, and box-scale densities. We also simulate other physical effects, such as X-ray pre-heating, recombination radiation, baryon-dark matter free-streaming, and alternative dark matter cosmologies. Our suite includes box sizes of $2$ and $0.25$ $h^{-1}$Mpc, extending to volumes large enough to begin capturing halos above the atomic cooling limit and resolutions high enough to fully resolve the IGM Jeans scale in the cold, neutral universe. We present a detailed description of the setup and first results from SAGUARO, descriptions of the IGM gas dynamics and thermal structure, opacity, self-shielding properties, the effect of the IGM on the reionization photon budget, and the halo mass function, and Ly$\alpha$ transmission properties. SAGUARO will help facilitate detailed studies of small-scale IGM structure and its effects that will help inform the next generation of reionization simulations and data interpretation.

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An emulator for the ionizing photon mean free path in ultra-high resolution simulations: the implications of mean free path measurements for the reionization history

Measurements of the mean free path of ionizing photons from high-redshift quasar spectra at $z \sim 5$-$6$ constrain the reionization history, but interpreting them requires modeling the kiloparsec-scale clumping that large-volume reionization simulations cannot resolve. We present a deep learning emulator for the mean free path (MFP) trained on high-resolution cosmological radiative transfer simulations of ionization fronts sweeping through small 2 comoving Mpc/h volumes. Using a residual multi-layer perceptron neural network, we predict the MFP at a given redshift as a function of the reionization redshift, photoionization rate, wavelength, and box-scale density, achieving a median relative error of 1.3\% across nearly four orders of magnitude in MFP. Integrating its predictions over box-scale overdensity and an extended reionization history allows the emulator to predict the global MFP. We apply the emulator to extended reionization histories constrained by observed photoionization rates, finding that models prefer late reionization with substantial neutral fractions persisting at $z \lesssim 6$. Fitting a parametric ionization history yields a midpoint of reionization of $z_{\rm re} = 6.58\pm 1.2$ for reionization durations consistent with Planck and kinetic Sunyaev-Zeldovich constraints, and the universe being $10\%$ neutral still at $z < 5.8 ~(6.3)$ at 1~(2)$\sigma$. Global ionizing emissivity inferences using measurements of the photoionization rate and MFP plus our emulator, which avoids common power-law assumptions, suggest a factor of $2-3$ decline between $z = 6$ and $4.8$, in agreement with previous studies. Our method provides an efficient (and more converged) alternative to large-volume radiative-hydrodynamic simulations of reionization for interpreting MFP measurements, and can also serve as a subgrid prescription for the ionizing opacity within such simulations.

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Galaxy Underdensities Host the Clearest IGM Ly$\alpha$ Transmission and Indicate Anisotropic Reionization

How galaxies drive reionization and what governs its geometry remain fundamental questions. We present JWST/NIRCam wide-field slitless spectroscopy (WFSS) observations toward two of the most Ly$\alpha$-transmissive QSO sightlines near the end of reionization. We find that regions at $z \sim 5.7$ along both sightlines previously found to be low-density in Ly$\alpha$ emitters are also underdense in [O III] emitters, with densities less than half the cosmic mean. Other transmissive regions, however, are found to coincide with average-density environments, indicating that multiple pathways may produce high IGM transmission. For the first time, we measure the two-dimensional cross-correlation between IGM transmission and galaxy positions, revealing evidence for anisotropic ionization geometry. Specifically, we detect enhanced transmission at transverse distances of $\Delta r \sim 0.8$ times the mean free path, consistent with ionizing photons escaping preferentially along large-scale structures that are aligned with, but offset from, the line of sight. This anisotropic escape may contribute to the observed patchiness of reionization and challenges the assumption of isotropic ionized bubble growth in current models.

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Quasar Radiative Feedback May Suppress Galaxy Growth on Intergalactic Scales at $z = 6.3$

We present observational evidence that intense ionizing radiation from a luminous quasar suppresses nebular emission in nearby galaxies on intergalactic scales at $z=6.3$. Using JWST/NIRCam grism spectroscopy from the SAPPHIRES and EIGER programs, we identify a moderate but statistically significant decline in [O\,\textsc{iii}]\,$\lambda5008$ luminosity relative to the UV continuum ($L_{5008}/L_{1500}$) among galaxies within $\sim$ 7 comoving Mpc (cMpc) of the quasar J0100$+$2802, the most UV-luminous quasar known at this epoch ($M_{1450}=-29.26$). While $L_{1500}$ remains roughly constant with transverse distance, $L_{5008}$ increases significantly, suggesting suppression of very recent star formation toward the quasar. The effect persists after controlling for completeness, local density, and UV luminosity, and correlates with the projected photoionization-rate profile $\Gamma_{\mathrm{qso}}$. A weaker but directionally consistent suppression in $L_{5008}/L_{1500}$ is also observed along the line of sight. The transverse suppression radius ($\sim$ 7 cMpc) implies a recent radiative episode with a cumulative duration $\sim$ 3.1 Myr, shorter than required for thermal photoheating to dominate and thus more naturally explained by rapid H$_2$ photodissociation and related radiative processes. Environmental effects alone appear insufficient to explain the signal. Our results provide direct, geometry-based constraints on large-scale quasar radiative feedback and recent quasar lifetimes.

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A long time ago in an LAE far, far away: a signpost of early reionization or a nascent AGN at $z=13$?

The JADES survey recently reported the discovery of JADES-GS-z13-1-LA at $z = 13$, the highest redshift Ly$\alpha$ emitter (LAE) ever observed. This observation suggests that either the intergalactic medium (IGM) surrounding JADES-GS-z13-1-LA is highly ionised, or the galaxy's intrinsic Ly$\alpha$ emission properties are extreme. We use radiative transfer simulations of reionisation that capture the distribution of ionised gas in the $z = 13$ IGM to investigate the implications of JADES-GS-z13-1-LA for reionisation. We find that if JADES-GS-z13-1-LA is a typical star forming galaxy (SFG) with properties characteristic of LAEs at $z \sim 6$, its detection suggests that the universe is $\gtrsim 5\%$ ionised by $z = 13$. We also investigate the possibility that the extreme properties of JADES-GS-z13-1-LA are driven by an AGN. Using a simple analysis based on the fact that AGN are expected to produce more ionising photons than SFGs, we estimate that the probability that JADES-GS-z13-1-LA hosts an AGN is $71\%$, $42\%$, and $15\%$ if the IGM is $< 1\%$, $\approx 5\%$ and $\approx 25\%$ ionised, respectively. We also highlight other features in the spectrum of JADES-GS-z13-1-LA that may be indicative of AGN activity, including strong Ly$\alpha$ damping wing absorption extending to $\sim 1300$ angstroms, and a possible CII*$\lambda1335$ emission line. Our findings strongly motivate dedicated follow-up observations of JADES-GS-z13-1-LA to determine whether it hosts an AGN.

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Can high-redshift AGN observed by JWST explain the EDGES absorption signal?

The Experiment to Detect the Global Epoch of Reionization 21 cm Signal (EDGES) has reported evidence for an absorption feature in the sky-averaged radio background near 78 MHz. A cosmological interpretation of this signal corresponds to absorption of 21 cm photons by neutral hydrogen at $z \sim 17$. The large depth of the signal has been shown to require an excess radio background above the CMB and/or non-standard cooling processes in the IGM. Here, we explore the plausibility of a scenario in which the EDGES signal is back-lit by an excess radio background sourced from a population of radio-loud AGN at high redshift. These AGN could also explain the unexpected abundance of UV-bright objects observed at $z > 10$ by JWST. We find that producing enough radio photons to explain the EDGES depth requires that nearly all high-$z$ UV-bright objects down to $M_{\mathrm{UV}} \gtrsim -15$ are radio-loud AGN and that the UV density of such objects declines by at most 1.5 orders of magnitude between $z = $10 and 20. In addition, the fraction of X-ray photons escaping these objects must be $\lesssim 1\%$ of their expected intrinsic production rate to prevent the absorption signal being washed out by early IGM pre-heating. Reproducing the sharp boundaries of the absorption trough and its flat bottom requires that the UV luminosity function, the fraction of UV light produced by AGN, and the X-ray escape fraction have fine-tuned redshift dependence. We conclude that radio-loud AGN are an unlikely (although physically possible) candidate to explain EDGES because of the extreme physical properties required for them to do so.

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Probing the ionizing photon output of galaxies near cosmic dawn with the patchy kSZ effect

A key result from JWST's first cycles is that galaxy formation was well underway by $z=10$. The implications of these early galaxies for reionization are less clear, however. The CMB is one of the few windows into the ionization state of the IGM during reionization's first half, providing an important probe of the ionizing photon sources at those times. Meanwhile, measurements of the Lyman-$\alpha$ forest in the spectra of high-$z$ quasars have improved to the level of tightly constraining the timing of reionization's end. In this paper, we use radiative transfer simulations to explore how measurements of the patchy kinetic Sunyaev Zel'dovich (pkSZ) effect, when combined with Lyman-$\alpha$ forest measurements, can be used to constrain the early stages of reionization and the nature of its sources. For a given source model, we find that the amplitude of the pkSZ power spectra strongly correlates with the start time of reionization, and constrains the number of ionizing photons produced by the high-$z$ source population. Allowing for variations in the source model, this correlation is weakened by a degeneracy between the reionization history and the effects of source clustering. However, we demonstrate two potential ways of breaking this degeneracy using: (1) measurements of large-scale fluctuations in the Ly$\alpha$ forest opacity at $z=5-6$, and/or; (2) the shape of the pkSZ power spectrum measured in future CMB surveys. Models with highly clustered sources yield steeper slopes in the pkSZ power around $\ell = 3,000$, so measurements at additional angular scales can be used to break the history-clustering degeneracy. Our results highlight how future pkSZ measurements will complement JWST observations to improve our understanding of the ionizing sources near cosmic dawn.

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The CMB optical depth constrains the duration of reionization

Recently, it was pointed out that invoking a large value of the CMB optical depth, $\tau_{\rm CMB} = 0.09$, could help resolve tensions between DESI DR2 BAO data and the CMB. This is larger than the value of $\tau_{\rm CMB} = 0.058$ measured from the Planck low-$\ell$ polarization data. Traditionally, $\tau_{\rm CMB}$ is thought of as a constraint on reionization's midpoint. However, recent observations and modeling of the Ly$\alpha$ forest of high-$z$ quasars at $5 < z < 6$ have tightly constrained the timing of the last $10-20\%$ of reionization, adding nuance to this interpretation. Here, we point out that fixing reionization's endpoint, in accordance with the latest Ly$\alpha$ forest constraints, renders $\tau_{\rm CMB}$ a sensitive probe of the duration of reionization, as well as its midpoint. We compare low and high values of $\tau_{\rm CMB}$ to upper limits on the patchy kinematic Sunyaev-Zeldovich (pkSZ) effect, another CMB observable that constrains reionization's duration, and find that a value of $\tau_{\rm CMB} = 0.09$ is in $\approx 2\sigma$ tension with existing limits on the pkSZ from the South Pole Telescope.

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Kiloparsec-scale turbulence driven by reionization may grow intergalactic magnetic fields

The intergalactic medium (IGM) underwent intense heating that resulted in pressure disequilibrium in the wake of ionization fronts during cosmic reionization. The dynamical relaxation to restore pressure balance may have driven small-scale turbulence and, hence, the amplification of intergalactic magnetic fields. We investigate this possibility for the first time using a suite of $\approx 100$ pc resolution radiation-hydrodynamics simulations of IGM gas dynamics. We show that as the spatial resolution improves beyond that achieved with most prior studies, much of the IGM becomes turbulent unless it was pre-heated to $\gg 100~$K before reionization. In our most turbulent simulations, we find that the gas energy spectrum follows the expected $k^{-5/3}$ Kolmogorov scaling to the simulation's resolution, and the eddy turnover time of the turbulence is $< 1$ Gyr at $k \approx 1 ~$kpc$^{-1}$. Turbulence will grow magnetic fields, and we show that the fields grown by reionization-driven turbulence could explain lower limits on the strength of volume-filling B-fields from observations of TeV blazars. As reionization sweeps over the cosmos, this mechanism could create turbulence throughout the cosmic volume with a character that only depends on the amount of IGM preheating.

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A Potential Link between Nuclear Winds and Cold Gas Outflows on Kiloparsec Scales in Reionization-Era Quasars

Feedback from accreting supermassive black holes may regulate galaxy evolution, but statistical evidence linking nuclear winds to kiloparsec-scale cold gas outflows remains limited in the early universe. Here we report statistical evidence for such a connection in a sample of luminous quasars at $z \sim 5.5$. We compare stacked [C II] 158 $\mu$m emission profiles from ALMA observations, which trace galactic-scale neutral gas, for quasars with and without broad absorption lines (BALs) that indicate powerful nuclear winds on sub-kiloparsec scales. A total of 5 BAL and 11 non-BAL quasar spectra are included in the stacking analysis. The BAL quasar stack exhibits a potential blueshifted broad component in the [C II] line profile, with a velocity offset of $\Delta v_{\rm b} = -2.1 \times 10^2\,\rm km\,s^{-1}$ and a full width at half maximum of $1.18 \times 10^3\,\rm km\,s^{-1}$, whereas the non-BAL stack shows no obvious broad component. Using a conservative ``clean-stack'' selection that excludes quasars with partial [C II] spectral coverage, the BAL broad residual is reduced to a hint-level feature. We estimate that up to a few percent to one-quarter of the nuclear wind energy may be transferred to cold neutral gas on kiloparsec scales. Although the sample size is limited, these results suggest a potential link between BAL winds and cold gas feedback in quasar host galaxies. These results provide empirical motivation for future tests of how multiphase outflows relate to the diversity of quasar host properties, including $M_{\rm BH}/M_*$.

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New constraints on the galactic ionizing efficiency and escape fraction at 2.5 < z < 6 based on quasar absorption spectra

Measurements of the ionisation state of the intergalactic medium (IGM) can probe the sources of the extragalactic ionising background. We provide new measurements of the ionising emissivity of galaxies using measurements of the ionising background and ionising photon mean free path from high-redshift quasar spectra at $2.5 < z < 6$. Unlike most prior works, we account for radiative-transfer effects and possible neutral islands from the tail of reionisation at $z > 5$. We combine our results with measurements of the UV luminosity function to constrain the average escaping ionising efficiency of galaxies, $\langle f_{\rm esc} \xi_{\rm ion}\rangle_{L_{\rm UV}}$. Assuming galaxies with $M_{\rm UV} < -11$ emit ionising photons, we find $\log (\langle f_{\rm esc} \xi_{\rm ion}\rangle_{L_{\rm UV}}/{\rm erg^{-1}Hz}) = 24.47_{-0.17}^{+0.09}$ and $24.75_{-0.28}^{+0.15}$ at $z=5$ and $6$, and $1\sigma$ upper limits of $24.48$ and $24.31$ at $z = 2.5$ and $4$, respectively. We also estimate the population-averaged $f_{\rm esc}$ using measurements of intrinsic ionising efficiency from JWST. We find $\langle f_{\rm esc} \rangle = 0.126_{-0.041}^{+0.034}$ and $0.224_{-0.108}^{+0.098}$ at $z=5$ and $6$, and $1\sigma$ upper limits of $f_{\rm esc}< 0.138$ and $0.096$ at $z=2.5$ and $4$, respectively, for $M_{\rm UV} < -11$. Our findings are consistent with prior measurements of $f_{\rm esc} \lesssim 10\%$ at $z \leq 4$, but indicate a factor of several increase between $z = 4$ and $6$. The steepness of this evolution is sensitive to the highly uncertain mean free path and ionising background intensity at $z>5$. Lastly, we find $1.10^{+0.21}_{-0.39}$ photons per H atom are emitted into the IGM between $z=6$ and $=5.3$. This is $\approx 4\times$ more than needed to complete the last $20\%$ of reionisation absent recombinations, suggesting that reionisation's end was likely absorption-dominated.

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Cross-correlating the patchy screening and kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effects as a new probe of reionization

The kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect (kSZ) and patchy screening effect are two complementary cosmic microwave background (CMB) probes of the reionization era. The kSZ effect is a relatively strong signal, but is difficult to disentangle from other sources of temperature anisotropy, whereas patchy screening is weaker but can be reconstructed using the cleaner polarization channel. Here, we explore the potential of using upcoming CMB surveys to correlate a reconstructed map of patchy screening with (the square of) the kSZ map, and what a detection of this cross-correlation would mean for reionization science. To do this, we use simulations and theory to quantify the contributions to this signal from different redshifts. We then use the expected survey properties for CMB-S4 and CMB-HD to make detection forecasts. We find that, for or our fiducial reionization scenario, CMB-S4 will obtain a hint of this signal at up to 1.8$\sigma$, and CMB-HD will detect it at up to 14$\sigma$. We explore the physical interpretation of the signal and find that it is uniquely sensitive to the first half of reionization and to the bispectrum of the ionized gas distribution.

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