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Christopher Walsh

Publications and source records attributed to Christopher Walsh.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Estimation and Inference in High-Dimensional Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effects

We develop new econometric methods for estimation and inference in high-dimensional panel data models with interactive fixed effects. Our approach can be regarded as a non-trivial extension of the very popular common correlated effects (CCE) approach. Roughly speaking, we proceed as follows: We first construct a projection device to eliminate the unobserved factors from the model by applying a dimensionality reduction transform to the matrix of cross-sectionally averaged covariates. The unknown parameters are then estimated by applying lasso techniques to the projected model. For inference purposes, we derive a desparsified version of our lasso-type estimator. While the original CCE approach is restricted to the low-dimensional case where the number of regressors is small and fixed, our methods can deal with both low- and high-dimensional situations where the number of regressors is large and may even exceed the overall sample size. We derive theory for our estimation and inference methods both in the large-T-case, where the time series length T tends to infinity, and in the small-T-case, where T is a fixed natural number. Specifically, we derive the convergence rate of our estimator and show that its desparsified version is asymptotically normal under suitable regularity conditions. The theoretical analysis of the paper is complemented by a simulation study and an empirical application to characteristic based asset pricing.

econ.EM

Biermann Battery Magnetic Fields in ICF Capsules: Total Magnetic Flux Generation

This paper focuses on the process of magnetic flux generation in ICF implosions. Hot-spots are shown to be dominated by fields generated during stagnation, when the temperature and density gradients are largest. A scaling of hot-spot magnetic flux is derived and compared with simulations, revealing that perturbations with both larger amplitudes and higher mode numbers generate more magnetic flux. The model allows for greater understanding of which target designs will be susceptible to MHD effects. For example, the model can be used to ascertain the time when most magnetic flux is generated. If generation is weighted more towards early times, then more high-mode magnetic field loops will be present. A hot-spot with no high-mode perturbations at time of peak neutron production can still contain significant magnetic flux on those scales. By assuming that magnetic flux is deposited at the hot-spot edge by Nernst advection, the model can be used to post-process radiation-hydrodynamics data to estimate magnetic field strengths and magnetizations.

physics.plasm-ph

Exploring extreme magnetization phenomena in directly-driven imploding cylindrical targets

This paper uses extended-magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) simulations to explore an extreme magnetized plasma regime realisable by cylindrical implosions on the OMEGA laser facility. This regime is characterized by highly compressed magnetic fields (greater than 10~kT across the fuel), which contain a significant proportion of the implosion energy and induce large electrical currents in the plasma. Parameters governing the different magnetization processes such as Ohmic dissipation and suppression of instabilities by magnetic tension are presented, allowing for optimization of experiments to study specific phenomena. For instance, a dopant added to the target gas-fill can enhance magnetic flux compression while enabling spectroscopic diagnosis of the imploding core. In particular, the use of Ar K-shell spectroscopy is investigated by performing detailed non-LTE atomic kinetics and radiative transfer calculations on the MHD data. Direct measurement of the core electron density and temperature would be possible, allowing for both the impact of magnetization on the final temperature and thermal pressure to be obtained. By assuming the magnetic field is frozen into the plasma motion, which is shown to be a good approximation for highly magnetized implosions, spectroscopic diagnosis could be used to estimate which magnetization processes are ruling the implosion dynamics; for example, a relation is given for inferring whether thermally-driven or current-driven transport is dominating.

physics.plasm-ph

Updated Magnetized Transport Coefficients: Impact on Laser-Plasmas with Self-Generated or Applied Magnetic Fields

Errors in the Epperlein & Haines [PoF (1986)] transport coefficients were recently found at low electron magnetizations, with new magnetic transport coefficients proposed simultaneously by two teams [Sadler, Walsh & Li, PRL (2021) and Davies, Wen, Ji & Held, PoP (2021)]; these two separate sets of updated coefficients are shown in this paper to be in agreement. The importance of these new coefficients in laser-plasmas with either self-generated or applied magnetic fields is demonstrated. When an external magnetic field is applied, the cross-gradient-Nernst term twists the field structure; this twisting is reduced by the new coefficients in the low magnetization regime. For plasmas where only self-generated magnetic fields are present, the new coefficients are found to result in the magnetic field moving with the Righi-Leduc heat-flow, enhancing the impact of MHD. Simulations of Biermann Battery magnetic fields around ICF hot-spot perturbations are presented, with cross-gradient-Nernst transport increasing spike penetration.

physics.plasm-ph

Structural models for policy-making: Coping with parametric uncertainty

The ex-ante evaluation of policies using structural econometric models is based on estimated parameters as a stand-in for the true parameters. This practice ignores uncertainty in the counterfactual policy predictions of the model. We develop a generic approach that deals with parametric uncertainty using uncertainty sets and frames model-informed policy-making as a decision problem under uncertainty. The seminal human capital investment model by Keane and Wolpin (1997) provides a well-known, influential, and empirically-grounded test case. We document considerable uncertainty in the models's policy predictions and highlight the resulting policy recommendations obtained from using different formal rules of decision-making under uncertainty.

econ.EM