arXiv subjects

Christos Georgiou

Publications and source records attributed to Christos Georgiou.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Fisher Forecasting for the DESC with $\texttt{Augur}$

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) has begun its ten-year survey of the entire visible southern hemisphere. To ensure robust cosmological measurements, computationally inexpensive investigations of modeling choices must be made to gauge the performance of proposed cosmological analyses. In this paper, we introduce the $\texttt{Augur}$ tool of the Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC), which provides Fisher forecasts for cosmological inference for the LSST using software frameworks designed for DESC science. We test the pipeline by comparing it to forecasts produced by external code and direct sampling of the posterior via nested sampling methods, finding good agreement between all methods. We additionally investigate a range of modeling and hyperparameter choices for a 3$\times$2pt investigation in harmonic space, providing users with diagnostics to obtain reliable forecasts. $\texttt{Augur}$ will be continually updated to be compatible with the other tools in the DESC software ecosystem as additional probes and functionality become available.

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arXiv2026

KiDS-Legacy: The consistency test of the large-scale structure with Bernardeau-Nishimichi-Taruya transform

We perform the first $k$-cut cosmic shear analysis of the KiDS-Legacy survey. This method uses the Bernardeau-Nishimichi-Taruya (BNT) transform to construct weak-lensing kernels that are more localised than conventional ones, and remove information from selected physical scales while retaining the constraining power of the targeted range. Removing the scale of $k \geq 0.33~\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$ from the KiDS-Legacy pseudo-$C_\ell$ data vector, and using a covariance matrix whose Gaussian component is computed from the theoretical data vector, we find $S_8 = 0.798 \pm 0.045$. This agrees with both the fiducial KiDS-Legacy bandpower result and our no-$k$-cut pseudo-$C_\ell$ posterior to within $0.1\sigma$, indicating no significant bias from nonlinear astrophysical feedback at the precision of KiDS-Legacy. We also study the case in which the Gaussian covariance is computed from the observed data vector. In this setup, the same scale cut of $k < 0.33~\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$ gives a much lower $S_8=0.717_{-0.046}^{+0.047}$. Further $k$-cut tests reveal a mild scale-dependent trend, with larger physical scales preferring lower $S_8$ values and a maximum low- versus high-$k$ deviation of $1.80\sigma$. Mock tests show that this behaviour is not produced by the covariance prescription or data vector alone, but may arise from their interplay. These results show that BNT $k$-cuts provide both a mitigation strategy for nonlinear systematics and a diagnostic of weak-lensing inference pipelines.

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arXiv2026

Balancing bias, baryons, and scale cuts in LSST 3x2pt analysis

Stage IV surveys such as LSST will probe deeply into the nonlinear regime, where systematic effects from galaxy bias and baryonic feedback become dominant and poorly constrained nuisance parameters can lead to degeneracies. In this work we present a $3\times2$pt analysis for LSST Y1 and Y10 data using the BACCO emulator for modelling both the hybrid-effective field theory (HEFT) for nonlinear galaxy bias and the baryonic feedback using the baryonification mechanism. We aim to find a balance between model complexity and scale cuts, with particular attention to parameter degeneracies and baryonic feedback effects on the galaxy--matter and galaxy--galaxy power spectra. First, we find that a linear bias model delivers percent-level, unbiased constraints on $\Omega_{\rm m}$ and $\sigma_8$ only up to $k_{\rm max}=0.1\,h/$Mpc, but pushing to smaller scales requires a perturbative approach. Second, we compare HEFT with a minimal bias variant with fixed higher-order terms, and find that the latter is unbiased in $\Lambda$CDM even at $k_{\rm max}=0.7\,h/$Mpc. We show that higher-order bias can mimic baryonic suppression, but baryons cannot reproduce the full range of higher-order bias behaviour. Third, we find that a detection of the total neutrino mass $M_\nu$ is possible for both Y1 and Y10 for $k\geq0.3\,h/$Mpc, at least when photo-$z$ uncertainties and related nuisance parameters are precisely known. However, the specific measured value is not robust across equally plausible mock scenarios: the inferred $M_\nu$ can be significantly biased by adopting the minimal bias model. The entire analysis is conducted with a new independent, open source pipeline (MGL) that we present for the first time in this work.

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arXiv2026

KiDS-Legacy: Constraining dark energy, neutrino mass, and curvature

We constrained minimally extended cosmological models with the cosmic shear analysis of the final data release from the Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS-Legacy) in combination with external probes. Due to the consistency of the KiDS-Legacy analysis with the cosmic microwave background (CMB), we could combine these datasets reliably for the first time. Additionally, we used CMB lensing, galaxy redshift-space distortions, and baryon acoustic oscillations. We assessed, in turn, the effects of spatial curvature, varying neutrino masses, and an evolving dark energy component on cosmological constraints from KiDS-Legacy alone and from KiDS-Legacy combined with external probes. We find KiDS-Legacy to be consistent with the fiducial flat $Λ$-cold dark matter ($Λ$CDM) analysis with $c^2 \sum m_ν\leq 1.5\,$eV, $w_0 = -1.0\pm 0.7$, and $w_a = -1.3^{+1.9}_{-2.0}$ while $Ω_K = 0.08^{+0.16}_{-0.17}$ (1$σ$ bounds) with an almost equal goodness of fit. The $w_0w_a$CDM model is not a significant improvement over $Λ$CDM when cosmic shear and CMB lensing are combined, yielding a Bayes factor $B = 0.07$. If all probes are combined, however, $B$ increases to 2.73, corresponding to a $2.6σ$ suspiciousness tension. The constraint on $S_8 = σ_8\sqrt{Ω_\mathrm{m}/0.3}$ is robust to opening up the parameter space for cosmic shear. Adding all external datasets to KiDS-Legacy, we find $S_8 = 0.816 \pm 0.006$ in $Λ$CDM and $S_8 = 0.837 \pm 0.008$ in $w_0 w_a$CDM for all probes combined.

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arXiv2026

Probing Physics Beyond the Standard Model through Combined Analyses of Next-Generation Type Ia Supernova, CMB, and BAO Surveys

Observations of Type Ia supernovae (\sne), which probe the late Universe, together with baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) and the cosmic microwave background (CMB), which probe the intermediate and early epochs, provide complementary constraints on the expansion history of the Universe. In this work, we forecast constraints on dark energy and other extensions to the standard cosmological model by combining the SNIa sample expected from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), data from current and forthcoming CMB surveys, and BAO measurements from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). For the CMB, we use temperature, polarization, and lensing power spectra ($TT/EE/TE/ϕϕ$) from South Pole Telescope, the planned Advanced Simons Observatory, and a CMB-S4-like experiment. We derive constraints on $Λ{\rm CDM}$ and its extensions involving the dark energy equation of state parameters $(w_{0}, w_{a})$ and the sum of neutrino masses $\sum m_ν$, using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework. We find that the LSST Year-3 SNIa sample can improve upon the DES Year-5 dark energy constraints by a factor of $\times2-\times2.5$, with the gains driven primarily by the significantly higher SNIa density in the LSST sample. Similarly, DESI-DR3 shows up to a $\times1.8$ improvement on dark energy parameters over DR2, driven largely by the substantial increase in low-redshift sample. Combining CMB with LSST-Y3-SNIa and DESI-DR3-BAO yields $σ(w_{0}) = 0.028$ and $σ(w_{a}) = 0.11$ for $w_{0} w_{a} {\rm CDM}$ cosmology with the results being largely independent of the CMB dataset. The constraints weaken by 10%-30% when freeing $\sum m_ν$ and spatial curvature. Moreover, the joint analysis of the three datasets can enable a $2-3σ$ detection of $\sum m_ν$.

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arXiv2026

Smokescreen: A Python package for data vector blinding and encryption in cosmological analyses

Smokescreen is an open-source Python library for data-vector concealment (blinding) in cosmological analyses. Data-vector blinding works by applying cosmology-dependent shifts to the observed data vector, moving it away from the true cosmological signal without affecting its statistical properties, so that analysts cannot infer the true result until the analysis is frozen and the blinding is lifted. The package computes these shifts using Firecrown likelihoods applied to data vectors stored in the SACC format, ensuring that the theoretical model used for blinding is identical to that used for inference whilst remaining agnostic to the specific observable being blinded. To prevent accidental unblinding, the original SACC file, containing the true cosmology, is encrypted. Although developed for the Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), Smokescreen is applicable to any experiment using Firecrown likelihoods and the SACC data format.

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arXiv2026

Inverting Fisher biases for fast systematics exploration

Upcoming cosmological surveys will achieve increasingly precise constraints in cosmological parameter estimation. To guarantee the robustness of cosmological analyses, it is essential to account for and model systematic effects that can bias cosmological constraints, shifting the best fit parameters away from their fiducial values. It is possible to approximately infer the biases that un-modelled systematic effects might introduce in cosmological parameter estimation by means of the Fisher matrix formalism. In this paper, we introduce a new application of this formalism, where by inverting the process, we investigate whether a specific missing or mis-modelled systematic effect can explain away a given tension between two different probes or experiments. We showcase the proposed methodology by examining two representative systematics: galaxy intrinsic alignments and baryonic feedback. As the method is agnostic to the systematic effect and can be applied to a wider range of scenarios, we discuss more possible future applications. While the proposed approach is accurate in the limit of small offsets in the cosmological parameters, where the likelihood can be considered linear in both the cosmological parameters and the systematics, in practice, the region of validity depends on the systematic effect. In general, even beyond this region, the approach still provides a useful test that helps indicate the magnitude and direction of potential biases from systematic effects in data.

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arXiv2026

Cosmological constraints from galaxy clustering and galaxy-galaxy lensing with extended SubHalo Abundance Matching

We present the first cosmological constraints from a joint analysis of galaxy clustering and galaxy-galaxy lensing using extended SubHalo Abundance Matching (SHAMe). We analyse stellar mass-selected Galaxy And Mass Assembly (GAMA) galaxy clustering and Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS-1000) galaxy-galaxy lensing and find constraints on $S_8\equivσ_8\sqrt{Ω_{\rm m}/0.3}=0.793^{+0.025}_{-0.024}$, in agreement with Planck at 1.7$σ$, with $σ_8$ the mass density fluctuation amplitude in 8 $h^{-1}{\rm Mpc}$ sphere at present and $Ω_{\rm m}$ the density parameter in total matter. These results are in agreement with the Cosmic Microwave Background results from Planck. We are able to constrain all 5 SHAMe parameters, which describe the galaxy-subhalo connection. We validate our methodology by first applying it to simulated catalogues, generated from the TNG300 simulation, which mimic the stellar mass selection of our real data. We show that we are able to recover the input cosmology for both our fiducial and all-scale analyses. Our all-scale analysis extends to scales of galaxy-galaxy lensing below $r_\mathrm{p}<1.4\,\mathrm{Mpc}/h$, which we exclude in our fiducial analysis to avoid baryonic effects. When including all scales, we find a value of $S_8$, which is 1.26$σ$ higher than our fiducial result (against naive expectations where baryonic feedback should lead to small-scale power suppression), and in agreement with Planck at 0.9$σ$. We also find a 21% tighter constraint on $S_8$ and a 29% tighter constraint on $Ω_\mathrm{m}$ compared to our fiducial analysis. This work shows the power and potential of joint small-scale galaxy clustering and galaxy-galaxy lensing analyses using SHAMe.

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arXiv2026

KiDS-Legacy: Constraints on Horndeski gravity from weak lensing combined with galaxy clustering and cosmic microwave background anisotropies

We present constraints on modified gravity from a cosmic shear analysis of the final data release of the Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS-Legacy) in combination with DESI measurements of baryon acoustic oscillations, eBOSS observations of redshift space distortions, and cosmic microwave background anisotropies from Planck. We study the Horndeski class of modified gravity models in an effective field theory framework employing a parameterisation that satisfies stability conditions by construction and, for the first time, present a cosmological analysis in this inherently stable parameter basis. Cosmic shear constrains the Horndeski parameter space significantly, matching or surpassing the CMB contribution. Adopting the de-mixed kinetic term of the scalar field perturbation, $D_{\rm kin}$, and the deviation of the Planck mass from its fiducial value, $ΔM_*^2\equiv M_*^2-1$, as model parameters, we constrain their present values to be $Δ\hat{M}_*^2=0.32^{+0.07}_{-0.21}$ and $\hat{D}_{\rm kin} = 3.74^{+0.69}_{-1.92}$, which deviate from general relativity at $1.5σ$ and $1.9σ$, respectively. We derive constraints on the structure growth parameter $S_8=0.813^{+0.008}_{-0.011}$, which is compatible with the $Λ$CDM constraint at $0.54σ$. We obtain the deviation of the effective Newtonian coupling from the GR value as $Δμ_{\infty,{\rm eff}}=0.066\pm0.023$, corresponding to a $2.9σ$ significance. Although modified gravity provides a slightly better fit to the data, a model comparison shows only a weak preference for modified gravity at the $1.4σ$ level. When adopting a dynamical dark energy model of the background cosmology, the inferred modified gravity parameter constraints are stable with respect to a $Λ$CDM background, while a mild preference at $1.57σ$ for dynamical dark energy remains.

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arXiv2026

Opportunities in AI/ML for the Rubin LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will produce unprecedented volumes of heterogeneous astronomical data (images, catalogs, and alerts) that challenge traditional analysis pipelines. The LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC) aims to derive robust constraints on dark energy and dark matter from these data, requiring methods that are statistically powerful, scalable, and operationally reliable. Artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) are already embedded across DESC science workflows, from photometric redshifts and transient classification to weak lensing inference and cosmological simulations. Yet their utility for precision cosmology hinges on trustworthy uncertainty quantification, robustness to covariate shift and model misspecification, and reproducible integration within scientific pipelines. This white paper surveys the current landscape of AI/ML across DESC's primary cosmological probes and cross-cutting analyses, revealing that the same core methodologies and fundamental challenges recur across disparate science cases. Since progress on these cross-cutting challenges would benefit multiple probes simultaneously, we identify key methodological research priorities, including Bayesian inference at scale, physics-informed methods, validation frameworks, and active learning for discovery. With an eye on emerging techniques, we also explore the potential of the latest foundation model methodologies and LLM-driven agentic AI systems to reshape DESC workflows, provided their deployment is coupled with rigorous evaluation and governance. Finally, we discuss critical software, computing, data infrastructure, and human capital requirements for the successful deployment of these new methodologies, and consider associated risks and opportunities for broader coordination with external actors.

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arXiv2025

KiDS-Legacy: Cosmological constraints from cosmic shear with the complete Kilo-Degree Survey

We present cosmic shear constraints from the completed Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS), where the cosmological parameter $S_8\equivσ_8\sqrt{Ω_{\rm m}/0.3} = 0.815^{+0.016}_{-0.021}$, is found to be in agreement ($0.73σ$) with results from the Planck Legacy cosmic microwave background experiment. The final KiDS footprint spans $1347$ square degrees of deep nine-band imaging across the optical and near-infrared, along with an extra $23$ square degrees of KiDS-like calibration observations of deep spectroscopic surveys. Improvements in our redshift distribution estimation methodology, combined with our enhanced calibration data and multi-band image simulations, allow us to extend our lensed sample out to a photometric redshift of $z_{\rm B}\leq2.0$. Compared to previous KiDS analyses, the increased survey area and redshift depth results in a $\sim32\%$ improvement in constraining power in terms of $Σ_8\equivσ_8\left(Ω_{\rm m}/0.3\right)^α= 0.821^{+0.014}_{-0.016}$, where $α= 0.58$ has been optimised to match the revised degeneracy direction of $σ_8$ and $Ω_{\rm m}$. We adopt a new physically motivated intrinsic alignment model that depends jointly on the galaxy sample's halo mass and spectral type distributions, and that is informed by previous direct alignment measurements. We also marginalise over our uncertainty on the impact of baryon feedback on the non-linear matter power spectrum. Comparing to previous KiDS analyses, we conclude that the increase seen in $S_8$ primarily results from our improved redshift distribution estimation and calibration, as well as new survey area and improved image reduction. Our companion paper Stölzner et al. (submitted) presents a full suite of internal and external consistency tests, finding the KiDS-Legacy data set to be the most internally robust sample produced by KiDS to date.

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arXiv2025

KiDS-Legacy: Redshift distributions and their calibration

We present the redshift calibration methodology and bias estimates for the cosmic shear analysis of the fifth and final data release (DR5) of the Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS). KiDS-DR5 includes a greatly expanded compilation of calibrating spectra, drawn from $27$ square degrees of dedicated optical and near-IR imaging taken over deep spectroscopic fields. The redshift distribution calibration leverages a range of new methods and updated simulations to produce the most precise $N(z)$ bias estimates used by KiDS to date. Improvements to our colour-based redshift distribution measurement method (SOM) mean that we are able to use many more sources per tomographic bin for our cosmological analyses, and better estimate the representation of our source sample given the available spec-$z$. We validate our colour-based redshift distribution estimates with spectroscopic cross-correlations (CC). We find that improvements to our cross-correlation redshift distribution measurement methods mean that redshift distribution biases estimated between the SOM and CC methods are fully consistent on simulations, and the data calibration is consistent to better than $2σ$ in all tomographic bins.

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arXiv2025

KiDS-Legacy: Consistency of cosmic shear measurements and joint cosmological constraints with external probes

We present a cosmic shear consistency analysis of the final data release from the Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS-Legacy). By adopting three tiers of consistency metrics, we compare cosmological constraints between subsets of the KiDS-Legacy dataset split by redshift, angular scale, galaxy colour and spatial region. We also review a range of two-point cosmic shear statistics. With the data passing all our consistency metric tests, we demonstrate that KiDS-Legacy is the most internally consistent KiDS catalogue to date. In a joint cosmological analysis of KiDS-Legacy and DES Y3 cosmic shear, combined with data from the Pantheon+ Type Ia supernovae compilation and baryon acoustic oscillations from DESI Y1, we find constraints consistent with Planck measurements of the cosmic microwave background with $S_8\equiv σ_8\sqrt{Ω_{\rm m}/0.3} = 0.814^{+0.011}_{-0.012}$ and $σ_8 = 0.802^{+0.022}_{-0.018}$.

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arXiv2025

KiDS-Legacy: Covariance validation and the unified OneCovariance framework for projected large-scale structure observables

We introduce OneCovariance, an open-source software designed to accurately compute covariance matrices for an arbitrary set of two-point summary statistics across a variety of large-scale structure tracers. Utilising the halo model, we estimated the statistical properties of matter and biased tracer fields, incorporating all Gaussian, non-Gaussian, and super-sample covariance terms. The flexible configuration permits user-specific parameters, such as the complexity of survey geometry, the halo occupation distribution employed to define each galaxy sample, or the form of the real-space and/or Fourier space statistics to be analysed. We illustrate the capabilities of OneCovariance within the context of a cosmic shear analysis of the final data release of the Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS-Legacy). Upon comparing our estimated covariance with measurements from mock data and calculations from independent software, we ascertain that OneCovariance achieves accuracy at the per cent level. When assessing the impact of ignoring complex survey geometry in the cosmic shear covariance computation, we discover misestimations at approximately the $10\%$ level for cosmic variance terms. Nonetheless, these discrepancies do not significantly affect the KiDS-Legacy recovery of cosmological parameters. We derive the cross-covariance between real-space correlation functions, bandpowers, and COSEBIs, facilitating future consistency tests among these three cosmic shear statistics. Additionally, we calculate the covariance matrix of photometric-spectroscopic galaxy clustering measurements, validating the jackknife covariance estimates for calibrating KiDS-Legacy redshift distributions. The OneCovariance can be found on GitHub, together with comprehensive documentation and examples.

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arXiv2025

Intrinsic galaxy alignments in the KiDS-1000 bright sample: dependence on colour, luminosity, morphology, and galaxy scale

The intrinsic alignment (IA) of galaxies is a major astrophysical contaminant to weak gravitational lensing measurements, and the study of its dependence on galaxy properties helps provide meaningful physical priors that aid cosmological analyses. This work studied for the first time the dependence of IA on galaxy structural parameters. We measured the IA of bright galaxies, selected on apparent r-band magnitude r<20, in the Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS). Machine-learning-based photometric redshift estimates are available for this galaxy sample that helped us obtain a clean measurement of its IA signal. We supplemented this sample with a catalogue of structural parameters from Sersic profile fits to the surface-brightness profiles of the galaxies. We split the sample on galaxy intrinsic colour, luminosity, and Sersic index, and we fitted the non-linear linear alignment model to galaxy position-shape projected correlation function measurements on large scales. We observe a power-law luminosity dependence of the large-scale IA amplitude, $A_{IA}$, for both the red and high-Sersic-index ($n_s>2.5$) samples, and find no significant difference between the two. We measure an $\sim1.5σ$ lower $A_{IA}$ for red galaxies that also have a Sersic index of $n_s<4$ compared to the expected amplitude predicted using the sample's luminosity. We also probe the IA of red galaxies as a function of galaxy scale by varying the radial weight employed in the shape measurement. On large scales (above 6 Mpc/$h$), we do not detect a significant difference in the alignment. On smaller scales, we observe that IA increase with galaxy scale, with outer galaxy regions showing stronger alignments than inner regions. Finally, for intrinsically blue galaxies, we find $A_{IA}=-0.67\pm1.00$, which is consistent with previous works, and we find IA to be consistent with zero for the low-Sersic-index ($n_s<2.5$) sample.

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arXiv2025

KiDS-Legacy: Angular galaxy clustering from deep surveys with complex selection effects

Photometric galaxy surveys, despite their limited resolution along the line of sight, encode rich information about the large-scale structure (LSS) of the Universe thanks to the high number density and extensive depth of the data. However, the complicated selection effects in wide and deep surveys can potentially cause significant bias in the angular two-point correlation function (2PCF) measured from those surveys. In this paper, we measure the 2PCF from the newly published KiDS-Legacy sample. Given an $r$-band $5σ$ magnitude limit of $24.8$ and survey footprint of $1347$ deg$^2$, it achieves an excellent combination of sky coverage and depth for such a measurement. We find that complex selection effects, primarily induced by varying seeing, introduce over-estimation of the 2PCF by approximately an order of magnitude. To correct for such effects, we apply a machine learning-based method to recover an organised random (OR) that presents the same selection pattern as the galaxy sample. The basic idea is to find the selection-induced clustering of galaxies using a combination of self-organising maps (SOMs) and hierarchical clustering (HC). This unsupervised machine learning method is able to recover complicated selection effects without specifying their functional forms. We validate this SOM+HC method on mock deep galaxy samples with realistic systematics and selections derived from the KiDS-Legacy catalogue. Using mock data, we demonstrate that the OR delivers unbiased 2PCF cosmological parameter constraints, removing the $27σ$ offset in the galaxy bias parameter that is recovered when adopting uniform randoms. Blinded measurements on the real KiDS-Legacy data show that the corrected 2PCF is robust to the SOM+HC configuration near the optimal set-up suggested by the mock tests.

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arXiv2024

Third-order intrinsic alignment of SDSS BOSS LOWZ galaxies

Cosmic shear is a powerful probe of cosmology, but it is affected by the intrinsic alignment (IA) of galaxy shapes with the large-scale structure. Upcoming surveys like Euclid and Vera C. Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) require an accurate understanding of IA, particularly for higher-order cosmic shear statistics that are vital for extracting the most cosmological information. In this paper, we report the first detection of third-order IA correlations using the LOWZ galaxy sample from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS). We compare our measurements with predictions from the MICE cosmological simulation and an analytical NLA-inspired model informed by second-order correlations. We also explore the dependence of the third-order correlation on the galaxies' luminosity. We find that the amplitude $A_\mathrm{IA}$ of the IA signal is non-zero at the $4.7σ$ ($7.6σ$) level for scales between $6 h^{-1} \mathrm{Mpc}$ ($1 h^{-1} \mathrm{Mpc}$) and $20 h^{-1} \mathrm{Mpc}$. For scales above $6 h^{-1}\mathrm{Mpc}$ the inferred AIA agrees both with the prediction from the simulation and estimates from second-order statistics within $1σ$ but deviations arise at smaller scales. Our results demonstrate the feasibility of measuring third-order IA correlations and using them for constraining IA models. The agreement between second- and third-order IA constraints also opens the opportunity for a consistent joint analysis and IA self-calibration, promising tighter parameter constraints for upcoming cosmological surveys.

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arXiv2024

6x2pt: Forecasting gains from joint weak lensing and galaxy clustering analyses with spectroscopic-photometric galaxy cross-correlations

We explore the enhanced self-calibration of photometric galaxy redshift distributions, $n(z)$, through the combination of up to six two-point functions. Our $\rm 3\times2pt$ configuration is comprised of photometric shear, spectroscopic galaxy clustering, and spectroscopic-photometric galaxy-galaxy lensing (GGL). We further include spectroscopic-photometric cross-clustering; photometric GGL; and photometric auto-clustering, using the photometric shear sample as density tracer. We perform simulated likelihood forecasts of the cosmological and nuisance parameter constraints for Stage-III- and Stage-IV-like surveys. For the Stage-III-like case, we employ realistic but perturbed redshift distributions, and distinguish between "coherent" shifting in one direction, versus more internal scattering and full-shape errors. For perfectly known $n(z)$, a $\rm 6\times2pt$ analysis gains $\sim40\%$ in Figure of Merit (FoM) in the $S_8\equivσ_8\sqrt{Ω_{\rm m}/0.3}$ and $Ω_{\rm m}$ plane relative to the $\rm 3\times2pt$ analysis. If untreated, coherent and incoherent redshift errors lead to inaccurate inferences of $S_8$ and $Ω_{\rm m}$, respectively. Employing bin-wise scalar shifts $δ{z}_i$ in the tomographic mean redshifts reduces cosmological parameter biases, with a $\rm 6x2pt$ analysis constraining the shift parameters with $2-4$ times the precision of a photometric $\rm 3^{ph}\times2pt$ analysis. For the Stage-IV-like survey, a $\rm 6\times2pt$ analysis doubles the FoM($σ_8{-}Ω_{\rm m}$) compared to any $\rm 3\times2pt$ or $\rm 3^{ph}\times2pt$ analysis, and is only $8\%$ less constraining than if the $n(z)$ were perfectly known. A Gaussian mixture model for the $n(z)$ reduces mean-redshift errors and preserves the $n(z)$ shape. It also yields the most accurate and precise cosmological constraints for any $N\rm\times2pt$ configuration given $n(z)$ biases.

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