arXiv subjects

Claudia Codeço

Publications and source records attributed to Claudia Codeço.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2020

Modelling reporting delays for disease surveillance data

One difficulty for real-time tracking of epidemics is related to reporting delay. The reporting delay may be due to laboratory confirmation, logistic problems, infrastructure difficulties and so on. The ability to correct the available information as quickly as possible is crucial, in terms of decision making such as issuing warnings to the public and local authorities. A Bayesian hierarchical modelling approach is proposed as a flexible way of correcting the reporting delays and to quantify the associated uncertainty. Implementation of the model is fast, due to the use of the integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA). The approach is illustrated on dengue fever incidence data in Rio de Janeiro, and Severe Acute Respiratory Illness (SARI) data in Paraná state, Brazil.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2012

Binary regression analysis with network structure of respondent-driven sampling data

Respondent-driven sampling (RDS) is a procedure to sample from hard-to-reach populations. It has been widely used in several countries, especially in the monitoring of HIV/AIDS and other sexually transmitted infections. Hard-to-reach populations have had a key role in the dynamics of such epidemics and must inform evidence-based initiatives aiming to curb their spread. In this paper, we present a simple test for network dependence for a binary response variable. We estimate the prevalence of the response variable. We also propose a binary regression model taking into account the RDS structure which is included in the model through a latent random effect with a correlation structure. The proposed model is illustrated in a RDS study for HIV and Syphilis in men who have sex with men implemented in Campinas (Brazil).

stat.AP↗