Searcharxiv⌕ Search

arXiv subjects

Claudia Di Caterina

Publications and source records attributed to Claudia Di Caterina.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

Efficient computation of mixture confidence sequences in generalized linear models

Classical confidence intervals, when repeatedly obtained on accumulating data at different sample sizes, produce contradictory inferences with high probability. We propose a simple and efficient strategy for computing, instead, mixture confidence sequences for regression coefficients in generalized linear models under this sequential framework. Simulations demonstrate the computational convenience of our approach and the importance of drawing inferential conclusions based on these anytime-valid tools when observations become available in batches over time. The usefulness of the proposed procedure is also shown in the analysis of streaming data from the American National Automotive Sampling System.

stat.ME↗

Directional testing for one-way MANOVA in divergent dimensions

Testing the equality of mean vectors across $g$ different groups plays an important role in many scientific fields. In regular frameworks, likelihood-based statistics under the normality assumption offer a general solution to this task. However, the accuracy of standard asymptotic results is not reliable when the dimension $p$ of the data is large relative to the sample size $n_i$ of each group. We propose here an exact directional test for the equality of $g$ normal mean vectors with identical unknown covariance matrix in a high dimensional setting, provided that $\sum_{i=1}^g n_i \ge p+g+1$. In the case of two groups ($g=2$), the directional test coincides with the Hotelling's $T^2$ test. In the more general situation where the $g$ independent groups may have different unknown covariance matrices, although exactness does not hold, simulation studies show that the directional test is more accurate than most commonly used likelihood{-}based solutions, at least in a moderate dimensional setting in which $p=O(n_i^τ)$, $τ\in (0,1)$. Robustness of the directional approach and its competitors under deviation from the assumption of multivariate normality is also numerically investigated. Our proposal is here applied to data on blood characteristics of male athletes and to microarray data storing gene expressions in patients with breast tumors.

math.ST↗

Directional tests in Gaussian graphical models

Directional tests to compare incomplete undirected graphs are developed in the general context of covariance selection for Gaussian graphical models. The exactness of the underlying saddlepoint approximation is proved for chordal graphs and leads to exact control of the size of the tests, given that the only approximation error involved is due to the numerical calculation of two scalar integrals. Although exactness is not guaranteed for non-chordal graphs, the ability of the saddlepoint approximation to control the relative error leads the directional test to overperform its competitors even in these cases. The accuracy of our proposal is verified by simulation experiments under challenging scenarios, where inference via standard asymptotic approximations to the likelihood ratio test and some of its higher-order modifications fails. The directional approach is used to illustrate the assessment of Markovian dependencies in a dataset from a veterinary trial on cattle. A second example with microarray data shows how to select the graph structure related to genetic anomalies due to acute lymphocytic leukemia.

stat.ME↗

Directional testing for high-dimensional multivariate normal distributions

Thanks to its favorable properties, the multivariate normal distribution is still largely employed for modeling phenomena in various scientific fields. However, when the number of components $p$ is of the same asymptotic order as the sample size $n$, standard inferential techniques are generally inadequate to conduct hypothesis testing on the mean vector and/or the covariance matrix. Within several prominent frameworks, we propose then to draw reliable conclusions via a directional test. We show that under the null hypothesis the directional $p$-value is exactly uniformly distributed even when $p$ is of the same order of $n$, provided that conditions for the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate for the normal model are satisfied. Extensive simulation results confirm the theoretical findings across different values of $p/n$, and show that under the null hypothesis the directional test outperforms not only the usual first and higher-order finite-$p$ solutions but also alternative methods tailored for high-dimensional settings. Simulation results also indicate that the power performance of the different tests depends on the specific alternative hypothesis.

math.ST↗

Sparse composite likelihood selection

Composite likelihood has shown promise in settings where the number of parameters $p$ is large due to its ability to break down complex models into simpler components, thus enabling inference even when the full likelihood is not tractable. Although there are a number of ways to formulate a valid composite likelihood in the finite-$p$ setting, there does not seem to exist agreement on how to construct composite likelihoods that are comp utationally efficient and statistically sound when $p$ is allowed to diverge. This article introduces a method to select sparse composite likelihoods by minimizing a criterion representing the statistical efficiency of the implied estimator plus an $L_1$-penalty discouraging the inclusion of too many sub-likelihood terms. Conditions under which consistent model selection occurs are studied. Examples illustrating the procedure are analysed in detail and applied to real data.

stat.ME↗

Monte Carlo modified profile likelihood in models for clustered data

The main focus of the analysts who deal with clustered data is usually not on the clustering variables, and hence the group-specific parameters are treated as nuisance. If a fixed effects formulation is preferred and the total number of clusters is large relative to the single-group sizes, classical frequentist techniques relying on the profile likelihood are often misleading. The use of alternative tools, such as modifications to the profile likelihood or integrated likelihoods, for making accurate inference on a parameter of interest can be complicated by the presence of nonstandard modelling and/or sampling assumptions. We show here how to employ Monte Carlo simulation in order to approximate the modified profile likelihood in some of these unconventional frameworks. The proposed solution is widely applicable and is shown to retain the usual properties of the modified profile likelihood. The approach is examined in two instances particularly relevant in applications, i.e. missing-data models and survival models with unspecified censoring distribution. The effectiveness of the proposed solution is validated via simulation studies and two clinical trial applications.

stat.ME↗