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Claudia Panico

Publications and source records attributed to Claudia Panico.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

EPITIME: A Computational Framework for Integral Epidemic Models with Structure-Preserving Discretizations

We present EPITIME (EPidemic Integral models TIMe profile Explorer), a computational framework for the simulation of two classes of integral epidemic models: an age of infection model and an information dependent behavioural model. The framework combines structure preserving Non-Standard Finite Difference discretizations with modular implementations in MATLAB and Python, together with routines for parameter handling, input validation, performance assessment, and graphical interaction. The proposed methods preserve key qualitative properties of the continuous problems, including positivity, boundedness, invariant regions, and correct long term behaviour, independently of the time step. We outline the numerical schemes for both model classes and their main analytical properties, including first order convergence. We then describe the software architecture and illustrate its use through numerical experiments on asymptotic behaviour, inverse reconstruction of an infectivity kernel from COVID 19 incidence data, and behavioural dynamics under different memory kernels. Overall, EPITIME provides a reliable and accessible computational environment for the numerical study of renewal epidemic models.

q-bio.QM

An integral renewal equation approach to behavioural epidemic models with information index

We propose an integral model describing an epidemic of an infectious disease. The model is behavioural in the sense that the constitutive law for the force of infection includes a distributed delay, called "information index", that describes the opinion-driven human behavioural changes. The information index, in turn, contains a memory kernel to mimic how the individuals maintain memory of the past values of the infection. We obtain sufficient conditions for the endemic equilibrium to be locally stable. In particular, we show that when the infectivity function is represented by an exponential distribution, stability is guaranteed by the weak Erlang memory kernel. However, through numerical simulations, we show that self-sustained oscillations may arise when the memory is more focused in the disease's past history, as exemplified by the strong Erlang kernel. We also show the model solutions in cases of different infectivity functions describing infectious diseases like influenza and SARS.

math.DS