arXiv subjects

Colin O. Chandler

Publications and source records attributed to Colin O. Chandler.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Emerging Diversity Among the Main-Belt Comets: Insights from JWST and Ground-Based Observations of 457P/Lemmon-PANSTARRS

We present JWST NIRSpec and NIRCam observations of 457P/Lemmon-PANSTARRS, a main-belt comet that displayed activity around its 2020 perihelion and that was observed to regain activity during its 2024 perihelion by a ground-based observing campaign. The previous successful measurements of water production from two main-belt comets by the JWST NIRSpec instrument confirmed the hypothesis that H2O reservoirs are responsible for activity in dynamically stable main-belt comets. However, the main-belt comets observed with JWST thus far, 238P/Read and 358P/PANSTARRS, occupy orbits in the outer main-belt, with main-belt comets with smaller semi-major axes not yet sensitively tested for H2O. We find that despite clearly displaying dust activity in both ground-based and JWST imaging over a broad period, there were no corresponding H2O, CO, CO2, or CH3OH emissions within sensitive upper limits; notable given 457P is the first main-belt comet with a semi-major axis within the 5:2 mean-motion resonance with Jupiter. We show that we were sensitive to production rates of gas predicted by the dust/gas ratios of 238P and 358P, and hypothesize that 457P may be more depleted than its companions; Q(H2O) must be less than 2x10^24 molecules/s, or 0.035 kg/s. Further surveying of main-belt comets across the parameter space of semi-major axis and eccentricity will shed light on whether 457P represents an edge member of a spectrum or a distinct subclass of main-belt comets.

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arXiv2026

Characterization of the Volatile Properties of 133P/Elst-Pizarro and Other Main-Belt Comets with JWST and Ground-Based Observations

We report results from an analysis of the volatile composition and evolution of main-belt comet (MBC) 133P/Elst-Pizarro using JWST NIRSpec and NIRCam observations and ground-based observations during its 2024 active apparition, and also assess the body of JWST MBC observations acquired to date. Using NIRSpec, we measure water vapor outgassing rates at two points in 133P's orbit, finding Q(H2O)=(1.9+/-0.6)x10^25 molecules/s on UT 2024 June 12 (at a true anomaly of nu=8 deg and heliocentric distance of rh=2.674 au), and Q(H2O)=(1.4+/-0.4)x10^25 molecules/s on UT 2024 October 14 (at nu=37.4 deg and rh=2.747 au). These measurements nominally represent a decline of ~25% in Q(H2O) between the visits, although they are also consistent with no change within uncertainties. We do not detect CO, CO2, or CH3OH, placing 133P's hypervolatile depletion (Q(CO2)/Q(H_2O)<0.009) at a similar level found for previously observed MBCs. We find log(Afrho/Q(H2O)) values for the three MBCs for which water vapor outgassing has been successfully detected that are consistent within uncertainties with an average value of log(Afrho/Q(H2O))=-24.6+/-0.2. Lastly, we find no clear correlations of water production rates with nucleus size, semimajor axis, or heliocentric distance among MBCs observed by JWST so far, but would particularly encourage future JWST observations of additional MBCs interior to the 5A:2J MMR with Jupiter and at high inclinations, as well as multiple observations of MBCs during single active apparitions to further investigate areas of interest identified from the current sample of JWST-observed MBCs.

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arXiv2026

Time-Domain Photometry and Activity Evolution of Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS with BHTOM

Time-domain photometric monitoring is essential for characterizing cometary evolution, particularly for rare interstellar objects with limited observing opportunities. We aimed to characterize the pre-perihelion photometric behavior and dust activity of the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS, and to test the capability of the Black Hole Target and Observation Manager (BHTOM) platform and telescope network for coordinated high-cadence non-sidereal observations. We obtained 70 days of time-series photometry of 3I/ATLAS from 2025 July 4 - September 11 using 16 telescopes and 1554 images. The data were processed and calibrated with the BHTOM pipeline. High-cadence, multi-band imaging was used to measure the rotation period and color evolution, while the dust activity was quantified via Afp measurements. We present a pre-perihelion light curve of 3I/ATLAS from Rh = 3.18 - 2.19 au, which exhibited a steady increase of ~3 magnitudes with no evidence of anomalous behavior. We measured a rotation period of P_rot = 15.98 +/- 0.08 h. The relative dust production increased from A(0)fp ~600 - 1100 cm, and the upper limit on the dust mass-loss rate increased from \leq 217 kg/s to \leq 328 kg/s. We measured an activity index of n = -1.24 +/- 0.02, consistent with a well-developed dust coma. The colors were statistically non-changing, with only a weak, non-significant tendency for 3I/ATLAS to become bluer at 3.5 > Rh > 2.2 au.

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arXiv2025

Tuning the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) Observing Strategy for Solar System Science: Incremental Templates in Year 1

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory is due to commence the 10-year Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) at the end of 2025. To detect transient/variable sources and identify solar system objects (SSOs), the processing pipelines require templates of the static sky to perform difference imaging. During the first year of the LSST, templates must be generated as the survey progresses, otherwise SSOs cannot be discovered nightly. The incremental template generation strategy has not been finalized; therefore, we use the Metric Analysis Framework (MAF) and a simulation of the survey cadence (one_snap_v4.0_10yrs}) to explore template generation in Year 1. We have assessed the effects of generating templates over timescales of days-weeks, when at least four images of sufficient quality are available for $\geq90\%$ of the visit. We predict that SSO discoveries will begin $\sim$2-3 months after the start of the survey. We find that the ability of the LSST to discover SSOs in real-time is reduced in Year 1. This is especially true for detections in areas of the sky that receive fewer visits, such as the North Ecliptic Spur (NES), and in less commonly used filters, such as the $u$ and $g$-bands. The lack of templates in the NES dominates the loss of real-time SSO discoveries; across the whole sky the MAF Main-Belt asteroid (MBA) discovery metric decreases by up to $63\%$ compared to the baseline observing strategy, whereas the metric decreases by up to $79\%$ for MBAs in the NES alone.

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arXiv2024

The Volatile Composition and Activity Evolution of Main-Belt Comet 358P/PANSTARRS

We report the detection of water vapor associated with main-belt comet 358P/PANSTARRS on UT 2024 January 8-9 using the NIRSPEC instrument aboard JWST. We derive a water production rate of Q(H2O)=(5.0+/-0.2)x10^25 molecules/s, marking only the second direct detection of sublimation products of any kind from a main-belt comet, after 238P/Read. Similar to 238P, we find a remarkable absence of hypervolatile species, finding Q(CO2)<7.6x10^22 molecules/s, corresponding to Q(CO2)/Q(H2O)<0.2%. Upper limits on CH3OH and CO emission are also estimated. Photometry from ground-based observations show that the dust coma brightened and faded slowly over ~250 days in 2023-2024, consistent with photometric behavior observed in 2012-2013, but also indicate a ~2.5x decline in the dust production rate between these two periods. Dynamical dust modeling shows that the coma's morphology as imaged by JWST's NIRCAM instrument on 2023 November 22 can be reproduced by asymmetric dust emission from a nucleus with a mid-range obliquity (~80 deg) with a steady-state mass loss rate of ~0.8 kg/s. Finally, we find similar Afrho-to-gas ratios of log10(Afrho/Q(H2O))=-24.8+/-0.2 for 358P and log10(Afrho/QH2O)=-24.4+/-0.2 for 238P, suggesting that Afrho could serve as an effective proxy for estimating water production rates in other active main-belt comets. The confirmation of water vapor outgassing in both main-belt comets observed by JWST to date reinforces the use of recurrent activity near perihelion as an indicator of sublimation-driven activity in active asteroids.

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arXiv2021

Physical Characterization of Main-Belt Comet (248370) 2005 QN173

We report results from new and archival observations of the newly discovered active asteroid (248370) 2005 QN_137, which has been determined to be a likely main-belt comet based on a subsequent discovery that it is recurrently active near perihelion. From archival data analysis, we estimate g'-, r'-, i'-, and z'-band absolute magnitudes for the nucleus of H_g=16.62+/-0.13, H_r=16.12+/-0.10, H_i=16.05+/-0.11, and H_z=15.93+/-0.08, corresponding to nucleus colors of g'-r'=0.50+/-0.16, r'-i'=0.07+/-0.15, and i'-z'=0.12+/-0.14, an equivalent V-band absolute magnitude of H_V=16.32+/-0.08, and a nucleus radius of r_n=1.6+/-0.2 km (using a V-band albedo of p_V=0.054+/-0.012). Meanwhile, we find mean near-nucleus coma colors when 248370 was active of g'-r'=0.47+/-0.03, r'-i'=0.10+/-0.04, and i'-z'=0.05+/-0.05, and similar mean dust tail colors, suggesting that no significant gas coma is present. We find approximate ratios between the scattering cross-sections of near-nucleus dust (within 5000 km of the nucleus) and the nucleus of A_d/A_n=0.7+/-0.3 on 2016 July 22, and 1.8<A_d/A_n<2.9 in 2021 July and August. During the 2021 observation period, the coma declined in intrinsic brightness by ~0.35 mag (or ~25%) in 37 days, while the surface brightness of the dust tail remained effectively constant over the same period. Constraints derived from the sunward extent of the coma suggest that terminal velocities of ejected dust grains are extremely slow (~1 m/s for 1 micron particles), indicating that the observed dust emission may have been aided by rapid rotation of the nucleus lowering the effective escape velocity.

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