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Cora Uhlemann

Publications and source records attributed to Cora Uhlemann.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

The matter density PDF for modified gravity and dark energy with Large Deviations Theory

We present an analytical description of the probability distribution function (PDF) of the smoothed three-dimensional matter density field for modified gravity and dark energy. Our approach, based on the principles of Large Deviations Theory, is applicable to general extensions of the standard $Λ$CDM cosmology. We show that late-time changes to the law of gravity and background expansion can be included through Einstein-de Sitter spherical collapse dynamics combined with linear theory calculations and a calibration measurement of the non-linear variance of the smoothed density field from a simple numerical simulation. In a comparison to $N$-body simulations for $f(R)$, DGP and evolving dark energy theories, we find percent level accuracy around the peak of the distribution for predictions in the mildly non-linear regime. A Fisher forecast of an idealised experiment with a Euclid-like survey volume demonstrates the power of combining measurements of the 3D matter PDF with the 3D matter power spectrum. This combination is shown to halve the uncertainty on parameters for an evolving dark energy model, relative to a power spectrum analysis on its own. The PDF is also found to substantially increase the detection significance for small departures from General Relativity, with improvements of up to six times compared to the power spectrum alone. This analysis is therefore very promising for future studies including non-Gaussian statistics, as it has the potential to alleviate the reliance of these analyses on expensive high resolution simulations and emulators.

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Numerical complexity of the joint nulled weak-lensing probability distribution function

In the context of tomographic cosmic shear surveys, there exists a nulling transformation of weak lensing observations (also called BNT transform) that allows us to simplify the correlation structure of tomographic cosmic shear observations, as well as to build observables that depend only on a localised range of redshifts and thus independent from the low-redshift/small-scale modes. This procedure renders possible accurate, and from-first-principles, predictions of the convergence and aperture mass one-point distributions (PDF). We here explore other consequences of this transformation on the (reduced) numerical complexity of the estimation of the joint PDF between nulled bins and demonstrate how to use these results to make theoretical predictions.

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One-point statistics matter in extended cosmologies

The late universe contains a wealth of information about fundamental physics and gravity, wrapped up in non-Gaussian fields. To make use of as much information as possible it is necessary to go beyond two-point statistics. Rather than going to higher order N-point correlation functions, we demonstrate that the probability distribution function (PDF) of spheres in the matter field (a one-point function) already contains a significant amount of this non-Gaussian information. The matter PDF dissects different density environments which are lumped together in two-point statistics, making it particularly useful for probing modifications of gravity or expansion history. Our approach in Cataneo et. al. 2021 extends the success of Large Deviation Theory for predicting the matter PDF in $Λ$CDM in these ''extended'' cosmologies. A Fisher forecast demonstrates the information content in the matter PDF via constraints for a Euclid-like survey volume combining the 3D matter PDF with the 3D matter power spectrum. Adding the matter PDF halves the uncertainties on parameters in an evolving dark energy model, relative to the power spectrum alone. Additionally, the matter PDF contains enough non-linear information to substantially increase the detection significance of departures from General Relativity, with improvements up to six times the power spectrum alone. This analysis demonstrates that the matter PDF is a promising non-Gaussian statistic for extracting cosmological information, particularly for beyond $Λ$CDM models.

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The Quijote simulations

The Quijote simulations are a set of 44,100 full N-body simulations spanning more than 7,000 cosmological models in the $\{Ω_{\rm m}, Ω_{\rm b}, h, n_s, σ_8, M_ν, w \}$ hyperplane. At a single redshift the simulations contain more than 8.5 trillions of particles over a combined volume of 44,100 $(h^{-1}{\rm Gpc})^3$; each simulation follow the evolution of $256^3$, $512^3$ or $1024^3$ particles in a box of $1~h^{-1}{\rm Gpc}$ length. Billions of dark matter halos and cosmic voids have been identified in the simulations, whose runs required more than 35 million core hours. The Quijote simulations have been designed for two main purposes: 1) to quantify the information content on cosmological observables, and 2) to provide enough data to train machine learning algorithms. In this paper we describe the simulations and show a few of their applications. We also release the Petabyte of data generated, comprising hundreds of thousands of simulation snapshots at multiple redshifts, halo and void catalogs, together with millions of summary statistics such as power spectra, bispectra, correlation functions, marked power spectra, and estimated probability density functions.

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Primordial non-Gaussianity without tails -- how to measure fNL with the bulk of the density PDF

We investigate the possibility to detect primordial non-Gaussianity by analysing the bulk of the probability distribution function (PDF) of late-time cosmic density fluctuations. For this purpose we devise a new method to predict the impact of general non-Gaussian initial conditions on the late-time density PDF. At redshift $z=1$ and for a smoothing scale of 30Mpc/$h$ our predictions agree with the high-resolution Quijote N-body simulations to $\sim 0.2\%$ precision. This is within cosmic variance of a $\sim 100(\mathrm{Gpc}/h)^3$ survey volume. When restricting to this 30Mpc/$h$ smoothing scale and to mildly non-linear densities ($δ[30\mathrm{Mpc}/h] \in [-0.3, 0.4]$) and also marginalizing over potential ignorance of the amplitude of the non-linear power spectrum an analysis of the PDF for such a survey volume can still measure the amplitude of different primordial bispectrum shapes to an accuracy of \smash{$Δf_{\mathrm{NL}}^{\mathrm{loc}}=\pm 7.4\ ,\ Δf_{\mathrm{NL}}^{\mathrm{equi}}=\pm 22.0\ ,\ Δf_{\mathrm{NL}}^{\mathrm{ortho}}=\pm 46.0$} . When pushing to smaller scales and assuming a joint analysis of the PDF with smoothing radii of 30Mpc/$h$ and 15Mpc/$h$ ($δ[15\mathrm{Mpc}/h] \in [-0.4, 0.5]$) this improves to \smash{$Δf_{\mathrm{NL}}^{\mathrm{loc}}=\pm 3.3\ ,\ Δf_{\mathrm{NL}}^{\mathrm{equi}}=\pm 11.0\ ,\ Δf_{\mathrm{NL}}^{\mathrm{ortho}}=\pm 17.0\ $} - even when marginalizing over the non-linear variances at both scales as two free parameters. Especially, such an analysis could simultaneously measure $f_{\mathrm{NL}}$ and the amplitude and slope of the non-linear power spectrum. However, at 15Mpc/$h$ our predictions are only accurate to $\lesssim 0.8\%$ for the considered density range. We discuss how this has to be improved in order to push to these small scales and make full use of upcoming surveys with a PDF-based analysis.

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The PDF perspective on the tracer-matter connection: Lagrangian bias and non-Poissonian shot noise

We study the connection of matter density and its tracers from the PDF perspective. One aspect of this connection is the conditional expectation value $\langle δ_{\mathrm{tracer}}|δ_m\rangle$ when averaging both tracer and matter density over some scale. We present a new way to incorporate a Lagrangian bias expansion of this expectation value into standard frameworks for modelling the PDF of density fluctuations and counts-in-cells statistics. Using N-body simulations and mock galaxy catalogs we confirm the accuracy of this expansion and compare it to the more commonly used Eulerian parametrization. For halos hosting typical luminous red galaxies, the Lagrangian model provides a significantly better description of $\langle δ_{\mathrm{tracer}}|δ_m\rangle$ at second order in perturbations. A second aspect of the matter-tracer connection is shot-noise, \ie the scatter of tracer density around $\langle δ_{\mathrm{tracer}}|δ_m\rangle$. It is well known that this noise can be significantly non-Poissonian and we validate the performance of a more general, two-parameter shot-noise model for different tracers and simulations. Both parts of our analysis are meant to pave the way for forthcoming applications to survey data.

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Nuw CDM cosmology from the weak lensing convergence PDF

Pinning down the total neutrino mass and the dark energy equation of state is a key aim for upcoming galaxy surveys. Weak lensing is a unique probe of the total matter distribution whose non-Gaussian statistics can be quantified by the one-point probability distribution function (PDF) of the lensing convergence. We calculate the convergence PDF on mildly non-linear scales from first principles using large-deviation statistics, accounting for dark energy and the total neutrino mass. For the first time, we comprehensively validate the cosmology-dependence of the convergence PDF model against large suites of simulated lensing maps, demonstrating its percent-level precision and accuracy. We show that fast simulation codes can provide highly accurate covariance matrices, which can be combined with the theoretical PDF model to perform forecasts and eliminate the need for relying on expensive N-body simulations. Our theoretical model allows us to perform the first forecast for the convergence PDF that varies the full set of $Λ$CDM parameters. Our Fisher forecasts establish that the constraining power of the convergence PDF compares favourably to the two-point correlation function for a Euclid-like survey area at a single source redshift. When combined with a CMB prior from Planck, the PDF constrains both the neutrino mass $M_ν$ and the dark energy equation of state $w_0$ more strongly than the two-point correlation function.

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Cosmological perturbations for two cold fluids in $Λ$CDM

The cosmic large-scale structure of our Universe is comprised of baryons and cold dark matter (CDM). Yet it is customary to treat these two components as a combined single-matter fluid with vanishing pressure, which is justified only for sufficiently large scales and late times. Here we go beyond the single-fluid approximation and develop the perturbation theory for two gravitationally coupled fluids while still assuming vanishing pressure. We mostly focus on perturbative expansions in powers of $D$ (or $D_+$), the linear structure growth of matter in a $Λ$CDM Universe with cosmological constant $Λ$. We derive in particular (1) explicit recursion relations for the two fluid densities, (2) complementary all-order results in the Lagrangian-coordinates approach, as well as (3) the associated component wavefunctions in a semi-classical approach to cosmic large-scale structure. In our companion paper (Hahn et al. 2020) we apply these new theoretical results to generate novel higher-order initial conditions for cosmological hydrodynamical simulations.

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Higher-order initial conditions for mixed baryon-CDM simulations

We present a novel approach to generate higher-order initial conditions (ICs) for cosmological simulations that take into account the distinct evolution of baryons and dark matter. We focus on the numerical implementation and the validation of its performance, based on both collisionless N-body simulations and full hydrodynamic Eulerian and Lagrangian simulations. We improve in various ways over previous approaches that were limited to first-order Lagrangian perturbation theory (LPT). Specifically, we (1) generalize nth-order LPT to multi-fluid systems, allowing 2LPT or 3LPT ICs for two-fluid simulations, (2) employ a novel propagator perturbation theory to set up ICs for Eulerian codes that are fully consistent with 1LPT or 2LPT, (3) demonstrate that our ICs resolve previous problems of two-fluid simulations by using variations in particle masses that eliminate spurious deviations from expected perturbative results, (4) show that the improvements achieved by going to higher-order PT are comparable to those seen for single-fluid ICs, and (5) demonstrate the excellent (i.e., few per cent level) agreement between Eulerian and Lagrangian simulations, once high-quality initial conditions are used. The rigorous development of the underlying perturbation theory is presented in a companion paper. All presented algorithms are implemented in the Monofonic Music-2 package that we make publicly available.

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Game of cones: A nulling strategy for modelling lensing convergence in cones with large deviation theory

The distribution of the cosmic convergence field is modeled using a large-deviation principle where all non-Gaussian contributions are computed from first principles. The geometry of the past light cone is accounted for by constructing the total weak-lensing signal from contributions of the matter density in thin disk slices. The prediction of this model is successfully tested against numerical simulation with ray tracing, and found to be accurate within at least 5 per cent in the tails at redshift 1 and opening angle of 10 arcmin and even more so with increasing source redshift and opening angle. An accurate analytical approximation to the theory is also provided for practical implementation. The lensing kernel that mixes physical scales along the line-of-sight tends to reduce the domain of validity of this theoretical approach compared to the three dimensional case of cosmic densities in spherical cells. This effect is shown to be avoidable if a nulling procedure is implemented in order to localise the lensing line-of-sight integrations in a tomographic analysis. Accuracy in the tails is thus achieved within a percent for source redshifts between 0.5 and 1.5 and an opening angle of 10 arcmin. Applications to future weak-lensing surveys like Euclid and the specific issue of shape noise are discussed.

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Fisher for complements: Extracting cosmology and neutrino mass from the counts-in-cells PDF

We comprehensively analyse the cosmology dependence of counts-in-cell statistics. We focus on the shape of the one-point probability distribution function (PDF) of the matter density field at mildly nonlinear scales. Based on large-deviation statistics, we parametrise the cosmology dependence of the matter PDF in terms of the linear power spectrum, the growth factor, the spherical collapse dynamics, and the nonlinear variance. We extend our formalism to include massive neutrinos, finding that the total matter PDF is highly sensitive to the total neutrino mass $M_ν$ and can disentangle it from the clustering amplitude $σ_8$. Using more than a million PDFs extracted from the Quijote simulations, we determine the response of the matter PDF to changing parameters in the $νΛ$CDM model and successfully cross-validate the theoretical model and the simulation measurements. We present the first $νΛ$CDM Fisher forecast for the matter PDF at multiple scales and redshifts, and its combination with the matter power spectrum. We establish that the matter PDF and the matter power spectrum are highly complementary at mildly nonlinear scales. The matter PDF is particularly powerful for constraining the matter density $Ω_m$, clustering amplitude $σ_8$ and the total neutrino mass $M_ν$. Adding the mildly nonlinear matter PDF to the mildly nonlinear matter power spectrum improves constraints on $Ω_m$ by a factor of 5 and $σ_8$ by a factor of 2 when considering the three lowest redshifts. In our joint analysis of the matter PDF and matter power spectrum at three redshifts, the total neutrino mass is constrained to better than 0.01 eV with a total volume of 6 (Gpc/h)$^3$. We discuss how density-split statistics can be used to translate those encouraging results for the matter PDF into realistic observables in galaxy surveys.

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Semiclassical path to cosmic large-scale structure

We chart a path toward solving for the nonlinear gravitational dynamics of cold dark matter by relying on a semiclassical description using the propagator. The evolution of the propagator is given by a Schrödinger equation, where the small parameter $\hbar$ acts as a softening scale that regulates singularities at shell-crossing. The leading-order propagator, called free propagator, is the semiclassical equivalent of the Zel'dovich approximation (ZA), that describes inertial particle motion along straight trajectories. At next-to-leading order, we solve for the propagator perturbatively and obtain, in the classical limit the displacement field from second-order Lagrangian perturbation theory (LPT). The associated velocity naturally includes an additional term that would be considered as third order in LPT. We show that this term is actually needed to preserve the underlying Hamiltonian structure, and ignoring it could lead to the spurious excitation of vorticity in certain implementations of second-order LPT. We show that for sufficiently small $\hbar$ the corresponding propagator solutions closely resemble LPT, with the additions that spurious vorticity is avoided and the dynamics at shell-crossing is regularised. Our analytical results possess a symplectic structure that allows us to advance numerical schemes for the large-scale structure. For times shortly after shell-crossing, we explore the generation of vorticity, which in our method does not involve any explicit multi-stream averaging, but instead arises naturally as a conserved topological charge.

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Finding closure: approximating Vlasov-Poisson using finitely generated cumulants

Since dark matter almost exclusively interacts gravitationally, the phase-space dynamics is described by the Vlasov-Poisson equation. A key characteristic is its infinite cumulant hierarchy, a tower of coupled evolution equations for the cumulants of the phase-space distribution. While on large scales the matter distribution is well described as a fluid and the hierarchy can be truncated, smaller scales are in the multi-stream regime in which all higher-order cumulants are sourced through nonlinear gravitational collapse. This regime is crucial for the formation of bound structures and the emergence of characteristic properties such as their density profiles. We present a novel closure strategy for the cumulant hierarchy that is inspired by finitely generated cumulants and hence beyond truncation. This constitutes a constructive approach for reducing nonlinear phase-space dynamics of Vlasov-Poisson to a closed system of equations in position space. Using this idea, we derive Schrödinger-Poisson as approximate quantal method for solving classical dynamics of Vlasov-Poisson with cold initial conditions. Our deduction complements the common reverse inference of the Schrödinger-Vlasov relation using a semi-classical limit of quantum mechanics and provides a clearer picture of the correspondence between classical and quantum dynamics. Our framework outlines an essential first step towards constructing approximate methods for Vlasov-like systems in cosmology and plasma physics with different initial conditions and potentials.

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Extreme Spheres: Counts-in-cells for 21cm intensity mapping

Intensity mapping surveys will provide access to a coarse view of the cosmic large-scale structure in unprecedented large volumes at high redshifts. Given the large fractions of the sky that can be efficiently scanned using emission from cosmic neutral hydrogen (HI), intensity mapping is ideally suited to probe a wide range of density environments and hence to constrain cosmology and fundamental physics. To efficiently extract information from 21cm intensities beyond average, one needs non-Gaussian statistics that capture large deviations from mean HI density. Counts-in-cells statistics are ideally suited for this purpose, as the statistics of matter densities in spheres can be predicted accurately on scales where their variance is below unity. We use a large state-of-the-art magneto-hydrodynamic simulation from the IllustrisTNG project to determine the relation between neutral hydrogen and matter densities in cells. We demonstrate how our theoretical knowledge about the matter PDF for a given cosmology can be used to extract a parametrisation-independent HI bias function from a measured neutral hydrogen PDF. When combining the predicted matter PDFs with a simple bias fit to the simulation, we obtain a prediction for neutral hydrogen PDFs at a few percent accuracy at scale R=5 Mpc/h from redshift z=5 to z=1. Furthermore, we find a density-dependent HI clustering signal that is consistent with theoretical expectations and could allow for joint constraints of HI bias and the amplitude of matter fluctuations or the growth of structure.

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Cylinders out of a top hat: counts-in-cells for projected densities

Large deviation statistics is implemented to predict the statistics of cosmic densities in cylinders applicable to photometric surveys. It yields few percent accurate analytical predictions for the one-point probability distribution function (PDF) of densities in concentric or compensated cylinders; and also captures the density-dependence of their angular clustering (cylinder bias). All predictions are found to be in excellent agreement with the cosmological simulation Horizon Run 4 in the quasi-linear regime where standard perturbation theory normally breaks down. These results are combined with a simple local bias model that relates dark matter and tracer densities in cylinders and validated on simulated halo catalogues. This formalism can be used to probe cosmology with existing and upcoming photometric surveys like DES, Euclid or WFIRST containing billions of galaxies.

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Hunting high and low: Disentangling primordial and late-time non-Gaussianity with cosmic densities in spheres

Non-Gaussianities of dynamical origin are disentangled from primordial ones using the formalism of large deviation statistics with spherical collapse dynamics. This is achieved by relying on accurate analytical predictions for the one-point probability distribution function (PDF) and the two-point clustering of spherically-averaged cosmic densities (sphere bias). Sphere bias extends the idea of halo bias to intermediate density environments and voids as underdense regions. In the presence of primordial non-Gaussianity, sphere bias displays a strong scale dependence relevant for both high and low density regions, which is predicted analytically. The statistics of densities in spheres are built to model primordial non-Gaussianity via an initial skewness with a scale-dependence that depends on the bispectrum of the underlying model. The analytical formulas with the measured nonlinear dark matter variance as input are successfully tested against numerical simulations. For local non-Gaussianity with a range from $f_{\rm NL}=-100$ to $+100$ they are found to agree within 2\% or better for densities $ρ\in[0.5,3]$ in spheres of radius 15 Mpc$/h$ down to $z=0.35$. The validity of the large deviation statistics formalism is thereby established for all observationally relevant local-type departures from perfectly Gaussian initial conditions. The corresponding estimators for the amplitude of the nonlinear variance $σ_8$ and primordial skewness $f_{\rm NL}$ are validated using a fiducial joint maximum likelihood experiment. The influence of observational effects and the prospects for a future detection of primordial non-Gaussianity from joint one- and two-point densities-in-spheres statistics are discussed.

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A question of separation: disentangling tracer bias and gravitational nonlinearity with counts-in-cells statistics

Starting from a very accurate model for density-in-cells statistics of dark matter based on large deviation theory, a bias model for the tracer density in spheres is formulated. It adopts a mean bias relation based on a quadratic bias model to relate the log-densities of dark matter to those of mass-weighted dark haloes in real and redshift space. The validity of the parametrised bias model is established using a parametrisation-independent extraction of the bias function. This average bias model is then combined with the dark matter PDF, neglecting any scatter around it: it nevertheless yields an excellent model for densities-in-cells statistics of mass tracers that is parametrised in terms of the underlying dark matter variance and three bias parameters. The procedure is validated on measurements of both the one and two point statistics of subhalo densities in the state-of-the-art Horizon Run 4 simulation showing excellent agreement for measured dark matter variance and bias parameters. Finally, it is demonstrated that this formalism allows for a joint estimation of the nonlinear dark matter variance and the bias parameters using solely the statistics of subhaloes. Having verified that galaxy counts in hydrodynamical simulations sampled on a scale of 10 Mpc/h closely resemble those of subhaloes, this work provides important steps towards making theoretical predictions for density-in-cells statistics applicable to upcoming galaxy surveys like Euclid or WFIRST.

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Two is better than one: joint statistics of density and velocity in concentric spheres as a cosmological probe

The analytical formalism to obtain the probability distribution functions (PDFs) of spherically-averaged cosmic densities and velocity divergences in the mildly non-linear regime is presented. A large-deviation principle is applied to those cosmic fields assuming their most likely dynamics in spheres is set by the spherical collapse model. We validate our analytical results using state-of-the-art dark matter simulations with a phase-space resolved velocity field finding a 2% percent level agreement for a wide range of velocity divergences and densities in the mildly nonlinear regime (~10Mpc/h at redshift zero), usually inaccessible to perturbation theory. From the joint PDF of densities and velocity divergences measured in two concentric spheres, we extract with the same accuracy velocity profiles and conditional velocity PDF subject to a given over/under-density which are of interest to understand the non-linear evolution of velocity flows. Both PDFs are used to build a simple but accurate maximum likelihood estimators for the redshift evolution of the variance of both the density and velocity divergence fields, which have smaller relative errors than their sample variances when non-linearities appear. Given the dependence of the velocity divergence on the growth rate, there is a significant gain in using the full knowledge of both PDFs to derive constraints on the equation of state of dark energy. Thanks to the insensitivity of the velocity divergence to bias, its PDF can be used to obtain unbiased constraints on the growth of structures ($σ_8$,f) or it can be combined with the galaxy density PDF to extract bias parameters.

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