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Cristian Martinez-Villalobos

Publications and source records attributed to Cristian Martinez-Villalobos.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

On the White-Noise Limit of the Colored Linear Inverse Model

A recent paper by Lien et al. (2025) introduces the "colored linear inverse model" (colored LIM), in which stochastic forcing is modeled using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck colored noise rather than idealized white noise. In that work, it is shown that the derivative-based identification formulas used to estimate model parameters do not admit a regular white-noise limit due to the loss of differentiability of the lag-correlation function at zero lag. Here we revisit the white-noise limit from the perspective of the underlying stochastic differential equations. Treating the colored LIM as an augmented Ornstein-Uhlenbeck system, we show that as the correlation time tau -> 0 the colored-noise-driven system reduces to the classical LIM, and the corresponding stationary covariance satisfies the standard fluctuation-dissipation relation. Re-examining the same linear system used by Lien et al. (2025), we illustrate this convergence numerically. These results highlight a distinction between the singular behavior of derivative-based identification formulas and the regular limiting behavior of the underlying stochastic model. Taken together with recent results showing convergence of estimated parameters in the white-noise limit, they provide a consistent interpretation in which the colored LIM recovers the classical LIM at the level of stochastic dynamics even though certain estimation procedures become ill-defined in that limit.

physics.ao-ph↗

An analytical framework for understanding tropical Meridional Modes

A theoretical framework is developed for understanding the transient growth and propagation characteristics of thermodynamically coupled, meridional mode-like structures in the tropics. The model consists of a Gill-Matsuno type steady atmosphere under the longwave approximation coupled via a wind-evaporation-sea surface temperature (WES) feedback to a "slab" ocean model. When projected onto basis functions for the atmosphere the system simplifies to a non-normal set of equations that describes the evolution of individual sea surface temperature (SST) modes, with clean separation between symmetric and anti-symmetric modes. The following major findings result from analysis of the system: (i) a transient growth process exists whereby specific SST modes propagate toward lower order modes at the expense of the higher-order modes; (ii) the same dynamical mechanisms govern the evolution of symmetric and anti-symmetric SST modes except for the lowest-order wave number, where for symmetric structures the atmospheric Kelvin wave plays a critically different role in enhancing decay; and (iii) the WES feedback is positive for all modes (with a maximum for the most equatorially confined antisymmetric structure) except for the most equatorially confined symmetric mode where the Kelvin wave generates a negative WES feedback. Taken together, these findings explain why equatorially anti-symmetric "dipole"-like structures may dominate thermodynamically coupled ocean / atmosphere variability in the tropics. The role of non-normality as well as the role of realistic mean states in meridional mode variability are discussed.

physics.ao-ph↗