arXiv subjects

Cristopher Moore

Publications and source records attributed to Cristopher Moore.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Gurau's spectral density is not a probability measure for individual real symmetric tensors

Gurau (2020) proposed a generalization of the trace of the matrix resolvent to tensors of higher order, and recent work has explored analogs of the Wigner semicircle and Marchenko-Pastur distributions from random matrix theory as well as aspects of free probability theory from this perspective. In particular, when evaluated with appropriate large random tensors, the limiting expectations of the coefficients of a series expansion of Gurau's resolvent trace give the moment sequences of probability measures analogous to the above distributions. We construct, on the other hand, individual deterministic tensors such that the same coefficients evaluated on those tensors do not give the moment sequence of any probability measure. Thus, the "spectral density" associated to Gurau's resolvent trace, while in a sense defined on average for certain random tensor ensembles, is not defined pointwise (unless perhaps as a signed measure) for all individual tensors.

math.PR↗

arXiv2025

Threshold and quasi-stationary distribution for the SIS model on networks

We study the Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible (SIS) model on arbitrary networks. The well-established pair approximation treats neighboring pairs of nodes exactly while making a mean field approximation for the rest of the network. We improve the method by expanding the state space dynamically, giving nodes a memory of when they last became susceptible. The resulting approximation is simple to implement and appears to be highly accurate, both in locating the epidemic threshold and in computing the quasi-stationary fraction of infected individuals above the threshold, for both finite graphs and infinite random graphs.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2025

Concerning the Responsible Use of AI in the US Criminal Justice System

Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly being adopted in most industries, and for applications such as note taking and checking grammar, there is typically not a cause for concern. However, when constitutional rights are involved, as in the justice system, transparency is paramount. While AI can assist in areas such as risk assessment and forensic evidence generation, its "black box" nature raises significant questions about how decisions are made and whether they can be contested. This paper explores the implications of AI in the justice system, emphasizing the need for transparency in AI decision-making processes to uphold constitutional rights and ensure procedural fairness. The piece advocates for clear explanations of AI's data, logic, and limitations, and calls for periodic audits to address bias and maintain accountability in AI systems.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2025

The Metric Dimension of Sparse Random Graphs

In 2013, Bollob\'as, Mitsche, and Pralat at gave upper and lower bounds for the likely metric dimension of random Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graphs $G(n,p)$ for a large range of expected degrees $d=pn$. However, their results only apply when $d \ge \log^5 n$, leaving open sparser random graphs with $d < \log^5 n$. Here we provide upper and lower bounds on the likely metric dimension of $G(n,p)$ from just above the connectivity transition, i.e., where $d=pn=c \log n$ for some $c > 1$, up to $d=\log^5 n$. Our lower bound technique is based on an entropic argument which is more general than the use of Suen's inequality by Bollob\'as, Mitsche, and Pralat, whereas our upper bound is similar to theirs.

math.CO↗

arXiv2025

The Planted Spanning Tree Problem

We study the problem of detecting and recovering a planted spanning tree $M_n^*$ hidden within a complete, randomly weighted graph $G_n$. Specifically, each edge $e$ has a non-negative weight drawn independently from $P_n$ if $e \in M_n^*$ and from $Q_n$ otherwise, where $P_n \equiv P$ is fixed and $Q_n$ scales with $n$ such that its density at the origin satisfies $\lim_{n\to\infty} n Q'_n(0)=1.$ We consider two representative cases: when $M_n^*$ is either a uniform spanning tree or a uniform Hamiltonian path. We analyze the recovery performance of the minimum spanning tree (MST) algorithm and derive a fixed-point equation that characterizes the asymptotic fraction of edges in $M_n^*$ successfully recovered by the MST as $n \to \infty.$ Furthermore, we establish the asymptotic mean weight of the MST, extending Frieze's $\zeta(3)$ result to the planted model. Leveraging this result, we design an efficient test based on the MST weight and show that it can distinguish the planted model from the unplanted model with vanishing testing error as $n \to \infty.$ Our analysis relies on an asymptotic characterization of the local structure of the planted model, employing the framework of local weak convergence.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2024

Domination by kings is oddly even

The $m \times n$ king graph consists of all locations on an $m \times n$ chessboard, where edges are legal moves of a chess king. %where each vertex represents a square on a chessboard and each edge is a legal move. Let $P_{m \times n}(z)$ denote its domination polynomial, i.e., $\sum_{S \subseteq V} z^{|S|}$ where the sum is over all dominating sets $S$. We prove that $P_{m \times n}(-1) = (-1)^{\lceil m/2\rceil \lceil n/2\rceil}$. In particular, the number of dominating sets of even size and the number of odd size differs by $\pm 1$. %The numbers can not be equal because the total number of dominating sets is always odd. This property does not hold for king graphs on a cylinder or a torus, or for the grid graph. But it holds for $d$-dimensional kings, where $P_{n_1\times n_2\times\cdots\times n_d}(-1) = (-1)^{\lceil n_1/2\rceil \lceil n_2/2\rceil\cdots \lceil n_d/2\rceil}$.

math.CO↗

arXiv2024

Tensor cumulants for statistical inference on invariant distributions

Many problems in high-dimensional statistics appear to have a statistical-computational gap: a range of values of the signal-to-noise ratio where inference is information-theoretically possible, but (conjecturally) computationally intractable. A canonical such problem is Tensor PCA, where we observe a tensor $Y$ consisting of a rank-one signal plus Gaussian noise. Multiple lines of work suggest that Tensor PCA becomes computationally hard at a critical value of the signal's magnitude. In particular, below this transition, no low-degree polynomial algorithm can detect the signal with high probability; conversely, various spectral algorithms are known to succeed above this transition. We unify and extend this work by considering tensor networks, orthogonally invariant polynomials where multiple copies of $Y$ are "contracted" to produce scalars, vectors, matrices, or other tensors. We define a new set of objects, tensor cumulants, which provide an explicit, near-orthogonal basis for invariant polynomials of a given degree. This basis lets us unify and strengthen previous results on low-degree hardness, giving a combinatorial explanation of the hardness transition and of a continuum of subexponential-time algorithms that work below it, and proving tight lower bounds against low-degree polynomials for recovering rather than just detecting the signal. It also lets us analyze a new problem of distinguishing between different tensor ensembles, such as Wigner and Wishart tensors, establishing a sharp computational threshold and giving evidence of a new statistical-computational gap in the Central Limit Theorem for random tensors. Finally, we believe these cumulants are valuable mathematical objects in their own right: they generalize the free cumulants of free probability theory from matrices to tensors, and share many of their properties, including additivity under additive free convolution.

math.ST↗

arXiv2023

A model for efficient dynamical ranking in networks

We present a physics-inspired method for inferring dynamic rankings in directed temporal networks - networks in which each directed and timestamped edge reflects the outcome and timing of a pairwise interaction. The inferred ranking of each node is real-valued and varies in time as each new edge, encoding an outcome like a win or loss, raises or lowers the node's estimated strength or prestige, as is often observed in real scenarios including sequences of games, tournaments, or interactions in animal hierarchies. Our method works by solving a linear system of equations and requires only one parameter to be tuned. As a result, the corresponding algorithm is scalable and efficient. We test our method by evaluating its ability to predict interactions (edges' existence) and their outcomes (edges' directions) in a variety of applications, including both synthetic and real data. Our analysis shows that in many cases our method's performance is better than existing methods for predicting dynamic rankings and interaction outcomes.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2022

Disordered Systems Insights on Computational Hardness

In this review article, we discuss connections between the physics of disordered systems, phase transitions in inference problems, and computational hardness. We introduce two models representing the behavior of glassy systems, the spiked tensor model and the generalized linear model. We discuss the random (non-planted) versions of these problems as prototypical optimization problems, as well as the planted versions (with a hidden solution) as prototypical problems in statistical inference and learning. Based on ideas from physics, many of these problems have transitions where they are believed to jump from easy (solvable in polynomial time) to hard (requiring exponential time). We discuss several emerging ideas in theoretical computer science and statistics that provide rigorous evidence for hardness by proving that large classes of algorithms fail in the conjectured hard regime. This includes the overlap gap property, a particular mathematization of clustering or dynamical symmetry-breaking, which can be used to show that many algorithms that are local or robust to changes in their input fail. We also discuss the sum-of-squares hierarchy, which places bounds on proofs or algorithms that use low-degree polynomials such as standard spectral methods and semidefinite relaxations, including the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model. Throughout the manuscript, we present connections to the physics of disordered systems and associated replica symmetry breaking properties.

cond-mat.dis-nn↗

arXiv2022

Compressing the chronology of a temporal network with graph commutators

Studies of dynamics on temporal networks often represent the network as a series of "snapshots," static networks active for short durations of time. We argue that successive snapshots can be aggregated if doing so has little effect on the overlying dynamics. We propose a method to compress network chronologies by progressively combining pairs of snapshots whose matrix commutators have the smallest dynamical effect. We apply this method to epidemic modeling on real contact tracing data and find that it allows for significant compression while remaining faithful to the epidemic dynamics.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2022

The spectrum of the Grigoriev-Laurent pseudomoments

Grigoriev (2001) and Laurent (2003) independently showed that the sum-of-squares hierarchy of semidefinite programs does not exactly represent the hypercube $\{\pm 1\}^n$ until degree at least $n$ of the hierarchy. Laurent also observed that the pseudomoment matrices her proof constructs appear to have surprisingly simple and recursively structured spectra as $n$ increases. While several new proofs of the Grigoriev-Laurent lower bound have since appeared, Laurent's observations have remained unproved. We give yet another, representation-theoretic proof of the lower bound, which also yields exact formulae for the eigenvalues of the Grigoriev-Laurent pseudomoments. Using these, we prove and elaborate on Laurent's observations. Our arguments have two features that may be of independent interest. First, we show that the Grigoriev-Laurent pseudomoments are a special case of a Gram matrix construction of pseudomoments proposed by Bandeira and Kunisky (2020). Second, we find a new realization of the irreducible representations of the symmetric group corresponding to Young diagrams with two rows, as spaces of multivariate polynomials that are multiharmonic with respect to an equilateral simplex.

math.OC↗

arXiv2021

Effective Resistance for Pandemics: Mobility Network Sparsification for High-Fidelity Epidemic Simulation

Network science has increasingly become central to the field of epidemiology and our ability to respond to infectious disease threats. However, many networks derived from modern datasets are not just large, but dense, with a high ratio of edges to nodes. This includes human mobility networks where most locations have a large number of links to many other locations. Simulating large-scale epidemics requires substantial computational resources and in many cases is practically infeasible. One way to reduce the computational cost of simulating epidemics on these networks is sparsification, where a representative subset of edges is selected based on some measure of their importance. We test several sparsification strategies, ranging from naive thresholding to random sampling of edges, on mobility data from the U.S. Following recent work in computer science, we find that the most accurate approach uses the effective resistances of edges, which prioritizes edges that are the only efficient way to travel between their endpoints. The resulting sparse network preserves many aspects of the behavior of an SIR model, including both global quantities, like the epidemic size, and local details of stochastic events, including the probability each node becomes infected and its distribution of arrival times. This holds even when the sparse network preserves fewer than $10\%$ of the edges of the original network. In addition to its practical utility, this method helps illuminate which links of a weighted, undirected network are most important to disease spread.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2021

Belief propagation for permutations, rankings, and partial orders

Many datasets give partial information about an ordering or ranking by indicating which team won a game, which item a user prefers, or who infected whom. We define a continuous spin system whose Gibbs distribution is the posterior distribution on permutations, given a probabilistic model of these interactions. Using the cavity method we derive a belief propagation algorithm that computes the marginal distribution of each node's position. In addition, the Bethe free energy lets us approximate the number of linear extensions of a partial order and perform model selection between competing probabilistic models, such as the Bradley-Terry-Luce model of noisy comparisons and its cousins.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2021

Reconstruction of Random Geometric Graphs: Breaking the Omega(r) distortion barrier

Embedding graphs in a geographical or latent space, i.e.\ inferring locations for vertices in Euclidean space or on a smooth manifold or submanifold, is a common task in network analysis, statistical inference, and graph visualization. We consider the classic model of random geometric graphs where $n$ points are scattered uniformly in a square of area $n$, and two points have an edge between them if and only if their Euclidean distance is less than $r$. The reconstruction problem then consists of inferring the vertex positions, up to the symmetries of the square, given only the adjacency matrix of the resulting graph. We give an algorithm that, if $r=n^\alpha$ for any $\alpha > 0$, with high probability reconstructs the vertex positions with a maximum error of $O(n^\beta)$ where $\beta=1/2-(4/3)\alpha$, until $\alpha \ge 3/8$ where $\beta=0$ and the error becomes $O(\sqrt{\log n})$. This improves over earlier results, which were unable to reconstruct with error less than $r$. Our method estimates Euclidean distances using a hybrid of graph distances and short-range estimates based on the number of common neighbors. We extend our results to the surface of the sphere in $\R^3$ and to hypercubes in any constant fixed dimension. Additionally we examine the extent to which reconstruction is still possible when the original adjacency lists have had a subset of the edges independently deleted at random.

cs.CG↗

arXiv2020

On the 2-colorability of random hypergraphs

A 2-coloring of a hypergraph is a mapping from its vertices to a set of two colors such that no edge is monochromatic. Let $H_k(n,m)$ be a random $k$-uniform hypergraph on $n$ vertices formed by picking $m$ edges uniformly, independently and with replacement. It is easy to show that if $r \geq r_c = 2^{k-1} \ln 2 - (\ln 2) /2$, then with high probability $H_k(n,m=rn)$ is not 2-colorable. We complement this observation by proving that if $r \leq r_c - 1$ then with high probability $H_k(n,m=rn)$ is 2-colorable.

math.CO↗

arXiv2020

Spectral Planting and the Hardness of Refuting Cuts, Colorability, and Communities in Random Graphs

We study the problem of efficiently refuting the k-colorability of a graph, or equivalently certifying a lower bound on its chromatic number. We give formal evidence of average-case computational hardness for this problem in sparse random regular graphs, showing optimality of a simple spectral certificate. This evidence takes the form of a computationally-quiet planting: we construct a distribution of d-regular graphs that has significantly smaller chromatic number than a typical regular graph drawn uniformly at random, while providing evidence that these two distributions are indistinguishable by a large class of algorithms. We generalize our results to the more general problem of certifying an upper bound on the maximum k-cut. This quiet planting is achieved by minimizing the effect of the planted structure (e.g. colorings or cuts) on the graph spectrum. Specifically, the planted structure corresponds exactly to eigenvectors of the adjacency matrix. This avoids the pushout effect of random matrix theory, and delays the point at which the planting becomes visible in the spectrum or local statistics. To illustrate this further, we give similar results for a Gaussian analogue of this problem: a quiet version of the spiked model, where we plant an eigenspace rather than adding a generic low-rank perturbation. Our evidence for computational hardness of distinguishing two distributions is based on three different heuristics: stability of belief propagation, the local statistics hierarchy, and the low-degree likelihood ratio. Of independent interest, our results include general-purpose bounds on the low-degree likelihood ratio for multi-spiked matrix models, and an improved low-degree analysis of the stochastic block model.

cs.CC↗

arXiv2020

The role of directionality, heterogeneity and correlations in epidemic risk and spread

Most models of epidemic spread, including many designed specifically for COVID-19, implicitly assume mass-action contact patterns and undirected contact networks, meaning that the individuals most likely to spread the disease are also the most at risk to receive it from others. Here, we review results from the theory of random directed graphs which show that many important quantities, including the reproduction number and the epidemic size, depend sensitively on the joint distribution of in- and out-degrees ("risk" and "spread"), including their heterogeneity and the correlation between them. By considering joint distributions of various kinds, we elucidate why some types of heterogeneity cause a deviation from the standard Kermack-McKendrick analysis of SIR models, i.e., so-called mass-action models where contacts are homogeneous and random, and some do not. We also show that some structured SIR models informed by realistic complex contact patterns among types of individuals (age or activity) are simply mixtures of Poisson processes and tend not to deviate significantly from the simplest mass-action model. Finally, we point out some possible policy implications of this directed structure, both for contact tracing strategy and for interventions designed to prevent superspreading events. In particular, directed graphs have a forward and backward version of the classic "friendship paradox" -- forward edges tend to lead to individuals with high risk, while backward edges lead to individuals with high spread -- such that a combination of both forward and backward contact tracing is necessary to find superspreading events and prevent future cascades of infection.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2019

The Planted Matching Problem: Phase Transitions and Exact Results

We study the problem of recovering a planted matching in randomly weighted complete bipartite graphs $K_{n,n}$. For some unknown perfect matching $M^*$, the weight of an edge is drawn from one distribution $P$ if $e \in M^*$ and another distribution $Q$ if $e \notin M^*$. Our goal is to infer $M^*$, exactly or approximately, from the edge weights. In this paper we take $P=\exp(\lambda)$ and $Q=\exp(1/n)$, in which case the maximum-likelihood estimator of $M^*$ is the minimum-weight matching $M_{\text{min}}$. We obtain precise results on the overlap between $M^*$ and $M_{\text{min}}$, i.e., the fraction of edges they have in common. For $\lambda \ge 4$ we have almost perfect recovery, with overlap $1-o(1)$ with high probability. For $\lambda < 4$ the expected overlap is an explicit function $\alpha(\lambda) < 1$: we compute it by generalizing Aldous' celebrated proof of the $\zeta(2)$ conjecture for the un-planted model, using local weak convergence to relate $K_{n,n}$ to a type of weighted infinite tree, and then deriving a system of differential equations from a message-passing algorithm on this tree.

cs.DS↗