arXiv subjects

Cullan Howlett

Publications and source records attributed to Cullan Howlett.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Skipping the rungs! Calibrating distance indicators through their clustering with galaxies

We show that angular cross-correlations between distance indicators and galaxy redshift catalogues, when interpreted within an assumed cosmological model, can constrain potential biases in distance measurements induced by calibration systematics. As a test case, we consider a simple scenario in which a constant calibration offset $\Delta M$ shifts all observed distances by a multiplicative factor, and we produce Fisher forecasts for the constraining power on $\Delta M$ and $H_0$ from existing and upcoming surveys. In our most optimistic scenario, based on the expected number of SN Ia observed by LSST and the DESI final data release, we find $\sigma_{\Delta M} \approx 0.05$ and $\sigma_{H_0} \approx 1.81~\mathrm{km~s^{-1}~Mpc^{-1}}$. This has important implications for the Hubble tension, since explaining the discrepancy purely as a calibration systematic in low-$z$ measurements would require $\Delta M \approx 0.13$.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Revisiting GW170817 at milliarcsecond scale: high-precision constraints on jet geometry and $H_0$

The historic detection of gravitational waves from the electromagnetically bright binary neutron star merger GW170817 enabled the first standard siren measurement of Hubble's constant ($H_0$). The accuracy and precision of this measurement depends crucially on how well the merger inclination angle is constrained, given its strong covariance with luminosity distance ($D_L$). Modeling the light-curve of the jet's afterglow provides constraints on inclination, but is highly dependent on the similarly uncertain jet opening angle. Past studies have improved on this by invoking high-resolution radio observations, obtained through very long baseline interferometry (VLBI). We present a Bayesian visibility-plane model-fitting framework that provides a more informed and robust measurement of the viewing geometry of GW170817 and of $H_0$, by including all relevant VLBI data, robustly handling systematic uncertainties and rigorously sampling model parameter space. By fitting new hydrodynamical afterglow models with a continuum of jet geometries, we obtain a viewing angle of $18.^{\circ}3-20.^{\circ}3$ (for a fixed cosmology with $D_L=40.7$ Mpc, as used in most previous analyses). We extend our framework to fit for $D_L$ and $H_0$ directly, and marginalize over an ensemble of plausible peculiar velocity corrections to obtain viewing angle $16.^{\circ}8-19.^{\circ}2$, $D_L=44.0\pm1.6$ Mpc and $H_0=65.5\pm4.4$ km s$^{-1}$ Mpc$^{-1}$. Notably, the peak of our $H_0$ posterior is within $0.5\sigma$ of the early-Universe Planck $H_0$ value, but $1.7\sigma$ from the late-Universe SH0ES measurement. We discuss potential caveats and the implications of this result in the context of the current discrepancy between early and late-Universe measurements of the Hubble constant.

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arXiv2026

Dark siren cross-correlations and the sensitivity of $H_0$ to methodological choices

Gravitational wave sources act as absolute distance indicators, making them powerful probes of the present-day expansion rate of the Universe, $H_0$. The cross-correlation method combines gravitational wave events with galaxy catalogues to constrain cosmological parameters through their shared large-scale structure. In this work, we investigate how key methodological choices -- including covariance treatment, bias parametrisation for galaxies and gravitational wave events, and distance and redshift binning width -- affect the inferred value of $H_0$. We also study catalogue incompleteness, showing that selection effects can be incorporated directly into the theoretical prediction, without the need to model the missing population explicitly, a key advantage over the standard galaxy catalogue approach. Our results indicate that, with appropriate modelling choices and a sufficiently large sample of precise gravitational wave events, the systematic biases considered here can be effectively mitigated, highlighting the potential of the cross-correlation method for future dark siren precision cosmology.

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arXiv2026

Nonlinear Information from DESI Luminous Red Galaxies: An Emulator-Based Analysis of Pre- and Post-Reconstruction Power Spectra

We present joint measurements of the pre- and post-reconstruction power spectra, $P_{\rm pre}$ and $P_{\rm post}$, together with their cross-power spectrum, $P_{\rm cross}$, for the Luminous Red Galaxies (LRGs) in the DESI Data Release 1 (DR1). We jointly analyse these observables with an emulator-based full-shape modeling framework, thereby, for the first time, we extract complementary nonlinear information from the galaxy density field before and after reconstruction in real survey data. Specifically, including $P_{\rm post}$ and $P_{\rm cross}$ in addition to $P_{\rm pre}$ (hereafter $P_{\rm all}$) yields an improvement of approximately $18$-$27\%$ in the $\sigma_8$ constraint in both $\Lambda$CDM and $w$CDM, depending on the redshift bin, relative to the $P_{\rm pre}$-only analysis with the cosmic microwave background distance priors (hereafter CMB). In $w$CDM, the joint CMB+$P_{\rm all}$ analysis can tighten the constraints on $w$ by approximately $5$-$15\%$ across the two LRG redshift bins, compared to the CMB+$P_{\rm pre}$ combination. Further incorporating the Type Ia supernova dataset and comparing the cosmological constraints in $w$CDM from each individual power-spectrum component with those from the full combination, we find that $P_{\rm all}$ consistently provides the tightest constraints. From the joint CMB+$P_{\rm all}$+DES-Dovekie dataset, we obtain $\Omega_m = 0.314 \pm 0.0048$ and $w = -0.988 \pm 0.023$ for the \texttt{LRG1} sample, and $\Omega_m = 0.318 \pm 0.0046$ and $w = -0.988 \pm 0.025$ for \texttt{LRG2}. These results demonstrate that combining pre- and post-reconstruction power spectra with their cross-correlation enables DESI to harvest additional nonlinear information, leading to tighter constraints on cosmological parameters.

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arXiv2026

Illuminating the Physics of Cosmic Origin and Evolution: A UK Space Frontiers 2035 White Paper

Understanding the Universe's origins and evolution remains one of the most fundamental challenges in modern cosmology. This white paper explores three key science priorities in this field: unravelling the physics of cosmic inflation, investigating the accelerating expansion of the Universe, and precisely measuring the sum of the neutrino masses. Achieving these goals requires a dedicated survey to map the large-scale structure at high redshift in unprecedented detail. We describe how this can be achieved through a mission concept called SIRMOS, providing a high-throughput, highly multiplexed spectroscopic capability to obtain accurate redshifts for over 100 million galaxies over a wide sky area. Such a survey would leverage the deepest existing wide-area photometric catalogues for targeting, with spectra offering continuous 1.25-2.5~$\mu$m wavelength coverage at moderate resolution, allowing precise redshift measurements in the $1<z<4$ range with minimal bias. We outline the scientific opportunities this presents. Recent years have seen significant advances in instrumentation, including digital micromirror devices, complex telescope mirrors, large detector arrays, and data processing pipelines. While these technologies have been demonstrated in terrestrial applications, such a survey is a unique opportunity to apply these proven capabilities in space to address fundamental questions in cosmology. Participation in such a mission will simultaneously deliver a compelling science case, help align UK Space Agency and STFC strategies, demonstrate the UK's growing capability in end-to-end space missions, and strengthen the national space economy through high-value industrial participation.

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arXiv2026

The velocity coherence scale: a novel probe of cosmic homogeneity and a potential standard ruler

We introduce the velocity coherence scale $R_v$, the scale at which the spherical volume average of the trace of the velocity correlation tensor transitions from scaling faster than the sphere radius to scaling more slowly. This corresponds to the radius at which the average motion of galaxies along their separation vectors transitions from correlated to anti-correlated. We derive a theoretical estimator for $R_v$ by defining the bulk in spheres $B_R$, a velocity-field analogue of the mean scale counts used in density-field correlation analyses. We show that, for a statistically homogeneous matter distribution, the logarithmic derivative of $B_R$ and the correlation dimension $D_2$ share the same asymptotic behaviour and therefore can be used to estimate the scale of transition to statistical homogeneity. Furthermore, we show that in standard $\Lambda$CDM cosmologies the velocity coherence scale is tightly connected to the matter-radiation equality scale $k_{eq}$, and that its value in comoving coordinates is redshift-independent. These results highlight the potential of $R_v$ both as a standard ruler and as a physically motivated scale characterising the onset of cosmic homogeneity. We present a proof of concept using measurements of the PV correlation functions from SDSS. We show that the main challenge in determining $R_v$ is the limited precision of PV measurements compared to density ones, as they typically rely on smaller samples with larger uncertainties that scale roughly linearly with survey depth. Fitting our theoretical estimators for $R_v$, we obtain $R_v \approx 138^{+23}_{-54}\,\mathrm{Mpc}/h$. Finally, we show that more precise determinations should be achievable with current and upcoming peculiar velocity surveys.

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arXiv2025

Detection of the Pairwise Kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich Effect and Pairwise Velocity with DESI DR1 Galaxies and ACT DR6 and Planck CMB Data

We present a 9.3-sigma detection of the pairwise kinematic Sunyaev-Zeldovich (kSZ) effect by combining a sample of 913,286 Luminous Red Galaxies (LRGs) from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument Data Release 1 (DESI DR1) catalog and co-added Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT DR6) and Planck cosmic microwave background (CMB) temperature maps. This represents the highest-significance pairwise kSZ measurement to date. The analysis uses three ACT CMB temperature maps: co-added 150 GHz, total frequency maps, and a component-separated Internal Linear Combination (ILC) map, all of which cover 19,000 square degrees of the sky from Advanced ACTPol observations conducted between 2017 and 2022. Comparison of the results of these three maps serves as a consistency check for potential foreground contamination that may depend on the observation frequency. An estimate of the best-fit mass-averaged optical depth is obtained by comparing the pairwise kSZ curve with the linear-theory prediction of the pairwise velocity under the best-fit Planck cosmology, and is compared with predictions from simulations. This estimate serves as a reference point for future comparisons with thermal SZ-derived optical depth measurements for the same DESI cluster samples, which will be presented in a companion paper. Finally, we employ a machine-learning approach trained on simulations to estimate the optical depth for 456,803 DESI LRG-identified clusters within the simulated mass range (greater than about 1e13 solar masses). These are combined with the measured kSZ signal to infer the individual cluster peculiar velocities, providing the opportunity to constrain the behavior of gravity and the dark sector over a range of cosmic scales and epochs.

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arXiv2025

Limits of self-interacting neutrinos from the BAO and CMB phase shift

Neutrinos with Standard Model interactions free-stream in the early Universe, leaving a distinct phase shift in the pattern of baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO). When isolated, this phase shift allows one to robustly infer the presence of the cosmic neutrino background in BAO and cosmic microwave background (CMB) data independently of other cosmological parameters. While in the context of the Standard Model, this phase shift follows a known scale-dependent relation, new physics in the cosmic neutrino background could alter the overall shape of this feature. In this paper, we discuss how changes in the neutrino phase shift could be used to constrain self-interactions among neutrinos. We produce simple models for this phase-shift assuming universal self-interactions, and use these in order to understand what constraining power is available for the strength of such interactions in BAO and CMB data. We find that, although challenging, it may be possible to use a detection of the phase to put a more robust limit on the strength of the self-interaction, $G_{\mathrm{eff}}$, which at present suffers from bimodality in cosmological constraints. Our forecast analysis reveals that BAO data alone will not provide the precision needed to tightly constrain self-interactions; however, the combined analysis of the phase shift signature in both CMB and BAO can potentially provide a way to detect the impact of new neutrino interactions. Our results could be extended upon for models with non-universal interactions.

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arXiv2025

Effective Theories of Redshift-Space Galaxy Peculiar Velocities

We present predictions for redshift-space peculiar velocity statistics in the Lagrangian and Eulerian formulations of the effective field theory (EFT) of large-scale structure. We compute 2-point pairwise velocity statistics up to the second moment at next-to-leading (1-loop) order, showing that they can be modeled together with redshift-space galaxy densities with a consistent set of EFT coefficients. We show that peculiar velocity statistics have a distinct dependence on long-wavelength bulk flows that necessitates a variation on the usual infrared (IR) resummation procedure used to model baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) in galaxy clustering. This can be implemented recursively in powers of the velocity in both the Lagrangian and Eulerian frameworks. We validate our analytic calculations against fully nonlinear N-body simulations, demonstrating that they can be used to recover the growth rate at better than percent level precision, well beyond the statistical requirements of upcoming peculiar velocity surveys and measurements of the kinetic Sunyaev-Zeldovich (kSZ) effect. As part of this work, we release $\href{https://github.com/sfschen/velocisaurus}{\texttt{velocisaurus}}$, a fast $\texttt{Python}$ code for computing EFT predictions of peculiar velocity statistics.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Can a multi-tracer approach improve the constraints on the turnover scale at low redshift?

The turnover scale of the power spectrum is related to the size of the particle horizon at the matter-radiation equality, which can be used as a standard ruler to constrain cosmological parameters. In this work, we apply a model-independent method to mock datasets to forecast constraints on the turnover scale below a redshift of 0.5, investigating for the first time with a multi-tracer approach. We find that combining the galaxy density with peculiar velocity does not improve the turnover scale constraints for current or currently planned surveys because either the cosmological volume or the effective number density of peculiar velocities is too low. However, we demonstrate that when combining the galaxy power spectrum from 4HS with the HI power spectrum from SKA1-B2, the constraints on the turnover scale improve by $\sim30\%$ compared to using only a single tracer. We demonstrate for the first time that combining DESI, 4HS, and an SKA Phase 1 Band 2 survey could achieve a $\sim5\%$ level constraint on the turnover scale and a $\sim90\%$ probability of detecting the turnover below a redshift of 0.5. Lastly, we also demonstrate that combining the DESI BGS redshift sample with the LRG, ELG, and QSO samples could break the degeneracy between $r_H$ and $\Omega_m$ and improve their constraints by $\sim25\%$ and $\sim45\%$, respectively, compared to only using the high redshift samples. The constraints on the particle horizon at the matter-radiation equality $r_H$ and the matter density $\Omega_m$ could then further improve by $\sim20\%$ and $\sim30\%$, respectively, when combining the full set of DESI redshift tracers with 4HS and SKA1-B2.

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arXiv2025

Enhancing DESI DR1 Full-Shape analyses using HOD-informed priors

We present an analysis of DESI Data Release 1 (DR1) that incorporates Halo Occupation Distribution (HOD)-informed priors into Full-Shape (FS) modeling of the power spectrum based on cosmological perturbation theory (PT). By leveraging physical insights from the galaxy-halo connection, these HOD-informed priors on nuisance parameters substantially mitigate projection effects in extended cosmological models that allow for dynamical dark energy. The resulting credible intervals now encompass the posterior maximum from the baseline analysis using gaussian priors, eliminating a significant posterior shift observed in baseline studies. In the $\Lambda$CDM framework, a combined DESI DR1 FS information and constraints from the DESI DR1 baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO)-including Big Bang Nucleosynthesis (BBN) constraints and a weak prior on the scalar spectral index-yields $\Omega_{\rm m} = 0.2994\pm 0.0090$ and $\sigma_8 = 0.836^{+0.024}_{-0.027}$, representing improvements of approximately 4% and 23% over the baseline analysis, respectively. For the $w_0w_a$CDM model, our results from various data combinations are highly consistent, with all configurations converging to a region with $w_0 > -1$ and $w_a < 0$. This convergence not only suggests intriguing hints of dynamical dark energy but also underscores the robustness of our HOD-informed prior approach in delivering reliable cosmological constraints.

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arXiv2025

Dynamical Dark Energy in light of the DESI DR2 Baryonic Acoustic Oscillations Measurements

Understanding whether cosmic acceleration arises from a cosmological constant or a dynamical component is a central goal of cosmology, and the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) enables stringent tests with high-precision distance measurements. We analyze baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) measurements from DESI Data Release 1 (DR1) and Data Release 2 (DR2), combined with Type Ia supernovae and a cosmic microwave background (CMB) distance prior. With the larger statistical power and wider redshift coverage of DR2, the preference for dynamical dark energy does not diminish relative to DR1. Using both a shape-function reconstruction and non-parametric approaches with a Horndeski-motivated correlation prior, we find that the dark-energy equation of state $w(z)$ varies with redshift. BAO data alone yield modest constraints, but in combination with independent supernova compilations and the CMB prior they strengthen the evidence for dynamics. Bayesian model comparison shows moderate support for departures from $\Lambda$CDM when multiple degrees of freedom in $w(z)$ are allowed, corresponding to $\approx3\sigma$ tension with $\Lambda$CDM (and higher for some data sets). Despite methodological differences, our results are consistent with companion DESI papers, underscoring the complementarity of approaches. Possible systematics remain under study; forthcoming DESI, \emph{Euclid}, and next-generation CMB data will provide decisive tests.

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arXiv2025

Dark sirens and the impact of redshift precision

With the growing number of gravitational wave detections, achieving a competitive measurement of $H_0$ with dark sirens is becoming increasingly feasible. The expansion of the Ligo-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration into a four detector network will reduce both the localisation area and the luminosity distance uncertainty associated with each gravitational wave event. It is therefore essential to identify and mitigate other major sources of error that could increase the uncertainty in $H_0$. In this work, we explore three scenarios relevant to the dark siren method in future observing runs. First, we demonstrate that there is a precision gain offered by a catalogue of spectroscopic-like redshifts compared to photometric-like redshifts, with the greatest improvements observed in smaller localisation areas. Second, we show that redshift outliers (as occur in realistic photometric redshift catalogues), do not introduce bias into the measurement of $H_0$. Finally, we find that uniformly sub-sampling spectroscopic-like redshift catalogues increases the uncertainty in $H_0$ as the completeness fraction is decreased; at a completeness of 50% the benefit of spectroscopic redshift precision is outweighed by the degradation from incompleteness. In all three scenarios, we obtain unbiased estimates of $H_0$. We conclude that a competitive measurement of $H_0$ using the dark siren method will require a hybrid catalogue of both photometric and spectroscopic redshifts, at least until highly complete spectroscopic catalogues become available. This, however, will come at the cost of a more complex selection function.

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arXiv2025

Measurements of the Thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich Effect with ACT and DESI Luminous Red Galaxies

Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) photons scatter off the free-electron gas in galaxies and clusters, allowing us to use the CMB as a backlight to probe the gas in and around low-redshift galaxies. The thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect, sourced by hot electrons in high-density environments, measures the thermal pressure of the target objects, shedding light on halo thermodynamics and galaxy formation and providing a path toward understanding the baryon distribution around cosmic structures. We use a combination of high-resolution CMB maps from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) and photometric luminous red galaxy (LRG) catalogues from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) to measure the thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich signal in four redshift bins from $z=0.4$ to $z=1.2$, with a combined detection significance of 19$\sigma$ when stacking on the fiducial CMB Compton-$y$ map. We discuss possible sources of contamination, finding that residual dust emission associated with the target galaxies is important and limits current analyses. We discuss several mitigation strategies and quantify the residual modelling uncertainty. This work complements closely related measurements of the kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich and weak lensing of the same galaxies.

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arXiv2024

Constraining the phase shift of relativistic species in DESI BAOs

In the early Universe, neutrinos decouple quickly from the primordial plasma and propagate without further interactions. The impact of free-streaming neutrinos is to create a temporal shift in the gravitational potential that impacts the acoustic waves known as baryon acoustic oscillations (BAOs), resulting in a non-linear spatial shift in the Fourier-space BAO signal. In this work, we make use of and extend upon an existing methodology to measure the phase shift amplitude $\beta_{\phi}$ and apply it to the DESI Data Release 1 (DR1) BAOs with an anisotropic BAO fitting pipeline. We validate the fitting methodology by testing the pipeline with two publicly available fitting codes applied to highly precise cubic box simulations and realistic simulations representative of the DESI DR1 data. We find further study towards the methods used in fitting the BAO signal will be necessary to ensure accurate constraints on $\beta_{\phi}$ in future DESI data releases. Using DESI DR1, we present individual measurements of the anisotropic BAO distortion parameters and the $\beta_{\phi}$ for the different tracers, and additionally a combined fit to $\beta_{\phi}$ resulting in $\beta_{\phi} = 2.7 \pm 1.7$. After including a prior on the distortion parameters from constraints using \textit{Planck} we find $\beta_{\phi} = 2.7^{+0.60}_{-0.67} $ suggesting $\beta_{\phi} > 0$ at 4.3$\sigma$ significance. This result may hint at a phase shift that is not purely sourced from the standard model expectation for $N_{\rm{eff}}$ or could be a upwards statistical fluctuation in the measured $\beta_{\phi}$; this result relaxes in models with additional freedom beyond $\Lambda$CDM.

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arXiv2024

Analytical and EZmock covariance validation for the DESI 2024 results

The estimation of uncertainties in cosmological parameters is an important challenge in Large-Scale-Structure (LSS) analyses. For standard analyses such as Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (BAO) and Full Shape, two approaches are usually considered. First: analytical estimates of the covariance matrix use Gaussian approximations and (nonlinear) clustering measurements to estimate the matrix, which allows a relatively fast and computationally cheap way to generate matrices that adapt to an arbitrary clustering measurement. On the other hand, sample covariances are an empirical estimate of the matrix based on en ensemble of clustering measurements from fast and approximate simulations. While more computationally expensive due to the large amount of simulations and volume required, these allow us to take into account systematics that are impossible to model analytically. In this work we compare these two approaches in order to enable DESI's key analyses. We find that the configuration space analytical estimate performs satisfactorily in BAO analyses and its flexibility in terms of input clustering makes it the fiducial choice for DESI's 2024 BAO analysis. On the contrary, the analytical computation of the covariance matrix in Fourier space does not reproduce the expected measurements in terms of Full Shape analyses, which motivates the use of a corrected mock covariance for DESI's Full Shape analysis.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

The Redshift-Space Momentum Power Spectrum III: measuring the growth rate from the SDSSv survey using auto- and cross- power spectrum of the galaxy density and momentum fields

The large-scale structure of the Universe and its evolution over time contains an abundance of cosmological information. One way to unlock this is by measuring the density and momentum power spectrum from the positions and peculiar velocities of galaxies, and fitting the cosmological parameters from these power spectrum. In this paper, we will explore the cross power spectrum between the density and momentum fields of galaxies. We derive the estimator of the density-momentum cross power spectrum multipoles. The growth rate of the large-scale-structure, $f\sigma_8$ is measured from fitting the combined density monopole, momentum monopole and cross dipole power spectrum. The estimators and models of power spectrum as well as our fitting method have been tested using mock catalogues, and we find that they perform well in recovering the fiducial values of the cosmological parameters of the simulations, and we also find that the errors of the parameters can be largely reduced by including the cross-power spectrum in the fit. We measure the auto-density, auto-momentum and cross power spectrum using the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Data Release 14 peculiar velocity catalogue. The fit result of the growth rate $f\sigma_8$ is $f\sigma_8=0.413^{+0.050}_{-0.058}$ at effective redshift $z_{\mathrm{eff}}=0.073$, and our measurement is consistent with the prediction of the $\Lambda$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model assuming General Relativity.

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arXiv2024

DESIVAST: A Catalog of Low-Redshift Voids using Data from the DESI DR1 Bright Galaxy Survey

We present three separate void catalogs created using a volume-limited sample of the DESI Year 1 Bright Galaxy Survey. We use the algorithms VoidFinder and V2 to construct void catalogs out to a redshift of z=0.24. We obtain 1,461 interior voids with VoidFinder, 420 with V2 using REVOLVER pruning, and 295 with V2 using VIDE pruning. Comparing our catalog with an overlapping SDSS void catalog, we find generally consistent void properties but significant differences in the void volume overlap, which we attribute to differences in the galaxy selection and survey masks. These catalogs are suitable for studying the variation in galaxy properties with cosmic environment and for cosmological studies.

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