arXiv subjects

Dániel Apai

Publications and source records attributed to Dániel Apai.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Water Cloud and Chemical Modulations in the Coldest Brown Dwarf

We present high signal-to-noise, medium resolution (R ~ 1000), time-series JWST/NIRSpec spectra of WISE 0855 (265K), the coldest known brown dwarf. Medium resolution, time-series spectroscopy gives us the power to disentangle the effects of chemistry, temperature, and condensates on this cool world. Our observations span 11 hours with a 15 minute cadence covering 2.87 - 5.27 $μ$m. The strongest time variable spectroscopic feature is carbon monoxide gas absorption producing modulations with a peak-to-peak amplitude up to 10\% at some wavelengths. Using principal component analysis, we show that the variations in carbon monoxide and phosphine correlate with one another. By comparing our data to atmospheric and structure models we present evidence of patchy water clouds within the atmosphere of WISE 0855. We find that variations in CO and PH$_{3}$ abundances must originate from quenched atmospheric pressures while variations in water cloud thickness occurs at lower pressures.

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arXiv2026

A Scalable Path to Astrometric Exomoon Discoveries with the Nautilus Space Observatory

Moons orbiting exoplanets (exomoons) can be detected through the reflex motion they impart to their host planet, which is recoverable in relative star-planet astrometric time series. The signal grows with moon mass and orbital separation and decreases with distance, so the nearest and least massive imaged planets are the most favorable targets. Recovering small (<Earth-mass) moons requires continuous, long-baseline, high-precision monitoring that is only practical with a dedicated or nearly dedicated facility. Building on recent simulations of astrometric exomoon detection and of the resulting population yields, we argue that the scalable, replicable architecture of the Nautilus Space Observatory is uniquely suited to this problem, and we outline a staged campaign. In an initial phase, one or a few small apertures target the nearest imaged giant planets--a high-reward but low-probability search focused on the closest stars. As the array is built out, the astrometric noise floor decreases and the same technique extends the search to the nearest such systems among nearby stars of spectral type K and earlier. This would be performed in parallel with high-contrast imaging and spectral characterization of the host planets and in synergy with a companion starshade concept for imaging Earth-like planets around the same nearby stars. Nautilus thus provides a scalable path from the first detection of a nearby exomoon toward a systematic search for exomoons around the closest stars.

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arXiv2026

Upgrading LBTI/NOMIC with a quadruple annular groove phase mask and GeoSnap detector for imaging nearby, habitable-zone exoplanets

The Large Binocular Telescope Interferometer (LBTI)'s Nulling-Optimized Mid-Infrared Camera (NOMIC) is among the most capable thermal-infrared imaging systems available for high-contrast, high-angular-resolution astronomical observations. Here we describe two in-progress upgrades to LBTI/NOMIC: (1) the design, fabrication, and installation of a quadruple annular groove phase mask (Q-AGPM) coronagraph, and (2) the installation of a 13 micron-cutoff Teledyne GeoSnap array. The Q-AGPM is the first coronagraph to be installed within NOMIC and one of the first optimized for N-band (~11 micron) observations. It places four annular groove phase masks on a single diamond substrate so that, in the LBTI dual-aperture imaging mode, each of the two telescope beams can be chopped between a pair of masks without loss of observing efficiency. The GeoSnap array will replace NOMIC's original AQUARIUS array, delivering higher quantum efficiency, larger well depth, faster and more linear readout, and freedom from the excess low-frequency noise that requires aggressive chopping. Together these upgrades substantially improve the achievable contrast and sensitivity at small angular separations. We also present a high-contrast Fizeau imaging sequence obtained with LBTI's new FFTCam fringe tracker, which confirms the interferometric gain over a single aperture through injection/recovery tests: relative to an equal-time single aperture exposure, the S/N = 3 contrast is a factor of ~2-4 deeper across 0.2-1 arcsec, spanning the contrast- and background-limited regimes. Finally, we describe the role of the upgraded LBTI/NOMIC instrument within the Breakthrough Watch program at the University of Arizona, which aims to perform the deepest observations yet of the habitable zones of the nearest single Sun-like stars.

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arXiv2026

Photometric Variability and Rotation of Beta Pictoris b from JWST NIRCam Coronagraphic Imaging

We report the detection of photometric variability in the directly imaged super-Jupiter $β$ Pictoris b. Using JWST NIRCam dual-band coronagraphic imaging, we conducted a 16-hour continuous photometric monitoring campaign in the F210M and F410M filters. We developed and validated a time-series photometry framework that combines PSF subtraction, principal component analysis for systematic noise removal, and injection-and-recovery tests to confirm signal fidelity. Both light curves show consistent sinusoidal variability at $\sim$5$σ$ and $\gg 5σ$ significance in the F210M and F410M bands, respectively. A joint sinusoidal fit yields a rotation period of $P_{\rm rot} = 9.00 \pm 0.13$ hr and variability amplitudes of $0.85 \pm 0.07\%$ and $0.89 \pm 0.04\%$ in F210M and F410M, respectively. The near-identical amplitudes and periods in both bands confirm a common astrophysical origin in a heterogeneous atmosphere. Combining $P_{\rm rot}$ with the previously measured projected rotational velocity, we constrain the line-of-sight spin axis inclination of $β$ Pic b. The result favors an equator-on viewing geometry, consistent with line-of-sight spin-orbit alignment: the planetary spin axis, orbital plane, debris disk, and stellar equator are all mutually aligned. This stands in sharp contrast to the large obliquities of wide-separation companions that are likely formed via gravitational fragmentation. Together with the system's young age, this observation provides independent dynamical evidence that $β$ Pic b formed via core accretion. This result constitutes the first detection of rotational modulation in a close-in, high-contrast exoplanet that likely formed via core accretion, demonstrating that time-series coronagraphic imaging with JWST opens a powerful new window onto the rotation, atmospheric dynamics, and spin-orbit architecture of this population.

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arXiv2026

When Stabilizing Feedbacks Wreak Havoc in Habitable Planets: Chaos at the Freezing Point in a Four-Feedback Climate Model

The long-term habitability of Earth-like planets is governed by the balance of positive and negative climate feedbacks that regulate surface temperature and atmospheric composition. While some feedbacks, such as ice-albedo and silicate weathering, are thought to operate on many terrestrial planets, the number and strength of additional climate feedbacks may vary substantially from world to world. An important open question is whether and how the introduction of an additional climate feedback influences long-term climate evolution and complexity. To investigate this question, we extended a low-order climate model including outgoing longwave radiation, ice--albedo, and carbonate--silicate weathering, with an additional generalized feedback. Across 35,864 simulations, we characterized dynamical behavior using the largest Lyapunov exponent (LLE). While 10.4% of explored parameter combinations exhibited positive LLEs, indicating chaos, the fraction rose to 25.6% within the stabilizing, near-freezing regime. This suggests that chaotic behavior is preferentially concentrated where a strong stabilizing feedback operates in the same temperature regime as a strong destabilizing feedback, contrary to the expectation that additional negative feedbacks should increase climate stability. Increasing normalized volcanic outgassing shifts the chaotic regime toward lower stellar flux and partially suppresses chaos at high instellation.

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arXiv2026

Direct Imaging Discovery of Giant Exoplanet $β$ Pictoris d: A Decade-Long Game of Hide-and-Seek

We report the direct imaging discovery of a third exoplanet in the $β$ Pictoris system. We detect $β$ Pictoris d ($β$ Pic d) in non-coronagraphic observations obtained with VLT/ERIS as well as multi-epoch archival datasets from JWST/NIRCam and VLT/SPHERE. Astrometric measurements over an 11-year baseline demonstrate that it is consistent with a gravitationally-bound source with orbital motion. Joint multi-planet orbit fits of all three planets in the system yield a semi-major axis of $26.0^{+2.2}_{-6.1}$ au and inclination $89.0^{+0.7}_{-0.6}$ deg for planet d. $β$ Pic d has a larger orbital semi-major axis than the other known planets in the system, but is coplanar with the inner two planets, and its orbit is consistent with sculpting the inner edge of the debris disk. $β$ Pic d has a contrast of $ΔL^{\prime}=12.11\pm0.15$ mag, with colors and luminosity that closely match those of 51 Eri b, another exoplanet in the $β$ Pictoris moving group. Its VLT/ERIS and JWST/NIRCam colors are distinct from those of free-floating planetary-mass objects of a similar age and temperature. Its red $F410M-F444W$ color indicates strong CO$_2$ absorption in its atmosphere and suggests significant enhancement in metals compared to free-floating objects. From the ATMO hot-start evolutionary models, we estimate an effective temperature of $600^{+45}_{-60}$ K and mass of $2.4\pm0.6$ $M_{\rm Jup}$, which also closely matches similar estimates for 51 Eri b. $β$ Pic d is among the lowest-mass exoplanets imaged from the ground. This discovery highlights the deep sensitivity achievable with ground-based imaging in the mid-infrared and the discovery potential of future high-contrast observations with the Extremely Large Telescope.

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arXiv2026

Nautilus Space Observatory: Unveiling the Diversity and Origin of Sub-Neptunes with the Nautilus Space Observatory

Sub-Neptunes are the most common class of planets in the Galaxy, yet they have no Solar System analog and remain poorly understood as a population. JWST observations have revealed atmospheres spanning a wide range of metallicities, compositions, and cloud properties, driving active debates over whether warm sub-Neptunes harbor liquid water oceans beneath H2-rich envelopes, maintain stratified H2/H2O interiors, or have well-mixed, metal-rich envelopes. Open questions also remain over what physical processes drive transitions between hazy and clear atmospheres. These are intrinsically population-level questions that single-target observations, however deep, cannot resolve. Here we argue that a sub-Neptune population survey with the Nautilus Space Observatory, a proposed constellation of large-diameter space telescopes, would deliver the first statistical map of sub-Neptune atmospheric diversity, test competing classification schemes, identify habitable candidates, and serve as a pathfinder population for the eventual habitable-worlds search. These goals are achievable across the proposed mission classes for the constellation, and this architecture is uniquely well-matched to this science case since population-level questions demand sample size and a uniform observing strategy.

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arXiv2026

Nautilus: Fast Time-Resolved Spectroscopy of GKM Stellar Flares and Their Implications for Planetary Habitability

Low-mass GKM dwarfs are prime targets for finding habitable-zone Earth-sized planets, but their frequent flares, especially on M~dwarfs, can strongly affect planetary atmospheres through enhanced UV/XUV radiation and stellar proton events, which can drive complex photochemistry and accelerate atmospheric escape. Current atmospheric and habitability models of planets around low-mass stars often rely on simplified flare inputs, such as fixed-temperature blackbodies or approximate optical-to-UV/XUV conversions. However, recent observations show that M~dwarfs' flare temperatures and spectral shapes can vary significantly with flare energy, phase, and stellar type, and that optical-based flare observations may underestimate the flare energy in the UV. Time-resolved spectroscopic flare observations of G- and K-dwarfs also remain rare compared to those of M dwarfs. Here, we propose that the Nautilus Space Observatory concept can provide a unique opportunity to obtain fast-cadence, precisely flux-calibrated, moderate-resolution NUV-to-NIR spectroscopy of flares across a large sample of GKM dwarfs. These observations will measure the time-dependent flare energy budget from the near-UV/blue continuum to the optical and near-infrared continuum, while resolving key chromospheric lines that trace the underlying flare physics. We aim to construct a statistical library of empirical flare spectral templates organized by flare and stellar properties, including flare energy, flare phase, and host-star spectral type. This library will provide a practical bridge between observed stellar flare properties and the radiation inputs required for planetary atmospheric evolution and habitability simulations.

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arXiv2026

NASA's Pandora SmallSat Mission: Simulating the Impact of Stellar Photospheric Heterogeneity and Its Correction

Stellar photospheric heterogeneity is a dominant astrophysical systematic impacting exoplanet transmission spectroscopy. NASA's Pandora SmallSat Mission is designed to address this challenge through contemporaneous visible photometry and NIR spectroscopy of exoplanet host stars. Here we present an end-to-end simulation study quantifying Pandora's ability to infer stellar photospheric properties and correct stellar contamination using out-of-transit observations. We construct eight representative stellar activity scenarios and generate 160 simulated Pandora datasets, incorporating time-dependent stellar spectra, instrument response, and noise. Given accurate models, Bayesian retrievals of Pandora spectrophotometry recover photospheric temperatures with typical uncertainties of ${\approx}30$ K, with no significant bias. Models with two spectral components (i.e., quiescent photosphere and spots) are strongly favored in 95% of cases; one-component models are preferred when true spot filling factors fall below a detection threshold of ${\approx}0.3$%. We propagate the true and inferred stellar parameters to compute true, inferred, and residual contamination signals under physically motivated spot geometries. For simple spot distributions, contamination signals of $10^2{-}10^3$ ppm are reduced to ${\lesssim}10$ ppm, well below Pandora's expected transmission spectroscopy precision (30$-$100 ppm). For more complex spot distributions, geometric degeneracies limit deterministic corrections, leaving residual contamination at the $10^3$ ppm level that must be mitigated using additional constraints, such as spot-crossing events and joint stellar-planetary retrievals of transmission spectra. These results define regimes in which stellar contamination can be corrected from stellar observations alone and show how Pandora stellar observations can identify cases where additional information is required.

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arXiv2026

Forecasting Catastrophe: Constraints on the Fomalhaut Main Belt Planetesimal Population from Observed Collisional Remnants

Catastrophic planetesimal disruptions offer a unique opportunity to study and characterize large planetesimal populations in exoplanetary systems that are not currently detectable by modern observatories. The unexpected discovery of a second collision event in the Fomalhaut system raises important questions about the planetesimal population and dynamical state inside the Fomalhaut main belt that led to two collisions in 20 years. We present a statistical model developed and applied to the archetypal Fomalhaut system to provide new constraints on the bulk properties of the planetesimals in Fomalhaut's main belt. Utilizing the constraints provided by the spatially resolved Fomalhaut cs1 and cs2 collision events, we retrieve the belt parameters that best reproduce the observed collision rate while remaining consistent with the system's age and dust mass. Our best-fit model suggests a total main belt mass of 200-360 $M_{\oplus}$, with the transition from a collisionally evolved to a primordial planetesimal population occurring at a radius of $115_{-10}^{+30}$ km and a maximum planetesimal radius of $380_{-202}^{+643}$ km. We estimate a catastrophic collision rate of $0.086_{-0.048}^{+0.067}$ collision events per year for planetesimals with radii $\ge$ 100 km in the region interior to the main belt. Our findings show that further observable collisions are likely, motivating continued monitoring of Fomalhaut and other nearby debris disks.

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arXiv2026

Not Earth-like Yet Temperate? More Generic Climate Feedback Configurations Still Allow Temperate Climates in Habitable Zone Exo-Earth Candidates

Earth's climate is influenced by over a dozen feedbacks, but only three dominate its long-term climate behavior. Models of the exoplanet habitable zone (HZ) assume that this is similar for other Earth-like planets. We used dynamical simulations to study Earth-like planets with a fourth, (potentially strong) generalized climate feedback. Across over 20,000 climate simulations, we find that the addition of the fourth feedback produces novel behaviors, including runaway and chaotic climate trajectories, that are more diverse than one would expect based on Earth's climate configuration. Non-negligible fourth feedbacks -- if negative -- would not lessen the probability of planets with temperate climates. However, positive fourth feedbacks decrease the fraction of exo-Earth candidates that are long-term habitable. Therefore, strong fourth feedbacks will alter (and mostly shrink) the boundaries of the classical habitable zone. When combined with occurrence rates of Earth-sized planets around sun-like stars, our results imply that the fraction of stars hosting rocky planets with temperate climates may be substantially lower than classical estimates under Earth-like climate assumptions. Our results are subject to the validity of the model assumptions and not intended to represent conclusive predictions about exoplanet populations but rather to demonstrate the potential climate diversity that emerges from non-Earth-like model configurations. Our conclusions provide context on sample sizes and science questions for next-generation exoplanet surveys.

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arXiv2025

The Pandora SmallSat: A Low-Cost, High Impact Mission to Study Exoplanets and Their Host Stars

The Pandora SmallSat is a NASA flight project aimed at studying the atmospheres of exoplanets -- planets orbiting stars outside our Solar System. Pandora will provide the first dataset of simultaneous, multiband (visible and NIR), long-baseline observations of exoplanets and their host stars. Pandora is an ambitious project that will fly a 0.44 m telescope in a small form factor. To achieve the scientific goals, the mission requires a departure from the traditional cost-schedule paradigm of half-meter-class observatories. Pandora achieves this by leveraging existing capabilities that necessitate minimal engineering development, disruptive and agile management, trusted partnerships with vendors, and strong support from the lead institutions. The Pandora team has developed a suite of high-fidelity parameterized simulation and modeling tools to estimate the performance of both imaging channels. This has enabled a unique bottom-up approach to deriving trades and system requirements. Pandora is a partnership between NASA and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. The project completed its Critical Design Review in October 2023 and is slated for launch into Sun-synchronous, low-Earth orbit in Fall 2025.

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arXiv2025

Bioverse: Potentially Observable Exoplanet Biosignature Patterns Under the UV Threshold Hypothesis for the Origin of Life

A wide variety of scenarios for the origin of life have been proposed, with many influencing the prevalence and distribution of biosignatures across exoplanet populations. This relationship suggests these scenarios can be tested by predicting biosignature distributions and comparing them with empirical data. Here, we demonstrate this approach by focusing on the cyanosulfidic origins-of-life scenario and investigating the hypothesis that a minimum near-ultraviolet (NUV) flux is necessary for abiogenesis. Using Bayesian modeling and the \bioverse\ survey simulator, we constrain the probability of obtaining strong evidence for or against this ``UV Threshold Hypothesis'' with future biosignature surveys. Our results indicate that a correlation between past NUV flux and current biosignature occurrence is testable for sample sizes of $\gtrsim$50 planets. The diagnostic power of such tests is critically sensitive to the intrinsic abiogenesis rate and host star properties, particularly maximum past NUV fluxes. Surveys targeting a wide range of fluxes, and planets orbiting M dwarfs enhance the chances of conclusive results, with sample sizes $\gtrsim$100 providing $\gtrsim$80\% likelihood of strong evidence if abiogenesis rates are high and the required NUV fluxes are moderate. For required fluxes exceeding a few hundred erg/s/cm$^2$, both the fraction of inhabited planets and the diagnostic power sharply decrease. Our findings demonstrate the potential of exoplanet surveys to test origins-of-life hypotheses. Beyond specific scenarios, this work underscores the broader value of realistic survey simulations for future observatories (e.g., HWO, LIFE, ELTs, Nautilus) in identifying testable science questions, optimizing mission strategies, and advancing theoretical and experimental studies of abiogenesis.

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arXiv2025

Bioverse: GMT and ELT Direct Imaging and High-Resolution Spectroscopy Assessment $\unicode{x2013}$ Surveying Exo-Earth O$_{\mathrm{2}}$ and Testing the Habitable Zone Oxygen Hypothesis

Biosignature detection in the atmospheres of Earth-like exoplanets is one of the most significant and ambitious goals for astronomy, astrobiology, and humanity. Molecular oxygen is among the strongest indicators of life on Earth, but it will be extremely difficult to detect via transmission spectroscopy. We used the Bioverse statistical framework to assess the ability to probe Earth-like O$_{\mathrm{2}}$ levels on hypothetical nearby habitable zone exo-Earth candidates (EECs) using direct imaging and high-resolution spectroscopy on the Giant Magellan Telescope (GMT) and the Extremely Large Telescope (ELT). Assuming continued improvement in instruments and data processing, our analysis highlights the best-case scenarios. Earth-like O$_{\mathrm{2}}$ levels could be probed on up to $\sim$7 and $\sim$19 EECs orbiting bright M dwarfs within 20 pc in a hypothetical 10-year survey on the GMT and ELT, respectively. Four known super-Earth candidates, including Proxima Centauri b, could be probed for O$_{\mathrm{2}}$ within about one week of observations on the ELT and a few months on the GMT. We also assessed the ability of the ELT to test the habitable zone oxygen hypothesis $\unicode{x2013}$ that habitable zone Earth-sized planets are more likely to have O$_{\mathrm{2}}$ $\unicode{x2013}$ within a 10-year survey using Bioverse. Testing this hypothesis requires either $\sim$1/2 of the EECs to have O$_{\mathrm{2}}$ or $\sim$1/3 if $η_{\oplus}$ is large. A northern hemisphere large-aperture telescope, such as the Thirty Meter Telescope (TMT), would expand the target star pool by about 25%, reduce the time to probe biosignatures on individual targets, and provide an additional independent check on potential biosignature detections.

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arXiv2025

Orbital Modeling of HII 1348B: An Eccentric Young Substellar Companion in the Pleiades

Brown dwarfs with known physical properties (e.g., age and mass) are essential for constraining models of the formation and evolution of substellar objects. We present new high-contrast imaging observations of the circumbinary brown dwarf HII 1348B $\mathord{-}$ one of the few known substellar companions in the Pleiades cluster. We observed the system in the infrared (IR) $L^\prime$ band with the Large Binocular Telescope Interferometer (LBTI) in dual-aperture direct imaging mode (i.e., with the two telescope apertures used separately) on 2019 September 18. The observations attained a high signal-to-noise ratio ($\mathrm{SNR} > 150$) photometric detection and relative astrometry with uncertainties of ${\sim}5 \ \mathrm{mas}$. This work presents the first model of the companion's orbital motion using relative astrometry from five epochs across a total baseline of 23 years. Orbital fits to the compiled data show the companion's semimajor axis to be $a = 140 \substack{+130 \\ -30} \ \mathrm{au}$ with an eccentricity of $e = 0.78 \substack{+0.12 \\ -0.29}$. We infer that HII 1348B has a mass of $60\mathord{-}63 \pm 2 \ \mathrm{M_J}$ from comparison to brown dwarf evolutionary models given the well-constrained distance and age of the Pleiades. No other objects were detected in the HII 1348 system, and through synthetic planet injection and retrievals we establish detection limits at a cluster age of $112 \pm 5$ Myr down to ${\sim}10\mathord{-}30 \ \mathrm{M_J}$ for companions with projected separations of $21.5\mathord{-}280 \ \text{au}$. With this work, HII 1348B becomes the second directly imaged substellar companion in the Pleiades with measured orbital motion after HD 23514B.

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arXiv2025

Phase-resolved Hubble Space Telescope WFC3 Spectroscopy of Weakly-Irradiated Brown Dwarf GD 1400 and Energy Redistribution-Irradiation Trends in Six WD$-$BD Binaries

Irradiated brown dwarfs offer a unique opportunity to bridge the gap between stellar and planetary atmospheres. We present high-quality $\mathit{HST}$/WFC3/G141 phase-resolved spectra of the white dwarf + brown dwarf binary GD 1400, covering more than one full rotation of the brown dwarf. Accounting for brightness variations caused by ZZ Ceti pulsations, we revealed weak ($\sim$1\%) phase curve amplitude modulations originating from the brown dwarf. Sub-band light curve exploration in various bands showed no significant wavelength dependence on amplitude or phase shift. Extracted day- and night-side spectra indicated chemically similar hemispheres, with slightly higher day-side temperatures, suggesting efficient heat redistribution or dominance of radiative escape over atmospheric circulation. A simple radiative and energy redistribution model reproduced observed temperatures well. Cloud-inclusive models fit the day and night spectra better than cloudless models, indicating global cloud coverage. We also begin qualitatively exploring atmospheric trends across six irradiated brown dwarfs, from the now complete "Dancing with Dwarfs" WD$-$BD sample. The trend we find in the day-side/night-side temperature and irradiation levels is consistent with efficient heat redistribution for irradiation levels less than $\sim$10$^9$ ergs/s/cm$^2$ and decreasing efficiency above that level.

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arXiv2024

Protosolar D-to-H abundance and one part-per-billion PH$_{3}$ in the coldest brown dwarf

The coldest Y spectral type brown dwarfs are similar in mass and temperature to cool and warm ($\sim$200 -- 400 K) giant exoplanets. We can therefore use their atmospheres as proxies for planetary atmospheres, testing our understanding of physics and chemistry for these complex, cool worlds. At these cold temperatures, their atmospheres are cold enough for water clouds to form, and chemical timescales increase, increasing the likelihood of disequilibrium chemistry compared to warmer classes of planets. JWST observations are revolutionizing the characterization of these worlds with high signal-to-noise, moderate resolution near- and mid-infrared spectra. The spectra have been used to measure the abundances of prominent species like water, methane, and ammonia; species that trace chemical reactions like carbon monoxide; and even isotopologues of carbon monoxide and ammonia. Here, we present atmospheric retrieval results using both published fixed-slit (GTO program 1230) and new averaged time series observations (GO program 2327) of the coldest known Y dwarf, WISE 0855-0714 (using NIRSpec G395M spectra), which has an effective temperature of $\sim$ 264 K. We present a detection of deuterium in an atmosphere outside of the solar system via a relative measurement of deuterated methane (CH$_{3}$D) and standard methane. From this, we infer the D/H ratio of a substellar object outside the solar system for the first time. We also present a well-constrained part-per-billion abundance of phosphine (PH$_{3}$). We discuss our interpretation of these results and the implications for brown dwarf and giant exoplanet formation and evolution.

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arXiv2024

The Polar Vortex Hypothesis: Evolving, Spectrally Distinct Polar Regions Explain Short- and Long-term Light Curve Evolution and Color-Inclination Trends in Brown Dwarfs and Giant Exoplanets

Recent studies revealed viewing-angle-dependent color and spectral trends in brown dwarfs, as well as long-term photometric variability (~100 hr). The origins of these trends are yet unexplained. Here, we propose that these seemingly unrelated sets of observations stem from the same phenomenon: The polar regions of brown dwarfs and directly imaged exoplanets are spectrally different from lower-latitude regions, and that they evolve over longer timescales, possibly driven by polar vortices. We explore this hypothesis via a spatio-temporal atmosphere model capable of simulating time-series, disk-integrated spectra of ultracool atmospheres. We study three scenarios with different spectral and temporal components: A null hypothesis without polar vortex, and two scenarios with polar vortices. We find that the scenarios with polar vortex can explain the observed infrared color-inclination trend and the variability amplitude-inclination trend. The presence of spectrally distinct, time-evolving polar regions in brown dwarfs and giant exoplanet atmospheres raises the possibility that one-dimensional, static atmospheric models may be insufficient for reproducing ultracool atmospheres in detail.

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