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D. Andrew Brown

Publications and source records attributed to D. Andrew Brown.

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A Kernel-Based Approach for Modelling Gaussian Processes with Functional Information

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating straightforward uncertainty quantification at other locations. In addition to training data, it is sometimes the case that available information is not in the form of a finite collection of points. For example, boundary value problems contain information on the boundary of a domain, or underlying physics lead to known behavior on an entire uncountable subset of the domain of interest. While an approximation to such known information may be obtained via pseudo-training points in the known subset, such a procedure is ad hoc with little guidance on the number of points to use, nor the behavior as the number of pseudo-observations grows large. We propose and construct Gaussian processes that unify, via reproducing kernel Hilbert space, the typical finite training data case with the case of having uncountable information by exploiting the equivalence of conditional expectation and orthogonal projections in Hilbert space. We show existence of the proposed process and establish that it is the limit of a conventional GP conditioned on an increasing number of training points. We illustrate the flexibility and advantages of our proposed approach via numerical experiments.

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A Fully Bayesian Approach for Comprehensive Mapping of Magnitude and Phase Brain Activation in Complex-Valued fMRI Data

Functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) plays a crucial role in neuroimaging, enabling the exploration of brain activity through complex-valued signals. These signals, composed of magnitude and phase, offer a rich source of information for understanding brain functions. Traditional fMRI analyses have largely focused on magnitude information, often overlooking the potential insights offered by phase data. In this paper, we propose a novel fully Bayesian model designed for analyzing single-subject complex-valued fMRI (cv-fMRI) data. Our model, which we refer to as the CV-M&P model, is distinctive in its comprehensive utilization of both magnitude and phase information in fMRI signals, allowing for independent prediction of different types of activation maps. We incorporate Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRFs) to capture spatial correlations within the data, and employ image partitioning and parallel computation to enhance computational efficiency. Our model is rigorously tested through simulation studies, and then applied to a real dataset from a unilateral finger-tapping experiment. The results demonstrate the model's effectiveness in accurately identifying brain regions activated in response to specific tasks, distinguishing between magnitude and phase activation.

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Efficient Fully Bayesian Approach to Brain Activity Mapping with Complex-Valued fMRI Data

Functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) enables indirect detection of brain activity changes via the blood-oxygen-level-dependent (BOLD) signal. Conventional analysis methods mainly rely on the real-valued magnitude of these signals. In contrast, research suggests that analyzing both real and imaginary components of the complex-valued fMRI (cv-fMRI) signal provides a more holistic approach that can increase power to detect neuronal activation. We propose a fully Bayesian model for brain activity mapping with cv-fMRI data. Our model accommodates temporal and spatial dynamics. Additionally, we propose a computationally efficient sampling algorithm, which enhances processing speed through image partitioning. Our approach is shown to be computationally efficient via image partitioning and parallel computation while being competitive with state-of-the-art methods. We support these claims with both simulated numerical studies and an application to real cv-fMRI data obtained from a finger-tapping experiment.

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Bayesian Regularization for Functional Graphical Models with Applications to Neuroimaging

Graphical models, used to express conditional dependence between random variables observed at various nodes, are used extensively in many fields such as genetics, neuroscience, and social network analysis. While most current statistical methods for estimating graphical models focus on scalar data, there is interest in estimating analogous dependence structures when the data observed at each node are functional, such as signals or images. In this paper, we propose a fully Bayesian regularization scheme for estimating functional graphical models. We first consider a direct Bayesian analog of the functional graphical lasso proposed by Qiao et al. (2019). We then propose a regularization strategy via the graphical horseshoe. We compare these approaches via simulation study and apply our proposed functional graphical horseshoe to two motivating applications, electroencephalography data for comparing brain activation between an alcoholic group and controls, as well as changes in structural connectivity in the presence of traumatic brain injury (TBI). Our results yield insight into how the brain attempts to compensate for disconnected networks after injury.

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Bayesian Spatial Binary Regression for Label Fusion in Structural Neuroimaging

Alzheimer's disease is a neurodegenerative condition that accelerates cognitive decline relative to normal aging. It is of critical scientific importance to gain a better understanding of early disease mechanisms in the brain to facilitate effective, targeted therapies. The volume of the hippocampus is often used in diagnosis and monitoring of the disease. Measuring this volume via neuroimaging is difficult since each hippocampus must either be manually identified or automatically delineated, a task referred to as segmentation. Automatic hippocampal segmentation often involves mapping a previously manually segmented image to a new brain image and propagating the labels to obtain an estimate of where each hippocampus is located in the new image. A more recent approach to this problem is to propagate labels from multiple manually segmented atlases and combine the results using a process known as label fusion. To date, most label fusion algorithms employ voting procedures with voting weights assigned directly or estimated via optimization. We propose using a fully Bayesian spatial regression model for label fusion that facilitates direct incorporation of covariate information while making accessible the entire posterior distribution. Our results suggest that incorporating tissue classification (e.g, gray matter) into the label fusion procedure can greatly improve segmentation when relatively homogeneous, healthy brains are used as atlases for diseased brains. The fully Bayesian approach also produces meaningful uncertainty measures about hippocampal volumes, information which can be leveraged to detect significant, scientifically meaningful differences between healthy and diseased populations, improving the potential for early detection and tracking of the disease.

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Coupling material and mechanical design processes via computer model calibration

Computer model calibration typically operates by choosing parameter values in a computer model so that the model output faithfully predicts reality. By using performance targets in place of observed data, we show that calibration techniques can be repurposed to wed engineering and material design, two processes that are traditionally carried out separately. This allows materials to be designed with specific engineering targets in mind while quantifying the associated sources of uncertainty. We demonstrate our proposed approach by "calibrating" material design settings to performance targets for a wind turbine blade.

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Efficient Marginalization-based MCMC Methods for Hierarchical Bayesian Inverse Problems

Hierarchical models in Bayesian inverse problems are characterized by an assumed prior probability distribution for the unknown state and measurement error precision, and hyper-priors for the prior parameters. Combining these probability models using Bayes' law often yields a posterior distribution that cannot be sampled from directly, even for a linear model with Gaussian measurement error and Gaussian prior. Gibbs sampling can be used to sample from the posterior, but problems arise when the dimension of the state is large. This is because the Gaussian sample required for each iteration can be prohibitively expensive to compute, and because the statistical efficiency of the Markov chain degrades as the dimension of the state increases. The latter problem can be mitigated using marginalization-based techniques, but these can be computationally prohibitive as well. In this paper, we combine the low-rank techniques of Brown, Saibaba, and Vallelian (2018) with the marginalization approach of Rue and Held (2005). We consider two variants of this approach: delayed acceptance and pseudo-marginalization. We provide a detailed analysis of the acceptance rates and computational costs associated with our proposed algorithms, and compare their performances on two numerical test cases---image deblurring and inverse heat equation.

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Sampling strategies for fast updating of Gaussian Markov random fields

Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRFs) are popular for modeling dependence in large areal datasets due to their ease of interpretation and computational convenience afforded by the sparse precision matrices needed for random variable generation. Typically in Bayesian computation, GMRFs are updated jointly in a block Gibbs sampler or componentwise in a single-site sampler via the full conditional distributions. The former approach can speed convergence by updating correlated variables all at once, while the latter avoids solving large matrices. We consider a sampling approach in which the underlying graph can be cut so that conditionally independent sites are updated simultaneously. This algorithm allows a practitioner to parallelize updates of subsets of locations or to take advantage of `vectorized' calculations in a high-level language such as R. Through both simulated and real data, we demonstrate computational savings that can be achieved versus both single-site and block updating, regardless of whether the data are on a regular or an irregular lattice. The approach provides a good compromise between statistical and computational efficiency and is accessible to statisticians without expertise in numerical analysis or advanced computing.

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A Large Scale Spatio-temporal Binomial Regression Model for Estimating Seroprevalence Trends

This paper develops a large-scale Bayesian spatio-temporal binomial regression model for the purpose of investigating regional trends in antibody prevalence to Borrelia burgdorferi, the causative agent of Lyme disease. The proposed model uses Gaussian predictive processes to estimate the spatially varying trends and a conditional autoregressive model to account for spatio-temporal dependence. Careful consideration is made to develop a novel framework that is scalable to large spatio-temporal data. The proposed model is used to analyze approximately 16 million Borrelia burgdorferi test results collected on dogs located throughout the conterminous United States over a sixty month period. This analysis identifies several regions of increasing canine risk. Specifically, this analysis reveals evidence that Lyme disease is getting worse in some endemic regions and that it could potentially be spreading to other non-endemic areas. Further, given the zoonotic nature of this vector-borne disease, this analysis could potentially reveal areas of increasing human risk.

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Low Rank Independence Samplers in Bayesian Inverse Problems

In Bayesian inverse problems, the posterior distribution is used to quantify uncertainty about the reconstructed solution. In practice, Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms often are used to draw samples from the posterior distribution. However, implementations of such algorithms can be computationally expensive. We present a computationally efficient scheme for sampling high-dimensional Gaussian distributions in ill-posed Bayesian linear inverse problems. Our approach uses Metropolis-Hastings independence sampling with a proposal distribution based on a low-rank approximation of the prior-preconditioned Hessian. We show the dependence of the acceptance rate on the number of eigenvalues retained and discuss conditions under which the acceptance rate is high. We demonstrate our proposed sampler by using it with Metropolis-Hastings-within-Gibbs sampling in numerical experiments in image deblurring, computerized tomography, and NMR relaxometry.

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Nonparametric Functional Calibration of Computer Models

Standard methods in computer model calibration treat the calibration parameters as constant throughout the domain of control inputs. In many applications, systematic variation may cause the best values for the calibration parameters to change between different settings. When not accounted for in the code, this variation can make the computer model inadequate. In this article, we propose a framework for modeling the calibration parameters as functions of the control inputs to account for a computer model's incomplete system representation in this regard while simultaneously allowing for possible constraints imposed by prior expert opinion. We demonstrate how inappropriate modeling assumptions can mislead a researcher into thinking a calibrated model is in need of an empirical discrepancy term when it is only needed to allow for a functional dependence of the calibration parameters on the inputs. We apply our approach to plastic deformation of a visco-plastic self-consistent material in which the critical resolved shear stress is known to vary with temperature.

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A Bayesian Generalized CAR Model for Correlated Signal Detection

Over the last decade, large-scale multiple testing has found itself at the forefront of modern data analysis. In many applications data are correlated, so that the observed test statistic used for detecting a non-null case, or signal, at each location in a dataset carries some information about the chances of a true signal at other locations. Brown, Lazar, Datta, Jang, and McDowell (2014) proposed in the neuroimaging context a Bayesian multiple testing model that accounts for the dependence of each volume element on the behavior of its neighbors through a conditional autoregressive (CAR) model. Here, we propose a generalized CAR model that allows for inclusion of points with no neighbors at all, something that is not possible under conventional CAR models. We consider also neighborhoods based on criteria other than physical location, such as genetic pathways in microarray determined from existing biological knowledge. This generalization provides a unified framework for the simultaneous modeling of dependent and independent cases, resulting in stronger Bayesian learning in the posterior and increased precision in the estimates of interesting signals. We justify the selected prior distribution and prove that the resulting posterior distribution is proper. We illustrate the effectiveness and applicability of our proposed model by using it to analyze both simulated and real microarray data in which the genes exhibit dependence that is determined by physical adjacency on a chromosome or predefined gene pathways.

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