SteerCheck: Attribution Specificity and Alignment Leakage in Activation-Steering Audits
Activation steering can change behaviour without establishing that the effect is specific to the intended concept. We introduce SteerCheck, a preregistered attribution audit that matches off-target KL and separates mean, protected-tail, polarity, transfer, and semantic claims. Exact replay of 960 Qwen3-14B interventions reveals complementary limits of common controls: isotropic directions occupy a narrow near-orthogonal region, whereas sign-randomized same-construction directions often retain substantial target alignment. Effect is strongly associated with signed cosine within the sign-randomized family ($\rho=.94$); $25.3\%$ of its draws exceed cosine $.5$, and every draw exceeding the observed mean effect has cosine above $.80$. This alignment leakage does not by itself invalidate a conditional randomization test; it limits what the comparator can distinguish and motivates reporting exchangeability assumptions, a construction diagnostic $A$, and the empirical cosine distribution. The primary Qwen complete gate remains negative because the protected tail fails all families. On independent data, continuous margin transfers only in Qwen and accuracy transfers in no selected cell. Prospectively registered language controls pass the complete gate in Qwen and DeepSeek, while a passing DeepSeek detox comparator rules out categorical separation; all nominal passes are sensitive to $\Gamma=1.10$. Frozen three-rater open-generation evaluation supports factual correction in DeepSeek but not Qwen; the automatic judge fails calibration (macro-F1 $.562$), so null-wide semantic results remain descriptive. SteerCheck makes these conditional and mixed conclusions auditable.