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Dan Adler

Publications and source records attributed to Dan Adler.

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Evolutionary Systems Thinking: From Equilibrium Models to Open-Ended Adaptive Dynamics

Complex change is often described as ``evolutionary'' in economics, policy, technology, and organizations, yet many system dynamics models represent behavior within a fixed set of stocks, flows, relationships, and transition rules. Such models can generate nonlinear, oscillatory, path-dependent, or chaotic behavior, but structural novelty must ordinarily be specified in advance. This paper argues that evolutionary dynamics should be treated as a core systems-thinking problem rather than as a biological metaphor. We introduce Stability-Driven Assembly (SDA), a minimal non-equilibrium framework in which stochastic interactions and differential persistence generate endogenous selection without genes, template-based replication, or an externally specified fitness function. Longer-lived configurations accumulate in the population and therefore become more likely to participate in subsequent interactions. This creates feedback among persistence, population composition, and future pattern formation. The resulting abundance-weighted sampling is equivalent to fitness-proportional selection, allowing SDA to be interpreted as a natural genetic algorithm driven by persistence-weighted population dynamics. SDA provides a conceptual basis for distinguishing fixed-state-space dynamics from evolving possibility spaces, in which persistent structures can reshape future flows, interactions, and available configurations. It also suggests that equilibrium should be treated as provisional: a quasi-stable regime may be reorganized when a more persistent configuration emerges. We conclude by outlining two ways to extend system dynamics practice: constructing an SDA-style population model alongside a stock-flow model, and using SDA perturbation analysis to examine the vulnerability of an existing regime to structural innovation.

q-bio.PE

How Information Evolves: Stability-Driven Assembly and the Emergence of a Natural Genetic Algorithm

Information can evolve as a physical consequence of non-equilibrium dynamics, even in the absence of genes, replication, or predefined fitness functions. We present Stability-Driven Assembly (SDA), a framework in which stochastic assembly combined with differential persistence biases populations toward longer-lived motifs. Assemblies that persist longer become more frequent and are therefore more likely to participate in subsequent interactions, generating feedback that reshapes the population distribution and implements fitness-proportional sampling, realizing evolution as a natural, emergent genetic algorithm (SDA/GA) driven solely by stability. We apply SDA/GA to chemical symbol space using SMILES fragments with recombination, mutation, and a heuristic stability function. Simulations show hallmark features of evolutionary search, including scaffold-level dominance, sustained novelty, and entropy reduction, yielding open-ended dynamics absent from equilibrium models with fixed transition rates. These results motivate an evolutionary ladder hypothesis where persistence-driven selection precedes genetic replication.

q-bio.PE

MIND: Empowering Mental Health Clinicians with Multimodal Data Insights through a Narrative Dashboard

Advances in data collection enable the capture of rich patient-generated data: from passive sensing (e.g., wearables and smartphones) to active self-reports (e.g., cross-sectional surveys and ecological momentary assessments). Although prior research has demonstrated the utility of patient-generated data in mental healthcare, significant challenges remain in effectively presenting these data streams along with clinical data (e.g., clinical notes) for clinical decision-making. Through co-design sessions with five clinicians, we propose MIND, a large language model-powered dashboard designed to present clinically relevant multimodal data insights for mental healthcare. MIND presents multimodal insights through narrative text, complemented by charts communicating underlying data. Our user study (N=16) demonstrates that clinicians perceive MIND as a significant improvement over baseline methods, reporting improved performance to reveal hidden and clinically relevant data insights (p<.001) and support their decision-making (p=.004). Grounded in the study results, we discuss future research opportunities to integrate data narratives in broader clinical practices.

cs.HC