Daniel Grønhaug | Searcharxiv

arXiv2026

IMU-Free Body-Frame State Estimation with Sparse Scene Flow for Quadcopters

We present a vision-only state estimation system for X-configuration quadcopters equipped with a canonical stereo camera pair and no inertial sensors. The system operates entirely in the body frame, requiring only synchronised stereo images and motor thrust commands. A continuous-discrete extended Kalman filter on a composite manifold state $\langle SE(3), \mathbb{R}^3, \ldots \rangle$ maintains estimates of body-frame pose, velocity, angular velocity, gravity, and disturbances, using stationary scene points as implicit inertial references. Feature points are detected (FAST, Shi-Tomasi), tracked temporally (SSD, Lucas-Kanade) and matched across cameras (NCC), with search regions predicted from filter-derived pose and point uncertainty. Chi-squared gating on the normalised innovation admits only stationary points to the filter. The system also produces a sparse 3D point cloud carrying per-point position, velocity and joint covariance. These come from a 4-view (two stereo pairs at two timestamps) full bundle adjustment that jointly estimates position and velocity from stereo disparity and temporal parallax, with the filter-derived relative pose as a prior. Feature points in the EKF do not enter the solver; their information is reflected through the pose prior. Point cloud density is spatially adaptive: an external focus point directs allocation, producing dense coverage in the region of attention and sparse coverage elsewhere. The output is a body-frame state estimate, a calibrated pose change, and a sparse scene flow. It is intended as a measurement source for a downstream world model anchored in the current body frame, without dependence on GPS, IMU, or any world-frame infrastructure, though the architecture accommodates their future integration.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2026

Classifier Calibration at Scale: An Empirical Study of Model-Agnostic Post-Hoc Methods

We study model-agnostic post-hoc calibration methods intended to improve probabilistic predictions in supervised binary classification on real i.i.d. tabular data, with particular emphasis on conformal and Venn-based approaches that provide distribution-free validity guarantees under exchangeability. We benchmark 21 widely used classifiers, including linear models, SVMs, tree ensembles (CatBoost, XGBoost, LightGBM), and modern tabular neural and foundation models, on binary tasks from the TabArena-v0.1 suite using randomized, stratified five-fold cross-validation with a held-out test fold. Five calibrators; Isotonic regression, Platt scaling, Beta calibration, Venn-Abers predictors, and Pearsonify are trained on a separate calibration split and applied to test predictions. Calibration is evaluated using proper scoring rules (log-loss and Brier score) and diagnostic measures (Spiegelhalter's Z, ECE, and ECI), alongside discrimination (AUC-ROC) and standard classification metrics. Across tasks and architectures, Venn-Abers predictors achieve the largest average reductions in log-loss, followed closely by Beta calibration, while Platt scaling exhibits weaker and less consistent effects. Beta calibration improves log-loss most frequently across tasks, whereas Venn-Abers displays fewer instances of extreme degradation and slightly more instances of extreme improvement. Importantly, we find that commonly used calibration procedures, most notably Platt scaling and isotonic regression, can systematically degrade proper scoring performance for strong modern tabular models. Overall classification performance is often preserved, but calibration effects vary substantially across datasets and architectures, and no method dominates uniformly. In expectation, all methods except Pearsonify slightly increase accuracy, but the effect is marginal, with the largest expected gain about 0.008%.

cs.LG↗