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Daniel J. D'Orazio

Publications and source records attributed to Daniel J. D'Orazio.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Measuring the Hubble Constant with Double Gravitational Wave Sources in Pulsar Timing

Pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) are searching for gravitational waves from supermassive black hole binaries (SMBHBs). Here we show how future PTAs could use a detection of gravitational waves from individually resolved SMBHB sources to produce a purely gravitational wave-based measurement of the Hubble constant. This is achieved by measuring two separate distances to the same source from the gravitational wave signal in the timing residual: the luminosity distance $D_L$ through frequency evolution effects, and the parallax distance $D_\mathrm{par}$ through wavefront curvature (Fresnel) effects. We present a generalized timing residual model including these effects in an expanding universe. Of these two distances, $D_\mathrm{par}$ is challenging to measure due to the pulsar distance wrapping problem, a degeneracy in the Earth-pulsar distance and gravitational wave source parameters that requires highly precise, sub-parsec level, pulsar distance measurements to overcome. However, in this paper we demonstrate that combining the knowledge of two SMBHB sources in the timing residual largely removes the wrapping cycle degeneracy. Two sources simultaneously calibrate the PTA by identifying the distances to the pulsars, which is useful in its own right, and allow recovery of the source luminosity and parallax distances which results in a measurement of the Hubble constant. We find that, with optimistic PTAs in the era of the Square Kilometer Array, two SMBHB sources within a few hundred Mpc could be used to measure the Hubble constant with a relative uncertainty on the order of 10 per cent.

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Multi-Messenger Constraints on Magnetic Fields in Merging Black Hole-Neutron Star Binaries

The LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration recently detected gravitational waves (GWs) from the merger of black-hole-neutron-star (BHNS) binary systems GW200105 and GW200115. No coincident electromagnetic (EM) counterparts were detected. While the mass ratio and BH spin in both systems were not sufficient to tidally disrupt the NS outside of the BH event horizon, other, magnetospheric mechanisms for EM emission exist in this regime and depend sensitively on the NS magnetic field strength. Combining GW measurements with EM flux upper limits, we place upper limits on the NS surface magnetic field strength above which magnetospheric emission models would have generated an observable EM counterpart. We consider fireball models powered by the black-hole battery mechanism, where energy is output in gamma-rays over $\lesssim1$~second. Consistency with no detection by Fermi-GBM or INTEGRAL SPI-ACS constrains the NS surface magnetic field to $\lesssim10^{15}$~G. Hence, joint GW detection and EM upper limits rule out the theoretical possibility that the NSs in GW200105 and GW200115, and the putative NS in GW190814, retain $\gtrsim10^{15}$~G dipolar magnetic fields until merger. They also rule out formation scenarios where strongly magnetized magnetars quickly merge with BHs. We alternatively rule out operation of the BH-battery powered fireball mechanism in these systems. This is the first multi-messenger constraint on NS magnetic fields in BHNS systems and a novel approach to probe fields at this point in NS evolution. This demonstrates the constraining power that multi-messenger analyses of BHNS mergers have on BHNS formation scenarios, the magnetic-field evolution in NSs, and the physics of BHNS magnetospheric interactions.

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Gravitational Self-Lensing in Populations of Massive Black Hole Binaries

The community may be on the verge of detecting low-frequency gravitational waves from massive black hole binaries (MBHBs), but no examples of binary active galactic nuclei (AGN) have been confirmed. Because MBHBs are intrinsically rare, the most promising detection methods utilize photometric data from all-sky surveys. Recently D'Orazio & Di Stefano 2018 (arXiv:1707.02335) suggested gravitational self-lensing as a method of detecting AGN in close separation binaries. In this study we calculate the detectability of lensing signatures in realistic populations of simulated MBHBs. Within our model assumptions, we find that VRO's LSST should be able to detect 10s to 100s of self-lensing binaries, with the rate uncertainty depending primarily on the orientation of AGN disks relative to their binary orbits. Roughly a quarter of lensing detectable systems should also show detectable Doppler boosting signatures. If AGN disks tend to be aligned with the orbit, lensing signatures are very nearly achromatic, while in misaligned configurations the bluer optical bands are lensed more than redder ones. Whether substantial obscuring material (e.g.~a dusty torus) will be present in close binaries remains uncertain, but our estimates suggest that a substantial fraction of systems would still be observable in this case.

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Orbital Evolution of Equal-mass Eccentric Binaries due to a Gas Disk: Eccentric Inspirals and Circular Outspirals

We solve the equations of two-dimensional hydrodynamics describing a circumbinary disk accreting onto an eccentric, equal-mass binary. We compute the time rate of change of the binary semimajor axis $a$ and eccentricity $e$ over a continuous range of eccentricities spanning $e=0$ to $e=0.9$. We find that binaries with initial eccentricities $e_0 \lesssim 0.1$ tend to $e=0$, where the binary semimajor axis expands. All others are attracted to $e \approx 0.4$, where the binary semimajor axis decays. The $e \approx 0.4$ attractor is caused by a rapid change in the disk response from a nearly origin-symmetric state to a precessing asymmetric state. The state change causes the time rates of change $\dot{a}$ and $\dot{e}$ to steeply change sign at the same critical eccentricity resulting in an attracting solution where $\dot{a} = \dot{e} = 0$. This does not, however, result in a stalled, eccentric binary. The finite-transition time between disk states causes the binary eccentricity to evolve beyond the attracting eccentricity in both directions resulting in oscillating orbital parameters and a drift of the semimajor axis. For the chosen disk parameters, binaries with $e_0 \gtrsim 0.1$ evolve toward and then oscillate around $e \approx 0.4$ where they shrink in semimajor axis. Because unequal mass binaries grow toward equal mass through preferential accretion, our results are applicable to a wide range of initial binary mass ratios. Hence, these findings merit further investigations of this disk transition; understanding its dependence on disk parameters is vital for determining the fate of binaries undergoing orbital evolution with a circumbinary disk.

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Binary black hole signatures in polarized light curves

Variable active galactic nuclei showing periodic light curves have been proposed as massive black hole binary (MBHB) candidates. In such scenarios the periodicity can be due to relativistic Doppler-boosting of the emitted light. This hypothesis can be tested through the timing of scattered polarized light. Following the results of polarization studies in type I nuclei and of dynamical studies of MBHBs with circumbinary discs, we assume a coplanar equatorial scattering ring, whose elements contribute differently to the total polarized flux, due to different scattering angles, levels of Doppler boost, and line-of-sight time delays. We find that in the presence of a MBHB, both the degree of polarization and the polarization angle have periodic modulations. The minimum of the polarization degree approximately coincides with the peak of the light curve, regardless of the scattering ring size. The polarization angle oscillates around the semi-minor axis of the projected MBHB orbital ellipse, with a frequency equal either to the binary's orbital frequency (for large scattering screen radii), or twice this value (for smaller scattering structures). These distinctive features can be used to probe the nature of periodic MBHB candidates and to compile catalogs of the most promising sub-pc MBHBs. The identification of such polarization features in gravitational-wave detected MBHBs would enormously increase the amount of physical information about the sources, allowing the measurement of the individual masses of the binary components, and the orientation of the line of nodes on the sky, even for monochromatic gravitational wave signals.

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Searching for gravitational waves via Doppler tracking by future missions to Uranus and Neptune

The past year has seen numerous publications underlining the importance of a space mission to the ice giants in the upcoming decade. Proposed mission plans involve a $\sim$10 year cruise time to the ice giants. This cruise time can be utilized to search for low-frequency gravitational waves (GWs) by observing the Doppler shift caused by them in the Earth-spacecraft radio link. We calculate the sensitivity of prospective ice giant missions to GWs. Then, adopting a steady-state black hole binary population, we derive a conservative estimate for the detection rate of extreme mass ratio inspirals (EMRIs), supermassive- (SMBH) and stellar mass binary black hole (sBBH) mergers. We link the SMBH population to the fraction of quasars $f_\rm{bin}$ resulting from galaxy mergers that pair SMBHs to a binary. For a total of ten 40-day observations during the cruise of a single spacecraft, $\mathcal{O}(f_\rm{bin})\sim0.5$ detections of SMBH mergers are likely, if Allan deviation of Cassini-era noise is improved by $\sim 10^2$ in the $10^{-5}-10^{-3}$ Hz range. For EMRIs the number of detections lies between $\mathcal{O}(0.1) - \mathcal{O}(100)$. Furthermore, ice giant missions combined with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) would improve the localisation by an order of magnitude compared to LISA by itself.

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Using Gravitational Wave Parallax to Measure the Hubble Parameter with Pulsar Timing Arrays

We demonstrate how pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) can, in principle, yield a purely gravitational wave (GW) measurement of the luminosity distance and comoving distance to a supermassive black hole binary source, hence providing an estimate of the source redshift and the Hubble constant. The luminosity distance is derived through standard measurement of the chirp mass, which for the slowly evolving binary sources in the PTA band can be found by comparing the frequency of GW-timing residuals at the Earth compared to those at distant pulsars in the array. The comoving distance can be measured from GW-timing parallax caused by the curvature of the GW wavefronts. This can be detected for single sources at the high-frequency end of the PTA band out to Gpc distances with a future PTA containing well-timed pulsars out to $\mathcal{O}(10)$ kpc, when the pulsar distance is constrained to less than a GW wavelength. Such a future PTA, with $\gtrsim 30$ pulsars with precise distance measurements between 1 and 20~kpc, could measure the Hubble constant at the tens of percent level for a single source at $0.1 \lesssim z \lesssim 1.5$. At $z \lesssim 0.1$, the luminosity and comoving distances are too similar to disentangle, unless the fractional error in the luminosity distance measurement is decreased below 10%. At $z\gtrsim 1.5$, this measurement will likely be restricted by a signal-to-noise ratio threshold. Generally, clarification of the different types of cosmological distances that can be probed by PTAs, and their relation to pulsar distance measurements is important for ongoing PTA experiments aimed at detecting and characterizing GWs.

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Testing the relativistic Doppler boost hypothesis for the binary candidate quasar PG1302-102 with multi-band Swift data

The bright quasar PG1302-102 has been identified as a candidate supermassive black hole binary from its near-sinusoidal optical variability. While the significance of its optical periodicity has been debated due to the stochastic variability of quasars, its multi-wavelength variability in the ultraviolet (UV) and optical bands is consistent with relativistic Doppler boost caused by the orbital motion in a binary. However, this conclusion was based previously on sparse UV data which were not taken simultaneously with the optical data. Here we report simultaneous follow-up observations of PG1302-102 with the Ultraviolet Optical Telescope on the Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory in six optical + UV bands. The additional nine Swift observations produce light curves roughly consistent with the trend under the Doppler boost hypothesis, which predicts that UV variability should track the optical, but with a ~2.2 times higher amplitude. We perform a statistical analysis to quantitatively test this hypothesis. We find that the data are consistent with the Doppler boost hypothesis when we compare the the amplitudes in optical B-band and UV light curves. However, the ratio of UV to V-band variability is larger than expected and is consistent with the Doppler model, only if either the UV/optical spectral slopes vary, the stochastic variability makes a large contribution in the UV, or the sparse new optical data underestimate the true optical variability. We have evidence for the latter from comparison with the optical light curve from ASAS-SN. Additionally, the simultaneous analysis of all four bands strongly disfavors the Doppler boost model whenever Swift V-band is involved. Additional, simultaneous optical + UV observations tracing out another cycle of the 5.2-year proposed periodicity should lead to a definitive conclusion.

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Single-single gravitational-wave captures in globular clusters: Eccentric deci-Hertz sources observable by DECIGO and Tian-Qin

We study the formation rate of binary black hole mergers formed through gravitational-wave emission between unbound, single black holes in globular clusters. While the formation of these binaries in very dense systems such as galactic nuclei has been well studied, we show here that this process can operate in lower-density stellar systems as well, forming binaries at a rate similar to other proposed pathways for creating eccentric mergers. Recent advances in post-Newtonian cluster dynamics indicate that a large fraction of dynamically-assembled binary black holes merge inside their host clusters during weak and strong binary-single and binary-binary interactions, and that these systems may retain measurable eccentricities as they travel through the LIGO and LISA sensitivity bands. Using an analytic approach to modeling binary black holes from globular clusters, we show that the formation of merging binaries from previously unbound black holes can operate at a similar rate to mergers forming during strong binary encounters, and that these binaries inhabit a unique region of the gravitational-wave frequency space which can be identified by proposed deci-Hertz space-based detectors.

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Spikey: Self-Lensing Flares from Eccentric SMBH Binaries

We examine the light curves of two quasars, motivated by recent suggestions that a supermassive black hole binary (SMBHB) can exhibit sharp lensing spikes. We model the variability of each light curve as due to a combination of two relativistic effects: the orbital relativistic Doppler boost and gravitational binary self-lensing. In order to model each system we extend previous Doppler plus self-lensing models to include eccentricity. The first quasar is identified in optical data as a binary candidate with a 20-yr period (Ark 120), and shows a prominent spike. For this source, we rule out the lensing hypothesis and disfavor the Doppler-boost hypothesis due to discrepancies in the measured vs. recovered values of the binary mass and optical spectral slope. The second source, which we nickname Spikey, is the rare case of an active galactic nucleus (AGN) identified in Kepler's high-quality, high-cadence photometric data. For this source, we find a model, consisting of a combination of a Doppler modulation and a narrow symmetric lensing spike, consistent with an eccentric SMBHB with a total mass of approximately 30 million solar masses, rest-frame orbital period T=418 days, eccentricity e=0.5, and seen at an inclination of 8 degrees from edge-on. This interpretation can be tested by monitoring Spikey for periodic behavior and recurring flares in the next few years. In preparation for such monitoring we present the first X-ray observations of this object taken by the Neil Gehrels Swift observatory.

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Repeated Gravitational Lensing of Gravitational Waves in Hierarchical Black Hole Triples

We consider binary black holes (BBHs) in a hierarchical triple system where a more compact, less-massive binary is emitting detectable gravitational waves (GWs), and the tertiary is a supermassive BH at the center of a nuclear star cluster. As previous works have shown, the orbital motion of the outer binary can generate a detectable relativistic Doppler boost of the GWs emitted by the orbiting inner binary. We show here that for outer-binary orbits with a period of order one year, there can be a non-negligible probability for repeated gravitational lensing of the GWs emitted by the inner binary. Repeating gravitational lensing events could be detected by the LISA observatory as periodic GW amplitude spikes before the BBH enters the LIGO band. Such a detection would confirm the origin of some BBH mergers in nuclear star clusters. GW lensing also offers new testing grounds for strong gravity.

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Detecting Gravitational Self Lensing from Stellar-Mass Binaries Composed of Black Holes or Neutron Stars

We explore a unique electromagnetic signature of stellar-mass compact-object binaries long before they are detectable in gravitational waves. We show that gravitational lensing of light emitting components of a compact-object binary, by the other binary component, could be detectable in the nearby universe. This periodic lensing signature could be detected from present and future X-ray observations, identifying the progenitors of binaries that merge in the LIGO band, and also unveiling populations that do not merge, thus providing a tracer of the compact-object binary population in an enigmatic portion of its life. We argue that periodically repeating lensing flares could be observed for ~100 ksec orbital-period binaries with the future Lynx X-ray mission, possibly concurrent with gravitational wave emission in the LISA band. Binaries with longer orbital periods could be more common and be detectable as single lensing flares, though with reliance on a model for the flare that can be tested by observations of succeeding flares. Non-detection of such events, even with existing X-ray observations, will help to constrain the population of EM bright compact-object binaries.

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Detecting the Orbital Motion of Nearby Supermassive Black Hole Binaries with Gaia

We show that a 10 year Gaia mission could astrometrically detect the orbital motion of ~1 sub-parsec separation supermassive black hole binary in the heart of nearby, bright active galactic nuclei (AGN). Candidate AGN lie out to a redshift of z=0.02 and in the V-band magnitude range $10 \lesssim m_V \lesssim 13$. The distribution of detectable binary masses peaks at a few times $10^7$ solar masses and is truncated above a few times $10^8$ solar masses.

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LISA and the Existence of a Fast-Merging Double Neutron Star Formation Channel

Using a Milky Way double neutron star (DNS) merger rate of 210 Myr$^{-1}$, as derived by the Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory (LIGO), we demonstrate that the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will detect on average 240 (330) DNSs within the Milky Way for a 4-year (8-year) mission with a signal-to-noise ratio greater than 7. Even adopting a more pessimistic rate of 42 Myr$^{-1}$, as derived by the population of Galactic DNSs, we find a significant detection of 46 (65) Milky Way DNSs. These DNSs can be leveraged to constrain formation scenarios. In particular, traditional NS-discovery methods using radio telescopes are unable to detect DNSs with $P_{\rm orb}$ $\lesssim$1 hour (merger times $\lesssim$10 Myr). If a fast-merging channel exists that forms DNSs at these short orbital periods, LISA affords, perhaps, the only opportunity to observationally characterize these systems; we show that toy models for possible formation scenarios leave unique imprints on DNS orbital eccentricities, which may be measured by LISA for values as small as $\sim$10$^{-2}$.

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Probing the Survival of Planetary Systems in Globular Clusters with Tidal Disruption Events

Among the growing list of confirmed exoplanets, the number of planets identified in dense star clusters remains sparse. Previous analyses have suggested this may be due in part to dynamical interactions that unbind large fractions of planets from their host stars, limiting the survival of planetary systems in clusters. Thus, alternative detection strategies may be necessary to study planets in clusters that may no longer be bound to a host star. Here, we use the cluster Monte Carlo code CMC to explore the evolution of planetary systems in dense star clusters. Depending on a number of initial conditions, we show that $10-50\%$ of primordial planetary systems are broken through dynamical encounters over a cluster's full lifetime, populating clusters with "free-floating" planets. Furthermore, a large number ($30-80\%$) of planets are ejected from their host cluster through strong dynamical encounters and/or tidal loss. Additionally, we show that planets naturally mix with stellar-mass black holes (BHs) in the central regions of their host cluster. As a consequence, up to a few hundreds of planets will be tidally disrupted through close passages of BHs. We show these BH-planet tidal disruption events (TDEs) occur in clusters at a rate of up to $10^{-5}\,\rm{yr}^{-1}$ in a Milky Way-type galaxy. We predict BH-planet TDEs should be detected by upcoming transient surveys such as LSST at a rate of roughly a few events per year. The observed rate of BH-planet TDEs would place new constraints upon the formation and survival of both planetary systems and BHs in dense star clusters. Additionally, depending on various assumptions including the initial number of planets and their orbital properties, we predict that typical globular clusters may contain a few dynamically-formed NS-planet systems at present as well as up to roughly 100 dynamically-formed WD-planet systems.

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How Post-Newtonian Dynamics Shape the Distribution of Stationary Binary Black Hole LISA Sources in nearby Globular Clusters

We derive the observable gravitational wave (GW) peak frequency ($f$) distribution of binary black holes (BBHs) that currently reside inside their globular clusters (GCs), with and without 2.5 Post-Newtonian (2.5PN) effects included in the dynamical evolution of the BBHs. Recent Newtonian studies have reported that a notable number of nearby non-merging BBHs, i.e. those BBHs that are expected to undergo further dynamical interactions before merger, in GCs are likely to be observable by LISA. However, our 2.5PN calculations show that the distribution of $\log f$ for the non-merging BBH population above $\sim 10^{-3.5}$ Hz scales as $f^{-34/9}$ instead of the $f^{-2/3}$ scaling found in the Newtonian case. This leads to an approximately two-orders-of-magnitude reduction in the expected number of GW sources at $\sim 10^{-3}$ Hz, which lead us to conclude that observing nearby BBHs with LISA is not as likely as has been claimed in the recent literature. In fact, our results suggest that it might be more likely that LISA detects the population of BBHs that will merge before undergoing further interactions. This interestingly suggests that the BBH merger rate derived from LIGO can be used to forecast the number of nearby LISA sources, as well as providing insight into the fraction of BBH mergers forming in GCs.

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Black Hole Pulsar

In anticipation of a LIGO detection of a black hole/neutron star merger, we expand on the intriguing possibility of an electromagnetic counterpart. Black hole/Neutron star mergers could be disappointingly dark since most black holes will be large enough to swallow a neutron star whole, without tidal disruption and without the subsequent fireworks. Encouragingly, we previously found a promising source of luminosity since the black hole and the highly-magnetized neutron star establish an electronic circuit -- a black hole battery. In this paper, arguing against common lore, we consider the electric charge of the black hole as an overlooked source of electromagnetic radiation. Relying on the well known Wald mechanism by which a spinning black hole immersed in an external magnetic field acquires a stable net charge, we show that a strongly-magnetized neutron star in such a binary system will give rise to a large enough charge in the black hole to allow for potentially observable effects. Although the maximum charge is stable, we show there is a continuous flux of charges contributing to the luminosity. Most interestingly, the spinning charged black hole then creates its own magnetic dipole to power a black hole pulsar.

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Multi-Messenger Astrophysics with Pulsar Timing Arrays

Pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) are on the verge of detecting low-frequency gravitational waves (GWs) from supermassive black hole binaries (SMBHBs). With continued observations of a large sample of millisecond pulsars, PTAs will reach this major milestone within the next decade. Already, SMBHB candidates are being identified by electromagnetic surveys in ever-increasing numbers; upcoming surveys will enhance our ability to detect and verify candidates, and will be instrumental in identifying the host galaxies of GW sources. Multi-messenger (GW and electromagnetic) observations of SMBHBs will revolutionize our understanding of the co-evolution of SMBHs with their host galaxies, the dynamical interactions between binaries and their galactic environments, and the fundamental physics of accretion. Multi-messenger observations can also make SMBHBs 'standard sirens' for cosmological distance measurements out to $z\simeq0.5$. LIGO has already ushered in breakthrough insights in our knowledge of black holes. The multi-messenger detection of SMBHBs with PTAs will be a breakthrough in the years $2020-2030$ and beyond, and prepare us for LISA to help complete our views of black hole demographics and evolution at higher redshifts.

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