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Daniel Jiwoong Im

Publications and source records attributed to Daniel Jiwoong Im.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Deep Autoregressive Models as Causal Inference Engines

Existing causal inference (CI) models are often restricted to data with low-dimensional confounders and singleton actions. We propose an autoregressive (AR) CI framework capable of handling complex confounders and sequential actions commonly found in modern applications. Our approach accomplishes this using {\em sequencification}, which transforms data from an underlying causal diagram into a sequence of tokens. Sequencification not only accommodates training with data generated from a large class of DAGs, but also extends existing CI capabilities to estimate multiple causal quantities using a {\em single} model. We can directly compute probabilities from interventional distributions, simplifying inference and improving outcome prediction accuracy. We demonstrate that an AR model adapted for CI is efficient and effective in various complex applications such as navigating mazes, playing chess endgames, and evaluating the impact of certain keywords on paper acceptance rates, where we consider causal queries beyond standard reinforcement learning-type questions.

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UAMM: Price-oracle based Automated Market Maker

Automated market makers (AMMs) are pricing mechanisms utilized by decentralized exchanges (DEX). Traditional AMM approaches are constrained by pricing solely based on their own liquidity pool, without consideration of external markets or risk management for liquidity providers. In this paper, we propose a new approach known as UBET AMM (UAMM), which calculates prices by considering external market prices and the impermanent loss of the liquidity pool. Despite relying on external market prices, our method maintains the desired properties of a constant product curve when computing slippages. The key element of UAMM is determining the appropriate slippage amount based on the desired target balance, which encourages the liquidity pool to minimize impermanent loss. We demonstrate that our approach eliminates arbitrage opportunities when external market prices are efficient.

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Active and Passive Causal Inference Learning

This paper serves as a starting point for machine learning researchers, engineers and students who are interested in but not yet familiar with causal inference. We start by laying out an important set of assumptions that are collectively needed for causal identification, such as exchangeability, positivity, consistency and the absence of interference. From these assumptions, we build out a set of important causal inference techniques, which we do so by categorizing them into two buckets; active and passive approaches. We describe and discuss randomized controlled trials and bandit-based approaches from the active category. We then describe classical approaches, such as matching and inverse probability weighting, in the passive category, followed by more recent deep learning based algorithms. By finishing the paper with some of the missing aspects of causal inference from this paper, such as collider biases, we expect this paper to provide readers with a diverse set of starting points for further reading and research in causal inference and discovery.

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Onchain Sports Betting using UBET Automated Market Maker

The paper underscores how decentralization in sports betting addresses the drawbacks of traditional centralized platforms, ensuring transparency, security, and lower fees. Non-custodial solutions empower bettors with ownership of funds, bypassing geographical restrictions. Decentralized platforms enhance security, privacy, and democratic decision-making. However, decentralized sports betting necessitates automated market makers (AMMs) for efficient liquidity provision. Existing AMMs like Uniswap lack alignment with fair odds, creating risks for liquidity providers. To mitigate this, the paper introduces UBET AMM (UAMM), utilizing smart contracts and algorithms to price sports odds fairly. It establishes an on-chain betting framework, detailing market creation, UAMM application, collateral liquidity pools, and experiments that exhibit positive outcomes. UAMM enhances decentralized sports betting by ensuring liquidity, decentralized pricing, and global accessibility, promoting trustless and efficient betting.

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Causal Effect Variational Autoencoder with Uniform Treatment

Domain adaptation and covariate shift are big issues in deep learning and they ultimately affect any causal inference algorithms that rely on deep neural networks. Causal effect variational autoencoder (CEVAE) is trained to predict the outcome given observational treatment data and it suffers from the distribution shift at test time. In this paper, we introduce uniform treatment variational autoencoders (UTVAE) that are trained with uniform treatment distribution using importance sampling and show that using uniform treatment over observational treatment distribution leads to better causal inference by mitigating the distribution shift that occurs from training to test time. We also explore the combination of uniform and observational treatment distributions with inference and generative network training objectives to find a better training procedure for inferring treatment effects. Experimentally, we find that the proposed UTVAE yields better absolute average treatment effect error and precision in the estimation of heterogeneous effect error than the CEVAE on synthetic and IHDP datasets.

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Online hyperparameter optimization by real-time recurrent learning

Conventional hyperparameter optimization methods are computationally intensive and hard to generalize to scenarios that require dynamically adapting hyperparameters, such as life-long learning. Here, we propose an online hyperparameter optimization algorithm that is asymptotically exact and computationally tractable, both theoretically and practically. Our framework takes advantage of the analogy between hyperparameter optimization and parameter learning in recurrent neural networks (RNNs). It adapts a well-studied family of online learning algorithms for RNNs to tune hyperparameters and network parameters simultaneously, without repeatedly rolling out iterative optimization. This procedure yields systematically better generalization performance compared to standard methods, at a fraction of wallclock time.

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Evaluation metrics for behaviour modeling

A primary difficulty with unsupervised discovery of structure in large data sets is a lack of quantitative evaluation criteria. In this work, we propose and investigate several metrics for evaluating and comparing generative models of behavior learned using imitation learning. Compared to the commonly-used model log-likelihood, these criteria look at longer temporal relationships in behavior, are relevant if behavior has some properties that are inherently unpredictable, and highlight biases in the overall distribution of behaviors produced by the model. Pointwise metrics compare real to model-predicted trajectories given true past information. Distribution metrics compare statistics of the model simulating behavior in open loop, and are inspired by how experimental biologists evaluate the effects of manipulations on animal behavior. We show that the proposed metrics correspond with biologists' intuitions about behavior, and allow us to evaluate models, understand their biases, and enable us to propose new research directions.

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Are skip connections necessary for biologically plausible learning rules?

Backpropagation is the workhorse of deep learning, however, several other biologically-motivated learning rules have been introduced, such as random feedback alignment and difference target propagation. None of these methods have produced a competitive performance against backpropagation. In this paper, we show that biologically-motivated learning rules with skip connections between intermediate layers can perform as well as backpropagation on the MNIST dataset and are robust to various sets of hyper-parameters.

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Importance Weighted Adversarial Variational Autoencoders for Spike Inference from Calcium Imaging Data

The Importance Weighted Auto Encoder (IWAE) objective has been shown to improve the training of generative models over the standard Variational Auto Encoder (VAE) objective. Here, we derive importance weighted extensions to AVB and AAE. These latent variable models use implicitly defined inference networks whose approximate posterior density q_ϕ(z|x) cannot be directly evaluated, an essential ingredient for importance weighting. We show improved training and inference in latent variable models with our adversarially trained importance weighting method, and derive new theoretical connections between adversarial generative model training criteria and marginal likelihood based methods. We apply these methods to the important problem of inferring spiking neural activity from calcium imaging data, a challenging posterior inference problem in neuroscience, and show that posterior samples from the adversarial methods outperform factorized posteriors used in VAEs.

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Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning using Runge-Kutta Methods

Meta-learning has emerged as an important framework for learning new tasks from just a few examples. The success of any meta-learning model depends on (i) its fast adaptation to new tasks, as well as (ii) having a shared representation across similar tasks. Here we extend the model-agnostic meta-learning (MAML) framework introduced by Finn et al. (2017) to achieve improved performance by analyzing the temporal dynamics of the optimization procedure via the Runge-Kutta method. This method enables us to gain fine-grained control over the optimization and helps us achieve both the adaptation and representation goals across tasks. By leveraging this refined control, we demonstrate that there are multiple principled ways to update MAML and show that the classic MAML optimization is simply a special case of second-order Runge-Kutta method that mainly focuses on fast-adaptation. Experiments on benchmark classification, regression and reinforcement learning tasks show that this refined control helps attain improved results.

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Stochastic Neighbor Embedding under f-divergences

The t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE) is a powerful and popular method for visualizing high-dimensional data. It minimizes the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the original and embedded data distributions. In this work, we propose extending this method to other f-divergences. We analytically and empirically evaluate the types of latent structure-manifold, cluster, and hierarchical-that are well-captured using both the original KL-divergence as well as the proposed f-divergence generalization, and find that different divergences perform better for different types of structure. A common concern with $t$-SNE criterion is that it is optimized using gradient descent, and can become stuck in poor local minima. We propose optimizing the f-divergence based loss criteria by minimizing a variational bound. This typically performs better than optimizing the primal form, and our experiments show that it can improve upon the embedding results obtained from the original $t$-SNE criterion as well.

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Quantitatively Evaluating GANs With Divergences Proposed for Training

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) have been extremely effective in approximating complex distributions of high-dimensional, input data samples, and substantial progress has been made in understanding and improving GAN performance in terms of both theory and application. However, we currently lack quantitative methods for model assessment. Because of this, while many GAN variants are being proposed, we have relatively little understanding of their relative abilities. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of various types of GANs using divergence and distance functions typically used only for training. We observe consistency across the various proposed metrics and, interestingly, the test-time metrics do not favour networks that use the same training-time criterion. We also compare the proposed metrics to human perceptual scores.

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An empirical analysis of the optimization of deep network loss surfaces

The success of deep neural networks hinges on our ability to accurately and efficiently optimize high-dimensional, non-convex functions. In this paper, we empirically investigate the loss functions of state-of-the-art networks, and how commonly-used stochastic gradient descent variants optimize these loss functions. To do this, we visualize the loss function by projecting them down to low-dimensional spaces chosen based on the convergence points of different optimization algorithms. Our observations suggest that optimization algorithms encounter and choose different descent directions at many saddle points to find different final weights. Based on consistency we observe across re-runs of the same stochastic optimization algorithm, we hypothesize that each optimization algorithm makes characteristic choices at these saddle points.

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Neural Machine Translation with Gumbel-Greedy Decoding

Previous neural machine translation models used some heuristic search algorithms (e.g., beam search) in order to avoid solving the maximum a posteriori problem over translation sentences at test time. In this paper, we propose the Gumbel-Greedy Decoding which trains a generative network to predict translation under a trained model. We solve such a problem using the Gumbel-Softmax reparameterization, which makes our generative network differentiable and trainable through standard stochastic gradient methods. We empirically demonstrate that our proposed model is effective for generating sequences of discrete words.

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Generating images with recurrent adversarial networks

Gatys et al. (2015) showed that optimizing pixels to match features in a convolutional network with respect reference image features is a way to render images of high visual quality. We show that unrolling this gradient-based optimization yields a recurrent computation that creates images by incrementally adding onto a visual "canvas". We propose a recurrent generative model inspired by this view, and show that it can be trained using adversarial training to generate very good image samples. We also propose a way to quantitatively compare adversarial networks by having the generators and discriminators of these networks compete against each other.

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Generative Adversarial Parallelization

Generative Adversarial Networks have become one of the most studied frameworks for unsupervised learning due to their intuitive formulation. They have also been shown to be capable of generating convincing examples in limited domains, such as low-resolution images. However, they still prove difficult to train in practice and tend to ignore modes of the data generating distribution. Quantitatively capturing effects such as mode coverage and more generally the quality of the generative model still remain elusive. We propose Generative Adversarial Parallelization, a framework in which many GANs or their variants are trained simultaneously, exchanging their discriminators. This eliminates the tight coupling between a generator and discriminator, leading to improved convergence and improved coverage of modes. We also propose an improved variant of the recently proposed Generative Adversarial Metric and show how it can score individual GANs or their collections under the GAP model.

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Learning a metric for class-conditional KNN

Naive Bayes Nearest Neighbour (NBNN) is a simple and effective framework which addresses many of the pitfalls of K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN) classification. It has yielded competitive results on several computer vision benchmarks. Its central tenet is that during NN search, a query is not compared to every example in a database, ignoring class information. Instead, NN searches are performed within each class, generating a score per class. A key problem with NN techniques, including NBNN, is that they fail when the data representation does not capture perceptual (e.g.~class-based) similarity. NBNN circumvents this by using independent engineered descriptors (e.g.~SIFT). To extend its applicability outside of image-based domains, we propose to learn a metric which captures perceptual similarity. Similar to how Neighbourhood Components Analysis optimizes a differentiable form of KNN classification, we propose "Class Conditional" metric learning (CCML), which optimizes a soft form of the NBNN selection rule. Typical metric learning algorithms learn either a global or local metric. However, our proposed method can be adjusted to a particular level of locality by tuning a single parameter. An empirical evaluation on classification and retrieval tasks demonstrates that our proposed method clearly outperforms existing learned distance metrics across a variety of image and non-image datasets.

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Denoising Criterion for Variational Auto-Encoding Framework

Denoising autoencoders (DAE) are trained to reconstruct their clean inputs with noise injected at the input level, while variational autoencoders (VAE) are trained with noise injected in their stochastic hidden layer, with a regularizer that encourages this noise injection. In this paper, we show that injecting noise both in input and in the stochastic hidden layer can be advantageous and we propose a modified variational lower bound as an improved objective function in this setup. When input is corrupted, then the standard VAE lower bound involves marginalizing the encoder conditional distribution over the input noise, which makes the training criterion intractable. Instead, we propose a modified training criterion which corresponds to a tractable bound when input is corrupted. Experimentally, we find that the proposed denoising variational autoencoder (DVAE) yields better average log-likelihood than the VAE and the importance weighted autoencoder on the MNIST and Frey Face datasets.

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