arXiv subjects

Daniel R. Marsh

Publications and source records attributed to Daniel R. Marsh.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Atmospheric Escape Rates from Mars - If it Orbited an Old M-Dwarf Star

Atmospheric escape is an important process that influences the evolution of planetary atmospheres. A variety of physical mechanisms can contribute to escape from an atmosphere, including thermal escape, ion escape, photochemical escape, and sputtering. Here we estimate escape rates via each of these processes for a hypothetical Mars-like exoplanet orbiting Barnard's star (an old, inactive M dwarf star). We place the planet at an orbital distance that receives the same total stellar flux as it does in our solar system. We use the measured stellar extreme ultraviolet (EUV) spectrum and assumptions on the star's magnetic field to determine both the high-energy radiation and the stellar wind environment around the planet. This information is used to model the response of the planet's thermosphere, exosphere and magnetosphere using a variety of models that have been validated against solar system observations. We find overall escape rates that are dominated by thermal processes and elevated by 2-5 orders of magnitude relative to present-day Mars, suggesting that a Mars-like planet orbiting Barnard's star would not retain a significant atmosphere for more than 10's of millions of years. Recently reported planets around Barnard's star should also not have retained significant atmospheres. By extension, Mars-like planets orbiting any M dwarf near the 'Habitable Zone' should not retain atmospheres for extended periods of time.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2020

Termination of Solar Cycles and Correlated Tropospheric Variability

The Sun provides the energy required to sustain life on Earth and drive our planet's atmospheric circulation. However, establishing a solid physical connection between solar and tropospheric variability has posed a considerable challenge across the spectrum of Earth-system science. The canon of solar variability, the solar fiducial clock, lies almost exclusively with the 400 years of human telescopic observations that demonstrates the waxing and waning number of sunspots, over an 11(ish) year period. Recent research has demonstrated the critical importance of the underlying 22-year magnetic polarity cycle in establishing the shorter sunspot cycle. Integral to the manifestation of the latter is the spatio-temporal overlapping and migration of oppositely polarized magnetic bands. The points when these bands emerge at high solar latitudes and cancel at the equator are separated by almost 20 years. Here we demonstrate the impact of these "termination" points on the Sun's radiative output and particulate shielding of our atmosphere through the dramatically rapid reconfiguration of solar magnetism. These events reset the Sun's fiducial clock and present a new portal to explore the Sun-Earth connection. Using direct observation and proxies of solar activity going back six decades we can, with high statistical significance, demonstrate an apparent correlation between the solar cycle terminations and the largest swings of Earth's oceanic indices---a previously overlooked correspondence. Forecasting the Sun's global behavior places the next solar termination in early 2020; should a major oceanic swing follow, our challenge becomes: when does correlation become causation and how does the process work?

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2018

Nitric Oxide Response to the April 2010 Electron Precipitation Event: UsingWACCM andWACCM-DWith andWithout Medium-Energy Electrons

Energetic electrons from the magnetosphere deposit their energy in the atmosphere and lead to production of nitric oxide (NO) in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere. We study the atmospheric NO response to a geomagnetic storm in April 2010 with WACCM (Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model). Modeled NO is compared to observations by Solar Occultation For Ice Experiment/Aeronomy of Ice in the Mesosphere at 72-82$^{\circ}$S latitudes. We investigate the modeled NOs sensitivity to changes in energy and chemistry. The electron energy model input is either a parameterization of auroral electrons or a full range energy spectrum (1-750 keV) from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Polar Orbiting Environmental Satellites and European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites/Meteorological Operational satellites. To study the importance of ion chemistry for the production of NO, WACCM-D, which has more complex ion chemistry, is used. Both standard WACCM and WACCM-D underestimate the storm time NO increase in the main production region (90-110 km), using both electron energy inputs. At and below 80 km, including medium-energy electrons ($>$30 keV) is important both for NO directly produced at this altitude region and for NO transported from other regions (indirect effect). By using WACCM-D the direct NO production is improved, while the indirect effects on NO suffer from the downward propagating deficiency above. In conclusion, both a full range energy spectrum and ion chemistry is needed throughout the mesosphere and lower thermosphere region to increase the direct and indirect contribution from electrons on NO.

physics.space-ph↗