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Daniel R. Wilkins

Publications and source records attributed to Daniel R. Wilkins.

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Lynx2030 Science Analysis Group: Final Report

The Lynx2030 Science Analysis Group (SAG) was convened to reassess the scientific goals and technical drivers of the Lynx mission concept amid a rapidly evolving astrophysics landscape. Building on the original Lynx Concept Study, the SAG examined how recent discoveries, emerging facilities, and advances in instrumentation influence the scientific opportunities for a next-generation flagship X-ray observatory. Through focused working groups, the SAG investigated the scientific impact of enhanced capabilities: (i) improved angular resolution, (ii) broader bandpass coverage, (iii) an enhanced microcalorimeter, (iv) new capabilities and observing modes, and (v) larger fields of view. Across a broad range of topics, from the formation of the first black holes and the evolution of galaxies to the baryon cycle, compact objects, stellar explosions, multi-messenger astrophysics, and the dynamic high-energy Universe, the SAG finds that the scientific motivation for a Lynx-class observatory remains compelling and, in many areas, has significantly strengthened over the past decade, prominently through JWST's discovery of the "Little Red Dots", likely massive accreting black holes in infant galaxies whose nature is fundamentally an X-ray question. This report shows that modest extensions beyond the original Lynx design reference mission can unlock transformative science while preserving the observatory's core architecture. Powerful current and future facilities such as Roman, Rubin, JWST, SKA, ngVLA, LISA, and NewAthena highlight the unique role a high-angular-resolution, high-throughput X-ray observatory would play in the multi-wavelength and multi-messenger ecosystem of the 2030s and beyond. The findings of the Lynx2030 SAG confirm Lynx's central vision: an unprecedented view of the hot and energetic Universe, enabling discoveries that will define high-energy astrophysics in the coming decades.

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AT2021yky: A Fast-Rising Optical Transient with Evolving Broad Hydrogen Emission Consistent with an Ambiguous Nuclear Transient

Nuclear transients are powerful probes of supermassive black hole properties, offering insight into black hole mass, accretion physics, and the structure of galactic nuclei. Among these, a growing class of events cannot be classified as either tidal disruption events (TDEs) or active galactic nuclei (AGN) flares, and their physical origins remain poorly understood. We present a multi-wavelength photometric and spectroscopic analysis of AT2021yky (ZTF21abzciqh), an ambiguous nuclear transient (ANT) at a redshift of $z = 0.076$. AT2021yky reached a peak bolometric luminosity of $L_{\rm peak} = (4.1 \pm 1.1) \times 10^{43}~\mathrm{erg~s^{-1}}$, with a rise-time of $18.2 \pm 0.7$ days. The early-time UV/optical emission is well described by a blackbody with a temperature of $T \simeq 1.4 \times 10^{4}$ K, cooler than most optically selected TDEs. No X-ray emission from the transient is detected, with a $3σ$ limit of $L_X \lesssim 3.4 \times 10^{41}$ erg s$^{-1}$ near peak. Spectroscopic observations reveal a largely featureless blue continuum with broad (FWHM$\sim 11,000$ km s$^{-1}$) H$α$ emission line that appears around 20$-$40 days post-peak. The host-galaxy emission-line ratios indicate the presence of an AGN, though the absence of optical or mid-IR variability and a non-AGN mid-IR color suggest it is weak. AT2021yky exhibits a rapid rise time comparable to that of luminous fast blue optical transients (LFBOTs), while its decay timescale and late-time broad H$α$ emission resemble those observed in TDEs. However, its cooler blackbody temperature and the absence of He II and Balmer emission lines other than H$α$ instead favour its classification as an ANT.

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The Effects of Complex Accretion Disk Geometry on Broadened Iron K$α$ Lines

X-rays are emitted from the corona above the orbiting matter of the accretion disk and travel either directly to us or illuminate the disk. This illumination of the inner disk is enhanced by gravitational light bending, which focuses the rays towards the black hole and therefore towards the inner radii of the disk. These rays that hit the inner radii are reflected back to us, and we observe them in the X-ray reflection spectrum. In this work, we create novel general-relativistic ray-tracing simulations to investigate the effects of altering the geometry of the accretion disks of black holes on the most dominant part of the reflection spectrum, the iron K$α$ line. Work demonstrating the effect of disk geometry on the iron line has been performed, though many previous analyses have assumed a simplistic system, consisting of a point-source corona with a flat and infinitesimally thin accretion disk. We extend these models to more realistic accretion disk approximations. These include a constant-aspect-ratio disk, a radiation-pressure-dominated Shakura-Sunyaev disk, an expanded inner disk that has a nonnegligible scale height in its inner regions due to radiation pressure, as well as various warped-disk configurations. Using measurement uncertainties from XRISM, we find that nonnegligible thickness in accretion disks underestimates the black hole spin, coronal height, and inclination angle if fitted with a flat-disk model. The warped-disk model could not be fit with the flat-disk approximation.

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Blueshifted lines from the inner accretion disc's rotation can explain quasar absorption "forests''

Recent XRISM observations of active galactic nuclei such as PDS 456 have revealed ``forests'' of absorption lines best modeled by five distinct absorption zones with varying large blueshifts. We propose a model in which these relativistic blueshifts originate from the motion of the accretion disc itself, rather than from a clumpy super-Eddington outflow at hundreds of gravitational radii $r_g\equiv GM/c^2$. We demonstrate that thin rings of absorbing material lying just above the accretion disc at varying radii can produce the observed energy shifts and separations of the absorption zones. In this model, the PDS 456 transmission spectrum is well reproduced by rings with widths $Δr\lesssim1r_g$ at locations between the black hole's innermost stable circular orbit (ISCO) and $\approx15r_g$. This model suggests that the absorption forests seen in XRISM observations can probe the surface structure of the innermost ($\lesssim15r_g$) regions of quasar accretion discs.

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A Sharper View of the X-ray Spectrum of MCG--6-30-15 with XRISM, XMM-Newton and NuSTAR

We present a time-averaged spectral analysis of the 2024 XRISM observation of the narrow-line Seyfert-1 galaxy MCG--6-30-15, taken contemporaneously with XMM-Newton and NuSTAR. Our analysis leverages a unique combination of broadband and high-resolution X-ray spectroscopy to definitively isolate and characterize both broad and narrow emission and absorption features in this source. The best-fitting model for the joint spectral analysis is very well described by reflection from the inner accretion disk illuminated by a compact corona, modified by multi-zone ionized absorption from an outflowing wind along the line of sight. The XRISM/Resolve data confirm that a strong, relativistically-broadened Fe K$α$ emission line is required in order to obtain an adequate model fit. The Resolve data additionally verify the presence of a $v_{\rm out} \sim 2300$ km/s component of this outflowing wind, find tentative evidence for a $v_{\rm out} \sim 20,000$ km/s wind component, and indicate that the reflection from distant, neutral material may originate in a non-uniform structure rather than the traditional torus of AGN unification schemes. Though a rapid prograde black hole spin is statistically preferred by the best-fitting model, consistent with previous results, the AGN flux variability over the course of the observation complicates the interpretation of the time-averaged spectra. This insight, clarified by the combination of high signal-to-noise and high spectral resolution in the joint dataset, emphasizes the importance of time-resolved, high-resolution spectral analysis in unambiguously measuring the physical properties of variable AGN.

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The high-speed X-ray camera on AXIS: design and performance updates

AXIS, a Probe mission concept now in a Phase A study, will provide transformative studies of high-energy astrophysical phenomena thanks to its high-resolution X-ray spectral imaging. These capabilities are enabled by improvements to the mirror design that greatly increase the X-ray throughput per unit mass; and to the detector system, which operates more than an order of magnitude faster than heritage instruments while maintaining excellent spectral performance. We present updates to the design of the AXIS High-Speed Camera, a collaborative effort by MIT, Stanford University, the Pennsylvania State University, and the Southwest Research Institute. The camera employs large-format MIT Lincoln Laboratory CCDs that feature multiple high-speed, low-noise output amplifiers and an advanced single-layer polysilicon gate structure for fast, low-power clock transfers. A first lot of prototype CCID100 CCDs has completed fabrication and will soon begin X-ray performance testing. The CCDs are paired with high-speed, low-noise ASIC readout chips designed by Stanford to provide better performance than conventional discrete solutions at a fraction of the power consumption and footprint. Complementary Front-End Electronics employ state-of-the-art digital video waveform capture and advanced signal processing to further deliver low noise at high speed. The Back-End Electronics provide high-speed identification of candidate X-ray events and transient monitoring that relays fast alerts of changing sources to the community. We highlight updates to our parallel X-ray performance test facilities at MIT and Stanford, and review the current performance of the CCD and ASIC technology from testing of prototype devices. These measurements achieve excellent spectral response at the required readout rate, demonstrating that we will meet mission requirements and enable AXIS to achieve world-class science.

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Development and testing of integrated readout electronics for next generation SiSeRO (Single electron Sensitive Read Out) devices

The first generation of Single electron Sensitive Read Out (SiSeRO) amplifiers, employed as on-chip charge detectors for charge-coupled devices (CCDs) have demonstrated excellent noise and spectral performance: a responsivity of around 800 pA per electron, an equivalent noise charge (ENC) of 3.2 electrons root mean square (RMS), and a full width half maximum (FWHM) energy resolution of 130 eV at 5.9 keV for a readout speed of 625 Kpixel/s. Repetitive Non Destructive Readout (RNDR) has also been demonstrated with these devices, achieving an improved ENC performance of 0.36 electrons RMS after 200 RNDR cycles. In order to mature this technology further, Stanford University, in collaboration with MIT Kavli Institute and MIT Lincoln Laboratory, are developing new SiSeRO detectors with improved geometries that should enable greater responsivity and improved noise performance. These include CCD devices employing arrays of SiSeRO amplifiers to optimize high speed, low noise RNDR readout and a proof-of-concept SiSeRO active pixel sensor (APS). To read out these devices, our team has developed a compact, 8-channel, fast, low noise, low power application specific integrated circuit (ASIC) denoted the Multi-Channel Readout Chip (MCRC) that includes an experimental drain current readout mode intended for SiSeRO devices. In this paper, we present results from the first tests of SiSeRO CCD devices operating with MCRC readout, and our designs for next generation SiSeRO devices.

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Fast, low noise CCD systems for future strategic x-ray missions

Future strategic X-ray missions, such as the Advanced X-ray Imaging Satellite (AXIS) and those targeted by the Great Observatories Maturation Program (GOMaP), require fast, low-noise X-ray imaging spectrometers. To achieve the speed and noise capabilities required by such programs, the X-ray Astronomy and Observational Cosmology (XOC) Group at Stanford, in collaboration with the MIT Kavli Institute (MKI) and MIT Lincoln Laboratory (MIT-LL), is developing readout systems that leverage the high speed, low noise, and low power consumption of application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) devices. Here, we report the energy resolution and noise performance achieved using MIT-LL AXIS prototype charge-coupled device (CCD) detectors in conjunction with Stanford-developed Multi-Channel Readout Chip (MCRC) ASICs. Additionally, we present a new sampling method for simultaneous optimization of the output gate (OG), reset gate (RG), and reset drain (RD) biases which, in combination with new integrated fast summing well (SW) and RG clock operation modes, enables the data rates required of future X-ray telescopes.

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Ground calibration plans for the AXIS high speed camera

The Advanced X-ray Imaging Satellite (AXIS), an astrophysics NASA probe mission currently in phase A, will provide high-throughput, high-spatial resolution X-ray imaging in the 0.3 to 10 keV band. We report on the notional ground calibration plan for the High Speed Camera on AXIS, which is being developed at the MIT Kavli Institute for Astrophysics and Space Research using state-of-the-art CCDs provided by MIT Lincoln Laboratory in combination with an integrated, high-speed ASIC readout chip from Stanford University. AXIS camera ground calibration draws on previous experience with X-ray CCD focal plans, in particular Chandra/ACIS and Suzaku/XIS, utilizing mono-energetic X-ray line sources to measure spectral resolution and quantum efficiency. Relative quantum efficiency of the CCDs will be measured against an sCMOS device, with known absolute calibration from synchrotron measurements. We walk through the envisioned CCD calibration pipeline and we discuss the observatory-level science and calibration requirements and how they inform the camera calibration.

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Continued developments in X-ray speed reading: fast, low noise readout for next-generation wide-field imagers

Future strategic X-ray astronomy missions will require unprecedentedly sensitive wide-field imagers providing high frame rates, low readout noise and excellent soft energy response. To meet these needs, our team is employing a multi-pronged approach to advance several key areas of technology. Our first focus is on advanced readout electronics, specifically integrated electronics, where we are collaborating on the VERITAS readout chip for the Athena Wide Field Imager, and have developed the Multi-Channel Readout Chip (MCRC), which enables fast readout and high frame rates for MIT-LL JFET (junction field effect transistor) CCDs. Second, we are contributing to novel detector development, specifically the SiSeRO (Single electron Sensitive Read Out) devices fabricated at MIT Lincoln Laboratory, and their advanced readout, to achieve sub-electron noise performance. Hardware components set the stage for performance, but their efficient utilization relies on software and algorithms for signal and event processing. Our group is developing digital waveform filtering and AI methods to augment detector performance, including enhanced particle background screening and improved event characterization. All of these efforts make use of an efficient, new X-ray beamline facility at Stanford, where components and concepts can be tested and characterized.

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Demonstrating sub-electron noise performance in Single electron Sensitive Readout (SiSeRO) devices

Single electron Sensitive Read Out (SiSeRO) is a novel on-chip charge detection technology that can, in principle, provide significantly greater responsivity and improved noise performance than traditional charge coupled device (CCD) readout circuitry. The SiSeRO, developed by MIT Lincoln Laboratory, uses a p-MOSFET transistor with a depleted back-gate region under the transistor channel; as charge is transferred into the back gate region, the transistor current is modulated. With our first generation SiSeRO devices, we previously achieved a responsivity of around 800 pA per electron, an equivalent noise charge (ENC) of 4.5 electrons root mean square (RMS), and a full width at half maximum (FWHM) spectral resolution of 130 eV at 5.9 keV, at a readout speed of 625 Kpixel/s and for a detector temperature of 250 K. Importantly, since the charge signal remains unaffected by the SiSeRO readout process, we have also been able to implement Repetitive Non-Destructive Readout (RNDR), achieving an improved ENC performance. In this paper, we demonstrate sub-electron noise sensitivity with these devices, utilizing an enhanced test setup optimized for RNDR measurements, with excellent temperature control, improved readout circuitry, and advanced digital filtering techniques. We are currently fabricating new SiSeRO detectors with more sensitive and RNDR-optimized amplifier designs, which will help mature the SiSeRO technology in the future and eventually lead to the pathway to develop active pixel sensor (APS) arrays using sensitive SiSeRO amplifiers on each pixel. Active pixel devices with sub-electron sensitivity and fast readout present an exciting option for next generation, large area astronomical X-ray telescopes requiring fast, low-noise megapixel imagers.

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X-ray Reverberation Mapping of Ark 564 using Gaussian Process Regression

Ark 564 is an extreme high-Eddington Narrow-line Seyfert 1 galaxy, known for being one of the brightest, most rapidly variable soft X-ray AGN, and for having one of the lowest temperature coronae. Here we present a 410-ks NuSTAR observation and two 115-ks XMM-Newton observations of this unique source, which reveal a very strong, relativistically broadened iron line. We compute the Fourier-resolved time lags by first using Gaussian processes to interpolate the NuSTAR gaps, implementing the first employment of multi-task learning for application in AGN timing. By fitting simultaneously the time lags and the flux spectra with the relativistic reverberation model RELTRANS, we constrain the mass at $2.3^{+2.6}_{-1.3} \times 10^6M_\odot$, although additional components are required to describe the prominent soft excess in this source. These results motivate future combinations of machine learning, Fourier-resolved timing, and the development of reverberation models.

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Single electron Sensitive Readout (SiSeRO) X-ray detectors: Technological progress and characterization

Single electron Sensitive Read Out (SiSeRO) is a novel on-chip charge detector output stage for charge-coupled device (CCD) image sensors. Developed at MIT Lincoln Laboratory, this technology uses a p-MOSFET transistor with a depleted internal gate beneath the transistor channel. The transistor source-drain current is modulated by the transfer of charge into the internal gate. At Stanford, we have developed a readout module based on the drain current of the on-chip transistor to characterize the device. Characterization was performed for a number of prototype sensors with different device architectures, e.g. location of the internal gate, MOSFET polysilicon gate structure, and location of the trough in the internal gate with respect to the source and drain of the MOSFET (the trough is introduced to confine the charge in the internal gate). Using a buried-channel SiSeRO, we have achieved a charge/current conversion gain of >700 pA per electron, an equivalent noise charge (ENC) of around 6 electrons root mean square (RMS), and a full width half maximum (FWHM) of approximately 140 eV at 5.9 keV at a readout speed of 625 Kpixel/s. In this paper, we discuss the SiSeRO working principle, the readout module developed at Stanford, and the characterization test results of the SiSeRO prototypes. We also discuss the potential to implement Repetitive Non-Destructive Readout (RNDR) with these devices and the preliminary results which can in principle yield sub-electron ENC performance. Additional measurements and detailed device simulations will be essential to mature the SiSeRO technology. However, this new device class presents an exciting technology for next generation astronomical X-ray telescopes requiring fast, low-noise, radiation hard megapixel imagers with moderate spectroscopic resolution.

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Discovery of soft and hard X-ray time lags in low-mass AGNs

The scaling relations between the black hole (BH) mass and soft lag properties for both active galactic nuclei (AGNs) and BH X-ray binaries (BHXRBs) suggest the same underlying physical mechanism at work in accreting BH systems spanning a broad range of mass. However, the low-mass end of AGNs has never been explored in detail. In this work, we extend the existing scaling relations to lower-mass AGNs, which serve as anchors between the normal-mass AGNs and BHXRBs. For this purpose, we construct a sample of low-mass AGNs ($M_{\rm BH}<3\times 10^{6} M_{\rm \odot}$) from the XMM-Newton archive and measure frequency-resolved time delays between the soft (0.3-1 keV) and hard (1-4 keV) X-ray emissions. We report that the soft band lags behind the hard band emission at high frequencies $\sim[1.3-2.6]\times 10^{-3}$ Hz, which is interpreted as a sign of reverberation from the inner accretion disc in response to the direct coronal emission. At low frequencies ($\sim[3-8]\times 10^{-4}$ Hz), the hard band lags behind the soft band variations, which we explain in the context of the inward propagation of luminosity fluctuations through the corona. Assuming a lamppost geometry for the corona, we find that the X-ray source of the sample extends at an average height and radius of $\sim 10r_{\rm g}$ and $\sim 6r_{\rm g}$, respectively. Our results confirm that the scaling relations between the BH mass and soft lag amplitude/frequency derived for higher-mass AGNs can safely extrapolate to lower-mass AGNs, and the accretion process is indeed independent of the BH mass.

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The response of relativistic outflowing gas to the inner accretion disk of a black hole

Active galactic nucleus (AGN) feedback is the process by which supermassive black holes in the centres of galaxies may moderate the growth of their hosts. Gas outflows from supermassive black holes release huge quantities of energy into the interstellar medium, clearing the surrounding gas. The most extreme of these, the ultra-fast outflows (UFOs), are the subset of X-ray detected outflows with velocities higher than 10,000 km/s, believed to originate in relativistic disc winds, a few hundred gravitational radii from the black hole. The absorption features produced by these outflows are variable, but no clear link has been found between the behaviour of the X-ray continuum and the energy or equivalent width of the outflow features due to the long time-scales of quasar variability. Here, we present the detection of multiple absorption lines from an extreme ultra-fast gas flow in the X-ray spectrum of the active galactic nucleus IRAS 13224-3809, at 0.236+/-0.006 times the speed of light (71,000 km/s), where the absorption is strongly anti-correlated with the emission from the inner regions of the accretion disk. If the gas flow is identified as a genuine outflow then it is in the fastest 5 per cent of such winds, and its variability is hundreds of times faster than in other variable winds, allowing us to observe in hours what would take months in a quasar. We find signatures of the wind simultaneously in both low and high energy detectors, which are consistent with a single ionized outflow, linking the two phenomena. The detection of the wind responding to the emission from the inner disk demonstrates a connection between accretion processes occurring on very different scales, with the X-rays from within a few gravitational radii of the black hole ionizing the relativistically outflowing gas as the flux rises.

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Testing the accuracy of radiative cooling approximations in SPH simulations

Hydrodynamical simulations of star formation have stimulated a need to develop fast and robust algorithms for evaluating radiative cooling. Here we undertake a critical evaluation of what is currently a popular method for prescribing cooling in SPH simulations, i.e. the polytropic cooling due originally to Stamatellos et al. This method uses the local density and potential to estimate the column density and optical depth to each particle and then uses these quantities to evaluate an approximate expression for the net radiative cooling. We evaluate the algorithm by considering both spherical and disc-like systems with analytic density and temperature structures. In spherical systems, the total cooling rate computed by the method is within around 20 for the astrophysically relevant case of opacity dominated by ice grains and is correct to within a factor of order unity for a range of opacity laws. In disc geometry, however, the method systematically under-estimates the cooling by a large factor at all heights in the disc. For the self-gravitating disc studied, we find that the method under-estimates the total cooling rate by a factor of 200. This discrepancy may be readily traced to the method's systematic over-estimate of the disc column density and optical depth, since (being based only on the local density and potential) it does not take into account the low column density route for photon escape normal to the disc plane. These results raise an obvious caution about the method's use in disc geometry whenever an accurate cooling rate is required, although we note that there are situations where the discrepancies highlighted above may not significantly affect the global outcome of simulations. Finally, we draw attention to our introduction of an analytic self-gravitating disc structure that may be of use in the calibration of future cooling algorithms.

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