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Daniel Salas

Publications and source records attributed to Daniel Salas.

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A BRAVE Alloy Design Campaign (Bayesian Risk-aware Alloy discoVery and Exploration)

In constrained alloy optimization, the compositions with the highest performance potential often reside at the boundary of phase stability -- where the risk of experimental failure is also highest. This work demonstrates this principle through a risk-aware Bayesian optimization campaign on single-phase FCC high-entropy alloys in the Al-V-Cr-Mn-Fe-Co-Ni-Cu system. A learned feasibility classifier, integrated directly into the multi-objective acquisition function, probabilistically penalizes candidates likely to produce failed experiments while preserving access to high-performing boundary compositions. From approximately 27,000 CALPHAD-screened candidates, 48 alloys were synthesized over three closed-loop iterations targeting five objectives (yield strength, UTS/YS ratio, strain at UTS, dynamic-to-quasi-static hardness ratio, and simulated depth of penetration), exploring 0.12\% of the feasible space. Two compositional regimes emerged: a V-rich, Ni-rich high-strength regime (UTS up to ${\sim}1480$~MPa at 50% elongation) and a Mn-containing high-ductility regime (UTS/YS up to 4.20 at $>$50% elongation). Among feasible alloys, vanadium simultaneously drives yield strength ($r = 0.84$) and sigma-phase formation ($r = 0.54$ with infeasibility); at V = 24~at.%, the three strongest alloys and three sigma failures share the same compositional point. Additionally, the strongest performing alloys cluster in a narrow region of compositional space (V $\geq$ 20 at.%, Ni $\geq$ 36 at.%), representing ${\sim}100$ of $27,074$ feasible candidates -- a probability of $P \approx 6.5 \times 10^{-6}$ under random sampling. This dual role -- consistent with the KKT prediction that constrained optima lie on active constraint boundaries -- required feasibility-aware acquisition to access; hard filtering would have excluded this region entirely.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci

Compositionally Grading Alloy Stacking Fault Energy using Autonomous Path Planning and Additive Manufacturing with Elemental Powders

Compositionally graded alloys (CGAs) are often proposed for use in structural components where the combination of two or more alloys within a single part can yield substantial enhancement in performance and functionality. For these applications, numerous design methodologies have been developed, one of the most sophisticated being the application of path planning algorithms originally designed for robotics to solve CGA design problems. In addition to the traditional application to structural components, this work proposes and demonstrates the application of this CGA design framework to rapid alloy design, synthesis, and characterization. A composition gradient in the CoCrFeNi alloy space was planned between the maximum and minimum stacking fault energy (SFE) as predicted by a previously developed model in a face-centered cubic (FCC) high entropy alloy (HEA) space. The path was designed to be monotonic in SFE and avoid regions that did not meet FCC phase fraction and solidification range constraints predicted by CALculation of PHAse Diagrams (CALPHAD). Compositions from the path were selected to produce a linear gradient in SFE, and the CGA was built using laser directed energy deposition (L-DED). The resulting gradient was characterized for microstructure and mechanical properties, including hardness, elastic modulus, and strain rate sensitivity. Despite being predicted to contain a single FCC phase throughout the gradient, part of the CGA underwent a martensitic transformation, thereby demonstrating a limitation of using equilibrium CALPHAD calculations for phase stability predictions. More broadly, this demonstrates the ability of the methods employed to bring attention to blind spots in alloy models.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci

Illustrating an Effective Workflow for Accelerated Materials Discovery

Algorithmic materials discovery is a multi-disciplinary domain that integrates insights from specialists in alloy design, synthesis, characterization, experimental methodologies, computational modeling, and optimization. Central to this effort is a robust data management system paired with an interactive work platform. This platform should empower users to not only access others data but also integrate their analyses, paving the way for sophisticated data pipelines. To realize this vision, there is a need for an integrative collaboration platform, streamlined data sharing and analysis tools, and efficient communication channels. Such a collaborative mechanism should transcend geographical barriers, facilitating remote interaction and fostering a challenge-response dynamic. In this paper, we present our ongoing efforts in addressing the critical challenges related to an accelerated Materials Discovery Framework as a part of the High-Throughput Materials Discovery for Extreme Conditions Initiative. Our BIRDSHOT Center has successfully harnessed various tools and strategies, including the utilization of cloud-based storage, a standardized sample naming convention, a structured file system, the implementation of sample travelers, a robust sample tracking method, and the incorporation of knowledge graphs for efficient data management. Additionally, we present the development of a data collection platform, reinforcing seamless collaboration among our team members. In summary, this paper provides an illustration and insight into the various elements of an efficient and effective workflow within an accelerated materials discovery framework while highlighting the dynamic and adaptable nature of the data management tools and sharing platforms.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci

Accelerated Multi-Objective Alloy Discovery through Efficient Bayesian Methods: Application to the FCC Alloy Space

This study introduces BIRDSHOT, an integrated Bayesian materials discovery framework designed to efficiently explore complex compositional spaces while optimizing multiple material properties. We applied this framework to the CoCrFeNiVAl FCC high entropy alloy (HEA) system, targeting three key performance objectives: ultimate tensile strength/yield strength ratio, hardness, and strain rate sensitivity. The experimental campaign employed an integrated cyber-physical approach that combined vacuum arc melting (VAM) for alloy synthesis with advanced mechanical testing, including tensile and high-strain-rate nanoindentation testing. By incorporating batch Bayesian optimization schemes that allowed the parallel exploration of the alloy space, we completed five iterative design-make-test-learn loops, identifying a non-trivial three-objective Pareto set in a high-dimensional alloy space. Notably, this was achieved by exploring only 0.15% of the feasible design space, representing a significant acceleration in discovery rate relative to traditional methods. This work demonstrates the capability of BIRDSHOT to navigate complex, multi-objective optimization challenges and highlights its potential for broader application in accelerating materials discovery.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci

NMR study of Ni50+xTi50-x Strain-Glass

We studied Ni50+xTi50-x with compositions up to x = 2, performing 47Ti and 49Ti nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) measurements from 4 K to 400 K. For large x in this system, a strain-glass appears in which frozen ferroelastic nano-domains replace the displacive martensite structural transition. Here we demonstrate that NMR can provide an extremely effective probe of the strain glass freezing process, with large changes in NMR line-shape due to the effects of random strains which become motionally narrowed at high temperatures. At the same time with high-resolution x-ray diffraction we confirm the lack of structural changes in x >= 1.2 samples, while we show that there is little change in the electronic behavior across the strain glass freezing temperature. NMR spin-lattice relaxation time (T1) measurements provide a further measure of the dynamics of the freezing process, and indicate a predominantly thermally activated behavior both above and below the strain-glass freezing temperature. We show that the strain glass results are consistent with a very small density of critically divergent domains undergoing a Vogel-Fulcher-type freezing process, coexisting with domains exhibiting faster dynamics and stronger pinning.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci

The role of mobility and sanitary measures on Covid-19 in Costa Rica, March through July 2020

The aim of this paper is to infer the effects that changes on human mobility had on the transmission dynamics during the first four months of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in Costa Rica, before community transmission was established in the country. By using parametric and non parametric detection change-point techniques we were able to identify two different periods where at least the trend and variability of new daily cases significantly changed. In order to combine this information with population movement, we use data from Google Mobility Trends that allow us to estimate the lag between the rate of new daily cases and each of the categories established by Google. The information is then used to establish an association between changes in population mobility and the sanitary measures taken during the study period.

stat.AP

Encoding Categorical Variables with Conjugate Bayesian Models for WeWork Lead Scoring Engine

Applied Data Scientists throughout various industries are commonly faced with the challenging task of encoding high-cardinality categorical features into digestible inputs for machine learning algorithms. This paper describes a Bayesian encoding technique developed for WeWork's lead scoring engine which outputs the probability of a person touring one of our office spaces based on interaction, enrichment, and geospatial data. We present a paradigm for ensemble modeling which mitigates the need to build complicated preprocessing and encoding schemes for categorical variables. In particular, domain-specific conjugate Bayesian models are employed as base learners for features in a stacked ensemble model. For each column of a categorical feature matrix we fit a problem-specific prior distribution, for example, the Beta distribution for a binary classification problem. In order to analytically derive the moments of the posterior distribution, we update the prior with the conjugate likelihood of the corresponding target variable for each unique value of the given categorical feature. This function of column and value encodes the categorical feature matrix so that the final learner in the ensemble model ingests low-dimensional numerical input. Experimental results on both curated and real world datasets demonstrate impressive accuracy and computational efficiency on a variety of problem archetypes. Particularly, for the lead scoring engine at WeWork -- where some categorical features have as many as 300,000 levels -- we have seen an AUC improvement from 0.87 to 0.97 through implementing conjugate Bayesian model encoding.

cs.LG