Daniel Willimetz | Searcharxiv

arXiv2026

Reweighting free energy profiles between universal machine learning interatomic potentials for fast consensus building

Free energy profiles serve as a fundamental bridge between microscopic atomic fluctuations and macroscopic thermodynamic observables. Estimating the free energy profile along a reaction coordinate, referred to as the potential of mean force (PMF), with density functional theory (DFT) accuracy is computationally expensive. Universal machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) drastically reduce this cost, but their accuracy is strongly determined by their training data and hence can be uncertain for a given system. In this work, we present a systematic and scalable framework for reweighting PMFs, initially sampled with a single 'source' MLIP, across a representative suite of target MLIPs. Because traditional direct exponential reweighting fails for large system sizes due to low phase-space overlap between potentials, we deploy robust analytical corrections. Applying this to a complex 601-atom system of Li$^+$ transport in a nanoconfined electrolyte, we demonstrate that a mean energy-gap approximation effectively bypasses statistical collapse, producing a highly stable PMF matching the target PMF. Using this approach, we recover high-fidelity target thermodynamics across multiple DFT reference levels (PBE+D3, PBE-sol, r$^2$SCAN,r$^2$SCAN-D4) at a fraction of the computational cost of full simulations. Furthermore, thermodynamic analysis reveals that the studied MLIPs partition into two distinct clusters driven by their training data. Our reweighting framework successfully recovers target thermodynamic properties--specifically, reaction and activation free energies--even when the phase-space overlap between potentials is critically low. Ultimately, this approach establishes a vital diagnostic protocol to achieve affordable cross-model consensus on materials chemistry properties without redundant, resource-intensive simulations.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2025

A Simple and Scalable Kernel Density Approach for Reliable Uncertainty Quantification in Atomistic Machine Learning

Machine learning models are increasingly used to predict material properties and accelerate atomistic simulations, but the reliability of their predictions depends on the representativeness of the training data. We present a scalable, GPU-accelerated uncertainty quantification framework based on $k$-nearest-neighbor kernel density estimation (KDE) in a PCA-reduced descriptor space. This method efficiently detects sparsely sampled regions in large, high-dimensional datasets and provides a transferable, model-agnostic uncertainty metric without requiring retraining costly model ensembles. The framework is validated across diverse case studies varying in: i) chemistry, ii) prediction models (including foundational neural network), iii) descriptors used for KDE estimation, and iv) properties whose uncertainty is sought. In all cases, the KDE-based score reliably flags extrapolative configurations, correlates well with conventional ensemble-based uncertainties, and highlights regions of reduced prediction trustworthiness. The approach offers a practical route for improving the interpretability, robustness, and deployment readiness of ML models in materials science.

physics.chem-ph↗