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Daniela Paoletti

Publications and source records attributed to Daniela Paoletti.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Scalar-Tensor Gravity and DESI 2024 BAO data

We discuss the implications of the DESI 2024 BAO data on scalar-tensor models of gravity. We consider four representative models: induced gravity (IG, equivalent to Jordan-Brans-Dicke), where we either fix today's value of the effective gravitational constant on cosmological scales to the Newton's constant or allow them to differ, Jordan-Brans-Dicke supplemented with a Galileon term (BDG), and early modified gravity (EMG) with a conformal coupling. In this way it is possible to investigate how different modified gravity models compare with each other when confronted with DESI 2024 BAO data. Compared to previous analyses, for all of these models, the combination of Planck and DESI data favors a larger value of the key parameter of the theory, such as the nonminimal coupling to gravity or the Galileon term, leading also to a larger value of $H_0$, due to the known degeneracy between these parameters. These new results are mainly driven by the first two redshift bins of DESI. In BDG, in which we find the largest value for $H_0$ among the models considered, the combination of Planck and DESI is consistent with CCHP results and reduces the $H_0$ tension with the SH0ES measurement to $1.2\sigma$ (compared to $4.5\sigma$ of $\Lambda$CDM in our Planck + DESI analysis).

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The asymmetry of dawn: evidence for asymmetric reionization histories from a joint analysis of cosmic microwave background and astrophysical data

We show that by jointly fitting cosmic microwave background (CMB) and astrophysical data - a compilation of UV luminosity data from the Hubble Frontier Field and neutral hydrogen data from distant sources-, we can infer on the shape of the evolution of the ionized hydrogen fraction with redshift in addition to constraining the average optical depth $\tau$.For this purpose, we introduce here a novel extended model that includes hydrogen ionization histories which are monotonic with redshift, but allow for an asymmetry as indicated from our previous works on a free reconstruction of reionization. By using our baseline data combination, we obtain $\tau=0.0542^{+0.0017}_{-0.0028}$, consistent with our previous works and tighter than the one inferred by Planck 2018 data because of the combination of CMB with astrophysical data. We find that the symmetric hypothesis within our parametrization is disfavoured at 4 $\sigma$.We test our findings by using alternative likelihoods for CMB polarization at low multipoles, i.e. based on the 2020 reprocessing of Planck HFI data or on the joint analysis of WMAP and Planck LFI data, obtaining consistent results that disfavour the symmetric hypothesis of the reionization history at high statistical significant level.These results will be further tested by more precise astrophysical data such as from JWST and Euclid deep fields.

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A search for super-imposed oscillations to the primordial power spectrum in Planck and SPT-3G 2018 data

We search for super-imposed oscillations linearly or logarithmically spaced in Fourier wavenumbers $k$ in Planck and South Pole Telescope (SPT-3G) 2018 temperature and polarization data. The SPT-3G temperature and polarization data provide a new window to test these oscillations at high multipoles beyond the Planck angular resolution and sensitivity. We consider linear and logarithmic oscillations with a constant amplitude, or with a power-law dependence or a Gaussian modulation, always in $k$. These models correspond to three, four and five additional parameters beyond power-law primordial power spectrum for the templates considered, respectively. We find that each of the five models considered can provide an improved fit to Planck data, consistently with previous findings, and to SPT-3G data, always compared to power-law power spectrum. We find tighter constraints on the amplitude of the super-imposed oscillations from the combined Planck/SPT-3G data set than in each individual data sets. For linear oscillations, with the amplitude allowed to vary as a power-law in $k$, as in the case of EFT, we find that the addition of SPT-3G data sets tighter constraints on the possibility that the amplitude increase at small scales. When the ranges of parameters which provide a better fit to Planck and SPT-3G data overlap, as in the case of Gaussian modulated oscillations, we find a larger $\Delta \chi^2 \sim - 17.5 \, (-14.7)$ for logarithmic (linear) oscillations - in a combined Planck/SPT-3G data set than in each individual data sets. These findings will be further tested with upcoming CMB temperature and polarization measurements at high multipoles provided by ongoing ground experiments.

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Redshift evolution of cosmic birefringence in CMB anisotropies

We study the imprints of a cosmological redshift-dependent pseudoscalar field $\phi$ on the rotation of cosmic microwave background (CMB) linear polarization generated by a coupling $ \phi F^{\mu\nu} \tilde F_{\mu \nu}$. We show how either phenomenological or theoretically motivated redshift dependence of the pseudoscalar field, such as those in models of Early Dark Energy, Quintessence or axion-like dark matter, lead to CMB polarization and temperature-polarization power spectra which exhibit a multipole dependence which goes beyond the widely adopted approximation in which the redshift dependence of the linear polarization angle is neglected. Because of this multipole dependence, the isotropic birefringence effect due to a general coupling $\phi F^{\mu\nu} \tilde F_{\mu \nu}$ is not degenerate with a systematic calibration angle uncertainty. By taking this multipole dependence into account, we calculate the parameters of these phenomenological and theoretical redshift dependence of the pseudoscalar field which can be detected by future CMB polarization experiments on the basis of a $\chi^2$ analysis for a Wishart likelihood. As a final example of our approach, we compute by Markov Chain MonteCarlo (MCMC) the minimal coupling $g_\phi$ in Early Dark Energy which could be detected by future experiments, with or without marginalizing on a systematic rotation angle uncertainty.

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Planck and BICEP/Keck Array 2018 constraints on primordial gravitational waves and perspectives for future B-mode polarization measurements

Current and future B-mode polarization data are the most powerful observables to constrain gravitational waves from the early Universe. We set conservative constraints on tensor modes when relaxing the inflationary consistency condition $n_t=-r/8$ between the tensor tilt $n_t$ and the tensor-to-scalar ratio r. By adding a power-law spectrum of tensor perturbations to $\Lambda$CDM, and parameterizing this tensor contribution by two independent primordial tensor-to-scalar ratios $(r_1,r_2)$ at $k_1 = 0.005$ Mpc$^{-1}$ and $k_2 = 0.02$ Mpc$^{-1}$, Planck and BICEP/Keck Array 2018 data (BK18) lead to constraints $r_{0.005} < 0.030$ and $r_{0.02} < 0.098$ at 95% CL. The corresponding upper bound $r_{0.01} < 0.039$ is by a factor of 2 tighter than the one obtained with Planck 2018 and the older BK15 data. We then study the perspectives for future CMB experiments that will measure both the reionization bump and recombination peak of the B-mode polarization angular power spectrum, such as LiteBIRD. We test the robustness of the results to the choice of the scales for $(r_1,r_2)$ in these future perspectives. Whereas distinguishing $n_t=-r/8$ from exact scale invariance is impossible as expected, we show how radical, theoretically motivated departures from $n_t=-r/8$, which are consistent with the current data, could be distinguished with LiteBIRD. Moreover, LiteBIRD will be able to shrink the allowed parameter space area in the $(r_{0.005},r_{0.02})$ plane to less than one hundredth of the currently allowed area by Planck 2018 and BK18.

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In-flight polarization angle calibration for LiteBIRD: blind challenge and cosmological implications

We present a demonstration of the in-flight polarization angle calibration for the JAXA/ISAS second strategic large class mission, LiteBIRD, and estimate its impact on the measurement of the tensor-to-scalar ratio parameter, r, using simulated data. We generate a set of simulated sky maps with CMB and polarized foreground emission, and inject instrumental noise and polarization angle offsets to the 22 (partially overlapping) LiteBIRD frequency channels. Our in-flight angle calibration relies on nulling the EB cross correlation of the polarized signal in each channel. This calibration step has been carried out by two independent groups with a blind analysis, allowing an accuracy of the order of a few arc-minutes to be reached on the estimate of the angle offsets. Both the corrected and uncorrected multi-frequency maps are propagated through the foreground cleaning step, with the goal of computing clean CMB maps. We employ two component separation algorithms, the Bayesian-Separation of Components and Residuals Estimate Tool (B-SeCRET), and the Needlet Internal Linear Combination (NILC). We find that the recovered CMB maps obtained with algorithms that do not make any assumptions about the foreground properties, such as NILC, are only mildly affected by the angle miscalibration. However, polarization angle offsets strongly bias results obtained with the parametric fitting method. Once the miscalibration angles are corrected by EB nulling prior to the component separation, both component separation algorithms result in an unbiased estimation of the r parameter. While this work is motivated by the conceptual design study for LiteBIRD, its framework can be broadly applied to any CMB polarization experiment. In particular, the combination of simulation plus blind analysis provides a robust forecast by taking into account not only detector sensitivity but also systematic effects.

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Dark Twilight Joined with the Light of Dawn to Unveil the Reionization History

Improved measurement of the Cosmic Microwave Background polarization from Planck allows a detailed study of reionization beyond the average optical depth. The lower value of the optical depth disfavours an early onset and an early completion of reionization in favour of a redsfhit range where different astrophysical probes provide sensible information on the sources of reionization and the status of the intergalactic medium. In this work we extend our previous study in which we constrained reionization by combining three different probes - CMB, UV luminosity density and neutral hydrogen fraction data - in both treatment and data: we first allow variation in the UV source term varying the product of the efficiency of conversion of UV luminosity into ionizing photons and the escape fraction together with the reionization and cosmological parameters, and then we investigate the impact of a less conservative cut for the UV luminosity function. We find that the estimate for the efficiency is consistent within 95% C.L. with the fixed value we considered in our previous results and is mostly constrained by the QHII data. We find that allowing the efficiency to vary does not affect significantly our results for the average optical depth for monotonic reionization histories, recovering $τ=0.0519_{-0.0008}^{+0.0010}$ at 68% CL , consistent with our previous studies. Using a less conservative cut for the UV luminosity function, we find $τ=0.0541_{-0.0016}^{+0.0013}$ at 68% CL, due to the faint end of the luminosity function in the data we use, that also prefers a larger contribution from higher redshifts.

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Inflation Story: slow-roll and beyond

We present constraints on inflationary dynamics and features in the primordial power spectrum of scalar perturbations using the Cosmic Microwave Background temperature, polarization data from Planck 2018 data release and updated likelihoods. We constrain the slow-roll dynamics using Hilltop Quartic Potential and Starobinsky $R+R^2$ model in the Einstein frame using the Planck 2018 binned Plik likelihood. Using the Hilltop as base potential we construct Whipped Inflation potential to introduce suppression in the scalar power spectrum at large angular scales. We notice marginal (68% C.L.) preference of suppression from the large scale temperature angular power spectrum. However, large-scale E-mode likelihood, based on high frequency instrument cross spectrum, does not support this suppression and in the combined data the preference towards the suppression becomes negligible. Based on the Hilltop and Starobinsky model we construct the Wiggly Whipped Inflation potentials to introduce oscillatory features along with the suppression. We use unbinned data from the recently released CamSpec v12.5 likelihood which updates Planck 2018 results. We compare the Bayesian evidences of the feature models with their baseline slow-roll potentials. We find that the complete slow-roll baseline potential is moderately preferred against potentials which generate features. Compared to Planck 2015 PlikHM bin1 likelihood, we find that the significance of sharp features has decreased owing to the updates in the data analysis pipeline. We also compute the bispectra for the best fit candidates obtained from our analysis.

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Magnetogenesis and the Cosmic Web: a joint challenge for radio observations and numerical simulations

The detection of the radio signal from filaments in the cosmic web is crucial to distinguish possible magnetogenesis scenarios. We review the status of the different attempts to detect the cosmic web at radio wavelengths. This is put into the context of the advanced simulations of cosmic magnetism carried out in the last few years by our {\magcow} project. While first attempts of imaging the cosmic web with the MWA and LOFAR have been encouraging and could discard some magnetogenesis models, the complexity behind such observations makes a definitive answer still uncertain. A combination of total intensity and polarimetric data at low radio frequencies that the SKA and LOFAR2.0 will achieve is key to removing the existing uncertainties related to the contribution of many possible sources of signal along deep lines of sight. This will make it possible to isolate the contribution from filaments, and expose its deep physical connection with the origin of extragalactic magnetism.

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Cosmological parameter forecasts by a joint 2D tomographic approach to CMB and galaxy clustering

The cross-correlation between the cosmic microwave background (CMB) fields and matter tracers carries important cosmological information. In this paper, we forecast by a signal-to-noise ratio analysis the information contained in the cross-correlation of the CMB anisotropy fields with source counts for future cosmological observations and its impact on cosmological parameters uncertainties, using a joint tomographic analysis. We include temperature, polarization and lensing for the CMB fields and galaxy number counts for the matter tracers. By restricting ourselves to quasi-linear scales, we forecast by a Fisher matrix formalism the relative importance of the cross-correlation of source counts with the CMB in the constraints on the parameters for several cosmological models. We obtain that the CMB-number counts cross-correlation can improve the dark energy Figure of Merit (FoM) at most up to a factor $\sim 2$ for LiteBIRD+CMB-S4 $\times$ SKA1 compared to the uncorrelated combination of both probes and will enable the Euclid-like photometric survey to reach the highest FoM among those considered here. We also forecast how CMB-galaxy clustering cross-correlation could increase the FoM of the neutrino sector, also enabling a statistically significant ($\gtrsim$ 3$σ$ for LiteBIRD+CMB-S4 $\times$ SPHEREx) detection of the minimal neutrino mass allowed in a normal hierarchy by using quasi-linear scales only. Analogously, we find that the uncertainty in the local primordial non-Gaussianity could be as low as $σ(f_{\rm NL}) \sim 1.5-2$ by using two-point statistics only with the combination of CMB and radio surveys such as EMU and SKA1. Our results highlight the additional constraining power of the cross-correlation between CMB and galaxy clustering from future surveys which is mainly based on quasi-linear scales and therefore sufficiently robust to non-linear effects.

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Scalar-tensor theories of gravity, neutrino physics, and the $H_0$ tension

We use $Planck$ 2018 data to constrain the simplest models of scalar-tensor theories characterized by a coupling to the Ricci scalar of the type $F(σ) R$ with $F(σ) = N_{pl}^2 + ξσ^2$. We update our results with previous $Planck$ and BAO data releases obtaining the tightest constraints to date on the coupling parameters, that is $ξ< 5.5 \times 10^{-4}$ for $N_{pl}=0$ (induced gravity or equivalently extended Jordan-Brans-Dicke) and $(N_{pl} \sqrt{8 πG})-1 < 1.8 \times 10^{-5}$ for $ξ= -1/6$ (conformal coupling), both at 95% CL. Because of a modified expansion history after radiation-matter equality compared to the $Λ$CDM model, all these dynamical models accommodate a higher value for $H_0$ and therefore alleviate the tension between $Planck$/BAO and distance-ladder measurement from SNe Ia data from $4.4σ$ at best to $2.3σ$. We show that all these results are robust to changes in the neutrino physics. In comparison to the $Λ$CDM model, partial degeneracies between neutrino physics and the coupling to the Ricci scalar allow for smaller values $N_{\rm eff} \sim 2.8$, $1σ$ lower compared to the standard $N_{\rm eff} = 3.046$, and relax the upper limit on the neutrino mass up to 40%.

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Cosmology Intertwined III: $f σ_8$ and $S_8$

The standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model provides a wonderful fit to current cosmological data, but a few tensions and anomalies became statistically significant with the latest data analyses. While these anomalies could be due to the presence of systematic errors in the experiments, they could also indicate the need for new physics beyond the standard model. In this Letter of Interest we focus on the tension of the Planck data with weak lensing measurements and redshift surveys, about the value of the matter energy density $Ω_m$, and the amplitude or rate of the growth of structure ($σ_8,fσ_8$). We list a few interesting models for solving this tension, and we discuss the importance of trying to fit with a single model a full array of data and not just one parameter at a time.

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Cosmology Intertwined II: The Hubble Constant Tension

The current cosmological probes have provided a fantastic confirmation of the standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model, that has been constrained with unprecedented accuracy. However, with the increase of the experimental sensitivity a few statistically significant tensions between different independent cosmological datasets emerged. While these tensions can be in portion the result of systematic errors, the persistence after several years of accurate analysis strongly hints at cracks in the standard cosmological scenario and the need for new physics. In this Letter of Interest we will focus on the $4.4σ$ tension between the Planck estimate of the Hubble constant $H_0$ and the SH0ES collaboration measurements. After showing the $H_0$ evaluations made from different teams using different methods and geometric calibrations, we will list a few interesting new physics models that could solve this tension and discuss how the next decade experiments will be crucial.

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Cosmology Intertwined I: Perspectives for the Next Decade

The standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model provides an amazing description of a wide range of astrophysical and astronomical data. However, there are a few big open questions, that make the standard model look like a first-order approximation to a more realistic scenario that still needs to be fully understood. In this Letter of Interest we will list a few important goals that need to be addressed in the next decade, also taking into account the current discordances present between the different cosmological probes, as the Hubble constant $H_0$ value, the $σ_8 - S_8$ tension, and the anomalies present in the Planck results. Finally, we will give an overview of upgraded experiments and next-generation space-missions and facilities on Earth, that will be of crucial importance to address all these questions.

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Cosmology Intertwined IV: The Age of the Universe and its Curvature

A precise measurement of the curvature of the Universe is of primeval importance for cosmology since it could not only confirm the paradigm of primordial inflation but also help in discriminating between different early Universe scenarios. The recent observations, while broadly consistent with a spatially flat standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter ($Λ$CDM) model, are showing tensions that still allow (and, in some cases, even suggest) a few percent deviations from a flat universe. In particular, the Planck Cosmic Microwave Background power spectra, assuming the nominal likelihood, prefer a closed universe at more than 99\% confidence level. While new physics could be in action, this anomaly may be the result of an unresolved systematic error or just a statistical fluctuation. However, since a positive curvature allows a larger age of the Universe, an accurate determination of the age of the oldest objects provides a smoking gun in confirming or falsifying the current flat $Λ$CDM model.

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A larger value for $H_0$ by an evolving gravitational constant

We provide further evidence that a massless cosmological scalar field with a non-minimal coupling to the Ricci curvature of the type $M^2_{\rm pl}(1+ξσ^n/M_{\rm pl}^n) $ alleviates the existing tension between local measurements of the Hubble constant and its inference from CMB anisotropies and baryonic acoustic oscillations data in presence of a cosmological constant. In these models, the expansion history is modified compared to $Λ$CDM at early time, mimicking a change in the effective number of relativistic species, and gravity weakens after matter-radiation equality. Compared to $Λ$CDM, a quadratic ($n=2$) coupling increases the Hubble constant when {\em Planck} 2018 (alone or in combination with BAO and SH0ES) measurements data are used in the analysis. Negative values of the coupling, for which the scalar field decreases, seem favored and consistency with Solar System can be naturally achieved for a large portion of the parameter space without the need of any screening mechanism. We show that our results are robust to the choice of $n$, also presenting the analysis for $n=4$.

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Extended reionization in models beyond $Λ$CDM with Planck 2018 data

We provide an update on the constraints on extended reionization histories with the Planck 2018 cosmic microwave background anisotropy data. The Planck 2018 data on large angular scales improve the measurement of the $E$-mode polarization reionization bump at low multipoles providing the possibility to improve our previous results. Using a minor modification to the original Poly-reion model for the reionization history, we find that the Planck 2018 data significantly improve all our previous results: we find as optical depth of $τ=0.0572_{-0.0075}^{+0.0064}$ at 68% CL, that early onsets of reionization are strongly disfavoured, i.e. redshift when the reionization begins, $z_{xe=0}=18.18_{-10.89}^{+1.61}$ at 68% CL,and that reionization duration (defined between 10% and 99% reionization) is significantly reduced, i.e. $Δ_z^{Reion}=4.59_{-2.45}^{+1.67}$ at 68% CL. We explore possible correlations between reionization histories and cosmological parameters, including important extensions beyond $Λ$CDM. We find that the degeneracy between reionization and scalar spectral index,neutrino mass sum, spatial curvature, dark matter annihilation and other non-standard models are significantly reduced.The reduction of the error bars and the degeneracies, together with the shift towards lower values of the optical depth that we observe in the Poly-reion model are mainly driven by the new low-$\ell$ polarization likelihood of Planck 2018 baseline based on the HFI data. This is confirmed also by the results derived without this likelihood and the ones with different alternatives to the baseline that are presented for a subset of models.

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Joining bits and pieces of reionization history

Cosmic Microwave Background temperature and polarization anisotropies from Planck have estimated a lower value of the optical depth to reionization ($τ$) compared to WMAP. A significant period in the reionization history would then fall within $6<z< 10$, where detection of galaxies with Hubble Frontier Fields program and independent estimation of neutral hydrogen in the inter galactic medium by Lyman-$α$ observations are also available. This overlap allows an analysis of cosmic reionization which utilizes a direct combination of CMB and these astrophysical measurements and potentially breaks degeneracies in parameters describing the physics of reionization. For the first time we reconstruct reionization histories by assuming photo-ionization and recombination rates to be free-form and by allowing underlying cosmological parameters to vary with CMB (temperature and polarization anisotropies and lensing) data from Planck 2018 release and a compilation of astrophysical data. We find an excellent agreement between the low-$\ell$ Planck 2018 HFI polarization likelihood and astrophysical data in determining the integrated optical depth. By combining both data, we report for a minimal reconstruction $τ=0.051^{+0.001+0.002}_{-0.0012-0.002}$ at 68\% and 95\% CL, which, for the errors in the current astrophysical measurements quoted in the literature, is nearly twice better than the projected cosmic variance limited CMB measurements. For the duration of reionization, redshift interval between 10\% and complete ionization, we get $2.9^{+0.12+0.29}_{-0.16-0.26}$ at 68\% and 95\% CL, which improves significantly on the corresponding result obtained by using Planck 2015 data. By a Bayesian analysis of the combined results we do not find evidence beyond monotonic reionization histories, therefore multi-phase reionization scenario is disfavored compared to minimal alternatives.

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