arXiv subjects

David Alonso

Publications and source records attributed to David Alonso.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

arXiv2022

A hybrid map-$C_\ell$ component separation method for primordial CMB $B$-mode searches

The observation of the polarised emission from the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) from future ground-based and satellite-borne experiments holds the promise of indirectly detecting the elusive signal from primordial tensor fluctuations in the form of large-scale $B$-mode polarisation. Doing so, however, requires an accurate and robust separation of the signal from polarised Galactic foregrounds. We present a component separation method for multi-frequency CMB observations that combines some of the advantages of map-based and power-spectrum-based techniques, and which is direcly applicable to data in the presence of realistic foregrounds and instrumental noise. We demonstrate that the method is able to reduce the contamination from Galactic foregrounds below an equivalent tensor-to-scalar ratio $r_{\rm FG}\lesssim5\times10^{-4}$, as required for next-generation observatories, for a wide range of foreground models with varying degrees of complexity. This bias reduction is associated with a mild $\sim20-30\%$ increase in the final statistical uncertainties, and holds for large sky areas, and for experiments targeting both the reionisation and recombination bumps in the $B$-mode power spectrum.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Generalised Gillespie Algorithms for Simulations in a Rule-Based Epidemiological Model Framework

Rule-based models have been successfully used to represent different aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic, including age, testing, hospitalisation, lockdowns, immunity, infectivity, behaviour, mobility and vaccination of individuals. These rule-based approaches are motivated by chemical reaction rules which are traditionally solved numerically with the standard Gillespie algorithm proposed in the context of molecular dynamics. When applying reaction system type of approaches to epidemiology, generalisations of the Gillespie algorithm are required due to the time-dependency of the problems. In this article, we present different generalisations of the standard Gillespie algorithm which address discrete subtypes (e.g., incorporating the age structure of the population), time-discrete updates (e.g., incorporating daily imposed change of rates for lockdowns) and deterministic delays (e.g., given waiting time until a specific change in types such as release from isolation occurs). These algorithms are complemented by relevant examples in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic and numerical results.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2022

Clustering redshifts with the 21cm-galaxy cross-bispectrum

The cross-correlation between 21-cm intensity mapping experiments and photometric surveys of galaxies (or any other cosmological tracer with a broad radial kernel) is severely degraded by the loss of long-wavelength radial modes due to Galactic foreground contamination. Higher-order correlators are able to restore some of these modes due to the non-linear coupling between them and the local small-scale clustering induced by gravitational collapse. We explore the possibility of recovering information from the bispectrum between a photometric galaxy sample and an intensity mapping experiment, in the context of the clustering-redshifts technique. We demonstrate that the bispectrum is able to calibrate the redshift distribution of the photometric sample to the required accuracy of future experiments such as the Rubin Observatory, using future single-dish and interferometric 21-cm observations, in situations where the two-point function is not able to do so due to foreground contamination. We also show how this calibration is affected by the photometric redshift width $σ_{z,0}$ and maximum scale $k_{\mathrm{max}}$. We find that it is important to reach scales $k \gtrsim 0.3\,h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$, with the constraints saturating at around $k\sim 1\,h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$ for next-generation experiments.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

The impact of the Universe's expansion rate on constraints on modified growth of structure

In the context of modified gravity, at linear level, the growth of structure in the Universe will be affected by modifications to the Poisson equation and by the background expansion rate of the Universe. It has been shown that these two effects lead to a degeneracy which must be properly accounted for if one is to place reliable constraints on new forces on large scales or, equivalently, modifications to General Relativity. In this paper we show that current constraints are such that assumptions about the background expansion have little impact on constraints on modifications to gravity. We do so by considering the background of a $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter ($Λ$CDM) universe, a universe with a more general equation of state for the dark energy, and finally, a general, model-independent, expansion rate. We use Gaussian Processes to model modifications to Poisson's equation and, in the case of a general expansion rate, to model the redshift dependent Hubble rate. We identify a degeneracy between modifications to Poisson's equation and the background matter density, $Ω_M$, which can only be broken by assuming a model-dependent expansion rate. We show that, with current data, the constraints on modifications to the Poisson equation via measurements of the growth rate range between $10-20\%$ depending on the strength of our assumptions on the Universe's expansion rate.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

The star formation history in the last 10 billion years from CIB cross-correlations

The Cosmic Infrared Background (CIB) traces the emission of star-forming galaxies throughout all cosmic epochs. Breaking down the contribution from galaxies at different redshifts to the observed CIB maps would allow us to probe the history of star formation. In this paper, we cross-correlate maps of the CIB with galaxy samples covering the range $z\lesssim2$ to measure the bias-weighted star-formation rate (SFR) density $\langle bρ_{\rm SFR}\rangle$ as a function of time in a model independent way. This quantity is complementary to direct measurements of the SFR density $ρ_{\rm SFR}$, giving a higher weight to more massive haloes, and thus provides additional information to constrain the physical properties of star formation. Using cross-correlations of the CIB with galaxies from the DESI Legacy Survey and the extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey, we obtain high signal-to-noise ratio measurements of $\langle bρ_{\rm SFR}\rangle$, which we then use to place constraints on halo-based models of the star-formation history. We fit halo-based SFR models to our data and compare the recovered $ρ_{\rm SFR}$ with direct measurements of this quantity. We find a qualitatively good agreement between both independent datasets, although the details depend on the specific halo model assumed. This constitutes a useful robustness test for the physical interpretation of the CIB, and reinforces the role of CIB maps as valuable astrophysical probes of the large-scale structure. We report our measurements of $\langle bρ_{\rm SFR}\rangle$ as well as a thorough account of their statistical uncertainties, which can be used to constrain star formation models in combination with other data.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2022

First measurement of projected phase correlations and large-scale structure constraints

Phase correlations are an efficient way to extract astrophysical information that is largely independent from the power spectrum. We develop an estimator for the line correlation function (LCF) of projected fields, given by the correlation between the harmonic-space phases at three equidistant points on a great circle. We make a first, 6.5$σ$ measurement of phase correlations on data from the 2MPZ survey. Finally, we show that the LCF can significantly improve constraints on parameters describing the galaxy-halo connection that are typically degenerate using only two-point data.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

The Simons Observatory: Constraining inflationary gravitational waves with multi-tracer B-mode delensing

We introduce and validate a delensing framework for the Simons Observatory (SO), which will be used to improve constraints on inflationary gravitational waves (IGWs) by reducing the lensing noise in measurements of the $B$-modes in CMB polarization. SO will initially observe CMB by using three small aperture telescopes and one large-aperture telescope. While polarization maps from small-aperture telescopes will be used to constrain IGWs, the internal CMB lensing maps used to delens will be reconstructed from data from the large-aperture telescope. Since lensing maps obtained from the SO data will be noise-dominated on sub-degree scales, the SO lensing framework constructs a template for lensing-induced $B$-modes by combining internal CMB lensing maps with maps of the cosmic infrared background from Planck as well as galaxy density maps from the LSST survey. We construct a likelihood for constraining the tensor-to-scalar ratio $r$ that contains auto- and cross-spectra between observed $B$-modes and the lensing $B$-mode template. We test our delensing analysis pipeline on map-based simulations containing survey non-idealities, but that, for this initial exploration, does not include contamination from Galactic and extragalactic foregrounds. We find that the SO survey masking and inhomogeneous and atmospheric noise have very little impact on the delensing performance, and the $r$ constraint becomes $σ(r)\approx 0.0015$ which is close to that obtained from the idealized forecasts in the absence of the Galactic foreground and is nearly a factor of two tighter than without delensing. We also find that uncertainties in the external large-scale structure tracers used in our multi-tracer delensing pipeline lead to bias much smaller than the $1\,σ$ statistical uncertainties.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

CoLoRe: fast cosmological realisations over large volumes with multiple tracers

We present CoLoRe, a public software package to efficiently generate synthetic realisations of multiple cosmological surveys. CoLoRe can simulate the growth of structure with different degrees of accuracy, with the current implementation supporting lognormal fields, first, and second order Lagrangian perturbation theory. CoLoRe simulates the density field on an all-sky light-cone up to a desired maximum redshift, and uses it to generate multiple 2D and 3D maps: galaxy positions and velocities, lensing (shear, magnification, convergence), integrated Sachs-Wolfe effect, line intensity mapping, and line of sight skewers for simulations of the Lyman-$α$ forest. We test the accuracy of the simulated maps against analytical theoretical predictions, and showcase its performance with a multi-survey simulation including DESI galaxies and quasars, LSST galaxies and lensing, and SKA intensity mapping and radio galaxies. We expect CoLoRe to be particularly useful in studies aiming to characterise the impact of systematics in multi-experiment analyses, quantify the covariance between different datasets, and test cross-correlation pipelines for near-future surveys.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Snowmass 2021 CMB-S4 White Paper

This Snowmass 2021 White Paper describes the Cosmic Microwave Background Stage 4 project CMB-S4, which is designed to cross critical thresholds in our understanding of the origin and evolution of the Universe, from the highest energies at the dawn of time through the growth of structure to the present day. We provide an overview of the science case, the technical design, and project plan.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Propagating spatially-varying multiplicative shear bias to cosmological parameter estimation for stage-IV weak-lensing surveys

We consider the bias introduced by a spatially-varying multiplicative shear bias (m-bias) on tomographic cosmic shear angular power spectra. To compute the bias in the power spectra, we estimate the mode-coupling matrix associated with an m-bias map using a computationally-efficient pseudo-Cl method. This allows us to consider the effect of the m-bias to high l. We then conduct a Fisher matrix analysis to forecast resulting biases in cosmological parameters. For a Euclid-like survey with a spatially-varying m-bias, with zero mean and rms of 0.01, we find that parameter biases reach a maximum of ~10% of the expected statistical error, if multipoles up to l_max = 5000 are included. We conclude that the effect of the spatially-varying m-bias may be a sub-dominant but potentially non-negligible contribution to the error budget in forthcoming weak lensing surveys. We also investigate the dependence of parameter biases on the amplitude and angular scale of spatial variations of the m-bias field, and conclude that requirements should be placed on the rms of spatial variations of the m-bias, in addition to any requirement on the mean value. We find that, for a Euclid-like survey, biases generally exceed ~30% of the statistical error for m-bias rms 0.02 - 0.03 and can exceed the statistical error for rms ~0.04 - 0.05. This allows requirements to be set on the permissible amplitude of spatial variations of the m-bias that will arise due to systematics in forthcoming weak lensing measurements.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Model-independent constraints on $Ω_m$ and $H(z)$ from the link between geometry and growth

We constrain the expansion history of the Universe and the cosmological matter density fraction in a model-independent way by exclusively making use of the relationship between background and perturbations under a minimal set of assumptions. We do so by employing a Gaussian process to model the expansion history of the Universe from present time to the recombination era. The expansion history and the cosmological matter density are then constrained using recent measurements from cosmic chronometers, Type-Ia supernovae, baryon acoustic oscillations, and redshift-space distortion data. Our results show that the evolution in the reconstructed expansion history is compatible with the \textit{Planck} 2018 prediction at all redshifts. The current data considered in this study can constrain a Gaussian process on $H(z)$ to an average $9.4 \%$ precision across redshift. We find $Ω_m = 0.224 \pm 0.066$, lower but statistically compatible with the \textit{Planck} 2018 cosmology. Finally, the combination of future DESI measurements with the CMB measurement considered in this work holds the promise of $8 \%$ average constraints on a model-independent expansion history as well as a five-fold tighter $Ω_m$ constraint using the methodology developed in this work.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Joint constraints on cosmology and the impact of baryon feedback: combining KiDS-1000 lensing with the thermal Sunyaev-Zeldovich effect from Planck and ACT

We conduct a pseudo-$C_\ell$ analysis of the tomographic cross-correlation between 1000 deg$^2$ of weak lensing data from the Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS-1000) and the thermal Sunyaev-Zeldovich (tSZ) effect measured by Planck and the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT). Using HMx, a halo-model-based approach that consistently models the gas, star, and dark matter components, we are able to derive constraints on both cosmology and baryon feedback for the first time from these data, marginalising over redshift uncertainties, intrinsic alignment of galaxies, and contamination by the cosmic infrared background (CIB). We find our results to be insensitive to the CIB, while intrinsic alignment provides a small but significant contribution to the lensing--tSZ cross-correlation. The cosmological constraints are consistent with those of other low-redshift probes and prefer strong baryon feedback. The inferred amplitude of the lensing--tSZ cross-correlation signal, which scales as $σ_8(Ω_\mathrm{m}/0.3)^{0.2}$, is low by $\sim 2\,σ$ compared to the primary cosmic microwave background constraints by Planck. The lensing--tSZ measurements are then combined with pseudo-$C_\ell$ measurements of KiDS-1000 cosmic shear into a novel joint analysis, accounting for the full cross-covariance between the probes, providing tight cosmological constraints by breaking parameter degeneracies inherent to both probes. The joint analysis gives an improvement of 40% on the constraint of $S_8=σ_8\sqrt{Ω_\mathrm{m}/0.3}$ over cosmic shear alone, while providing constraints on baryon feedback consistent with hydrodynamical simulations, demonstrating the potential of such joint analyses with baryonic tracers such as the tSZ effect. We discuss remaining modelling challenges that need to be addressed if these baryonic probes are to be included in future precision-cosmology analyses.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

The Simons Observatory: a new open-source power spectrum pipeline applied to the Planck legacy data

We present a reproduction of the Planck 2018 angular power spectra at $\ell > 30$, and associated covariance matrices, for intensity and polarization maps at 100, 143 and 217 GHz. This uses a new, publicly available, pipeline that is part of the PSpipe package. As a test case we use the same input maps, ancillary products, and analysis choices as in the Planck 2018 analysis, and find that we can reproduce the spectra to 0.1$σ$ precision, and the covariance matrices to 10%. We show that cosmological parameters estimated from our re-derived products agree with the public Planck products to 0.1$σ$, providing an independent cross-check of the Planck team's analysis. Going forward, the publicly-available code can be easily adapted to use alternative input maps, data selections and analysis choices, for future optimal analysis of Planck data with new ground-based Cosmic Microwave Background data.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

The LSST-DESC 3x2pt Tomography Optimization Challenge

This paper presents the results of the Rubin Observatory Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC) 3x2pt tomography challenge, which served as a first step toward optimizing the tomographic binning strategy for the main DESC analysis. The task of choosing an optimal tomographic binning scheme for a photometric survey is made particularly delicate in the context of a metacalibrated lensing catalogue, as only the photometry from the bands included in the metacalibration process (usually riz and potentially g) can be used in sample definition. The goal of the challenge was to collect and compare bin assignment strategies under various metrics of a standard 3x2pt cosmology analysis in a highly idealized setting to establish a baseline for realistically complex follow-up studies; in this preliminary study, we used two sets of cosmological simulations of galaxy redshifts and photometry under a simple noise model neglecting photometric outliers and variation in observing conditions, and contributed algorithms were provided with a representative and complete training set. We review and evaluate the entries to the challenge, finding that even from this limited photometry information, multiple algorithms can separate tomographic bins reasonably well, reaching figures-of-merit scores close to the attainable maximum. We further find that adding the g band to riz photometry improves metric performance by ~15% and that the optimal bin assignment strategy depends strongly on the science case: which figure-of-merit is to be optimized, and which observables (clustering, lensing, or both) are included.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2021

The growth of density perturbations in the last $\sim$10 billion years from tomographic large-scale structure data

In order to investigate the origin of the ongoing tension between the amplitude of matter fluctuations measured by weak lensing experiments at low redshifts and the value inferred from the cosmic microwave background anisotropies, we reconstruct the evolution of this amplitude from $z\sim2$ using existing large-scale structure data. To do so, we decouple the linear growth of density inhomogeneities from the background expansion, and constrain its redshift dependence making use of a combination of 6 different data sets, including cosmic shear, galaxy clustering and CMB lensing. We analyze these data under a consistent harmonic-space angular power spectrum-based pipeline. We show that current data constrain the amplitude of fluctuations mostly in the range $0.2<z<0.7$, where it is lower than predicted by Planck. This difference is mostly driven by current cosmic shear data, although the growth histories reconstructed from different data combinations are consistent with each other, and we find no evidence of systematic deviations in any particular experiment. In spite of the tension with Planck, the data are well-described by the $Λ$CDM model, albeit with a lower value of $S_8\equivσ_8(Ω_m/0.3)^{0.5}$. As part of our analysis, we find constraints on this parameter of $S_8=0.7781\pm0.0094$ (68\% confidence level), reaching almost percent-level errors comparable with CMB measurements, and 3.4$σ$ away from the value found by Planck.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

The LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC) Science Requirements Document

The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC) will use five cosmological probes: galaxy clusters, large scale structure, supernovae, strong lensing, and weak lensing. This Science Requirements Document (SRD) quantifies the expected dark energy constraining power of these probes individually and together, with conservative assumptions about analysis methodology and follow-up observational resources based on our current understanding and the expected evolution within the field in the coming years. We then define requirements on analysis pipelines that will enable us to achieve our goal of carrying out a dark energy analysis consistent with the Dark Energy Task Force definition of a Stage IV dark energy experiment. This is achieved through a forecasting process that incorporates the flowdown to detailed requirements on multiple sources of systematic uncertainty. Future versions of this document will include evolution in our software capabilities and analysis plans along with updates to the LSST survey strategy.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

A signal of competitive dominance in mid-latitude herbaceous plant communities

Understanding the main determinants of species coexistence across space and time is a central question in ecology. However, ecologists still know little about the scales and conditions at which biotic interactions matter and how these interact with the environment to structure species assemblages. Here we use recent theory developments to analyze plant distribution and trait data across Europe and find that plant height clustering is related to both evapotranspiration and gross primary productivity. This clustering is a signal of interspecies competition between plants, which is most evident in mid-latitude ecoregions, where conditions for growth (reflected in actual evapotranspiration rates and gross primary productivities) are optimal. Away from this optimum, climate severity likely overrides the effect of competition, or other interactions become increasingly important. Our approach bridges the gap between species-rich competition theories and large-scale species distribution data analysis.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2021

Detecting ultra-high energy cosmic ray anisotropies through cross-correlations

We propose an observable for ultra-high energy cosmic ray (UHECR) physics: the harmonic-space cross-correlation power spectrum between the arrival directions of UHECRs and the large-scale cosmic structure mapped by galaxies. This cross-correlation has not yet been considered in the literature, and it permits a direct theoretical modelling of the main astrophysical components. We describe the expected form of the cross-correlation and show how, if the distribution of UHECR sources trace the large-scale cosmic structure, it could be easier to detect with current data than the UHECR auto-correlation. Moreover, the cross-correlation is more sensitive to UHECR anisotropies on smaller angular scales, more robust to systematic uncertainties, and it could be used to determine the redshift distribution of UHECR sources, making it a valuable tool in determining their origins and properties.

astro-ph.HE↗