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David Bancelin

Publications and source records attributed to David Bancelin.

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Exocomets in the Proxima Centauri system and their importance for water transport

The scenario and efficiency of water transport by icy asteroids and comets are still amongst the most important unresolved questions of planetary systems. A better understanding of cometary dynamics in extrasolar systems shall provide information about cometary reservoirs and give an insight into water transport especially to planets in the habitable zone. The detection of Proxima Centauri-b (PCb), which moves in the habitable zone of this system, triggered a debate whether or not this planet can be habitable. In this work, we focus on the stability of an additional planet in the system and on water transport by minor bodies. We perform numerous N-body simulations with PCb and an outer Oort-cloud like reservoir of comets. We investigate close encounters and collisions with the planet, which are important for the transport of water. Observers found hints for a second planet with a period longer than 60 days. Our dynamical studies show that two planets in this system are stable even for a more massive second planet (~12 Earth masses). Furthermore, we perform simulations including exocomets, a second planet, and the influence of the binary Alpha Centauri. The studies on the dynamics of exocomets reveal that the outer limit for water transport is around 200 au. In addition we show that water transport would be possible from a close-in planetesimal cloud (1-4 au). From our simulations, based on typical M-star protoplanetary disks, we estimate the water mass delivered to the planets up to 51 Earth oceans.

astro-ph.EP

Dynamics of passing-stars-perturbed binary star systems

In this work, we investigate the dynamical effects of a sequence of close encounters over 200 Myr varying in the interval of 10000 -- 100000 au between a binary star system and passing stars with masses ranging from 0.1$M_{\odot}$ to 10$M_{\odot}$. We focus on binaries consisting of two Sun-like stars with various orbital separations $a_{\scriptscriptstyle 0}$ from 50 au to 200 au initially on circular-planar orbits. We treat the problem statistically since each sequence is cloned 1000 times. Our study shows that orbits of binaries initially at $a_{\scriptscriptstyle 0}$ = 50 au will slightly be perturbed by each close encounter and exhibit a small deviation in eccentricity (+0.03) and in periapsis distance (+1 and -2 au) around the mean value. However increasing $a_{\scriptscriptstyle 0}$ will drastically increase these variances: up to +0.45 in eccentricity and between +63 au and -106 au in periapsis, leading to a higher rate of disrupted binaries up to 50% after the sequence of close encounters. Even though the secondary star can remain bound to the primary, $\sim$20% of the final orbits will have inclinations greater than 10$^{\circ}$. As planetary formation already takes place when stars are still members of their birth cluster, we show that the variances in eccentricity and periapsis distance of Jupiter- and Saturn-like planets will inversely decrease with $a_{\scriptscriptstyle 0}$ after successive fly-bys. This leads to higher ejection rate at $a_{\scriptscriptstyle 0}$ = 50 au but to a higher extent for Saturn-likes (60%) as those planets' apoapsis distances cross the critical stability distance for such binary separation.

astro-ph.EP

Dynamics and habitability in circumstellar planetary systems of known binary stars

We present a survey on exoplanetary systems of binary stars with stellar separations less than 100 au. For a sample of 11 binaries that harbour detected circumstellar giant planets we investigate the frequency of systems with secular resonances (SR) affecting the habitable zone (HZ). Secular resonances are connected to dynamically unstable or chaotic regions by enforcing highly eccentric motion. We apply a semi-analytical method to determine the locations of linear SR, which is based on finding the apsidal precession frequencies of the massive bodies. For configurations where the giant planet is located exterior to the HZ we find that there is always a SR interior to its orbit, the exact location of the SR strongly depends on the system's architecture. In systems with the giant planet interior to the HZ no SR can occur in the Newtonian framework. Taking into account the general relativistic precession of the perihelion, which increases the precession frequencies, planets with $a < 0.1$ au can cause SR in the HZ. We find two cases where the SR is located inside the HZ, and some more where it is close to the HZ. Generally, giant planets interior to the HZ are more favourable than exterior planets to avoid SR in the HZ. Around the location of the SR weaker mean-motion resonances are excited, and resonance overlap is possible. Existing analytical models are not as accurate as the semi-analytical method in locating the SR and deviate by $\sim 0.1$ au or more.

astro-ph.EP

High Precision Astrometry in Asteroid Mitigation - the NEOShield Perspective

Among the currently known Near Earth Objects (NEOs), roughly 1400 are classified as being potentially hazardous asteroids. The recent Chelyabinsk event has shown that these objects can pose a real threat to mankind. We illustrate that high precision asteroid astrometry plays a vital role in determining potential impact risks, selecting targets for deflection demonstration missions and evaluating mitigation mission success. After a brief introduction to the NEOShield project, an international effort initiated by the European Commission to investigate aspects of NEO mitigation in a comprehensive fashion, we discuss current astrometric performances, requirements and possible issues with NEO risk assessment and deflection demonstration missions.

astro-ph.IM

Statistical and Numerical Study of Asteroid Orbital Uncertainty

The knowledge of the orbit or the ephemeris uncertainty of asteroid presents a particular interest for various purposes. These quantities are for instance useful for recovering asteroids, for identifying lost asteroids or for planning stellar occultation campaigns. They are also needed to estimate the close approach of Near-Earth asteroids, and subsequent risk of collision. Ephemeris accuracy can also be used for instrument calibration purposes or for scientific applications. Asteroid databases provide information about the uncertainty of the orbits allowing the measure of the quality of an orbit. The aims of this paper is to analyse these different uncertainty parameters and to estimate the impact of the different measurements on the uncertainty of orbits. We particularly deal with two main databases ASTORB and MPCORB providing uncertainty parameters for asteroid orbits. Statistical methods are used in order to estimate orbital uncertainty and compare with parameters from databases. Simulations are also generated to deal with specific measurements such as future Gaia or present radar measurements. Relations between the uncertainty parameter and the characteristics of the asteroid (orbital arc, absolute magnitude, ...) are highlighted. Moreover, a review of the different measuments are compiled and the impact of these measures on the accuracy of the orbit is also estimated.

astro-ph.EP