arXiv subjects

David Rügamer

Publications and source records attributed to David Rügamer.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Towards Efficient MCMC Sampling in Bayesian Neural Networks by Exploiting Symmetry

Bayesian inference in deep neural networks is challenging due to the high-dimensional, strongly multi-modal parameter posterior density landscape. Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches asymptotically recover the true posterior but are considered prohibitively expensive for large modern architectures. Local methods, which have emerged as a popular alternative, focus on specific parameter regions that can be approximated by functions with tractable integrals. While these often yield satisfactory empirical results, they fail, by definition, to account for the multi-modality of the parameter posterior. In this work, we argue that the dilemma between exact-but-unaffordable and cheap-but-inexact approaches can be mitigated by exploiting symmetries in the posterior landscape. Such symmetries, induced by neuron interchangeability and certain activation functions, manifest in different parameter values leading to the same functional output value. We show theoretically that the posterior predictive density in Bayesian neural networks can be restricted to a symmetry-free parameter reference set. By further deriving an upper bound on the number of Monte Carlo chains required to capture the functional diversity, we propose a straightforward approach for feasible Bayesian inference. Our experiments suggest that efficient sampling is indeed possible, opening up a promising path to accurate uncertainty quantification in deep learning.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2023

Cascaded Latent Diffusion Models for High-Resolution Chest X-ray Synthesis

While recent advances in large-scale foundational models show promising results, their application to the medical domain has not yet been explored in detail. In this paper, we progress into the realms of large-scale modeling in medical synthesis by proposing Cheff - a foundational cascaded latent diffusion model, which generates highly-realistic chest radiographs providing state-of-the-art quality on a 1-megapixel scale. We further propose MaCheX, which is a unified interface for public chest datasets and forms the largest open collection of chest X-rays up to date. With Cheff conditioned on radiological reports, we further guide the synthesis process over text prompts and unveil the research area of report-to-chest-X-ray generation.

eess.IV↗

arXiv2023

Privacy-Preserving and Lossless Distributed Estimation of High-Dimensional Generalized Additive Mixed Models

Various privacy-preserving frameworks that respect the individual's privacy in the analysis of data have been developed in recent years. However, available model classes such as simple statistics or generalized linear models lack the flexibility required for a good approximation of the underlying data-generating process in practice. In this paper, we propose an algorithm for a distributed, privacy-preserving, and lossless estimation of generalized additive mixed models (GAMM) using component-wise gradient boosting (CWB). Making use of CWB allows us to reframe the GAMM estimation as a distributed fitting of base learners using the $L_2$-loss. In order to account for the heterogeneity of different data location sites, we propose a distributed version of a row-wise tensor product that allows the computation of site-specific (smooth) effects. Our adaption of CWB preserves all the important properties of the original algorithm, such as an unbiased feature selection and the feasibility to fit models in high-dimensional feature spaces, and yields equivalent model estimates as CWB on pooled data. Next to a derivation of the equivalence of both algorithms, we also showcase the efficacy of our algorithm on a distributed heart disease data set and compare it with state-of-the-art methods.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2023

mixdistreg: An R Package for Fitting Mixture of Experts Distributional Regression with Adaptive First-order Methods

This paper presents a high-level description of the R software package mixdistreg to fit mixture of experts distributional regression models. The proposed framework is implemented in R using the deepregression software template, which is based on TensorFlow and follows the neural structured additive learning principle. The software comprises various approaches as special cases, including mixture density networks and mixture regression approaches. Various code examples are given to demonstrate the package's functionality.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2023

Additive Higher-Order Factorization Machines

In the age of big data and interpretable machine learning, approaches need to work at scale and at the same time allow for a clear mathematical understanding of the method's inner workings. While there exist inherently interpretable semi-parametric regression techniques for large-scale applications to account for non-linearity in the data, their model complexity is still often restricted. One of the main limitations are missing interactions in these models, which are not included for the sake of better interpretability, but also due to untenable computational costs. To address this shortcoming, we derive a scalable high-order tensor product spline model using a factorization approach. Our method allows to include all (higher-order) interactions of non-linear feature effects while having computational costs proportional to a model without interactions. We prove both theoretically and empirically that our methods scales notably better than existing approaches, derive meaningful penalization schemes and also discuss further theoretical aspects. We finally investigate predictive and estimation performance both with synthetic and real data.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2023

Representation Learning for Tablet and Paper Domain Adaptation in Favor of Online Handwriting Recognition

The performance of a machine learning model degrades when it is applied to data from a similar but different domain than the data it has initially been trained on. The goal of domain adaptation (DA) is to mitigate this domain shift problem by searching for an optimal feature transformation to learn a domain-invariant representation. Such a domain shift can appear in handwriting recognition (HWR) applications where the motion pattern of the hand and with that the motion pattern of the pen is different for writing on paper and on tablet. This becomes visible in the sensor data for online handwriting (OnHW) from pens with integrated inertial measurement units. This paper proposes a supervised DA approach to enhance learning for OnHW recognition between tablet and paper data. Our method exploits loss functions such as maximum mean discrepancy and correlation alignment to learn a domain-invariant feature representation (i.e., similar covariances between tablet and paper features). We use a triplet loss that takes negative samples of the auxiliary domain (i.e., paper samples) to increase the amount of samples of the tablet dataset. We conduct an evaluation on novel sequence-based OnHW datasets (i.e., words) and show an improvement on the paper domain with an early fusion strategy by using pairwise learning.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2022

Mixture of Experts Distributional Regression: Implementation Using Robust Estimation with Adaptive First-order Methods

In this work, we propose an efficient implementation of mixtures of experts distributional regression models which exploits robust estimation by using stochastic first-order optimization techniques with adaptive learning rate schedulers. We take advantage of the flexibility and scalability of neural network software and implement the proposed framework in mixdistreg, an R software package that allows for the definition of mixtures of many different families, estimation in high-dimensional and large sample size settings and robust optimization based on TensorFlow. Numerical experiments with simulated and real-world data applications show that optimization is as reliable as estimation via classical approaches in many different settings and that results may be obtained for complicated scenarios where classical approaches consistently fail.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2022

Uncertainty-aware predictive modeling for fair data-driven decisions

Both industry and academia have made considerable progress in developing trustworthy and responsible machine learning (ML) systems. While critical concepts like fairness and explainability are often addressed, the safety of systems is typically not sufficiently taken into account. By viewing data-driven decision systems as socio-technical systems, we draw on the uncertainty in ML literature to show how fairML systems can also be safeML systems. We posit that a fair model needs to be an uncertainty-aware model, e.g. by drawing on distributional regression. For fair decisions, we argue that a safe fail option should be used for individuals with uncertain categorization. We introduce semi-structured deep distributional regression as a modeling framework which addresses multiple concerns brought against standard ML models and show its use in a real-world example of algorithmic profiling of job seekers.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2022

What cleaves? Is proteasomal cleavage prediction reaching a ceiling?

Epitope vaccines are a promising direction to enable precision treatment for cancer, autoimmune diseases, and allergies. Effectively designing such vaccines requires accurate prediction of proteasomal cleavage in order to ensure that the epitopes in the vaccine are presented to T cells by the major histocompatibility complex (MHC). While direct identification of proteasomal cleavage \emph{in vitro} is cumbersome and low throughput, it is possible to implicitly infer cleavage events from the termini of MHC-presented epitopes, which can be detected in large amounts thanks to recent advances in high-throughput MHC ligandomics. Inferring cleavage events in such a way provides an inherently noisy signal which can be tackled with new developments in the field of deep learning that supposedly make it possible to learn predictors from noisy labels. Inspired by such innovations, we sought to modernize proteasomal cleavage predictors by benchmarking a wide range of recent methods, including LSTMs, transformers, CNNs, and denoising methods, on a recently introduced cleavage dataset. We found that increasing model scale and complexity appeared to deliver limited performance gains, as several methods reached about 88.5% AUC on C-terminal and 79.5% AUC on N-terminal cleavage prediction. This suggests that the noise and/or complexity of proteasomal cleavage and the subsequent biological processes of the antigen processing pathway are the major limiting factors for predictive performance rather than the specific modeling approach used. While biological complexity can be tackled by more data and better models, noise and randomness inherently limit the maximum achievable predictive performance. All our datasets and experiments are available at https://github.com/ziegler-ingo/cleavage_prediction.

q-bio.QM↗

arXiv2022

Benchmarking Online Sequence-to-Sequence and Character-based Handwriting Recognition from IMU-Enhanced Pens

Purpose. Handwriting is one of the most frequently occurring patterns in everyday life and with it come challenging applications such as handwriting recognition (HWR), writer identification, and signature verification. In contrast to offline HWR that only uses spatial information (i.e., images), online HWR (OnHWR) uses richer spatio-temporal information (i.e., trajectory data or inertial data). While there exist many offline HWR datasets, there is only little data available for the development of OnHWR methods on paper as it requires hardware-integrated pens. Methods. This paper presents data and benchmark models for real-time sequence-to-sequence (seq2seq) learning and single character-based recognition. Our data is recorded by a sensor-enhanced ballpoint pen, yielding sensor data streams from triaxial accelerometers, a gyroscope, a magnetometer and a force sensor at 100 Hz. We propose a variety of datasets including equations and words for both the writer-dependent and writer-independent tasks. Our datasets allow a comparison between classical OnHWR on tablets and on paper with sensor-enhanced pens. We provide an evaluation benchmark for seq2seq and single character-based HWR using recurrent and temporal convolutional networks and Transformers combined with a connectionist temporal classification (CTC) loss and cross-entropy (CE) losses. Results. Our convolutional network combined with BiLSTMs outperforms Transformer-based architectures, is on par with InceptionTime for sequence-based classification tasks, and yields better results compared to 28 state-of-the-art techniques. Time-series augmentation methods improve the sequence-based task, and we show that CE variants can improve the single classification task.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Domain Adaptation for Time-Series Classification to Mitigate Covariate Shift

The performance of a machine learning model degrades when it is applied to data from a similar but different domain than the data it has initially been trained on. To mitigate this domain shift problem, domain adaptation (DA) techniques search for an optimal transformation that converts the (current) input data from a source domain to a target domain to learn a domain-invariant representation that reduces domain discrepancy. This paper proposes a novel supervised DA based on two steps. First, we search for an optimal class-dependent transformation from the source to the target domain from a few samples. We consider optimal transport methods such as the earth mover's distance, Sinkhorn transport and correlation alignment. Second, we use embedding similarity techniques to select the corresponding transformation at inference. We use correlation metrics and higher-order moment matching techniques. We conduct an extensive evaluation on time-series datasets with domain shift including simulated and various online handwriting datasets to demonstrate the performance.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Semi-Structured Distributional Regression -- Extending Structured Additive Models by Arbitrary Deep Neural Networks and Data Modalities

Combining additive models and neural networks allows to broaden the scope of statistical regression and extend deep learning-based approaches by interpretable structured additive predictors at the same time. Existing attempts uniting the two modeling approaches are, however, limited to very specific combinations and, more importantly, involve an identifiability issue. As a consequence, interpretability and stable estimation are typically lost. We propose a general framework to combine structured regression models and deep neural networks into a unifying network architecture. To overcome the inherent identifiability issues between different model parts, we construct an orthogonalization cell that projects the deep neural network into the orthogonal complement of the statistical model predictor. This enables proper estimation of structured model parts and thereby interpretability. We demonstrate the framework's efficacy in numerical experiments and illustrate its special merits in benchmarks and real-world applications.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2022

Probabilistic Time Series Forecasts with Autoregressive Transformation Models

Probabilistic forecasting of time series is an important matter in many applications and research fields. In order to draw conclusions from a probabilistic forecast, we must ensure that the model class used to approximate the true forecasting distribution is expressive enough. Yet, characteristics of the model itself, such as its uncertainty or its feature-outcome relationship are not of lesser importance. This paper proposes Autoregressive Transformation Models (ATMs), a model class inspired by various research directions to unite expressive distributional forecasts using a semi-parametric distribution assumption with an interpretable model specification. We demonstrate the properties of ATMs both theoretically and through empirical evaluation on several simulated and real-world forecasting datasets.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Uncertainty-aware Evaluation of Time-Series Classification for Online Handwriting Recognition with Domain Shift

For many applications, analyzing the uncertainty of a machine learning model is indispensable. While research of uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques is very advanced for computer vision applications, UQ methods for spatio-temporal data are less studied. In this paper, we focus on models for online handwriting recognition, one particular type of spatio-temporal data. The data is observed from a sensor-enhanced pen with the goal to classify written characters. We conduct a broad evaluation of aleatoric (data) and epistemic (model) UQ based on two prominent techniques for Bayesian inference, Stochastic Weight Averaging-Gaussian (SWAG) and Deep Ensembles. Next to a better understanding of the model, UQ techniques can detect out-of-distribution data and domain shifts when combining right-handed and left-handed writers (an underrepresented group).

cs.CV↗

arXiv2022

Factorized Structured Regression for Large-Scale Varying Coefficient Models

Recommender Systems (RS) pervade many aspects of our everyday digital life. Proposed to work at scale, state-of-the-art RS allow the modeling of thousands of interactions and facilitate highly individualized recommendations. Conceptually, many RS can be viewed as instances of statistical regression models that incorporate complex feature effects and potentially non-Gaussian outcomes. Such structured regression models, including time-aware varying coefficients models, are, however, limited in their applicability to categorical effects and inclusion of a large number of interactions. Here, we propose Factorized Structured Regression (FaStR) for scalable varying coefficient models. FaStR overcomes limitations of general regression models for large-scale data by combining structured additive regression and factorization approaches in a neural network-based model implementation. This fusion provides a scalable framework for the estimation of statistical models in previously infeasible data settings. Empirical results confirm that the estimation of varying coefficients of our approach is on par with state-of-the-art regression techniques, while scaling notably better and also being competitive with other time-aware RS in terms of prediction performance. We illustrate FaStR's performance and interpretability on a large-scale behavioral study with smartphone user data.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2022

deepregression: a Flexible Neural Network Framework for Semi-Structured Deep Distributional Regression

In this paper we describe the implementation of semi-structured deep distributional regression, a flexible framework to learn conditional distributions based on the combination of additive regression models and deep networks. Our implementation encompasses (1) a modular neural network building system based on the deep learning library \pkg{TensorFlow} for the fusion of various statistical and deep learning approaches, (2) an orthogonalization cell to allow for an interpretable combination of different subnetworks, as well as (3) pre-processing steps necessary to set up such models. The software package allows to define models in a user-friendly manner via a formula interface that is inspired by classical statistical model frameworks such as \pkg{mgcv}. The packages' modular design and functionality provides a unique resource for both scalable estimation of complex statistical models and the combination of approaches from deep learning and statistics. This allows for state-of-the-art predictive performance while simultaneously retaining the indispensable interpretability of classical statistical models.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2022

Deep Semi-Supervised Learning for Time Series Classification

While Semi-supervised learning has gained much attention in computer vision on image data, yet limited research exists on its applicability in the time series domain. In this work, we investigate the transferability of state-of-the-art deep semi-supervised models from image to time series classification. We discuss the necessary model adaptations, in particular an appropriate model backbone architecture and the use of tailored data augmentation strategies. Based on these adaptations, we explore the potential of deep semi-supervised learning in the context of time series classification by evaluating our methods on large public time series classification problems with varying amounts of labelled samples. We perform extensive comparisons under a decidedly realistic and appropriate evaluation scheme with a unified reimplementation of all algorithms considered, which is yet lacking in the field. We find that these transferred semi-supervised models show significant performance gains over strong supervised, semi-supervised and self-supervised alternatives, especially for scenarios with very few labelled samples.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

DeepPAMM: Deep Piecewise Exponential Additive Mixed Models for Complex Hazard Structures in Survival Analysis

Survival analysis (SA) is an active field of research that is concerned with time-to-event outcomes and is prevalent in many domains, particularly biomedical applications. Despite its importance, SA remains challenging due to small-scale data sets and complex outcome distributions, concealed by truncation and censoring processes. The piecewise exponential additive mixed model (PAMM) is a model class addressing many of these challenges, yet PAMMs are not applicable in high-dimensional feature settings or in the case of unstructured or multimodal data. We unify existing approaches by proposing DeepPAMM, a versatile deep learning framework that is well-founded from a statistical point of view, yet with enough flexibility for modeling complex hazard structures. We illustrate that DeepPAMM is competitive with other machine learning approaches with respect to predictive performance while maintaining interpretability through benchmark experiments and an extended case study.

stat.ML↗