arXiv subjects

Davide Forcina

Publications and source records attributed to Davide Forcina.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Monitoring Covariance in Multichannel Profiles via Functional Graphical Models

Most statistical process monitoring methods for multichannel profiles focus solely on the mean and are almost ineffective when changes involve the covariance structure. Although it is known to be crucial, covariance monitoring requires estimating a much larger number of parameters, which may shift in a subtle and sparse fashion. That is, an out-of-control (OC) state may manifest with small deviations and affect only a very limited subset of these parameters. To address these difficulties, we propose a multichannel profile covariance (MPC) control chart based on functional graphical models that provide an interpretable representation of conditional dependencies between profiles. A nonparametric combination of the likelihood-ratio tests corresponding to different sparsity levels is then used to draw an overall inference and signal whether an OC state may have occurred. Between-profile relationships that are likely to have shifted are naturally identified at no additional computational cost. An extensive Monte Carlo simulation study compares the MPC control chart with state-of-the-art competitors, and a case study on monitoring multichannel temperature profiles in a roasting machine illustrates its practical applicability.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

Functional Mixture Regression Control Chart

Industrial applications often exhibit multiple in-control patterns due to varying operating conditions, which makes a single functional linear model (FLM) inadequate to capture the complexity of the true relationship between a functional quality characteristic and covariates, which gives rise to the multimode profile monitoring problem. This issue is clearly illustrated in the resistance spot welding (RSW) process in the automotive industry, where different operating conditions lead to multiple in-control states. In these states, factors such as electrode tip wear and dressing may influence the functional quality characteristic differently, resulting in distinct FLMs across subpopulations. To address this problem, this article introduces the functional mixture regression control chart (FMRCC) to monitor functional quality characteristics with multiple in-control patterns and covariate information, modeled using a mixture of FLMs. A monitoring strategy based on the likelihood ratio test is proposed to monitor any deviation from the estimated in-control heterogeneous population. An extensive Monte Carlo simulation study is performed to compare the FMRCC with competing monitoring schemes that have already appeared in the literature, and a case study in the monitoring of an RSW process in the automotive industry, which motivated this research, illustrates its practical applicability.

stat.ME↗