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Davide Gerosa

Publications and source records attributed to Davide Gerosa.

At least 109 records · Page 6Linked to original sources

Black holes in the low mass gap: Implications for gravitational wave observations

Binary neutron-star mergers will predominantly produce black-hole remnants of mass $\sim 3-4\,M_{\odot}$, thus populating the putative \emph{low mass gap} between neutron stars and stellar-mass black holes. If these low-mass black holes are in dense astrophysical environments, mass segregation could lead to "second-generation" compact binaries merging within a Hubble time. In this paper, we investigate possible signatures of such low-mass compact binary mergers in gravitational-wave observations. We show that this unique population of objects, if present, will be uncovered by the third-generation gravitational-wave detectors, such as Cosmic Explorer and Einstein Telescope. Future joint measurements of chirp mass ${\cal M}$ and effective spin $χ_{\rm eff}$ could clarify the formation scenario of compact objects in the low mass gap. As a case study, we show that the recent detection of GW190425 (along with GW170817) favors a double Gaussian mass model for neutron stars, under the assumption that the primary in GW190425 is a black hole formed from a previous binary neutron star merger.

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Machine-learning interpolation of population-synthesis simulations to interpret gravitational-wave observations: a case study

We report on advances to interpret current and future gravitational-wave events in light of astrophysical simulations. A machine-learning emulator is trained on numerical population-synthesis predictions and inserted into a Bayesian hierarchical framework. In this case study, a modest but state-of-the-art suite of simulations of isolated binary stars is interpolated across two event parameters and one population parameter. The validation process of our pipelines highlights how omitting some of the event parameters might cause errors in estimating selection effects, which propagates as systematics to the final population inference. Using LIGO/Virgo data from O1 and O2 we infer that black holes in binaries are most likely to receive natal kicks with one-dimensional velocity dispersion $σ$ = 105+44 km/s. Our results showcase potential applications of machine-learning tools in conjunction with population-synthesis simulations and gravitational-wave data.

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Surrogate models for precessing binary black hole simulations with unequal masses

Only numerical relativity simulations can capture the full complexities of binary black hole mergers. These simulations, however, are prohibitively expensive for direct data analysis applications such as parameter estimation. We present two new fast and accurate surrogate models for the outputs of these simulations: the first model, NRSur7dq4, predicts the gravitational waveform and the second model, \RemnantModel, predicts the properties of the remnant black hole. These models extend previous 7-dimensional, non-eccentric precessing models to higher mass ratios, and have been trained against 1528 simulations with mass ratios $q\leq4$ and spin magnitudes $χ_1,χ_2 \leq 0.8$, with generic spin directions. The waveform model, NRSur7dq4, which begins about 20 orbits before merger, includes all $\ell \leq 4$ spin-weighted spherical harmonic modes, as well as the precession frame dynamics and spin evolution of the black holes. The final black hole model, \RemnantModel, models the mass, spin, and recoil kick velocity of the remnant black hole. In their training parameter range, both models are shown to be more accurate than existing models by at least an order of magnitude, with errors comparable to the estimated errors in the numerical relativity simulations. We also show that the surrogate models work well even when extrapolated outside their training parameter space range, up to mass ratios $q=6$.

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Gravitational-wave detection rates for compact binaries formed in isolation: LIGO/Virgo O3 and beyond

Using simulations performed with the population synthesis code MOBSE, we compute the merger rate densities and detection rates of compact binary mergers formed in isolation for second- and third-generation gravitational-wave detectors. We estimate how rates are affected by uncertainties on key stellar-physics parameters, namely common envelope evolution and natal kicks. We estimate how future upgrades will increase the size of the available catalog of merger events, and we discuss features of the merger rate density that will become accessible with third-generation detectors.

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Escape speed of stellar clusters from multiple-generation black-hole mergers in the upper mass gap

Pair instabilities in supernovae might prevent the formation of black holes with masses between $\sim 50 M_\odot$ and $\sim 130 M_\odot$. Multiple generations of black-hole mergers provide a possible way to populate this "mass gap" from below. However this requires an astrophysical environment with a sufficiently large escape speed to retain merger remnants, and prevent them from being ejected by gravitational-wave recoils. We show that, if the mass gap is indeed populated by multiple mergers, the observation of a single black-hole binary component in the mass gap implies that its progenitors grew in an environment with escape speed $v_{\rm esc} \gtrsim 50$ km/s. This is larger than the escape speeds of most globular clusters, requiring denser and heavier environments such as nuclear star clusters or disks-assisted migration in galactic nuclei. A single detection in the upper mass gap would hint at the existence of a much larger population of first-generation events from the same environment, thus providing a tool to disentangle the contribution of different formation channels to the observed merger rate.

astro-ph.HE↗

Are stellar-mass black-hole binaries too quiet for LISA?

The progenitors of the high-mass black-hole mergers observed by LIGO and Virgo are potential LISA sources and promising candidates for multiband GW observations. In this letter, we consider the minimum signal-to-noise ratio these sources must have to be detected by LISA. Our revised threshold of $ρ_{\rm thr}\sim 15$ is higher than previous estimates, which significantly reduces the expected number of events. We also point out the importance of the detector performance at high-frequencies and the duration of the LISA mission, which both influence the event rate substantially.

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Optimizing LIGO with LISA forewarnings to improve black-hole spectroscopy

The early inspiral of massive stellar-mass black-hole binaries merging in LIGO's sensitivity band will be detectable at low frequencies by the upcoming space mission LISA. LISA will predict, with years of forewarning, the time and frequency with which binaries will be observed by LIGO. We will, therefore, find ourselves in the position of knowing that a binary is about to merge, with the unprecedented opportunity to optimize ground-based operations to increase their scientific payoff. We apply this idea to detections of multiple ringdown modes, or black-hole spectroscopy. Narrowband tunings can boost the detectors' sensitivity at frequencies corresponding to the first subdominant ringdown mode and largely improve our prospects to experimentally test the Kerr nature of astrophysical black holes. We define a new consistency parameter between the different modes, called $δ{\rm GR}$, and show that, in terms of this measure, optimized configurations have the potential to double the effectiveness of black-hole spectroscopy when compared to standard broadband setups.

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Multiband gravitational-wave event rates and stellar physics

Joint gravitational-wave detections of stellar-mass black-hole binaries by ground- and space-based observatories will provide unprecedented opportunities for fundamental physics and astronomy. We present a semianalytic method to estimate multiband event rates by combining selection effects of ground-based interferometers (like LIGO/Virgo) and space missions (like LISA). We forecast the expected number of multiband detections first by using information from current LIGO/Virgo data, and then through population synthesis simulations of binary stars. We estimate that few to tens of LISA detections can be used to predict mergers detectable on the ground. Conversely, hundreds of events could potentially be extracted from the LISA data stream using prior information from ground detections. In general, the merger signal of binaries observable by LISA is strong enough to be unambiguously identified by both current and future ground-based detectors. Therefore third-generation detectors will not increase the number of multiband detections compared to LIGO/Virgo. We use population synthesis simulations of isolated binary stars to explore some of the stellar physics that could be constrained with multiband events, and we show that specific formation pathways might be overrepresented in multiband events compared to ground-only detections.

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Wide nutation: binary black-hole spins repeatedly oscillating from full alignment to full anti-alignment

Within the framework of 2PN black-hole binary spin precession, we explore configurations where one of the two spins oscillates from being completely aligned with the orbital angular momentum to being completely anti-aligned with it during a single precession cycle. This "wide nutation" is the extreme limit of the generic phenomenon of spin nutation in black-hole binaries. Crucially, wide nutation happens on the short precession time scale and it is not a secular effect due to gravitational-wave radiation reaction. The spins of these binaries, therefore, flip repeatedly as one of these special configurations is entered. Binaries with total mass $M$, mass ratio $q$, and dimensionless spin $χ_1$ ($χ_2$) of the more (less) massive black hole are allowed to undergo wide nutation at binary separations $r \leq r_{\rm wide} \equiv [(q χ_2 - χ_1)/(1-q)]^2 M$. Sources that are more likely to nutate widely have similar masses and effective spins close to zero.

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The binary black hole explorer: on-the-fly visualizations of precessing binary black holes

Binary black hole mergers are of great interest to the astrophysics community, not least because of their promise to test general relativity in the highly dynamic, strong field regime. Detections of gravitational waves from these sources by LIGO and Virgo have garnered widespread media and public attention. Among these sources, precessing systems (with misaligned black-hole spin/orbital angular momentum) are of particular interest because of the rich dynamics they offer. However, these systems are, in turn, more complex compared to nonprecessing systems, making them harder to model or develop intuition about. Visualizations of numerical simulations of precessing systems provide a means to understand and gain insights about these systems. However, since these simulations are very expensive, they can only be performed at a small number of points in parameter space. We present binaryBHexp, a tool that makes use of surrogate models of numerical simulations to generate on-the-fly interactive visualizations of precessing binary black holes. These visualizations can be generated in a few seconds, and at any point in the 7-dimensional parameter space of the underlying surrogate models. With illustrative examples, we demonstrate how this tool can be used to learn about precessing binary black hole systems.

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High-accuracy mass, spin, and recoil predictions of generic black-hole merger remnants

We present accurate fits for the remnant properties of generically precessing binary black holes, trained on large banks of numerical-relativity simulations. We use Gaussian process regression to interpolate the remnant mass, spin, and recoil velocity in the 7-dimensional parameter space of precessing black-hole binaries with mass ratios $q\leq2$, and spin magnitudes $χ_1,χ_2\leq0.8$. For precessing systems, our errors in estimating the remnant mass, spin magnitude, and kick magnitude are lower than those of existing fitting formulae by at least an order of magnitude (improvement is also reported in the extrapolated region at high mass ratios and spins). In addition, we also model the remnant spin and kick directions. Being trained directly on precessing simulations, our fits are free from ambiguities regarding the initial frequency at which precessing quantities are defined. We also construct a model for remnant properties of aligned-spin systems with mass ratios $q\leq8$, and spin magnitudes $χ_1,χ_2\leq0.8$. As a byproduct, we also provide error estimates for all fitted quantities, which can be consistently incorporated into current and future gravitational-wave parameter-estimation analyses. Our model(s) are made publicly available through a fast and easy-to-use Python module called surfinBH.

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Frequency-domain waveform approximants capturing Doppler shifts

Gravitational wave astrophysics has only just begun, and as current detectors are upgraded and new detectors are built, many new, albeit faint, features in the signals will become accessible. One such feature is the presence of time-dependent Doppler shifts, generated by the acceleration of the center of mass of the gravitational-wave emitting system. We here develop a generic method that takes a frequency-domain, gravitational-wave model devoid of Doppler shifts and introduces modifications that incorporate them. Building upon a perturbative expansion that assumes the Doppler-shift velocity is small relative to the speed of light, the method consists of the inclusion of a single term in the Fourier phase and two terms in the Fourier amplitude. We validate the method through matches between waveforms with a Doppler shift in the time domain and waveforms constructed with our method for two toy problems: constant accelerations induced by a distant third body and Gaussian accelerations that resemble a kick profile. We find mismatches below $\sim\!10^{-6}$ for all of the astrophysically relevant cases considered, and improve further at smaller velocities. The work presented here will allow for the use of future detectors to extract new, faint features in the signal from the noise.

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Spin orientations of merging black holes formed from the evolution of stellar binaries

We study the expected spin misalignments of merging binary black holes (BHs) formed in isolation by combining state-of-the-art population-synthesis models with efficient post-Newtonian evolutions, thus tracking sources from stellar formation to gravitational-wave detection. We present extensive predictions of the properties of sources detectable by both current and future interferometers. We account for the fact that detectors are more sensitive to spinning BH binaries with suitable spin orientations and find that this significantly impacts the population of sources detectable by LIGO, while this is not the case for 3rd-generation detectors. We find that three formation pathways, differentiated by the order of core collapse and common-envelope phases, dominate the observed population, and that their relative importance critically depends on the recoils imparted to BHs at birth. Our models suggest that measurements of the "effective-spin" parameter $χ_{\rm eff}$ will allow for powerful constraints. For instance, we find that the role of spin magnitudes and spin directions in $χ_{\rm eff}$ can be largely disentangled, and that the symmetry of the effective-spin distribution is a robust indicator of the binary's formation history. Our predictions for individual spin directions and their precessional morphologies confirm and extend early toy models, while exploring substantially more realistic and broader sets of initial conditions. Our main conclusion is that specific subpopulations of BH binaries will exhibit distinctive precessional dynamics: these classes include (but are not limited to) sources where stellar tidal interactions act on sufficiently short timescales, and massive binaries produced in pulsational pair-instability supernovae. Measurements of BH spin orientations have enormous potential to constrain specific evolutionary processes in the lives of massive binary stars.

astro-ph.HE↗

Gravitational-wave astrophysics with effective-spin measurements: asymmetries and selection biases

Gravitational waves emitted by coalescing compact objects carry information about the spin of the individual bodies. However, with present detectors only the mass-weighted combination of the components of the spin along the orbital angular momentum can be measured accurately. This quantity, the effective spin $χ_{\mathrm{eff}}$, is conserved up to at least the second post-Newtonian order. The measured distribution of $χ_{\mathrm{eff}}$ values from a population of detected binaries, and in particular whether this distribution is symmetric about zero, encodes valuable information about the underlying compact-binary formation channels. In this paper we focus on two important complications of using the effective spin to study astrophysical population properties: (i) an astrophysical distribution for $χ_{\mathrm{eff}}$ values which is symmetric does not necessarily lead to a symmetric distribution for the detected effective spin values, leading to a \emph{selection bias}; and (ii) the posterior distribution of $χ_{\mathrm{eff}}$ for individual events is \emph{asymmetric} and it cannot usually be treated as a Gaussian. We find that the posterior distributions for $χ_{\mathrm{eff}}$ systematically show fatter tails toward larger positive values, unless the total mass is large or the mass ratio $m_2/m_1$ is smaller than $\sim 1/2$. Finally we show that uncertainties in the measurement of $χ_{\mathrm{eff}}$ are systematically larger when the true value is negative than when it is positive. All these factors can bias astrophysical inference about the population when we have more than $\sim 100$ events and should be taken into account when using gravitational-wave measurements to characterize astrophysical populations.

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Mining Gravitational-wave Catalogs To Understand Binary Stellar Evolution: A New Hierarchical Bayesian Framework

Catalogs of stellar-mass compact binary systems detected by ground-based gravitational-wave instruments (such as Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo) will offer insights into the demographics of progenitor systems and the physics guiding stellar evolution. Existing techniques approach this through phenomenological modeling, discrete model selection, or model mixtures. Instead, we explore a novel technique that mines gravitational-wave catalogs to directly infer posterior probability distributions of the hyper-parameters describing formation and evolutionary scenarios (e.g. progenitor metallicity, kick parameters, and common-envelope efficiency). We use a bank of compact-binary population synthesis simulations to train a Gaussian-process emulator that acts as a prior on observed parameter distributions (e.g. chirp mass, redshift, rate). This emulator slots into a hierarchical population inference framework to extract the underlying astrophysical origins of systems detected by Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo. Our method is fast, easily expanded with additional simulations, and can be adapted for training on arbitrary population synthesis codes, as well as different detectors like LISA.

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Impact of Bayesian prior on the characterization of binary black hole coalescences

In a regime where data are only mildly informative, prior choices can play a significant role in Bayesian statistical inference, potentially affecting the inferred physics. We show this is indeed the case for some of the parameters inferred from current gravitational-wave measurements of binary black hole coalescences. We reanalyze the first detections performed by the twin LIGO interferometers using alternative (and astrophysically motivated) prior assumptions. We find different prior distributions can introduce deviations in the resulting posteriors that impact the physical interpretation of these systems. For instance, (i) limits on the $90\%$ credible interval on the effective black hole spin $χ_{\rm eff}$ are subject to variations of $\sim 10\%$ if a prior with black hole spins mostly aligned to the binary's angular momentum is considered instead of the standard choice of isotropic spin directions, and (ii) under priors motivated by the initial stellar mass function, we infer tighter constraints on the black hole masses, and in particular, we find no support for any of the inferred masses within the putative mass gap $M \lesssim 5 M_\odot$.

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Black-hole kicks from numerical-relativity surrogate models

Binary black holes radiate linear momentum in gravitational waves as they merge. Recoils imparted to the black-hole remnant can reach thousands of km/s, thus ejecting black holes from their host galaxies. We exploit recent advances in gravitational waveform modeling to quickly and reliably extract recoils imparted to generic, precessing, black hole binaries. Our procedure uses a numerical-relativity surrogate model to obtain the gravitational waveform given a set of binary parameters, then from this waveform we directly integrate the gravitational-wave linear momentum flux. This entirely bypasses the need of fitting formulae which are typically used to model black-hole recoils in astrophysical contexts. We provide a thorough exploration of the black-hole kick phenomenology in the parameter space, summarizing and extending previous numerical results on the topic. Our extraction procedure is made publicly available as a module for the Python programming language named SURRKICK. Kick evaluations take ~0.1s on a standard off-the-shelf machine, thus making our code ideal to be ported to large-scale astrophysical studies.

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Reanalysis of LIGO black-hole coalescences with alternative prior assumptions

We present a critical reanalysis of the black-hole binary coalescences detected during LIGO's first observing run under different Bayesian prior assumptions. We summarize the main findings of Vitale et al. (2017) and show additional marginalized posterior distributions for some of the binaries' intrinsic parameters.

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