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Dean Chen

Publications and source records attributed to Dean Chen.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Criticality and reduced dynamical resilience in PM2.5 pollution systems

Concentration-based metrics underpin air-quality assessment, while dynamical persistence and recovery describe how rapidly high-PM2.5 episodes dissipate and how strongly they retain memory. Here we introduce a finite-memory multiplicative reversion (FMMR) process that links the lognormal concentration backbone of PM2.5 variability with event recurrence, temporal memory, variance amplification and local dynamical resilience. Across station observations and reanalysis data, elevated PM2.5 regimes show a coherent set of critical signatures: stronger memory, rising autocorrelation, broader upper tails, amplified variance, reduced resilience and more clustered exceedance events. Together, these co-occurring signals reveal dynamical criticality in PM2.5 pollution systems, with critical slowing down expressed as a loss of restoring capacity under high-pollution conditions. A gridded comparison across populated and emission-influenced regions further shows that areas with similar PM2.5 burden can differ in recovery capacity, while eastern China has shifted toward higher resilience during recent air-quality improvements and India and West Africa occupy lower-resilience states. By identifying where pollution burden and recovery capacity diverge, these findings establish dynamical persistence and resilience as complementary dimensions of PM2.5 risk and provide a quantitative basis for resilience-oriented air-quality assessment.

physics.soc-ph

Hard-Stop Synthesis for Multi-DOF Compliant Mechanisms

Compliant mechanisms have significant potential in precision applications due to their ability to guide motion without contact. However, an inherent vulnerability to fatigue and mechanical failure has hindered the translation of compliant mechanisms to real-world applications. This is particularly challenging in service environments where loading is complex and uncertain, and the cost of failure is high. In such cases, mechanical hard stops are critical to prevent yielding and buckling. Conventional hard-stop designs, which rely on stacking single-DOF limits, must be overly restrictive in multi-DOF space to guarantee safety in the presence of unknown loads. In this study, we present a systematic design synthesis method to guarantee overload protection in compliant mechanisms by integrating coupled multi-DOF motion limits within a single pair of compact hard-stop surfaces. Specifically, we introduce a theoretical and practical framework for optimizing the contact surface geometry to maximize the mechanisms multi-DOF working space while still ensuring that the mechanism remains within its elastic regime. We apply this synthesis method to a case study of a caged-hinge mechanism for orthopaedic implants, and provide numerical and experimental validation that the derived design offers reliable protection against fatigue, yielding, and buckling. This work establishes a foundation for precision hard-stop design in compliant systems operating under uncertain loads, which is a crucial step toward enabling the application of compliant mechanisms in real-world systems.

cs.RO

Teleconnections among Tipping Elements in the Earth System

Tipping elements of the Earth system may shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another at tipping points, resulting in a growing threat to our society. Yet, it is not fully clear how to assess and quantify the influence of a tipping element and how to explore the teleconnections between different tipping elements. To fill this knowledge gap, we propose a climate network approach to quantitatively analyze the global impacts of a prominent tipping element, the Amazon Rainforest Area (ARA). We find that regions, such as, the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and West Antarctic ice sheet, are characterized by higher network weighted links and exhibit strong correlations with the ARA. We then identify a teleconnection propagation path between the ARA and the TP. This path is robust under climate change as simulated by various climate models of CMIP5 and CMIP6. In addition, we detect early warning signals for critical transition in the snow cover extent on the Tibetan Plateau by applying critical slowing down indicators, lag-1 autocorrelation and detrended fluctuation analysis. We find that the snow cover of the TP has been losing stability since 2008, revealing that the TP is operating like a tipping element and approaching a potential tipping point. We further uncover that various climate extremes between the ARA and the TP are significantly synchronized under climate change. Our framework provides new insights into how tipping elements are linked to each other and into the potential predictability of cascading tipping dynamics.

physics.soc-ph

Eigen Microstates and Their Evolution of Global Ozone at Different Geopotential Heights

Studies on stratospheric ozone have attracted much attention due to its serious impacts on climate changes and its important role as a tracer of Earth's global circulation. Tropospheric ozone as a main atmospheric pollutant damages human health as well as the growth of vegetation. Yet there is still a lack of a theoretical framework to fully describe the variation of ozone. To understand ozone's spatiotemporal variance, we introduce the eigen microstate method to analyze the global ozone mass mixing ratio (OMMR) between 1979-01-01 and 2020-06-30 at 37 pressure layers. We find that eigen microstates at different geopotential heights can capture different climate phenomena and modes. Without deseasonalization, the first eigen microstates capture the seasonal effect and reveal that the phase of the intra-annual cycle moves with the geopotential heights. After deseasonalization, by contrast, the collective patterns from the overall trend, ENSO, QBO, and tropopause pressure are identified by the first few significant eigen microstates. The theoretical framework proposed here can also be applied to other complex Earth systems.

nlin.AO

Correlation and scaling behaviors of $PM_{2.5}$ concentration in China

Air pollution has become a major issue and caused widespread environmental and health problems. Aerosols or particulate matters are an important component of the atmosphere and can transport under complex meteorological conditions. Based on the data of $PM_{2.5}$ observations, we develop a network approach to study and quantify their spreading and diffusion patterns. We calculate cross-correlation functions of time lag between sites within different season. The probability distribution of correlation changes with season. It is found that the probability distributions in four seasons can be scaled into one scaling function with averages and standard deviations of correlation. This seasonal scaling behavior indicates there is the same mechanism behind correlations of $PM_{2.5}$ concentration in different seasons. Further, from weighted and directional degrees of complex network, different properties of $PM_{2.5}$ concentration are studied. The weighted degrees reveal the strongest correlations of $PM_{2.5}$ concentration in winter and in the North China plain. These directional degrees show net influences of $PM_{2.5}$ along Gobi and inner Mongolia, the North China plain, Central China, and Yangtze River Delta.

physics.ao-ph