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Dean P. Foster

Publications and source records attributed to Dean P. Foster.

28 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Orbiting Radiation Stars

We study a numerical solution to Einstein's equation for a compact object composed of null particles. The solution avoids quantum scale regimes and hence neither relies upon nor ignores the interaction of quantum mechanics and gravitation. The solution exhibits a deep gravitational well yet remains singularity free. In fact, the solution is geometrically flat in the vicinity of the origin with the flat region being of any desirable scale. The solution is also observationally distinct from a black hole because a photon from infinity aimed at an object centered on the origin passes through the origin and escapes to infinity with a time delay.

gr-qc↗

A Risk Ratio Comparison of $l_0$ and $l_1$ Penalized Regression

There has been an explosion of interest in using $l_1$-regularization in place of $l_0$-regularization for feature selection. We present theoretical results showing that while $l_1$-penalized linear regression never outperforms $l_0$-regularization by more than a constant factor, in some cases using an $l_1$ penalty is infinitely worse than using an $l_0$ penalty. We also show that the "optimal" $l_1$ solutions are often inferior to $l_0$ solutions found using stepwise regression. We also compare algorithms for solving these two problems and show that although solutions can be found efficiently for the $l_1$ problem, the "optimal" $l_1$ solutions are often inferior to $l_0$ solutions found using greedy classic stepwise regression. Furthermore, we show that solutions obtained by solving the convex $l_1$ problem can be improved by selecting the best of the $l_1$ models (for different regularization penalties) by using an $l_0$ criterion. In other words, an approximate solution to the right problem can be better than the exact solution to the wrong problem.

math.ST↗

Large scale canonical correlation analysis with iterative least squares

Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) is a widely used statistical tool with both well established theory and favorable performance for a wide range of machine learning problems. However, computing CCA for huge datasets can be very slow since it involves implementing QR decomposition or singular value decomposition of huge matrices. In this paper we introduce L-CCA, a iterative algorithm which can compute CCA fast on huge sparse datasets. Theory on both the asymptotic convergence and finite time accuracy of L-CCA are established. The experiments also show that L-CCA outperform other fast CCA approximation schemes on two real datasets.

stat.ML↗

Fast Ridge Regression with Randomized Principal Component Analysis and Gradient Descent

We propose a new two stage algorithm LING for large scale regression problems. LING has the same risk as the well known Ridge Regression under the fixed design setting and can be computed much faster. Our experiments have shown that LING performs well in terms of both prediction accuracy and computational efficiency compared with other large scale regression algorithms like Gradient Descent, Stochastic Gradient Descent and Principal Component Regression on both simulated and real datasets.

stat.ML↗

A Risk Comparison of Ordinary Least Squares vs Ridge Regression

We compare the risk of ridge regression to a simple variant of ordinary least squares, in which one simply projects the data onto a finite dimensional subspace (as specified by a Principal Component Analysis) and then performs an ordinary (un-regularized) least squares regression in this subspace. This note shows that the risk of this ordinary least squares method is within a constant factor (namely 4) of the risk of ridge regression.

stat.ML↗

A Spectral Algorithm for Latent Dirichlet Allocation

The problem of topic modeling can be seen as a generalization of the clustering problem, in that it posits that observations are generated due to multiple latent factors (e.g., the words in each document are generated as a mixture of several active topics, as opposed to just one). This increased representational power comes at the cost of a more challenging unsupervised learning problem of estimating the topic probability vectors (the distributions over words for each topic), when only the words are observed and the corresponding topics are hidden. We provide a simple and efficient learning procedure that is guaranteed to recover the parameters for a wide class of mixture models, including the popular latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) model. For LDA, the procedure correctly recovers both the topic probability vectors and the prior over the topics, using only trigram statistics (i.e., third order moments, which may be estimated with documents containing just three words). The method, termed Excess Correlation Analysis (ECA), is based on a spectral decomposition of low order moments (third and fourth order) via two singular value decompositions (SVDs). Moreover, the algorithm is scalable since the SVD operations are carried out on $k\times k$ matrices, where $k$ is the number of latent factors (e.g. the number of topics), rather than in the $d$-dimensional observed space (typically $d \gg k$).

cs.LG↗

Optimal Weighting of Multi-View Data with Low Dimensional Hidden States

In Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks, data often has the following two properties: First, data can be chopped into multi-views which has been successfully used for dimension reduction purposes. For example, in topic classification, every paper can be chopped into the title, the main text and the references. However, it is common that some of the views are less noisier than other views for supervised learning problems. Second, unlabeled data are easy to obtain while labeled data are relatively rare. For example, articles occurred on New York Times in recent 10 years are easy to grab but having them classified as 'Politics', 'Finance' or 'Sports' need human labor. Hence less noisy features are preferred before running supervised learning methods. In this paper we propose an unsupervised algorithm which optimally weights features from different views when these views are generated from a low dimensional hidden state, which occurs in widely used models like Mixture Gaussian Model, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) and Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA).

stat.ML↗

Spectral dimensionality reduction for HMMs

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) can be accurately approximated using co-occurrence frequencies of pairs and triples of observations by using a fast spectral method in contrast to the usual slow methods like EM or Gibbs sampling. We provide a new spectral method which significantly reduces the number of model parameters that need to be estimated, and generates a sample complexity that does not depend on the size of the observation vocabulary. We present an elementary proof giving bounds on the relative accuracy of probability estimates from our model. (Correlaries show our bounds can be weakened to provide either L1 bounds or KL bounds which provide easier direct comparisons to previous work.) Our theorem uses conditions that are checkable from the data, instead of putting conditions on the unobservable Markov transition matrix.

stat.ML↗

Stochastic convex optimization with bandit feedback

This paper addresses the problem of minimizing a convex, Lipschitz function $f$ over a convex, compact set $\xset$ under a stochastic bandit feedback model. In this model, the algorithm is allowed to observe noisy realizations of the function value $f(x)$ at any query point $x \in \xset$. The quantity of interest is the regret of the algorithm, which is the sum of the function values at algorithm's query points minus the optimal function value. We demonstrate a generalization of the ellipsoid algorithm that incurs $\otil(\poly(d)\sqrt{T})$ regret. Since any algorithm has regret at least $Ω(\sqrt{T})$ on this problem, our algorithm is optimal in terms of the scaling with $T$.

math.OC↗

The effect of winning an Oscar Award on survival: Correcting for healthy performer survivor bias with a rank preserving structural accelerated failure time model

We study the causal effect of winning an Oscar Award on an actor or actress's survival. Does the increase in social rank from a performer winning an Oscar increase the performer's life expectancy? Previous studies of this issue have suffered from healthy performer survivor bias, that is, candidates who are healthier will be able to act in more films and have more chance to win Oscar Awards. To correct this bias, we adapt Robins' rank preserving structural accelerated failure time model and $g$-estimation method. We show in simulation studies that this approach corrects the bias contained in previous studies. We estimate that the effect of winning an Oscar Award on survival is 4.2 years, with a 95% confidence interval of $[-0.4,8.4]$ years. There is not strong evidence that winning an Oscar increases life expectancy.

stat.AP↗