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Debarghya Mukherjee

Publications and source records attributed to Debarghya Mukherjee.

33 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Transfer Learning Under High-Dimensional Graph Convolutional Regression Model for Node Classification

Node classification is a fundamental task, but obtaining node classification labels can be challenging and expensive in many real-world scenarios. Transfer learning has emerged as a promising solution to address this challenge by leveraging knowledge from source domains to enhance learning in a target domain. Existing transfer learning methods for node classification primarily focus on integrating Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) with various transfer learning techniques. While these approaches have shown promising results, they often suffer from a lack of theoretical guarantees, restrictive conditions, and high sensitivity to hyperparameter choices. To overcome these limitations, we propose a Graph Convolutional Multinomial Logistic Regression (GCR) model and a transfer learning method based on the GCR model, called Trans-GCR. We provide theoretical guarantees of the estimate obtained under GCR model in high-dimensional settings. Moreover, Trans-GCR demonstrates superior empirical performance, has a low computational cost, and requires fewer hyperparameters than existing methods.

stat.ML↗

Minimax Optimal rates of convergence in the shuffled regression, unlinked regression, and deconvolution under vanishing noise

Shuffled regression and unlinked regression represent intriguing challenges that have garnered considerable attention in many fields, including but not limited to ecological regression, multi-target tracking problems, image denoising, etc. However, a notable gap exists in the existing literature, particularly in vanishing noise, i.e., how the rate of estimation of the underlying signal scales with the error variance. This paper aims to bridge this gap by delving into the monotone function estimation problem under vanishing noise variance, i.e., we allow the error variance to go to $0$ as the number of observations increases. Our investigation reveals that, asymptotically, the shuffled regression problem exhibits a comparatively simpler nature than the unlinked regression; if the error variance is smaller than a threshold, then the minimax risk of the shuffled regression is smaller than that of the unlinked regression. On the other hand, the minimax estimation error is of the same order in the two problems if the noise level is larger than that threshold. Our analysis is quite general in that we do not assume any smoothness of the underlying monotone link function. Because these problems are related to deconvolution, we also provide bounds for deconvolution in a similar context. Through this exploration, we contribute to understanding the intricate relationships between these statistical problems and shed light on their behaviors when subjected to the nuanced constraint of vanishing noise.

math.ST↗

Trade-off Between Dependence and Complexity for Nonparametric Learning -- an Empirical Process Approach

Empirical process theory for i.i.d. observations has emerged as a ubiquitous tool for understanding the generalization properties of various statistical problems. However, in many applications where the data exhibit temporal dependencies (e.g., in finance, medical imaging, weather forecasting etc.), the corresponding empirical processes are much less understood. Motivated by this observation, we present a general bound on the expected supremum of empirical processes under standard $β/ρ$-mixing assumptions. Unlike most prior work, our results cover both the long and the short-range regimes of dependence. Our main result shows that a non-trivial trade-off between the complexity of the underlying function class and the dependence among the observations characterizes the learning rate in a large class of nonparametric problems. This trade-off reveals a new phenomenon, namely that even under long-range dependence, it is possible to attain the same rates as in the i.i.d. setting, provided the underlying function class is complex enough. We demonstrate the practical implications of our findings by analyzing various statistical estimators in both fixed and growing dimensions. Our main examples include a comprehensive case study of generalization error bounds in nonparametric regression over smoothness classes in fixed as well as growing dimension using neural nets, shape-restricted multivariate convex regression, estimating the optimal transport (Wasserstein) distance between two probability distributions, and classification under the Mammen-Tsybakov margin condition -- all under appropriate mixing assumptions. In the process, we also develop bounds on $L_r$ ($1\le r\le 2$)-localized empirical processes with dependent observations, which we then leverage to get faster rates for (a) tuning-free adaptation, and (b) set-structured learning problems.

math.ST↗

Predictor-corrector algorithms for stochastic optimization under gradual distribution shift

Time-varying stochastic optimization problems frequently arise in machine learning practice (e.g. gradual domain shift, object tracking, strategic classification). Although most problems are solved in discrete time, the underlying process is often continuous in nature. We exploit this underlying continuity by developing predictor-corrector algorithms for time-varying stochastic optimizations. We provide error bounds for the iterates, both in presence of pure and noisy access to the queries from the relevant derivatives of the loss function. Furthermore, we show (theoretically and empirically in several examples) that our method outperforms non-predictor corrector methods that do not exploit the underlying continuous process.

cs.LG↗

Deep Neural Networks for Nonparametric Interaction Models with Diverging Dimension

Deep neural networks have achieved tremendous success due to their representation power and adaptation to low-dimensional structures. Their potential for estimating structured regression functions has been recently established in the literature. However, most of the studies require the input dimension to be fixed and consequently ignore the effect of dimension on the rate of convergence and hamper their applications to modern big data with high dimensionality. In this paper, we bridge this gap by analyzing a $k^{th}$ order nonparametric interaction model in both growing dimension scenarios ($d$ grows with $n$ but at a slower rate) and in high dimension ($d \gtrsim n$). In the latter case, sparsity assumptions and associated regularization are required in order to obtain optimal rates of convergence. A new challenge in diverging dimension setting is in calculation mean-square error, the covariance terms among estimated additive components are an order of magnitude larger than those of the variances and they can deteriorate statistical properties without proper care. We introduce a critical debiasing technique to amend the problem. We show that under certain standard assumptions, debiased deep neural networks achieve a minimax optimal rate both in terms of $(n, d)$. Our proof techniques rely crucially on a novel debiasing technique that makes the covariances of additive components negligible in the mean-square error calculation. In addition, we establish the matching lower bounds.

math.ST↗

Domain Adaptation meets Individual Fairness. And they get along

Many instances of algorithmic bias are caused by distributional shifts. For example, machine learning (ML) models often perform worse on demographic groups that are underrepresented in the training data. In this paper, we leverage this connection between algorithmic fairness and distribution shifts to show that algorithmic fairness interventions can help ML models overcome distribution shifts, and that domain adaptation methods (for overcoming distribution shifts) can mitigate algorithmic biases. In particular, we show that (i) enforcing suitable notions of individual fairness (IF) can improve the out-of-distribution accuracy of ML models under the covariate shift assumption and that (ii) it is possible to adapt representation alignment methods for domain adaptation to enforce individual fairness. The former is unexpected because IF interventions were not developed with distribution shifts in mind. The latter is also unexpected because representation alignment is not a common approach in the individual fairness literature.

stat.ML↗

Estimation of a score-explained non-randomized treatment effect in fixed and high dimensions

Non-randomized treatment effect models are widely used for the assessment of treatment effects in various fields and in particular social science disciplines like political science, psychometry, psychology. More specifically, these are situations where treatment is assigned to an individual based on some of their characteristics (e.g. scholarship is allocated based on merit or antihypertensive treatments are allocated based on blood pressure level) instead of being allocated randomly, as is the case, for example, in randomized clinical trials. Popular methods that have been largely employed till date for estimation of such treatment effects suffer from slow rates of convergence (i.e. slower than $\sqrt{n}$). In this paper, we present a new model coined SCENTS: Score Explained Non-Randomized Treatment Systems, and a corresponding method that allows estimation of the treatment effect at $\sqrt{n}$ rate in the presence of fairly general forms of confoundedness, when the `score' variable on whose basis treatment is assigned can be explained via certain feature measurements of the individuals under study. We show that our estimator is asymptotically normal in general and semi-parametrically efficient under normal errors. We further extend our analysis to high dimensional covariates and propose a $\sqrt n$ consistent and asymptotically normal estimator based on a de-biasing procedure. Our analysis for the high dimensional incarnation can be readily extended to analyze partial linear models in the presence of noisy variables corresponding to the non-linear part of the model, where the noise can be correlated with the variables corresponding to the linear part. We analyze two real datasets via our method and compare our results with those obtained by using previous approaches. We conclude this paper with a discussion on some possible extensions of our approach.

stat.ME↗

Does enforcing fairness mitigate biases caused by subpopulation shift?

Many instances of algorithmic bias are caused by subpopulation shifts. For example, ML models often perform worse on demographic groups that are underrepresented in the training data. In this paper, we study whether enforcing algorithmic fairness during training improves the performance of the trained model in the \emph{target domain}. On one hand, we conceive scenarios in which enforcing fairness does not improve performance in the target domain. In fact, it may even harm performance. On the other hand, we derive necessary and sufficient conditions under which enforcing algorithmic fairness leads to the Bayes model in the target domain. We also illustrate the practical implications of our theoretical results in simulations and on real data.

stat.ML↗

Post-processing for Individual Fairness

Post-processing in algorithmic fairness is a versatile approach for correcting bias in ML systems that are already used in production. The main appeal of post-processing is that it avoids expensive retraining. In this work, we propose general post-processing algorithms for individual fairness (IF). We consider a setting where the learner only has access to the predictions of the original model and a similarity graph between individuals, guiding the desired fairness constraints. We cast the IF post-processing problem as a graph smoothing problem corresponding to graph Laplacian regularization that preserves the desired "treat similar individuals similarly" interpretation. Our theoretical results demonstrate the connection of the new objective function to a local relaxation of the original individual fairness. Empirically, our post-processing algorithms correct individual biases in large-scale NLP models such as BERT, while preserving accuracy.

stat.ML↗

Asymptotic normality of a linear threshold estimator in fixed dimension with near-optimal rate

Linear thresholding models postulate that the conditional distribution of a response variable in terms of covariates differs on the two sides of a (typically unknown) hyperplane in the covariate space. A key goal in such models is to learn about this separating hyperplane. Exact likelihood or least squares methods to estimate the thresholding parameter involve an indicator function which make them difficult to optimize and are, therefore, often tackled by using a surrogate loss that uses a smooth approximation to the indicator. In this paper, we demonstrate that the resulting estimator is asymptotically normal with a near optimal rate of convergence: $n^{-1}$ up to a log factor, in both classification and regression thresholding models. This is substantially faster than the currently established convergence rates of smoothed estimators for similar models in the statistics and econometrics literatures. We also present a real-data application of our approach to an environmental data set where $CO_2$ emission is explained in terms of a separating hyperplane defined through per-capita GDP and urban agglomeration.

math.ST↗

Outlier-Robust Optimal Transport

Optimal transport (OT) measures distances between distributions in a way that depends on the geometry of the sample space. In light of recent advances in computational OT, OT distances are widely used as loss functions in machine learning. Despite their prevalence and advantages, OT loss functions can be extremely sensitive to outliers. In fact, a single adversarially-picked outlier can increase the standard $W_2$-distance arbitrarily. To address this issue, we propose an outlier-robust formulation of OT. Our formulation is convex but challenging to scale at a first glance. Our main contribution is deriving an \emph{equivalent} formulation based on cost truncation that is easy to incorporate into modern algorithms for computational OT. We demonstrate the benefits of our formulation in mean estimation problems under the Huber contamination model in simulations and outlier detection tasks on real data.

stat.ME↗

On robust learning in the canonical change point problem under heavy tailed errors in finite and growing dimensions

This paper presents a number of new findings about the canonical change point estimation problem. The first part studies the estimation of a change point on the real line in a simple stump model using the robust Huber estimating function which interpolates between the $\ell_1$ (absolute deviation) and $\ell_2$ (least squares) based criteria. While the $\ell_2$ criterion has been studied extensively, its robust counterparts and in particular, the $\ell_1$ minimization problem have not. We derive the limit distribution of the estimated change point under the Huber estimating function and compare it to that under the $\ell_2$ criterion. Theoretical and empirical studies indicate that it is more profitable to use the Huber estimating function (and in particular, the $\ell_1$ criterion) under heavy tailed errors as it leads to smaller asymptotic confidence intervals at the usual levels compared to the $\ell_2$ criterion. We also compare the $\ell_1$ and $\ell_2$ approaches in a parallel setting, where one has $m$ independent single change point problems and the goal is to control the maximal deviation of the estimated change points from the true values, and establish rigorously that the $\ell_1$ estimation criterion provides a superior rate of convergence to the $\ell_2$, and that this relative advantage is driven by the heaviness of the tail of the error distribution. Finally, we derive minimax optimal rates for the change plane estimation problem in growing dimensions and demonstrate that Huber estimation attains the optimal rate while the $\ell_2$ scheme produces a rate sub-optimal estimator for heavy tailed errors. In the process of deriving our results, we establish a number of properties about the minimizers of compound Binomial and compound Poisson processes which are of independent interest.

math.ST↗

Optimal Linear Discriminators For The Discrete Choice Model In Growing Dimensions

Manski's celebrated maximum score estimator for the discrete choice model, which is an optimal linear discriminator, has been the focus of much investigation in both the econometrics and statistics literatures, but its behavior under growing dimension scenarios largely remains unknown. This paper addresses that gap. Two different cases are considered: $p$ grows with $n$ but at a slow rate, i.e. $p/n \rightarrow 0$; and $p \gg n$ (fast growth). In the binary response model, we recast Manski's score estimation as empirical risk minimization for a classification problem, and derive the $\ell_2$ rate of convergence of the score estimator under a \emph{transition condition} in terms of our margin parameter that calibrates the level of difficulty of the estimation problem. We also establish upper and lower bounds for the minimax $\ell_2$ error in the binary choice model that differ by a logarithmic factor, and construct a minimax-optimal estimator in the slow growth regime. Some extensions to the general case -- the multinomial response model -- are also considered. Last but not least, we use a variety of learning algorithms to compute the maximum score estimator in growing dimensions.

math.ST↗

Markovian And Non-Markovian Processes with Active Decision Making Strategies For Addressing The COVID-19 Pandemic

We study and predict the evolution of Covid-19 in six US states from the period May 1 through August 31 using a discrete compartment-based model and prescribe active intervention policies, like lockdowns, on the basis of minimizing a loss function, within the broad framework of partially observed Markov decision processes. For each state, Covid-19 data for 40 days (starting from May 1 for two northern states and June 1 for four southern states) are analyzed to estimate the transition probabilities between compartments and other parameters associated with the evolution of the epidemic. These quantities are then used to predict the course of the epidemic in the given state for the next 50 days (test period) under various policy allocations, leading to different values of the loss function over the training horizon. The optimal policy allocation is the one corresponding to the smallest loss. Our analysis shows that none of the six states need lockdowns over the test period, though the no lockdown prescription is to be interpreted with caution: responsible mask use and social distancing of course need to be continued. The caveats involved in modeling epidemic propagation of this sort are discussed at length. A sketch of a non-Markovian formulation of Covid-19 propagation (and more general epidemic propagation) is presented as an attractive avenue for future research in this area.

stat.AP↗

Two Simple Ways to Learn Individual Fairness Metrics from Data

Individual fairness is an intuitive definition of algorithmic fairness that addresses some of the drawbacks of group fairness. Despite its benefits, it depends on a task specific fair metric that encodes our intuition of what is fair and unfair for the ML task at hand, and the lack of a widely accepted fair metric for many ML tasks is the main barrier to broader adoption of individual fairness. In this paper, we present two simple ways to learn fair metrics from a variety of data types. We show empirically that fair training with the learned metrics leads to improved fairness on three machine learning tasks susceptible to gender and racial biases. We also provide theoretical guarantees on the statistical performance of both approaches.

stat.ML↗