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Denis Allard

Publications and source records attributed to Denis Allard.

32 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Can we reconcile the TA excess and hotspot with Auger observations?

The Telescope Array (TA) shows a 20$^{\circ}$ hotspot as well as an excess of UHECRs above 50~EeV when compared with the Auger spectrum. We consider the possibility that both the TA excess and hotspot are due to a dominant source in the Northern sky. We carry out detailed simulations of UHECR propagation in both the intergalactic medium and the Galaxy, using different values for the intergalactic magnetic field. We consider two general classes of sources: transients and steady, adopting a mixed UHECR composition that is consistent with the one found by Auger. The spatial location of the sources is draw randomly. We generate Auger-like and TA-like data sets from which we determine the spectrum, the sky maps and the level of anisotropy. We find that, while steady sources are favored over transients, it is unlikely to account for all the currently available observational data. While we reproduce fairly well the Auger spectrum for the vast majority of the simulated data sets, most of the simulated data sets with a spectrum compatible with that of TA (at most a few percent depending on density model tested) show a much stronger anisotropy than the one observed. We find that the rare cases in which both the spectrum and the anisotropy are consistent require a steady source within $\sim 10$ Mpc, to account for the flux excess, and a strong extragalactic magnetic field $\sim 10$ nG, to reduce the excessive anisotropy.

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Probing the Extragalactic Cosmic Rays origin with gamma-ray and neutrino backgrounds

GeV-TeV gamma-ray and PeV-EeV neutrino backgrounds provide a unique window on the nature of the ultra-high-energy cosmic-rays (UHECRs). We discuss the implications of the recent Fermi-LAT data regarding the extragalactic gamma-ray background (EGB) and related estimates of the contribution of point sources as well as IceCube neutrino data on the origin of the UHECRs. We calculate the diffuse flux of cosmogenic $γ$-rays and neutrinos produced during the UHECRs propagation and derive constraints on the possible cosmological evolution of UHECR sources. In particular, we show that the mixed-composition scenario which is in agreement with both (i) Auger measurements of the energy spectrum and composition up to the highest energies and (ii) the ankle-like feature in the light component detected by KASCADE-Grande, is compatible with both the Fermi-LAT measurements and with current IceCube limits.

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Probing the Extragalactic Cosmic Rays origin with gamma-ray and neutrino backgrounds

GeV-TeV gamma-rays and PeV-EeV neutrino backgrounds provide a unique window on the nature of the ultra-high-energy cosmic-rays (UHECRs). We discuss the implications of the recent Fermi-LAT data regarding the extragalactic gamma-ray background (EGB) and related estimates of the contribution of point sources as well as IceCube neutrino data on the origin of the UHECRs. We calculate the diffuse flux of cosmogenic $γ$-rays and neutrinos produced by the UHECRs and derive constraints on the possible cosmological evolution of UHECR sources. In particular, we show that the mixed-composition scenario considered in \citet{Globus2015b}, which is in agreement with both (i) Auger measurements of the energy spectrum and composition up to the highest energies and (ii) the ankle-like feature in the light component detected by KASCADE-Grande, is compatible with both the Fermi-LAT measurements and with current IceCube limits. We also discuss the possibility for future experiments to detect associated cosmogenic neutrinos and further constrain the UHECR models, including possible subdominant UHECR proton sources.

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Half-tapering strategy for conditional simulation with large datasets

Gaussian conditional realizations are routinely used for risk assessment and planning in a variety of Earth sciences applications. Conditional realizations can be obtained by first creating unconditional realizations that are then post-conditioned by kriging. Many efficient algorithms are available for the first step, so the bottleneck resides in the second step. Instead of doing the conditional simulations with the desired covariance (F approach) or with a tapered covariance (T approach), we propose to use the taper covariance only in the conditioning step (Half-Taper or HT approach). This enables to speed up the computations and to reduce memory requirements for the conditioning step but also to keep the right short scale variations in the realizations. A criterion based on mean square error of the simulation is derived to help anticipate the similarity of HT to F. Moreover, an index is used to predict the sparsity of the kriging matrix for the conditioning step. Some guides for the choice of the taper function are discussed. The distributions of a series of 1D, 2D and 3D scalar response functions are compared for F, T and HT approaches. The distributions obtained indicate a much better similarity to F with HT than with T.

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Can we reconcile the TA excess and hotspot with Auger observations?

The Telescope Array (TA) shows a 20$^{\circ}$ hotspot as well as an excess of UHECRs above 50~EeV when compared with the Auger spectrum. We consider the possibility that both the TA excess and hotspot are due to a dominant source in the Northern sky. We carry out detailed simulations of UHECR propagation in both the intergalactic medium and the Galaxy, using different values for the intergalactic magnetic field. We consider two general classes of sources: transients and steady, adopting a mixed UHECR composition that is consistent with the one found by Auger. The spatial location of the sources is draw randomly. We generate Auger-like and TA-like data sets from which we determine the spectrum, the sky maps and the level of anisotropy. We find that, while steady sources are favored over transients, it is unlikely to account for all the currently available observational data. While we reproduce fairly well the Auger spectrum for the vast majority of the simulated data sets, most of the simulated data sets with a spectrum compatible with that of TA (at most a few percent depending on density model tested) show a much stronger anisotropy than the one observed. We find that the rare cases in which both the spectrum and the anisotropy are consistent require a steady source within $\sim 10$ Mpc, to account for the flux excess, and a strong extragalactic magnetic field $\sim 10$ nG, to reduce the excessive anisotropy.

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A Flexible Class of Non-separable Cross-Covariance Functions for Multivariate Space-Time Data

Multivariate space-time data are increasingly available in various scientific disciplines. When analyzing these data, one of the key issues is to describe the multivariate space-time dependencies. Under the Gaussian framework, one needs to propose relevant models for multivariate space-time covariance functions, i.e. matrix-valued mappings with the additional requirement of non-negative definiteness. We propose a flexible parametric class of cross-covariance functions for multivariate space-time Gaussian random fields. Space-time components belong to the (univariate) Gneiting class of space-time covariance functions, with Matérn or Cauchy covariance functions in the spatial margins. The smoothness and scale parameters can be different for each variable. We provide sufficient conditions for positive definiteness. A simulation study shows that the parameters of this model can be efficiently estimated using weighted pairwise likelihood, which belongs to the class of composite likelihood methods. We then illustrate the model on a French dataset of weather variables.

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A complete model of the CR spectrum and composition across the Galactic to Extragalactic transition

We present a complete phenomenological model accounting for the evolution of the cosmic-ray spectrum and composition with energy, based on the available data over the entire spectrum. We show that there is no need to postulate any additional component, other than one single Galactic component depending on rigidity alone, and one extragalactic component, whose characteristics are similar to those derived from a study of particle acceleration at mildly relativistic shocks in a GRB environment (Globus et al., 2015). In particular, we show that the resulting cosmic ray spectrum and composition satisfy the various constraints derived from the current data in the Galactic/extragalactic transition region, notably from the measurements of KASCADE Grande and Auger. Finally, we derive some generic features that a working phenomenological scenario may exhibit to give a global account of the cosmic ray data with a minimum number of free parameters.

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UHECR acceleration at GRB internal shocks

We study the acceleration of CR protons and nuclei at GRB internal shocks. Physical quantities and their time evolution are estimated using the internal shock modeling implemented by Daigne & Mochkovitch 1998. We consider different hypotheses about the way the energy dissipated at internal shocks is shared between accelerated CR, e- and B field. We model CR acceleration at mildly relativistic shocks, including all the significant energy loss processes. We calculate CR and neutrino release from single GRBs, assuming that nuclei heavier than protons are present in the relativistic wind. Protons can only reach maximum energies of ~ 10^19.5 eV, while intermediate and heavy nuclei are able to reach values of ~ 10^20 eV and above. The spectra of nuclei escaping from the acceleration site are found to be very hard while the combined spectrum of protons and neutrons is much softer. We calculate the diffuse UHECR flux expected on Earth using the GRB luminosity function from Wanderman & Piran 2010. Only the models assuming that the prompt emission represent a very small fraction of the energy dissipated at internal shocks, and that most of this dissipated energy is communicated to accelerated CR, are able to reproduce the magnitude of the UHECR flux observed. For these models, the observed shape of the UHECR spectrum can be well reproduced and the evolution of the composition is compatible with the trend suggested by Auger. We discuss implications of the softer proton component for the GCR to EGCR transition in the light of the recent composition analyses (KASCADE-Grande experiment). The associated secondary particle diffuse fluxes do not upset any current observational limit. Diffuse neutrino flux from GRB sources should however be detected with the lifetime of neutrino observatories.

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Anisotropy expectations for ultra-high-energy cosmic rays with future high statistics experiments

UHECRs have attracted a lot of attention due to their challengingly high energies and their potential value to constrain physical processes and astrophysical parameters in the most energetic sources of the universe. Current detectors have failed to detect significant anisotropies which had been expected to allow source identification. Some indications about the UHECR composition, which may become heavier at the highest energies, has even put into question the possibility that such a goal could be achieved soon. We investigate the potential value of a new-generation detector, with 10 times larger exposure, to overcome the current situation and make significant progress in the detection of anisotropies and thus in the study of UHECRs. We take as an example the expected performances of the JEM-EUSO, assuming a uniform full-sky coverage with a total exposure of 300,000 km2 sr yr. We simulate realistic UHECR sky maps for a wide range of possible astrophysical scenarios allowed by the current constraints, taking into account the energy losses and photo-dissociation of the UHECRs, as well as their deflections by magnetic fields. These sky maps, built for the expected statistics of JEM-EUSO as well as for the current Auger statistics, as a reference, are analyzed from the point of view of their intrinsic anisotropies, using the two-point correlation function. A statistical study of the resulting anisotropies is performed for each astrophysical scenario, varying the UHECR source composition and spectrum as well as the source density. We find that significant anisotropies are expected to be detected by a next-generation UHECR detector, for essentially all the astrophysical scenarios studied, and give precise, quantitative meaning to this statement. Our results show that a gain of one order of magnitude in exposure would make a significant difference compared to the existing detectors.

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Constraints on the origin of ultra-high-energy cosmic rays from cosmogenic neutrinos and photons

We study the production of cosmogenic neutrinos and photons during the extragalactic propagation of ultra-high-energy cosmic rays (UHECRs). For a wide range of models in cosmological evolution of source luminosity, composition and maximum energy we calculate the expected flux of cosmogenic secondaries by normalizing our cosmic ray output to experimental spectra and comparing the diffuse flux of GeV-TeV gamma-rays to the experimental one measured by the Fermi satellite. Most of these models yield significant neutrino fluxes for current experiments like IceCube or Pierre Auger. Furthermore, we discuss the possibilities of signing the presence of UHE proton sources either within or outside the cosmic ray horizon using neutrinos or photons observations even if the cosmic ray composition becomes heavier at the highest energies. We discuss the possible constraints that could be brought on the UHECR origin from the different messengers and energy ranges.

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Extragalactic propagation of ultrahigh energy cosmic-rays

In this paper we review the extragalactic propagation of ultrahigh energy cosmic-rays (UHECR). We present the different energy loss processes of protons and nuclei, and their expected influence on energy evolution of the UHECR spectrum and composition. We discuss the possible implications of the recent composition analyses provided by the Pierre Auger Observatory. The influence of extragalactic magnetic fields and possible departures from the rectilinear case are also mentioned as well as the production of secondary cosmogenic neutrinos and photons and the constraints their observation would imply for the UHECRs origin. Finally, we conclude by briefly discussing the relevance of a multi messenger approach for solving the mystery of UHECRs.

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Ultrahigh Energy Cosmic Rays and Neutrinos

The observation of neutrinos from cosmic accelerators will be revolutionary. High energy neutrinos are closely connected to ultrahigh energy cosmic rays and their sources. Cosmic ray sources are likely to produce neutrinos and the propagation of ultrahigh cosmic rays from distant sources can generate PeV to ZeV neutrinos. We briefly review recent progress on the observations of ultrahigh energy cosmic rays and their implications for the future detections of high energy neutrinos.

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Detectability of ultrahigh energy cosmic ray signatures in gamma rays

The injection of ultra-high energy cosmic rays in the intergalactic medium leads to the production of a GeV-TeV gamma-ray halo centered on the source location, through the production of a high electromagnetic component in the interactions of the primary particles with the radiation backgrounds. This paper examines the prospects for the detectability of such gamma ray halos. We explore a broad range of astrophysical parameters, including the inhomogeneous distribution of magnetic fields in the large scale structure as well as various possible chemical compositions and injection spectra; and we consider the case of a source located outside clusters of galaxies. With respect to the gamma-ray flux associated to synchrotron radiation of ultra-high energy secondary pairs, we demonstrate that it does not depend strongly on these parameters and conclude that its magnitude ultimately depends on the energy injected in the primary cosmic rays. Bounding the cosmic ray luminosity with the contribution to the measured cosmic ray spectrum, we then find that the gamma-ray halo produced by equal luminosity sources is well below current or planned instrument sensitivities. Only rare and powerful steady sources, located at distances larger than several hundreds of Mpc and contributing to a fraction > 10% of the flux at 10^19 eV might be detectable. We also discuss the gamma-ray halos that are produced by inverse Compton/pair production cascades seeded by ultra-high energy cosmic rays. This latter signal strongly depends on the configuration of the extragalactic magnetic fields; it is dominated by the synchrotron signal on a degree scale if the filling factor of magnetic fields with B > 10^(-14) G is smaller than a few percents. Finally, we discuss briefly the case of nearby potential sources such as Centaurus A.

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Cosmogenic Neutrinos: parameter space and detectabilty from PeV to ZeV

While propagating from their source to the observer, ultrahigh energy cosmic rays interact with cosmological photon backgrounds and generate to the so-called "cosmogenic neutrinos". Here we study the parameter space of the cosmogenic neutrino flux given recent cosmic ray data and updates on plausible source evolution models. The shape and normalization of the cosmogenic neutrino flux are very sensitive to some of the current unknowns of ultrahigh energy cosmic ray sources and composition. We investigate various chemical compositions and maximum proton acceleration energies E_p,max which are allowed by current observations. We consider different models of source evolution in redshift and three possible scenarios for the Galactic to extragalactic transition. We summarize the parameter space for cosmogenic neutrinos into three regions: an optimistic scenario that is currently being constrained by observations, a plausible range of models in which we base many of our rate estimates, and a pessimistic scenario that will postpone detection for decades to come. We present the implications of these three scenarios for the detection of cosmogenic neutrinos from PeV to ZeV (10^14-21 eV) with the existing and upcoming instruments. In the plausible range of parameters, the narrow flux variability in the EeV energy region assures low but detectable rates for IceCube (0.06-0.2 neutrino per year) and the Pierre Auger Observatory (0.03-0.06 neutrino per year), and detection should happen in the next decade. If EeV neutrinos are detected, PeV information can help select between competing models of cosmic ray composition at the highest energy and the Galactic to extragalactic transition at ankle energies. With improved sensitivity, ZeV neutrino observatories, such as ANITA and JEM-EUSO could explore and place limits on the maximum acceleration energy.

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