arXiv subjects

Devendra Singh Dhami

Publications and source records attributed to Devendra Singh Dhami.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2025

Causal Explanations Over Time: Articulated Reasoning for Interactive Environments

Structural Causal Explanations (SCEs) can be used to automatically generate explanations in natural language to questions about given data that are grounded in a (possibly learned) causal model. Unfortunately they work for small data only. In turn they are not attractive to offer reasons for events, e.g., tracking causal changes over multiple time steps, or a behavioral component that involves feedback loops through actions of an agent. To this end, we generalize SCEs to a (recursive) formulation of explanation trees to capture the temporal interactions between reasons. We show the benefits of this more general SCE algorithm on synthetic time-series data and a 2D grid game, and further compare it to the base SCE and other existing methods for causal explanations.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

Forecasting Company Fundamentals

Company fundamentals are key to assessing companies' financial and overall success and stability. Forecasting them is important in multiple fields, including investing and econometrics. While statistical and contemporary machine learning methods have been applied to many time series tasks, there is a lack of comparison of these approaches on this particularly challenging data regime. To this end, we try to bridge this gap and thoroughly evaluate the theoretical properties and practical performance of 24 deterministic and probabilistic company fundamentals forecasting models on real company data. We observe that deep learning models provide superior forecasting performance to classical models, in particular when considering uncertainty estimation. To validate the findings, we compare them to human analyst expectations and find that their accuracy is comparable to the automatic forecasts. We further show how these high-quality forecasts can benefit automated stock allocation. We close by presenting possible ways of integrating domain experts to further improve performance and increase reliability.

q-fin.ST↗

arXiv2025

BlendRL: A Framework for Merging Symbolic and Neural Policy Learning

Humans can leverage both symbolic reasoning and intuitive reactions. In contrast, reinforcement learning policies are typically encoded in either opaque systems like neural networks or symbolic systems that rely on predefined symbols and rules. This disjointed approach severely limits the agents' capabilities, as they often lack either the flexible low-level reaction characteristic of neural agents or the interpretable reasoning of symbolic agents. To overcome this challenge, we introduce BlendRL, a neuro-symbolic RL framework that harmoniously integrates both paradigms within RL agents that use mixtures of both logic and neural policies. We empirically demonstrate that BlendRL agents outperform both neural and symbolic baselines in standard Atari environments, and showcase their robustness to environmental changes. Additionally, we analyze the interaction between neural and symbolic policies, illustrating how their hybrid use helps agents overcome each other's limitations.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Systems with Switching Causal Relations: A Meta-Causal Perspective

Most work on causality in machine learning assumes that causal relationships are driven by a constant underlying process. However, the flexibility of agents' actions or tipping points in the environmental process can change the qualitative dynamics of the system. As a result, new causal relationships may emerge, while existing ones change or disappear, resulting in an altered causal graph. To analyze these qualitative changes on the causal graph, we propose the concept of meta-causal states, which groups classical causal models into clusters based on equivalent qualitative behavior and consolidates specific mechanism parameterizations. We demonstrate how meta-causal states can be inferred from observed agent behavior, and discuss potential methods for disentangling these states from unlabeled data. Finally, we direct our analysis towards the application of a dynamical system, showing that meta-causal states can also emerge from inherent system dynamics, and thus constitute more than a context-dependent framework in which mechanisms emerge only as a result of external factors.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Scaling Probabilistic Circuits via Data Partitioning

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) enable us to learn joint distributions over a set of random variables and to perform various probabilistic queries in a tractable fashion. Though the tractability property allows PCs to scale beyond non-tractable models such as Bayesian Networks, scaling training and inference of PCs to larger, real-world datasets remains challenging. To remedy the situation, we show how PCs can be learned across multiple machines by recursively partitioning a distributed dataset, thereby unveiling a deep connection between PCs and federated learning (FL). This leads to federated circuits (FCs) -- a novel and flexible federated learning (FL) framework that (1) allows one to scale PCs on distributed learning environments (2) train PCs faster and (3) unifies for the first time horizontal, vertical, and hybrid FL in one framework by re-framing FL as a density estimation problem over distributed datasets. We demonstrate FC's capability to scale PCs on various large-scale datasets. Also, we show FC's versatility in handling horizontal, vertical, and hybrid FL within a unified framework on multiple classification tasks.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

StaR Maps: Unveiling Uncertainty in Geospatial Relations

The growing complexity of intelligent transportation systems and their applications in public spaces has increased the demand for expressive and versatile knowledge representation. While various mapping efforts have achieved widespread coverage, including detailed annotation of features with semantic labels, it is essential to understand their inherent uncertainties, which are commonly underrepresented by the respective geographic information systems. Hence, it is critical to develop a representation that combines a statistical, probabilistic perspective with the relational nature of geospatial data. Further, such a representation should facilitate an honest view of the data's accuracy and provide an environment for high-level reasoning to obtain novel insights from task-dependent queries. Our work addresses this gap in two ways. First, we present Statistical Relational Maps (StaR Maps) as a representation of uncertain, semantic map data. Second, we demonstrate efficient computation of StaR Maps to scale the approach to wide urban spaces. Through experiments on real-world, crowd-sourced data, we underpin the application and utility of StaR Maps in terms of representing uncertain knowledge and reasoning for complex geospatial information.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2024

DeiSAM: Segment Anything with Deictic Prompting

Large-scale, pre-trained neural networks have demonstrated strong capabilities in various tasks, including zero-shot image segmentation. To identify concrete objects in complex scenes, humans instinctively rely on deictic descriptions in natural language, i.e., referring to something depending on the context such as "The object that is on the desk and behind the cup.". However, deep learning approaches cannot reliably interpret such deictic representations due to their lack of reasoning capabilities in complex scenarios. To remedy this issue, we propose DeiSAM -- a combination of large pre-trained neural networks with differentiable logic reasoners -- for deictic promptable segmentation. Given a complex, textual segmentation description, DeiSAM leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to generate first-order logic rules and performs differentiable forward reasoning on generated scene graphs. Subsequently, DeiSAM segments objects by matching them to the logically inferred image regions. As part of our evaluation, we propose the Deictic Visual Genome (DeiVG) dataset, containing paired visual input and complex, deictic textual prompts. Our empirical results demonstrate that DeiSAM is a substantial improvement over purely data-driven baselines for deictic promptable segmentation.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Graph Neural Networks Need Cluster-Normalize-Activate Modules

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are non-Euclidean deep learning models for graph-structured data. Despite their successful and diverse applications, oversmoothing prohibits deep architectures due to node features converging to a single fixed point. This severely limits their potential to solve complex tasks. To counteract this tendency, we propose a plug-and-play module consisting of three steps: Cluster-Normalize-Activate (CNA). By applying CNA modules, GNNs search and form super nodes in each layer, which are normalized and activated individually. We demonstrate in node classification and property prediction tasks that CNA significantly improves the accuracy over the state-of-the-art. Particularly, CNA reaches 94.18% and 95.75% accuracy on Cora and CiteSeer, respectively. It further benefits GNNs in regression tasks as well, reducing the mean squared error compared to all baselines. At the same time, GNNs with CNA require substantially fewer learnable parameters than competing architectures.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

V-LoL: A Diagnostic Dataset for Visual Logical Learning

Despite the successes of recent developments in visual AI, different shortcomings still exist; from missing exact logical reasoning, to abstract generalization abilities, to understanding complex and noisy scenes. Unfortunately, existing benchmarks, were not designed to capture more than a few of these aspects. Whereas deep learning datasets focus on visually complex data but simple visual reasoning tasks, inductive logic datasets involve complex logical learning tasks, however, lack the visual component. To address this, we propose the diagnostic visual logical learning dataset, V-LoL, that seamlessly combines visual and logical challenges. Notably, we introduce the first instantiation of V-LoL, V-LoL-Train, - a visual rendition of a classic benchmark in symbolic AI, the Michalski train problem. By incorporating intricate visual scenes and flexible logical reasoning tasks within a versatile framework, V-LoL-Train provides a platform for investigating a wide range of visual logical learning challenges. We evaluate a variety of AI systems including traditional symbolic AI, neural AI, as well as neuro-symbolic AI. Our evaluations demonstrate that even SOTA AI faces difficulties in dealing with visual logical learning challenges, highlighting unique advantages and limitations of each methodology. Overall, V-LoL opens up new avenues for understanding and enhancing current abilities in visual logical learning for AI systems.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2024

Mission Design for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles using Hybrid Probabilistic Logic Programs

Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) is a growing field that demands a deep understanding of legal, spatial and temporal concepts in navigation. Hence, any implementation of AAM is forced to deal with the inherent uncertainties of human-inhabited spaces. Enabling growth and innovation requires the creation of a system for safe and robust mission design, i.e., the way we formalize intentions and decide their execution as trajectories for the Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV). Although legal frameworks have emerged to govern urban air spaces, their full integration into the decision process of autonomous agents and operators remains an open task. In this work we present ProMis, a system architecture for probabilistic mission design. It links the data available from various static and dynamic data sources with legal text and operator requirements by following principles of formal verification and probabilistic modeling. Hereby, ProMis enables the combination of low-level perception and high-level rules in AAM to infer validity over the UAV's state-space. To this end, we employ Hybrid Probabilistic Logic Programs (HPLP) as a unifying, intermediate representation between perception and action-taking. Furthermore, we present methods to connect ProMis with crowd-sourced map data by generating HPLP atoms that represent spatial relations in a probabilistic fashion. Our claims of the utility and generality of ProMis are supported by experiments on a diverse set of scenarios and a discussion of the computational demands associated with probabilistic missions.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2024

$χ$SPN: Characteristic Interventional Sum-Product Networks for Causal Inference in Hybrid Domains

Causal inference in hybrid domains, characterized by a mixture of discrete and continuous variables, presents a formidable challenge. We take a step towards this direction and propose Characteristic Interventional Sum-Product Network ($χ$SPN) that is capable of estimating interventional distributions in presence of random variables drawn from mixed distributions. $χ$SPN uses characteristic functions in the leaves of an interventional SPN (iSPN) thereby providing a unified view for discrete and continuous random variables through the Fourier-Stieltjes transform of the probability measures. A neural network is used to estimate the parameters of the learned iSPN using the intervened data. Our experiments on 3 synthetic heterogeneous datasets suggest that $χ$SPN can effectively capture the interventional distributions for both discrete and continuous variables while being expressive and causally adequate. We also show that $χ$SPN generalize to multiple interventions while being trained only on a single intervention data.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Pix2Code: Learning to Compose Neural Visual Concepts as Programs

The challenge in learning abstract concepts from images in an unsupervised fashion lies in the required integration of visual perception and generalizable relational reasoning. Moreover, the unsupervised nature of this task makes it necessary for human users to be able to understand a model's learnt concepts and potentially revise false behaviours. To tackle both the generalizability and interpretability constraints of visual concept learning, we propose Pix2Code, a framework that extends program synthesis to visual relational reasoning by utilizing the abilities of both explicit, compositional symbolic and implicit neural representations. This is achieved by retrieving object representations from images and synthesizing relational concepts as lambda-calculus programs. We evaluate the diverse properties of Pix2Code on the challenging reasoning domains, Kandinsky Patterns and CURI, thereby testing its ability to identify compositional visual concepts that generalize to novel data and concept configurations. Particularly, in stark contrast to neural approaches, we show that Pix2Code's representations remain human interpretable and can be easily revised for improved performance.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2024

Towards Probabilistic Clearance, Explanation and Optimization

Employing Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) beyond visual line of sight (BVLOS) is an endearing and challenging task. While UAS have the potential to significantly enhance today's logistics and emergency response capabilities, unmanned flying objects above the heads of unprotected pedestrians induce similarly significant safety risks. In this work, we make strides towards improved safety and legal compliance in applying UAS in two ways. First, we demonstrate navigation within the Probabilistic Mission Design (ProMis) framework. To this end, our approach translates Probabilistic Mission Landscapes (PML) into a navigation graph and derives a cost from the probability of complying with all underlying constraints. Second, we introduce the clearance, explanation, and optimization (CEO) cycle on top of ProMis by leveraging the declaratively encoded domain knowledge, legal requirements, and safety assertions to guide the mission design process. Based on inaccurate, crowd-sourced map data and a synthetic scenario, we illustrate the application and utility of our methods in UAS navigation.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2024

EXPIL: Explanatory Predicate Invention for Learning in Games

Reinforcement learning (RL) has proven to be a powerful tool for training agents that excel in various games. However, the black-box nature of neural network models often hinders our ability to understand the reasoning behind the agent's actions. Recent research has attempted to address this issue by using the guidance of pretrained neural agents to encode logic-based policies, allowing for interpretable decisions. A drawback of such approaches is the requirement of large amounts of predefined background knowledge in the form of predicates, limiting its applicability and scalability. In this work, we propose a novel approach, Explanatory Predicate Invention for Learning in Games (EXPIL), that identifies and extracts predicates from a pretrained neural agent, later used in the logic-based agents, reducing the dependency on predefined background knowledge. Our experimental evaluation on various games demonstrate the effectiveness of EXPIL in achieving explainable behavior in logic agents while requiring less background knowledge.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2024

United We Pretrain, Divided We Fail! Representation Learning for Time Series by Pretraining on 75 Datasets at Once

In natural language processing and vision, pretraining is utilized to learn effective representations. Unfortunately, the success of pretraining does not easily carry over to time series due to potential mismatch between sources and target. Actually, common belief is that multi-dataset pretraining does not work for time series! Au contraire, we introduce a new self-supervised contrastive pretraining approach to learn one encoding from many unlabeled and diverse time series datasets, so that the single learned representation can then be reused in several target domains for, say, classification. Specifically, we propose the XD-MixUp interpolation method and the Soft Interpolation Contextual Contrasting (SICC) loss. Empirically, this outperforms both supervised training and other self-supervised pretraining methods when finetuning on low-data regimes. This disproves the common belief: We can actually learn from multiple time series datasets, even from 75 at once.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Neural Meta-Symbolic Reasoning and Learning

Deep neural learning uses an increasing amount of computation and data to solve very specific problems. By stark contrast, human minds solve a wide range of problems using a fixed amount of computation and limited experience. One ability that seems crucial to this kind of general intelligence is meta-reasoning, i.e., our ability to reason about reasoning. To make deep learning do more from less, we propose the first neural meta-symbolic system (NEMESYS) for reasoning and learning: meta programming using differentiable forward-chaining reasoning in first-order logic. Differentiable meta programming naturally allows NEMESYS to reason and learn several tasks efficiently. This is different from performing object-level deep reasoning and learning, which refers in some way to entities external to the system. In contrast, NEMESYS enables self-introspection, lifting from object- to meta-level reasoning and vice versa. In our extensive experiments, we demonstrate that NEMESYS can solve different kinds of tasks by adapting the meta-level programs without modifying the internal reasoning system. Moreover, we show that NEMESYS can learn meta-level programs given examples. This is difficult, if not impossible, for standard differentiable logic programming

cs.AI↗

arXiv2023

Structural Causal Models Reveal Confounder Bias in Linear Program Modelling

The recent years have been marked by extended research on adversarial attacks, especially on deep neural networks. With this work we intend on posing and investigating the question of whether the phenomenon might be more general in nature, that is, adversarial-style attacks outside classical classification tasks. Specifically, we investigate optimization problems as they constitute a fundamental part of modern AI research. To this end, we consider the base class of optimizers namely Linear Programs (LPs). On our initial attempt of a naïve mapping between the formalism of adversarial examples and LPs, we quickly identify the key ingredients missing for making sense of a reasonable notion of adversarial examples for LPs. Intriguingly, the formalism of Pearl's notion to causality allows for the right description of adversarial like examples for LPs. Characteristically, we show the direct influence of the Structural Causal Model (SCM) onto the subsequent LP optimization, which ultimately exposes a notion of confounding in LPs (inherited by said SCM) that allows for adversarial-style attacks. We provide both the general proof formally alongside existential proofs of such intriguing LP-parameterizations based on SCM for three combinatorial problems, namely Linear Assignment, Shortest Path and a real world problem of energy systems.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Do Not Marginalize Mechanisms, Rather Consolidate!

Structural causal models (SCMs) are a powerful tool for understanding the complex causal relationships that underlie many real-world systems. As these systems grow in size, the number of variables and complexity of interactions between them does, too. Thus, becoming convoluted and difficult to analyze. This is particularly true in the context of machine learning and artificial intelligence, where an ever increasing amount of data demands for new methods to simplify and compress large scale SCM. While methods for marginalizing and abstracting SCM already exist today, they may destroy the causality of the marginalized model. To alleviate this, we introduce the concept of consolidating causal mechanisms to transform large-scale SCM while preserving consistent interventional behaviour. We show consolidation is a powerful method for simplifying SCM, discuss reduction of computational complexity and give a perspective on generalizing abilities of consolidated SCM.

cs.AI↗