arXiv subjects

Diana Solano-Oropeza

Publications and source records attributed to Diana Solano-Oropeza.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

TESS Photometry and Radial Velocity Analysis of the sub-Neptune Exoplanet π Mensae c and the Wider π Mensae Planetary System

Exoplanet characterization relies on precise measurements of planetary orbital and physical parameters. This is particularly important for planetary dynamics and atmospheric evolution, as orbital parameters help constrain system evolution, resolve ambiguities, and gauge atmospheric retention. The first exoplanet discovered by the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS), $π$ Men c, is a warm sub-Neptune orbiting a bright Sun-like star in a system containing (at least) one other planet with a wildly different period and size. Lying near the 1.5-2.0 $R_{\oplus}$ radius gap, $π$ Men c is expected to have lost its primordial hydrogen and helium, but kept heavier compounds like H$_2$O and CO$_2$. The $π$ Men system is well observed with decades of radial velocity measurements, and TESS has continued to observe $π$ Men c, yielding six years and 21 sectors of photometry. We present a comprehensive analysis of these TESS data and 22 years of radial velocity measurements to provide updated orbital ephemerides for $π$ Men b, c, and the proposed third planet, $π$ Men d. Our newly derived $π$ Men c period error margins are an order of magnitude improved from previous estimates, and we estimate the mass range of $π$ Men d to be 13.4 $\leq$ M$_d$ $<$ 20 M$_{\oplus}$. We find that $π$ Men c is a uniquely interesting target for future transmission spectroscopy studies with JWST, and that existing radial velocity data are consistent with the existence of a third planet.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2026

The democratic detrender: Ensemble-Based Removal of the Nuisance Signal in Stellar Time-Series Photometry

Accurate, precise, and computationally efficient removal of unwanted activity that exists as a combination of periodic, quasi-periodic, and non-periodic systematic trends in time-series photometric data is a critical step in exoplanet transit analysis. Throughout the years, many different modeling methods have been used for this process, often called "detrending." However, there is no community-wide consensus regarding the favored approach. In order to mitigate model dependency, we present an ensemble-based approach to detrending via community-of-models and the democratic detrender: a modular and scalable open-source coding package that implements ensemble detrending. The democratic detrender allows users to select from a number of packaged detrending methods (including cosine filtering, Gaussian processes, and polynomial fits) or provide their own set of detrended light curves via methods of their choosing. It then combines the individually detrended light curves into a single method marginalized light curve. Additionally, the democratic detrender inflates each data point's uncertainty based on the scatter between detrenders, thereby propagating model-selection uncertainty into the final light curve. This ensemble strategy does not guarantee improvement over the single best-performing detrending method, but it substantially reduces the risk of selecting a detrending solution that is poorly calibrated or overfit to noise.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

Near-circular orbits for planets around M/K-type stars with Earth-like sizes and instellations

Recent advances have enabled the discovery of a population of potentially Earth-like planets, yet their orbital eccentricity, which governs their climate and provides clues about their origin and dynamical history, is still largely unconstrained. We identify a sample of 17 transiting exoplanets around late-type stars with similar radii and irradiation to that of Earth and use the "photoeccentric effect" - which exploits transit durations - to infer their eccentricity distribution via hierarchical Bayesian modelling. Our analysis establishes that these worlds further resemble Earth in that their eccentricities are nearly circular (mean eccentricity $=0.060_{-0.028}^{+0.040}$ and $\leq0.15$), with the exception of one outlier of moderate eccentricity. The results hint at a subset population of dynamically warmer Earths, but this requires a larger sample to statistically confirm. The planets in our sample are thus largely subject to minimal eccentricity-induced seasonal variability and are consistent with emerging via smooth disk migration rather than violent planet-planet scattering.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2020

A general solution to the preferential selection model

We provide a general analytic solution to Herbert Simon's 1955 model for time-evolving novelty functions. This has far-reaching consequences: Simon's is a pre-cursor model for Barabasi's 1999 preferential attachment model for growing social networks, and our general abstraction of it more considers attachment to be a form of link selection. We show that any system which can be modeled as instances of types---i.e., occurrence data (frequencies)---can be generatively modeled (and simulated) from a distributional perspective with an exceptionally high-degree of accuracy.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2016

The chaotic four-body problem in Newtonian gravity I: Identical point-particles

In this paper, we study the chaotic four-body problem in Newtonian gravity. Assuming point particles and total encounter energies $\le$ 0, the problem has three possible outcomes. We describe each outcome as a series of discrete transformations in energy space, using the diagrams first presented in Leigh \& Geller (2012; see the Appendix). Furthermore, we develop a formalism for calculating probabilities for these outcomes to occur, expressed using the density of escape configurations per unit energy, and based on the Monaghan description originally developed for the three-body problem. We compare this analytic formalism to results from a series of binary-binary encounters with identical point particles, simulated using the \texttt{FEWBODY} code. Each of our three encounter outcomes produces a unique velocity distribution for the escaping star(s). Thus, these distributions can potentially be used to constrain the origins of dynamically-formed populations, via a direct comparison between the predicted and observed velocity distributions. Finally, we show that, for encounters that form stable triples, the simulated single star escape velocity distributions are the same as for the three-body problem. This is also the case for the other two encounter outcomes, but only at low virial ratios. This suggests that single and binary stars processed via single-binary and binary-binary encounters in dense star clusters should have a unique velocity distribution relative to the underlying Maxwellian distribution (provided the relaxation time is sufficiently long), which can be calculated analytically.

astro-ph.SR↗