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Dimitri Konen

Publications and source records attributed to Dimitri Konen.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

Spatial depth characterizes probability measures

We solve two open problems about spatial (or geometric) quantiles and depth. First we show that in infinite dimension, the spatial distribution function and the associated spatial quantiles characterize the underlying distribution, which has been established in Koltchinski (1997) in finite dimension but remained unknown in infinite dimension. Second, and more surprisingly, we show that the spatial depth also fully characterizes probability measures, which has been an open problem even in finite dimension since the introduction of these concepts in Chaudhuri (1996) and Vardi & Zhang (2000). Our results provide theoretical foundations for nonparametric depth-based statistical inference and introduce novel proof techniques to investigate these questions for other depth and quantile concepts.

math.ST

On statistical inference for non-linear dynamical systems evolving in their global attractor

We consider a two-dimensional periodic reaction-diffusion system under natural conditions on the reaction function and with initial condition $\theta$. We show that on the global attractor $\mathcal A$ of the resulting dynamical system $(u_\theta(t):t>0)$, a reverse Poincar\'e inequality holds true, and that as a consequence the map $\theta \mapsto u_\theta(t)$ satisfies a $L^2$-Lipschitz stability estimate on $\mathcal A$ for any $t>0$ fixed. We then show that statistical recovery of an initial condition $\theta$ in the attractor $\mathcal A$, as well as prediction of the states $u_\theta$, is possible from discrete measurements of the system at `fast' near parametric convergence rates.

math.ST

Regularized geometric quantiles and universal linear distribution functionals

Geometric quantiles are popular location functionals to build rank-based statistical procedures in multivariate settings. They are obtained through the minimization of a non-smooth convex objective function. As a result, the singularity of the directional derivatives leads to numerical instabilities and poor sample properties as well as surprising `phase transitions' from empirical to population distributions. To solve these issues, we introduce a regularized version of geometric distribution functions and quantiles that are provably close to the usual geometric concepts and share their qualitative properties, both in the empirical and continuous case, while allowing for a much broader applicability of asymptotic results without any moment condition. We also show that any linear assignment of probability measures (such as the univariate distribution function), that is also translation- and orthogonal-equivariant, necessarily coincides with one of our regularized geometric distribution functions.

math.ST

Inverting the Fisher information operator in non-linear models

We consider non-linear regression models corrupted by generic noise when the regression functions form a non-linear subspace of L^2, relevant in non-linear PDE inverse problems and data assimilation. We show that when the score of the model is injective, the Fisher information operator is automatically invertible between well-identified Hilbert spaces, and we provide an operational characterization of these spaces. This allows us to construct in broad generality the efficient Gaussian involved in the classical minimax and convolution theorems to establish information lower bounds, that are typically achieved by Bayesian algorithms thus showing optimality of these methods. We illustrate our results on time-evolution PDE models for reaction-diffusion and Navier-Stokes equations.

math.ST

Data assimilation with the 2D Navier-Stokes equations: Optimal Gaussian asymptotics for the posterior measure

A functional Bernstein - von Mises theorem is proved for posterior measures arising in a data assimilation problem with the two-dimensional Navier-Stokes equation where a Gaussian process prior is assigned to the initial condition of the system. The posterior measure, which provides the update in the space of all trajectories arising from a discrete sample of the (deterministic) dynamics, is shown to be approximated by a Gaussian random vector field arising from the solution to a linear parabolic PDE with Gaussian initial condition. The approximation holds in the strong sense of the supremum norm on the regression functions, showing that predicting future states of Navier-Stokes systems admits root(N)-consistent estimators even for commonly used nonparametric models. Consequences for coverage of credible bands and uncertainty quantification are discussed. A local asymptotic minimax theorem is derived that describes the lower bound for estimating the state of the nonlinear system, which is shown to be attained by the Bayesian data assimilation algorithm.

math.ST

Multivariate Quantiles: Geometric and Measure-Transportation-Based Contours

Quantiles are a fundamental concept in probability and theoretical statistics and a daily tool in their applications. While the univariate concept of quantiles is quite clear and well understood, its multivariate extension is more problematic. After half a century of continued efforts and many proposals, two concepts, essentially, are emerging: the so-called (relabeled) geometric quantiles, extending the characterization of univariate quantiles as minimizers of an L1 loss function involving the check functions, and the more recent center-outward quantiles based on measure transportation ideas. These two concepts yield distinct families of quantile regions and quantile contours. Our objective here is to present a comparison of their main theoretical properties and a numerical investigation of their differences.

math.ST

PDE characterisation of geometric distribution functions and quantiles

We show that in any Euclidean space, an arbitrary probability measure can be reconstructed explicitly by its geometric (or spatial) distribution function. The reconstruction takes the form of a (potentially fractional) linear PDE, where the differential operator is given in closed form. This result implies that, contrary to a common belief in the statistical depth community, geometric cdf's in principle provide exact control over the probability content of all depth regions. We present a comprehensive study of the regularity of the geometric cdf, and show that a continuous density in general does not give rise to a geometric cdf with enough regularity to reconstruct the density pointwise. Surprisingly, we prove that the reconstruction displays different behaviours in odd and even dimension: it is local in odd dimension and completely nonlocal in even dimension. We investigate this issue and provide a partial counterpart for even dimensions, and establish a general representation formula of the geometric cdf of spherically symmetric probability laws in odd dimensions. We provide explicit examples of the reconstruction of a density from its geometric cdf in dimension 2 and 3.

math.ST