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Dingyi Zhuang

Publications and source records attributed to Dingyi Zhuang.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

Ozone: A Unified Platform for Transportation Research

Transportation research increasingly depends on heterogeneous data from roadside cameras, UAV imagery, LiDAR, and in-vehicle sensors. Differences in data representations, model interfaces, and evaluation protocols complicate cross-dataset benchmarking and reproducibility. We present Ozone, a unified transportation research platform organized around Hardware, Data, Model, and Evaluation layers, with a Prototype layer supporting deployment-oriented applications. Its data layer links vehicle trajectories, traffic conflicts, reconstructed crashes, and digital-twin maps through a shared trajectory schema. The source inventory spans 19 trajectory datasets recorded at 59 sites in eight countries, with completed converters for 12 sources and adaptation ongoing for seven. The converters align coordinate systems, object classes, oriented bounding boxes, and kinematic fields. A shared implementation of surrogate safety measures supports conflict extraction, while map and motion constraints link crash reports to reconstructed trajectories. CARLA digital-twin maps and SUMO traffic logic connect these records to simulation, model development, and evaluation. Validation on 500 vehicles from four datasets reports mean position, heading, and speed errors below 0.15 m, 2.5°, and 0.3 m/s. A workflow study reports an 85 % reduction in experiment setup time. Case studies demonstrate human-factor experiments and automated-driving safety testing, while the model interfaces support traffic modeling and world-model research. The source code and datasets are publicly available.

cs.DB↗
arXiv2026

Evolving in Thought Space: Training a Small Model at Test Time Unlocks Better Discoveries

Open-ended scientific discovery often requires repeatedly proposing and evaluating candidate solutions. LLM-based systems can support this process by generating and refining executable solutions from verifier feedback. Methods such as TTT-Discover use test-time training (TTT) to update the solution-generating LLM from verifier feedback, adapting its generation policy to improve subsequent proposals on the target problem. However, this becomes expensive when reliable execution requires a large model, since training must maintain gradients, optimizer states, and policy statistics while repeatedly generating long, structured outputs. It also complicates credit assignment: outcome-level verifier feedback must jointly evaluate the high-level strategy and its low-level implementation. In this work, we introduce Guidance-TTT, which separates these roles. A compact guidance model is trained at test time to propose high-level strategic changes, while a frozen execution model implements them as complete executable solutions. At each step, the system selects a promising previously discovered solution, proposes a change, executes and verifies it, and updates only the guidance model using an adaptive group-relative RL objective. This concentrates test-time learning on short strategic decisions while retaining the implementation capability of a substantially stronger model without adapting it. Without web access, Guidance-TTT produces strong solutions across four distinct domains: combinatorial optimization (Polyomino Packing), heuristic programming (AHC058), machine learning (Lasso), and GPU kernel optimization (TriMul). Across these tasks, it outperforms the best solutions reported in prior work while remaining competitive with state-of-the-art results on public online leaderboards. Code is available at https://github.com/Human-Agent-Society/reef/tree/guidance-ttt-support.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Refine Connections, Close the Gap: A Reliable Enhancement Framework for Driving Scene Topology

In autonomous driving, understanding scene topology - the connectivity between lanes and traffic elements - is critical for safe path planning and motion control. While current methods excel at detecting individual map elements, their connectivity reasoning often falls short of its theoretical potential, leaving a significant performance gap relative to the theoretical upper-bound achievable given the underlying detections. Furthermore, the decision-ready topology graphs passed to downstream tasks often remain unreliable. Current approaches typically derive connectivity by thresholding continuous topology scores; however, these scores often fail to reflect the true logical likelihood of connectivity, resulting in false positives or missing connections. Existing benchmarks further overlook this issue by primarily evaluating continuous metrics, rather than assessing the discrete connectivity required for decision-making. To bridge these gaps, we propose TopoEnhance, a novel topology enhancement framework designed to unlock the latent potential of existing methods and improve the reliability of decision-ready topology. We formulate topology enhancement as a denoising-based reconstruction process, where the model learns to recover structural consistency from stochastically corrupted ground-truth graphs. This formulation enables the model to resolve logical inconsistencies and rectify unreliable connections, producing robust discrete topology graphs that closely approach theoretical maximum performance. Extensive experiments across different baselines show that TopoEnhance consistently improves both continuous topology metrics (TOP score), and discrete connectivity measured by our adapted Topology Jaccard Similarity (TJS) metric. As a flexible, source-agnostic framework, TopoEnhance delivers substantial gains across diverse state-of-the-art baselines without requiring retraining.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

ReactionBench: A Human-Anchored Benchmark for Modeling Reactions to Video

Understanding what happens in a video is not sufficient for socially responsive multimodal systems: such systems also aim to relate what a person observes to how that person responds. Existing video benchmarks largely evaluate events, temporal reasoning, or people depicted in the video, while affective and viewer-response datasets often focus on emotion labels, aggregate responses, or prediction from the stimulus alone. This leaves an underexplored question: can current multimodal models ground an observed viewer reaction in the stimulus context associated with it? We introduce ReactionBench, a human-anchored benchmark for reaction-specific video understanding. Built from a candidate pool of 31,834 synchronized stimulus-reaction clips spanning 433 hours and eight domains, ReactionBench evaluates three complementary abilities: ranking the intensity of a viewer's reactions within a video, matching a reaction to its temporally aligned stimulus, and explaining the concrete stimulus cues linked to that reaction. Human annotation provides 14,894 ratings over 3,257 moments, and the frozen evaluation comprises 250 intensity profiles, 112 matching items, and 200 rationale items with 447 blind-written human references. Across seven multimodal models, reaction-specific grounding remains challenging: the best model reaches 50.9% accuracy on four-way stimulus-reaction matching, while GPT-5 shows no detectable loss under reaction substitution. Performance is also sensitive to evaluation protocol. Project page: https://yibozh.github.io/ReactionBench-page/

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

EarthVerse: Benchmarking Scientific Agents Across Dynamic Earth Systems and Natural Hazards

Earth-system analysis reconstructs changing physical processes from observations that differ in source, scale, timing, and modality. Natural hazards make this work consequential because incomplete evidence can change estimates of severity, exposure, and mechanism. We introduce EarthVerse, a benchmark that evaluates scientific agents through package-scoped investigations. Its 405 reproducible tasks are grounded in 199 documented events and 19 hazard families. Agents inspect heterogeneous event packages, choose compatible evidence, execute transparent calculations, reconcile source differences, and preserve provenance in the final answer. We provide executable ground truth that decomposes each task into fine-grained answer units, together with task-specific rubrics that assess the supporting research process while allowing multiple valid paths. We evaluate 25 model and agent systems under a controlled tool-using protocol, then use controlled studies to locate failures in evidence access, tool selection, memory, reasoning, interaction, and scientific execution. Across systems, the best mean answer-unit accuracy is 84.65%, while the highest Strict@95 is only 34.81%. The gap shows that current agents often complete individual steps without maintaining a consistent chain across evidence, scales, units, calculations, and physical interpretation. EarthVerse provides a reproducible basis for measuring end-to-end scientific reliability in dynamic Earth systems.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Risk-Controllable Multi-View Diffusion for Driving Scenario Generation

Generating safety-critical driving scenarios is crucial for evaluating and improving autonomous driving systems, but long-tail risky situations are rarely observed in real-world data and difficult to specify through manual scenario design. Existing generative approaches typically treat risk as an after-the-fact label and struggle to maintain geometric consistency in multi-view driving scenes. We present RiskMV-DPO, a general and systematic pipeline for physically-informed, risk-controllable multi-view scenario generation. By integrating target risk levels with physically-grounded risk modeling, we synthesize diverse and high-stakes dynamic trajectories that serve as explicit geometric anchors for a diffusion-based video generator. To ensure spatial-temporal coherence and geometric fidelity, we introduce a geometry-appearance alignment module and a region-aware direct preference optimization (RA-DPO) strategy with motion-aware masking to focus learning on localized dynamic regions. Experiments on the nuScenes dataset show that RiskMV-DPO can freely generate a wide spectrum of diverse scenarios while maintaining visual quality, improving 3D detection mAP from 18.17 to 30.50 and reducing FID to 15.70. Our work shifts the role of world models from passive environment prediction to proactive, risk-controllable synthesis, providing a scalable toolchain for the development of embodied intelligence.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

TimePre: Bridging Accuracy, Efficiency, and Stability in Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting

We propose TimePre, a simple framework that unifies the efficiency of Multilayer Perceptron (MLP)-based models with the distributional flexibility of Multiple Choice Learning (MCL) for Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting (PTSF). Stabilized Instance Normalization (SIN), the core of TimePre, is a normalization layer that explicitly addresses the trade-off among accuracy, efficiency, and stability. SIN stabilizes the hybrid architecture by correcting channel-wise statistical shifts, thereby resolving the catastrophic hypothesis collapse. Extensive experiments on six benchmark datasets demonstrate that TimePre achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) accuracy on key probabilistic metrics. Critically, TimePre achieves inference speeds that are orders of magnitude faster than sampling-based models, and is more stable than prior MCL approaches.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Alternative Graph Neural Networks: Synergizing GEV Models and Deep Learning for Travel Mode Choice Modeling

Generalized extreme value models capture dependence among choice alternatives in discrete choice modeling, but require this dependence to be predefined, symmetric, and shared uniformly across individuals. Recent efforts to synergize discrete choice models with deep neural networks have improved predictive performance but still cannot explicitly represent alternative dependence within neural architectures. To address these gaps, we introduce the alternative graph -- a graph in which nodes represent choice alternatives and edges encode their dependence -- and propose Alternative Graph Neural Networks (Alt-GNNs), a family of GNN-based discrete choice models that embed alternative dependence within a unified framework. Theoretically, Alt-GNNs incorporate multinomial logit, nested logit, and ASU-DNN as special cases and enable innovative model designs, including Nested Alt-GNN, Complete Alt-GNN, and Attention Alt-GNN. Alt-GNNs are consistent with random utility maximization theory, enforce behavioral constraints through alternative graphs, and offer a novel graph-based interpretation of utility functions. Empirically, on two travel mode choice datasets from London and Chicago, Alt-GNNs significantly improve predictive performance over all benchmark models in mode choice modeling because of their flexible alternative graph design and vast hyperparameter space. Even the simplest Alt-GNN variant -- Nested Alt-GNN -- generalizes the nested logit model while preserving its unique two-layer substitution properties, enabling graph-based behavioral constraints over otherwise unconstrained behavioral patterns from deep neural networks.

stat.ML↗
arXiv2026

Public transit gains and spatially uneven travel demand changes after NYC congestion pricing

New York City implemented the nation's first cordon-based congestion pricing program in January 2025, providing an opportunity to evaluate how system-wide urban mobility responds to large-scale pricing interventions. Because such policies generate spillovers across modes and locations, credible control groups are difficult to construct. We address this challenge using time series foundation models to generate probabilistic counterfactual demand forecasts with calibrated uncertainty. Applying this framework to bus, subway, and aggregate trip volume data, we find that post-policy bus and subway ridership increased significantly relative to expected no-policy demand, while overall travel demand decreased modestly. The effects are spatially heterogeneous: while reductions in overall travel demand are concentrated within the Congestion Relief Zone, transit gains extend beyond Manhattan's core. Socio-demographic analyses further reveal uneven adaptation across neighborhoods, highlighting spatial equity implications. Our framework provides a scalable approach for the uncertainty-aware evaluation of system-wide urban interventions when clean control groups are unavailable.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2026

AlphaOPT: Formulating Optimization Programs with Self-Improving LLM Experience Library

Optimization modeling underlies critical decision-making across industries, yet remains difficult to automate: natural-language problem descriptions must be translated into precise mathematical formulations and executable solver code. Existing LLM-based approaches typically rely on brittle prompting or costly retraining, both of which offer limited generalization. Recent work suggests that large models can improve via experience reuse, but how to systematically acquire, refine, and reuse such experience in structurally constrained settings remains unclear. We present \textbf{AlphaOPT}, a self-improving experience library that enables LLMs to learn optimization modeling knowledge from limited supervision, including answer-only feedback without gold-standard programs, annotated reasoning traces, or parameter updates. AlphaOPT operates in a continual two-phase cycle: a \emph{Library Learning} phase that extracts solver-verified, structured insights from failed attempts, and a \emph{Library Evolution} phase that refines the applicability of stored insights based on aggregate evidence across tasks. This design allows the model to accumulate reusable modeling principles, improve transfer across problem instances, and maintain bounded library growth over time. Evaluated on multiple optimization benchmarks, AlphaOPT steadily improves as more training data become available (65\% $\rightarrow$ 72\% from 100 to 300 training items) and outperforms the strongest baseline by 9.1\% and 8.2\% on two out-of-distribution datasets. These results demonstrate that structured experience learning, grounded in solver feedback, provides a practical alternative to retraining for complex reasoning tasks requiring precise formulation and execution. All code and data are available at: https://github.com/Minw913/AlphaOPT.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Bridge: Retrieval-Augmented Spatiotemporal Modeling for Urban Delivery Demand

Forecasting urban delivery demand becomes substantially more challenging when newly added service regions lack historical records. Existing spatiotemporal forecasters effectively model spatial dependence once sufficient node histories are available. Still, they remain parametric and therefore struggle to recover short-term operational dynamics in cold-start regions. Geospatial embeddings help identify where a region is and what function it serves, yet they do not directly reveal how a similar region behaves under a comparable temporal context. We propose Bridge, a retrieval-augmented spatiotemporal graph framework that combines an inductive contextual graph backbone with a time-aware memory of region-time windows. For each target region, Bridge retrieves future demand patterns from the memory using both regional context and recent dynamics, and refines the backbone forecast through a gated fusion mechanism. To align retrieval with forecasting utility, we further train the retriever with a future-aware objective that favors entries whose future trajectories best match the target. Experiments on four real-world delivery datasets show that Bridge consistently improves over competitive spatiotemporal baselines in both within-city cold-start and cross-city transfer with partial observations. The results show that retrieval augmentation provides a useful operational memory for cold-start urban demand forecasting when parametric graph generalization alone is insufficient.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Think Before You Drive: World Model-Inspired Multimodal Grounding for Autonomous Vehicles

Interpreting natural-language commands to localize target objects is critical for autonomous driving (AD). Existing visual grounding (VG) methods for autonomous vehicles (AVs) typically struggle with ambiguous, context-dependent instructions, as they lack reasoning over 3D spatial relations and anticipated scene evolution. Grounded in the principles of world models, we propose ThinkDeeper, a framework that reasons about future spatial states before making grounding decisions. At its core is a Spatial-Aware World Model (SA-WM) that learns to reason ahead by distilling the current scene into a command-aware latent state and rolling out a sequence of future latent states, providing forward-looking cues for disambiguation. Complementing this, a hypergraph-guided decoder then hierarchically fuses these states with the multimodal input, capturing higher-order spatial dependencies for robust localization. In addition, we present DrivePilot, a multi-source VG dataset in AD, featuring semantic annotations generated by a Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) and Chain-of-Thought (CoT)-prompted LLM pipeline. Extensive evaluations on six benchmarks, ThinkDeeper ranks #1 on the Talk2Car leaderboard and surpasses state-of-the-art baselines on DrivePilot, MoCAD, and RefCOCO/+/g benchmarks. Notably, it shows strong robustness and efficiency in challenging scenes (long-text, multi-agent, ambiguity) and retains superior performance even when trained on 50% of the data.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

Large Language Models for Travel Behavior Prediction

Travel behavior prediction is a core problem in transportation demand management and is traditionally addressed using numerical models calibrated on observed data. With recent advances in large language models (LLMs), new opportunities have emerged to model human decision-making through natural language reasoning. This study explores the use of LLMs for travel behavior prediction through two complementary frameworks. The first framework employs a zero-shot prompting strategy, where the prediction task, traveler attributes, and relevant domain knowledge are described in text, enabling the LLM to directly generate predictions without task-specific training data. The second framework uses LLM-generated text embeddings as high-level representations of travel scenarios, which are then combined with conventional supervised learning models to support prediction in small-sample settings. Empirical results show that both approaches achieve performance comparable to, and in some cases competitive with, classical models such as multinomial logit, random forest, and neural networks. These findings suggest that LLMs offer a flexible and data-efficient alternative for travel behavior prediction.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

TrustEnergy: A Unified Framework for Accurate and Reliable User-level Energy Usage Prediction

Energy usage prediction is important for various real-world applications, including grid management, infrastructure planning, and disaster response. Although a plethora of deep learning approaches have been proposed to perform this task, most of them either overlook the essential spatial correlations across households or fail to scale to individualized prediction, making them less effective for accurate fine-grained user-level prediction. In addition, due to the dynamic and uncertain nature of energy usage caused by various factors such as extreme weather events, quantifying uncertainty for reliable prediction is also significant, but it has not been fully explored in existing work. In this paper, we propose a unified framework called TrustEnergy for accurate and reliable user-level energy usage prediction. There are two key technical components in TrustEnergy, (i) a Hierarchical Spatiotemporal Representation module to efficiently capture both macro and micro energy usage patterns with a novel memory-augmented spatiotemporal graph neural network, and (ii) an innovative Sequential Conformalized Quantile Regression module to dynamically adjust uncertainty bounds to ensure valid prediction intervals over time, without making strong assumptions about the underlying data distribution. We implement and evaluate our TrustEnergy framework by working with an electricity provider in Florida, and the results show our TrustEnergy can achieve a 5.4% increase in prediction accuracy and 5.7% improvement in uncertainty quantification compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2025

Sparkle: Mastering Basic Spatial Capabilities in Vision Language Models Elicits Generalization to Spatial Reasoning

Vision language models (VLMs) perform well on many tasks but often fail at spatial reasoning, which is essential for navigation and interaction with physical environments. Many spatial reasoning tasks depend on fundamental two-dimensional (2D) skills, yet our evaluation shows that state-of-the-art VLMs give implausible or incorrect answers to composite spatial problems, including simple pathfinding tasks that humans solve effortlessly. To address this, we enhance 2D spatial reasoning in VLMs by training them only on basic spatial capabilities. We first disentangle 2D spatial reasoning into three core components: direction comprehension, distance estimation, and localization. We hypothesize that mastering these skills substantially improves performance on complex spatial tasks that require advanced reasoning and combinatorial problem solving, while also generalizing to real-world scenarios. To test this, we introduce Sparkle, a framework that generates synthetic data to provide targeted supervision across these three capabilities and yields an instruction dataset for each. Experiments show that VLMs fine-tuned with \emph{Sparkle} improve not only on basic tasks but also on composite and out-of-distribution real-world spatial reasoning tasks. These results indicate that enhancing basic spatial skills through synthetic generalization effectively advances complex spatial reasoning and offers a systematic strategy for boosting the spatial understanding of VLMs. Source codes of Sparkle are available at https://github.com/YihongT/Sparkle.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2025

UQGNN: Uncertainty Quantification of Graph Neural Networks for Multivariate Spatiotemporal Prediction

Spatiotemporal prediction plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications such as urban planning, transportation optimization, disaster response, and pandemic control. In recent years, researchers have made significant progress by developing advanced deep learning models for spatiotemporal prediction. However, most existing models are deterministic, i.e., predicting only the expected mean values without quantifying uncertainty, leading to potentially unreliable and inaccurate outcomes. While recent studies have introduced probabilistic models to quantify uncertainty, they typically focus on a single phenomenon (e.g., taxi, bike, crime, or traffic crashes), thereby neglecting the inherent correlations among heterogeneous urban phenomena. To address the research gap, we propose a novel Graph Neural Network with Uncertainty Quantification, termed UQGNN for multivariate spatiotemporal prediction. UQGNN introduces two key innovations: (i) an Interaction-aware Spatiotemporal Embedding Module that integrates a multivariate diffusion graph convolutional network and an interaction-aware temporal convolutional network to effectively capture complex spatial and temporal interaction patterns, and (ii) a multivariate probabilistic prediction module designed to estimate both expected mean values and associated uncertainties. Extensive experiments on four real-world multivariate spatiotemporal datasets from Shenzhen, New York City, and Chicago demonstrate that UQGNN consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in both prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification. For example, on the Shenzhen dataset, UQGNN achieves a 5% improvement in both prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2025

Interpretable Time Series Autoregression for Periodicity Quantification

Time series autoregression (AR) is a classical tool for modeling auto-correlations and periodic structures in real-world systems. We revisit this model from an interpretable machine learning perspective by introducing sparse autoregression (SAR), where $\ell_0$-norm constraints are used to isolate dominant periodicities. We formulate exact mixed-integer optimization (MIO) approaches for both stationary and non-stationary settings and introduce two scalable extensions: a decision variable pruning (DVP) strategy for temporally-varying SAR (TV-SAR), and a two-stage optimization scheme for spatially- and temporally-varying SAR (STV-SAR). These models enable scalable inference on real-world spatiotemporal datasets. We validate our framework on large-scale mobility and climate time series. On NYC ridesharing data, TV-SAR reveals interpretable daily and weekly cycles as well as long-term shifts due to COVID-19. On climate datasets, STV-SAR uncovers the evolving spatial structure of temperature and precipitation seasonality across four decades in North America and detects global sea surface temperature dynamics, including El Niño. Together, our results demonstrate the interpretability, flexibility, and scalability of sparse autoregression for periodicity quantification in complex time series.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2025

Reimagining Urban Science: Scaling Causal Inference with Large Language Models

Urban causal research is essential for understanding the complex, dynamic processes that shape cities and for informing evidence-based policies. However, current practices are often constrained by inefficient and biased hypothesis formulation, challenges in integrating multimodal data, and fragile experimental methodologies. Imagine a system that automatically estimates the causal impact of congestion pricing on commute times by income group or measures how new green spaces affect asthma rates across neighborhoods using satellite imagery and health reports, and then generates comprehensive, policy-ready outputs, including causal estimates, subgroup analyses, and actionable recommendations. In this Perspective, we propose UrbanCIA, an LLM-driven conceptual framework composed of four distinct modular agents responsible for hypothesis generation, data engineering, experiment design and execution, and results interpretation with policy insights. We begin by examining the current landscape of urban causal research through a structured taxonomy of research topics, data sources, and methodological approaches, revealing systemic limitations across the workflow. Next, we introduce the design principles and technological roadmap for the four modules in the proposed framework. We also propose evaluation criteria to assess the rigor and transparency of these AI-augmented processes. Finally, we reflect on the broader implications for human-AI collaboration, equity, and accountability. We call for a new research agenda that embraces LLM-driven tools as catalysts for more scalable, reproducible, and inclusive urban research.

cs.CL↗