SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Dino Bindi

Publications and source records attributed to Dino Bindi.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

The UK and Ireland Geophysical Array -- Concept and Design

Scientific exploration of the UK and Ireland's subsurface has made important contributions to scholarship and prosperity for people and the planet, including economic growth, sustainable use of natural resources, storage of greenhouse gases, and inspiring curiosity about the Earth beneath our feet. This article outlines a vision for an array of seismological instruments spanning the UK and Ireland, UKI Array, augmented by other types of geophysical sensors, to maximise the value offered by existing equipment pools. The mission is to research natural phenomena and structure in the deep and shallow Earth, to solve problems concerning hazards and resources, to connect scientists to schools and the broader public, and thus to inspire a new generation to learn about geophysics. The vision was created through a community driven process of engagement and participation. This paper describes the concept and design of the UKI-Array; a companion paper discusses related opportunities and potential applications.

physics.geo-ph

Earthquake magnitude and location estimation from real time seismic waveforms with a transformer network

Precise real time estimates of earthquake magnitude and location are essential for early warning and rapid response. While recently multiple deep learning approaches for fast assessment of earthquakes have been proposed, they usually rely on either seismic records from a single station or from a fixed set of seismic stations. Here we introduce a new model for real-time magnitude and location estimation using the attention based transformer networks. Our approach incorporates waveforms from a dynamically varying set of stations and outperforms deep learning baselines in both magnitude and location estimation performance. Furthermore, it outperforms a classical magnitude estimation algorithm considerably and shows promising performance in comparison to a classical localization algorithm. In this work, we furthermore conduct a comprehensive study of the requirements on training data, the training procedures and the typical failure modes using three diverse and large scale data sets. Our analysis gives several key insights. First, we can precisely pinpoint the effect of large training data; for example, a four times larger training set reduces the required time for real time assessment by a factor of four. Second, the basic model systematically underestimates large magnitude events. This issue can be mitigated by incorporating events from other regions into the training through transfer learning. Third, location estimation is highly precise in areas with sufficient training data, but is strongly degraded for events outside the training distribution. Our analysis suggests that these characteristics are not only present for our model, but for most deep learning models for fast assessment published so far. They result from the black box modeling and their mitigation will likely require imposing physics derived constraints on the neural network.

physics.geo-ph

The transformer earthquake alerting model: A new versatile approach to earthquake early warning

Earthquakes are major hazards to humans, buildings and infrastructure. Early warning methods aim to provide advance notice of incoming strong shaking to enable preventive action and mitigate seismic risk. Their usefulness depends on accuracy, the relation between true, missed and false alerts, and timeliness, the time between a warning and the arrival of strong shaking. Current approaches suffer from apparent aleatoric uncertainties due to simplified modelling or short warning times. Here we propose a novel early warning method, the deep-learning based transformer earthquake alerting model (TEAM), to mitigate these limitations. TEAM analyzes raw, strong motion waveforms of an arbitrary number of stations at arbitrary locations in real-time, making it easily adaptable to changing seismic networks and warning targets. We evaluate TEAM on two regions with high seismic hazard, Japan and Italy, that are complementary in their seismicity. On both datasets TEAM outperforms existing early warning methods considerably, offering accurate and timely warnings. Using domain adaptation, TEAM even provides reliable alerts for events larger than any in the training data, a property of highest importance as records from very large events are rare in many regions.

physics.geo-ph