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Djamel Meraghni

Publications and source records attributed to Djamel Meraghni.

16 recordsLinked to original sources

Weighted and Truncated Tail Index Estimation under Random Censoring: A Unified Full-Range Framework

Estimation of the extreme value index under right censoring is a fundamental problem in extreme value theory, with important applications in finance, insurance, and reliability. Classical integral estimators for Pareto-type tails typically require that the asymptotic proportion of uncensored observations in the tail is larger than one half, corresponding to the weak censoring regime. This restriction excludes many practically relevant situations involving strong censoring, where the proportion of uncensored observations is smaller than or equal to one half, and reflects the absence of a uniformly valid Gaussian approximation for the associated tail empirical process. To overcome this limitation, we introduce a weighted and truncated Nelson--Aalen tail empirical process and construct a class of integral estimators indexed by a tuning parameter larger than one. This approach restores a tractable asymptotic structure over the entire censoring range, from very weak to very strong censoring. Under standard regular variation conditions, we establish a uniform Gaussian approximation and derive consistency and asymptotic normality without imposing restrictions on the censoring level. A key ingredient of the analysis is a linearization of the estimator as a functional of the underlying process. Simulation studies and real data applications demonstrate improved stability and accuracy, particularly under moderate and strong censoring. In particular, the analysis of insurance loss data, representing weak censoring, and Australian AIDS survival data, representing strong censoring, illustrates the practical relevance of the proposed methodology across contrasting censoring regimes.

math.ST

Weighted Estimation of the Tail Index under Right Censorship: A Unified Approach Based on Kaplan-Meier and Nelson-Aalen Integrals

Kaplan-Meier and Nelson-Aalen integral estimators to the tail index of right-censored Pareto-type data traditionally rely on the assumption that the proportion p of upper uncensored observations exceeds one-half, corresponding to weak censoring regime. However, this condition excludes many practical settings characterized by strong censorship, where p is less than or equal to one-half. To address this bothering limitation, we propose a modification that incorporates a tuning parameter. This parameter, greater than one, assigns appropriate weights to the estimators, thereby extending the applicability of the method to the entire censoring range, where p is between zero and one. Under suitable regularity conditions, we establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators. Extensive simulation studies reveal a clear improvement over existing methods in terms of bias and mean squared error, particularly in the strong censoring situation. These results highlight the significant practical and theoretical impact of our approach, offering a more flexible and accurate framework for tail index estimation under censoring. The usefulness of the method is further illustrated through its application to two real datasets: one on insurance losses (weak censoring) and the other on AIDS cases (strong censoring).

math.ST

Robust Tail Index Estimation under Random Censoring via Minimum Density Power Divergence

We propose a robust estimator for the tail index of Pareto-type distributions under random right-censoring, constructed within the minimum density power divergence (MDPD) framework and based on the Nelson--Aalen estimator of the cumulative hazard function. To our knowledge, this is the first application of the MDPD methodology to tail index estimation in the presence of random censoring. Under mild regularity conditions and within the weak censoring regime, the estimator is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. Its finite-sample performance is assessed through Monte Carlo simulations, revealing improved robustness--efficiency trade-offs compared to standard non-robust tail index estimators. Robustness is investigated under both pre-censoring and post-censoring contamination schemes. While pre-censoring contamination provides a meaningful framework for robustness assessment, post-censoring contamination directly alters the observable data and highlights the sensitivity of reconstruction-based approaches. The practical relevance of the method is illustrated using an insurance claims dataset with light censoring and fully observable extremes. An additional application to AIDS survival data is included for illustrative purposes, emphasizing the challenges encountered under stronger censoring.

math.ST

Robust and Smooth Estimation of the Extreme Tail Index via Weighted Minimum Density Power Divergence

By introducing a weight function into the density power divergence, we develop a new class of robust and smooth estimators for the tail index of Pareto-type distributions, offering improved efficiency in the presence of outliers. These estimators can be viewed as a robust generalization of both weighted least squares and kernel-based tail index estimators. We establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed class. A simulation study is conducted to assess their finite-sample performance in comparison with existing methods.

math.ST

Nelson-Aalen kernel estimator to the tail index of right censored Pareto-type data

On the basis of Nelson-Aalen product-limit estimator of a randomly censored distribution function, we introduce a kernel estimator to the tail index of right-censored Pareto-like data. Under some regularity assumptions, the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are established. A small simulation study shows that the proposed estimator performs much better, in terms of bias and stability, than the existing ones with, a slight increase in the mean squared error. The results are applied to insurance loss data to illustrate the practical effectiveness of our estimator.

math.ST

Tail empirical process and weighted extreme value index estimator for randomly right-censored data

A tail empirical process for heavy-tailed and right-censored data is introduced and its Gaussian approximation is established. In this context, a (weighted) new Hill-type estimator for positive extreme value index is proposed and its consistency and asymptotic normality are proved by means of the aforementioned process in the framework of second-order conditions of regular variation. In a comparative simulation study, the newly defined estimator is seen to perform better than the already existing ones in terms of both bias and mean squared error. As a real data example, we apply our estimation procedure to evaluate the tail index of the survival time of Australian male Aids patients. It is noteworthy that our approach may also serve to develop other statistics related to the distribution tail such as second-order parameter and reduced-bias tail index estimators. Furthermore, the proposed tail empirical process provides a goodness-of-fit test for Pareto-like models under censorship.

math.ST

A Lynden-Bell integral estimator for the tail index of right-truncated data with a random threshold

By means of a Lynden-Bell integral with deterministic threshold, Worms and Worms [A Lynden-Bell integral estimator for extremes of randomly truncated data. Statist. Probab. Lett. 2016; 109: 106-117] recently introduced an asymptotically normal estimator of the tail index for randomly right-truncated Pareto-type data. In this context, we consider the random threshold case to derive a Hill-type estimator and establish its consistency and asymptotic normality. A simulation study is carried out to evaluate the finite sample behavior of the proposed estimator.

math.ST

Nelson-Aalen tail product-limit process and extreme value index estimation under random censorship

On the basis of Nelson-Aalen nonparametric estimator of the cumulative distribution function, we provide a weak approximation to tail product-limit process for randomly right-censored heavy-tailed data. In this context, a new consistent reduced-bias estimator of the extreme value index is introduced and its asymptotic normality is established only by assuming the second-order regular variation of the underlying distribution function. A simulation study shows that the newly proposed estimator performs better than the existing ones.

math.ST

Statistical estimate of the proportional hazard premium of loss under random censoring

Many insurance premium principles are defined and various estimation procedures introduced in the literature. In this paper, we focus on the estimation of the excess-of-loss reinsurance premium when the risks are randomly right-censored. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established under suitable conditions and its performance evaluated through sets of simulated data.

math.ST

Kernel estimation of the tail index of a right-truncated Pareto-type distribution

In this paper, we define a kernel estimator for the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution under random right-truncation and establish its asymptotic normality. A simulation study shows that, compared to the estimators recently proposed by Gardes & Stupfler (2015) and Benchaira et al. (2015), this newly introduced estimator behaves better, in terms of bias and mean squared error, for small samples.

math.ST

Estimating the mean of a heavy-tailed distribution under random censoring

The central limit theorem introduced by Stute [The central limit theorem under random censorship. Ann. Statist. 1995; 23: 422-439] does not hold for some class of heavy-tailed distributions. In this paper, we make use of the extreme value theory to propose an alternative estimating approach of the mean ensuring the asymptotic normality property. A simulation study is carried out to evaluate the performance of this estimation procedure

math.ST

Gaussian approximation to the extreme value index estimator of a heavy-tailed distribution under random censoring

We make use of the empirical process theory to approximate the adapted Hill estimator, for censored data, in terms of Gaussian processes. Then, we derive its asymptotic normality, only under the usual second-order condition of regular variation. Our methodology allows to relax the assumptions, made in Einmahl, Fils-Villetard and Guillou(2008), on the heavy-tailed distribution functions and the sample fraction of upper order statistics.

math.ST

A Bias-reduced Estimator for the Mean of a Heavy-tailed Distribution with an Infinite Second Moment

We use bias-reduced estimators of high quantiles, of heavy-tailed distributions, to introduce a new estimator of the mean in the case of infinite second moment. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established and checked, in a simulation study, by four of the most popular goodness-of-fit tests for different sample sizes. Moreover, we compare, in terms of bias and mean squared error, our estimator with Peng's estimator (Peng, 2001) and we evaluate the accuracy of some resulting confidence intervals.

stat.ME

Distortion risk measures for sums of dependent losses

We discuss two distinct approaches, for distorting risk measures of sums of dependent random variables, which preserve the property of coherence. The first, based on distorted expectations, operates on the survival function of the sum. The second, simultaneously applies the distortion on the survival function of the sum and the dependence structure of risks, represented by copulas. Our goal is to propose risk measures that take into account the fluctuations of losses and possible correlations between risk components.

stat.ME